Binchy

I did back Assault on Rome in the 7:15 @ Beverley and I still cannot believe the horse was not called the winner, even after seeing the photo! Very quick decision as well. Anyone else agree or am I just pocket talking?

Re: Daily Racing Chat Thread Sick to death of Hughes not riding for a place. As soon as win chance has gone his hands drop every single time. Why does nobody have a word with him about it?

I've started a couple of these threads in the past but hoping this will be third time lucky. System will be 50p each way lucky 15's. Selections will be based initially on jockey/trainer stats (course, distance, race type, jockey/trainer). Stats must have at least 5 wins from at least ten rides. Some exceptions for high strike rates. Must be £25.00+ profit to level stake with at least 17% strike rate or 33%+ strike rate. Shortlist will then be whittle down using Racing Post Selection Box. Today's Selections : 2:10 - Don - Nomenklatura 12/1 2:30 - Mus - Heraldic 5/2 4:25 - Don - King Torus 5/1 5:50 - Win - Bournemouth Belle 4/1 Usually I would post up the night before and provide you with the states that led me to the selections, but as I am at work that is not possible for today.

Re: Ladbrokes World Hurdle > Thursday March 12th @ 3:20pm Well done Aidy! I remember reading something earlier in the week with Greatrex saying Cole Harden is a great e/w shout.

Re: Supreme Novices' Hurdle > Tuesday March 10th @ 1:30pm Key Stats : 19 of the last 20 winners ran in the previous 68 days (Seedling, Shaneshill, Sizing John) 10 of 10 ran won at least half their hurdle starts (L'ami Serge, Velvet Maker) Small e/w bet on Benteliamr @ 33/1.

Re: Stan James Champion Hurdle > Tuesday March 10th @ 3:20pm Key Trends : No unplaced horse from previous years renewal has won for 21 years (Hurricane Fly) Since 1985, 91 of the last 92 5 year olds that have run were beaten (Bertimont and Kitten Rock 22 of the last 23 Christmas Hurdle winners were beaten (Faugheen) 24 of the last 25 International Hurdle winners were beaten (The New One) 19 or the last 20 winners had a prep race that calender year (Also accounts for Faugheen) That leaves Arctic Fire, Jezki and Vaniteux. Out of the three I will be backing Jezki at 5/1.

Re: Mares' Hurdle > Tuesday March 10th @ 4:00pm Key Trends (without Quevega) : All winners aged 8 or younger : (Hidden Identity) 8 out of 8 finished in first 3 on last 3 starts - (Centasia, Dark Spirit, Glens Melody, L'Unique, Mischievous Milly, Pass The Time, Polly Peachum, Sureness, Swing Bowler, The Govaness) 8 out of 8 ran in the last 55 days (Annie Power, The Pirate's Queen) 8 out of 8 contested a grade 1 or 2 under NH rules (Emily Gray) That only leaves Bitofapuzzle and Caroles Spirit. I will be backing both each way at 25/1 and 20/1 respectively.

Re: Festival Handicap Steeple Chase > Tuesday March 10th @ 2:40pm Based on trends I will be backing Gevrey Chambertin e/w @ 14/1 and Barrakilla e/w @ 12/1. A few Key Stats : In the last 25 years, all horses that ran in the Hennessy Gold Cup have been beaten (Annacotty, The Druids Nephew, Monbeg Dude, What A Warrior) All Paul Nicholls runners have been beaten (Black Thunder) 44 of the last 46 runners aged 11+ have failed to places since 1997 (Cape Tribulation) 14 of the last 15 winners were officially rated no higher than 143 (Mendip Express, Theatre Guide, No Planning) 10 of 10 had won over 3m+ (Grand Jesture, Pendra, Shangani, Dursey Sound, Tenor Nivernais, Azure Fly)

Re: Rewards4Racing Novices' Handicap Chase > Tuesday March 10th @ 5:15pm I really strongly fancy Horizontal Speed for this race based on the trends it is way clear. Philip Hobbs has done really well with chasers this year. A few key trends : 10 of 10 ran in last 60 days (take out Leap Dearg, Gorsky Island, Golden Hoof, Knock House, Rum and Butter, Monkey Kingdom, Keltus) 10 of 10 posted an RPR of 133+ in last two complete chase starts (take out Vivaccio)

Re: National Hunt Steeple Chase > Tuesday March 10th @ 4:40pm I have Sego Success in an ante post multiple, but for the day based on trends I will be backing Ballyculla e/w @ 66/1 and Doing Fine e/w @ 12/1. A few key stats, the last thirteen winners have ran in at least three chases and all Paul Nicholls runners have been beaten (take out Vivaldi Collonges). Since 1989, 66 of the 67 5 or 6 year olds to run have been beaten (take out Very Wood and Cogry). the last 10 winners have ran 4 to 8 times since July (take out Cause of Causes, I Need Gold, Sego Success and Theatre Queen)

Re: Arkle Challenge Trophy > Tuesday March 10th @ 2:05pm Vibrato Valtat is the bet for me at the prices. Fits all the trends. Big stat going against Un De Sceaux if he bolts off in front, 32 of the last 33 winners chose not to make the running.

Re: The RSA Steeple Chase > Wednesday March 11th @ 2:05pm Don Poli confirmed for this. Glad as have him in one of my multiples.

Re: Cheltenham Fun Bets - Singles/Multiples/Lucky 15's/Placepots etc I've had an each way Lucky 15 and a win Lucky 31 since bet365 went NRNB. Selections based purely on what has been said at the Preview Evenings and in the Long Range Forecast by Gary Nutting on ATR. They are just something to keep me interested across the whole meeting : EW Lucky 15 : Vibrato Valtat in the Arkle - 5/1 (now @ 4's) Sego Success in the NH Challenge Cup - 6/1 Saphir Du Rheu in the World Hurdle - 9/2 Petite Parisienne in the Triumph Hurdle - 8/1 Win Lucky 31 Douvan in the Supreme Novices - 7/4 Nichols Canyon in the Neptune - 4/1 Don Poli in the RSA - 11/4 Don Cossack in the Ryanair - 7/2 (now @ 3's) Paint The Clouds in the Foxhunter - 4/1

Re: Preview reports 2015 Just like to say thanks for putting these up, they are always a good read!

Re: Binchy's Lucky 2015 Yesterday's Results : 2:05 - Plu - Slowfoot 3/1 (McCoy @ Plumpton over last five years - 10-32, 31%, McCoy/Best over hurdles, 30-77, 39%, +£10.52) WON 3:10 - Plu - Hold The Bucks 8/1 (Freddie Mitchell @ Plumpton - 5-11, 45%, +£30, Mitchell/Steele 5-14, 36%, +£27) LOST 4:10 - Plu - Hudibras 14/1 (As above) LOST 5:10 - Plu - Generous Jack 9/4 (McCoy @ Plumpton over last five years - 10-32, 31%) PLACED Bank - -21.35 Today's Selections : 2:10 - Lin - Regards 13/8 2:40 - Lin - Skyward Miles 9/2 3:00 - Cat - Gold Medal 9/1 4:40 - Lin - Rosenbaum 7/2