100percenthit
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Las Palmas - Espanyol
Those are the teams that can be considered as losers of a present season. Las Palmas located at the last spot and cannot find the game, that will allow it to go up in the table. Despite this, the islanders have not bad squad. So far, even the change of head coach hasn’t helped, now Paquito Ortis is in charge. But its only temporary, because from January Paco Jemez will take his place. Perhaps this will lead to better results, but so far the team doesn’t have a permanent coach, which is an extremely negative factor. There is no picture in their game and there is nobody,who can fix this mechanism.
Las Palmas in this season is considered as an overish team. This is not entirely true if you look at the result. We see more goals due to the fact that rivals of the Las Palmas score. Las Palmas only scored 11 goals itself.
Partly, this situation can be attributed to permanent injuries, but for the upcoming match will be absent Vitolo AML 11/0 and Alen Halilovic AMC 3/0. I think Vitolo is the most valuable attacking player (which confirms his transfer fee on the market) Las Palmas, so his absence will undoubtedly affect the attacking options of the team. Alen Halilovic loaned from Hamburg has played only a few matches for the team, so he is unlikely to be super important.
In the other team “ Espanyol” things aren’t going very well too. Since the beginning of the season team showing the fairly moderate level of football and occupies just 16-th spot in the table.
At the beginning of the season, the unsuccessful game could be explained by injuries, but now all the main performers are available,but they still show very moderate football. The team plays slowly and predictably, it is not difficult for opponents to neutralize the attacking line of Espanyol.
However, it should be noted that the defense of Espanyol works fairly organized and doesn’t allow rivals many opportunities at their goal. I think they can be called true underish team.
The coach of the guests Quique Sánchez Flores honestly said at the pre-match press conference that the team has certain problems. We noticed this! He believes that it's time to turn the tide, with which it is difficult not to agree. However, it is worth his words to give a lot of importance, because before a completely disgusting match with Girona he said almost the same? I believe that Espanyol is in a deep crisis. This can witnessed not only by the results, but also at the level of the football:
The team does not have a clear plan how to win. And I very much doubt that by tomorrow, the situation will radically change
The only important player that we wont see on Espanyol side is Javi Fuego DM (14/0).He can be considered as a regular player. However, I see plenty options to replace him in Espanyol squad.
These players are not called by trainer in line-up of Espanyol up to this game- rc Navarro DR 5/0, Dídac Vilà DL 4/0, Sergio Sánchez DC 3/0, Papakouli Diop DM7 / 0, Hernán Pérez AMR 5/0, Álvaro Vázquez ST 2/0. All these players are not fundamental, so it wont affect the game .
So, what do we have for this match?
I am sure tomorrow there will be a meeting of two crisis teams, which at the moment are simply not able to effectively attack, score and win. In this case, the tournament position requires a result, so the price of the error is high, which does not contribute to the activity in the attack.
It's hard to say who wins. In both teams there are high-class players who can single-handedly make the result. But even if they did, it would be an isolated case. In general for the game, I do not expect many goals.
Some stats for the match:
*73% of Espanyol's matches had under 2.5 goals in total.*
*There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 8 of Espanyol's last 9 games (La Liga).*
*Las Palmas have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches against Espanyol in all competitions.*
* The last 4 home matches of Las Palmas against Espanyol ended with the outcome of under 2.5 goals in 3 of 4 cases*
Recommendation: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.90
Good luck to all, friends!
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UD Almería - Córdoba CF, Segunda, 16.12.17
Almeria has recently escaped from the relegation zone. With the arrival of Lucas Alcaraz as the head coach of the team, the team slowly came back to life. He was appointed 4 rounds ago.
During this time Rojiblancos gained two home victories over Zaragoza (3-0) and Tenerife (2-1), played 1-1 with Barcelona B, and in the last round lost 3-2 to Granada playing away, although they could take a draw!
In the last match I paid attention to two aspects of the game. Firstly, it’s a healthy sport arrogance! The team didn’t try to park the bus, but instead went up-front and almost managed to take away points in a match with one of the leaders. Secondly, huge holes in the defense, which not allowed them to achieve a desired result.
Indeed, Lucas Alcaraz transformed their game. If earlier the team was cowardly parking the bus in its half of the field, now it plays aggressively, it is very dangerous at set-pieces.. Now Almería is at 18th position with 19 points, ahead of Leonesa in the relegation zone only on goal difference.
Cordoba, located on the last 22nd place and is 6 points behind the 18th place.
Cordoba have failed to win any of their last 10 matches and they’re in search of that elusive victory.
The fans are sadly joking that they should go and buy some tickets for Segunda B matches to meet competitors in the following season. The experts consider the work of the coach Juan Merino to be the wine of such disastrous results.
Last week to patience of a management of club the end has come, and the former coach of Cordoba has been appointed to the seat of the couch 32-years Jorge Romero.
A little explanation. Jorge Romero is a committed attacker. His Cordoba B in his group scored the most goals, although conceded a lot.
Sergi Guardiola said yesterday that Jorge Romero differs from the former coach in the game's philosophy by trying to play the ball control and gives a lot of freedom to the players on the field.
How can you question someone with that surname! However, I will add a little to what freedom means: the team will create chances up-front, but this increases the risk of error in their own half.
Let’s go back to Cordoba. In the last match against Rayo Vallecano, the team went to look for happiness in attack and led 2-0 by the half-time! However, Cordoba didn’t dare to finish off the reassembled rival. According to Captain – Carlos Caballero – they were afraid to win. Rayo slowly found their game back and managed to draw out of nowhere, spoiling the debut of the new coach.
What does this mean? Córdoba missed the victory, but the ray of light undoubtedly flashed over the stadium Nuevo Arcángel. It's no accident that "rayo" is translated as "ray"! But when the team pulled back from pressure on the opponent's goal, the beam went out. I think the players will learn a lesson from what happened.
Сordoba – Javi Noblejas (DL) will not play, but he hasn’t played a few matches so far. During the last training, some players were absent, including Joao Afonso DC (17/0), Jaime Romero AMR (17/0 and Josema DC (12/0). Serious losses concern the line of defense, so the coach prepares the youth for the game.
The coaching staff of Almeria called the misses of the team as “plague”.
Pablo Caballero CF 14/1, Tino Costa CM 8/2, Hicham AML 11/0, Fran Rodríguez DR 15/2, Javi Álamo AMR 4/0, Fidel AML 16/1, Rubén Alcaraz CM 19/3, Nauzet Alemán AMR 8/0.
Juan Muñoz ST 13/1 and Verza DMC 9/2 were in doubt, and immediately 9 branch players practiced along with the base.
Losses in all lines, but for the sake of fairness, it should be noted that in recent matches, the losses did not prevent the coach from setting up a battle-worthy squad.
Players, coach, and press say that for Córdoba to play for a draw there is no point, because one point does not save, only victory is needed. Fighting draw in the last round inspired the players, and they had distinct notes of sporting anger. Captain Carlos Caballero said he understands the claims of the fans, but now all the players are ready to die on the field to hear the applause again. The last victory gives an additional incentive to the guests, and coach Almería Lucas Alcaraz warns that Córdoba will play with great motivation.
Almería also has no problems with motivation. Everyone is annoyed by the past defeat, which is considered unfair. In this case, the players, the coach and the press are sure that the remaining two matches with direct competitors before the New Year break must be won. The density of the results is so great that in the case of two defeats, Almería can be in last place!
Thus, both teams promise to fight for victory, and I believe them.
And now I shall pretend to be the psychic and I shall try to read through the ideas of couches!
The philosophy of the game Jorge Romero - is an attack, control of the ball and freedom of creativity on the field. And it brought him success, as in Cordoba B, and in the first half of the debut match with Rayo. "To win, you have to score more than miss" - such a plan for the game is Romero. So he himself let slip, saying that the team was close to victory after the first half, and will go to Almeria with this feeling!
isvis-à-vis Lucas Alcaraz is more experienced, and it is more difficult to read his thoughts. Let's put ourselves in his place. The team is not complete, but all require a successful performance.
Let's put ourselves in his place. The team is not complete, but all require a successful performance..He already knows how to play and win in such conditions.
Aggressive vertical play and standards. Defensive model will not help, because defense of Almería is far from ideal.
Y
es, Córdoba will try to press and control the ball, but this is not Barca, we wont see the possession 75% . The model of Cordoba game assumes they are likely to have errors in defense on a regular basis and Almeria will probably take advantage of it.
I don’t think they can close the game down, so they would probably need to score more than 1 goal. It is unlikely that Almeria will attack from the first minutes, but will wait for its chance, which opponent will provide.
Judging by the game picture, we will see a lot of approaches to the penalty area. At the same time, the match promises to be hot, I don’t exclude a large number of fouls and collisions. Almeria is very strong at set-pieces, but Cordoba is not too bad either. All 4 goals, which scored those teams in the last round were scored from set-pieces. I think its logical to assume, we have the right to expect something similar in this match.
Some stats for this match:
*Both teams have scored in the last 4 matches of Cordoba.*
*Both teams have scored in the last 3 matches of Almeria.*
*Cordoba conceded at least one goal in each of their last 10 matches*
*Cordoba have lost 78% of their away matches. *
*Almeria conceded goals in the last 6 matches against Cordoba*
I don’t think Cordoba will win in this match. Almeria has a more integral picture of the game and more experienced players on their side.
Bookmakers agreed with this, giving preference to the home team. But I will not risk taking the outcome, because motivation of Córdoba can create a miracle.
The pre-match situation indicates that we will see goals from both sides. If you are looking for big odds – you can risk on both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Recommendation: Both teams to score @ 1.91
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On 29.09.2016, 20:23:01, Sotdoc said:
Hull last 31 at home in the Premier League when conceding the opening goal
1-1-29 Hull lost 94% <> lost last 22 ( 3-3 V West Ham and beat Stoke )
Chelsea last 31 away in the Premier League when conceding the opening goal
9-3-19 Chelsea lost 61%
Hull at home in the Premier League when conceding the opening goal in the 0-20 minutes time band
How you can use this information for live betting? Can you show an example please?
1-4 2-3 0-1 0-1 2-4 0-2 0-2 1-4 0-1 0-2 1-2 3-3 1-5 1-2 1-4 0-3 0-5 2-1 1-1-16 ( draw was against West Ham and they beat Fulham )
In the table below I have added all the games since 2003-2004 where Chelsea conceded the opening goal away in the league in the 0-10 minutes time band and 68% ended over 2.5 goals
Chelsea won 27%, 23% ended a draw and they lost 50%
Both teams scored in 73%
Hull at home in the Premier League when opening the scoring 0-10 minutes
1-2 2-3 1-4 3-2 1-1
Chelsea last 35 away games in the Premier League when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
26-2-7 Chelsea won 74% , BTTS YES 74%, 83% over 2.5 goals , 54% over 3.5 , 54% over 1.5 goals in the first half
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Re: Fulham v West Ham > Wednesday January 1st
Hello mate, where did you find the words of Big Sam on this match?if wouldn`t arsenal game be at same time i would definitely watch this "clash of titans" :D to me it is hardest game to call of round, i would of went for fulham if not that 6 - 0 drubbing at hull last time out ?! as well as in first meeting this season, westham won comfortable 3 - 0 at home. lots have changed for this game though since. fulham last 4 games produced 20 goals :D and westhams last 4 produced 17 :D westham for this game have no recognized center-back, big sam in interview said : “Ultimately, it’s stopping goals in. We used to be great at it because we had all our defenders were fit, now we have to say to ourselves, ‘Look, it’s unlikely we’re going to keep a clean sheet so we’re going to have to at least score two to win the game’.”as well as fulham will be eager to bounce back from 6 - 0 loss here, and neither team would be happy to finish this opportunity with 1 point. this is best chance for both teams to claim 3 points. i won`t jump over board with goals here, sometimes exact opposite happens , but i think there is strong case for over 2.5 @ 1.80 with paddypower, i`ll be happy to hit it with 10 % of my betting fund... cannot wait to see highlights and result for this game :D
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Re: Serie A > December 14th - 16th Roma Over (1 goals) @ 1.69 Pinnacle Very exciting match completes the 16-th round of Serie A. Milan will try again to find its game and earn points and Roma will try to come and close the gap between Juventus and them. The coaches won’t be able to put the optimal line-ups. Let’s start to with the away team “Roma”. Left wing back Federico Balzaretti will be replaced by his teammate “Dodo”. These players are a little different in terms of play and style: Young Dodo is faster and more willing to go forward, on the other hand Federico is stronger defensively. This substitution will lead that the left flank(wing) of Roma will be more vulnerable, but will threat more danger upfront. Marco Borrielo will be available again who score 1 goal this season. This is not surprising, because the style of Roma involves the whole team in attacking mode, where anyone can score goals. For example, the player “Miralem Pjanic” who is unfortunately unavailable for Roma. This is a very significant loss, but the questions stand whether this will break the game of Roma? First of all, the living legend“Totti”return to action and will be available this time. Secondly, if we analyse another group of players who are more attacking: (Daniele De Rossi, Alessando Florenzi, Kevin Strootman, Adem Ljalic, Gervinho) it is possible to make the conclusion that Roma is the united team, where all players are interchangeable. No coincidence that almost all of them, except for De Rossi who is more defensively-minded, have scored 3 or 4 goals. Therefore, our analysis of Roma absences tells us that despite their apart seriousness, they are not critical and the team can play well its a game that brings success. On the other hand, we have “AC Milan” who is in much worse condition. They have injuries from both flanks including “Ignazio Abate and Kevin Constant.” Attacking wise they will be missing Robinho and Birsa. Young star El Shaarawy won’t be available again. All together they have some serious losses, especially in defence that can play large role in the game of Milan in contrast of Roma. This season Milan have gotten some negative trends in their game. I will try to identify the major chronic imbalance in the defends that allows to opponents to create a lot of chances near Milan goal, defending set-pieces, protecting the score. These are all trends they have been weak at this season. Let’s look at them in relation to today’s opponent Milan. Roma, on the contrary, creates and have the strong finishing of their chances, good game on set-pieces and are very strong at protecting the lead. Milan have good defenders including Phillipe Meses, Zapata, De Jong. However, all of them share one drawback – they keep fouling more than they should. Perhaps this is the reason that Milan is not good at defending on set-pieces. They are allowing opponents many of them. When it comes to gorgeous skilful players of Roma, which are difficult to stop without breaking the rules! You remember that Roma are very strong at this component. You can make a conclusion by yourself from what I described above. The last week AC Milan played a hard game against Ajax without goals (0-0) just with 24 Ajax shots on target. It is more than enough for top-team like AC Milan. And it is effects of defensive troubles in AC Milan, that is no consequence of misses. Roma had a rest and will be fresher. In this situation for AC Milan the draw should be a good result. Will Milan play in closed play? No, of course! Massimiliano Allegri’s team must go forward and win especially home. But Roma is very strong in counterattack too and they can realize this opportunity. Roma had so much the trumps today. And Roma will score without fail. Will AC Milan score? Can they win? No doubts that AC Milan isn’t the favourite today and bet 2X are most valuable. World-class players for AC Milan and if they’ll win their victory wouldn’t a sensation. Also no doubts that AC Milan will make a clean sheet, best bet is Roma(O1). Key stat: Roma scored in all of their away games this season in Serie A. Good luck!
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Re: La Liga > December 13th - 16th Barcelona - Villiareal Barcelona HT/FT @ 1.81 Betfair Real Madrid have just failed to break the resistance of Osasuna and Barca have a great opportunity to boost their advantage in terms of points. They need to win over Yellow Submarine on Camp Nou for that. Villarreal travels to Catalonia with 2 very important misses in the squad. Their playmaker “Cani” and captain Bruno will be out for this match. These players provide dominance in midfield whereby the guests gained the points this season. In addition, the following players will take part in this match with minor injuries: the key striker Diovani Dos Santos and left wingback Bojan Jokic. E According to the medical staff of Villiareal told that Bojan Jokic is not fully recovered from a hamstring injury and you can assume it will be very hard to resist the attacking brilliance of Barcelona. Blaugranas team also have some misses for this match including: Adriano, Messi, Valdes. However, there are positive things in returning of Alba and Dani Avles, so the absence of Adriano will not so influential. Messi can not be fully replaced, but in recent games at his position Neymar is being excellent. Therefore to sum up, I think Barca misses can well be compensated by the players who returned to the squad and their form at Camp Nou. Both teams prefer to play offensively and creating a lot of chances with good combinations. Both teams don’t like the aggressive style of game, not too strong on the second floor and they are not sitting deep in defence, allowing the opponents to attack and create chances. In these terms Barca and Villiareal are similar to each other. However, in today’s game we can clearly outline the problems in organization game in contrast of Barca. It is simply Barcelona who is much better it’s opponent today and have great motivation to win and bounce back from the losses in Primera. If Barcelona wins, they usually do it starting hammering their opponents from the first minute to have a good lead in the first half. Nothing heralds today to this tradition and it is highly unlikely that Villiareal has resources for effective resistance. Therefore, the best bet in my opinion is Barcelona HT/FT for great odds. Good luck!
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Re: Hull City v Stoke City > Saturday December 14th Hull city (0) to win Stoke City @ 1.6 Betfair Hull coach Steve Bruce has set the task for his team to gain at least 20 points before Christmas Guests are coming with a weakened squad, especially in the defensive line. First of all , the main goalkeeper of Stoke Asmir Begovic was unexpectedly injured on training. There is also an important miss in the central zone of defence in the face of Robert Huth. Thomas Sorensen is expected will replace Begovic. This will undoubtedly lead to imbalance in the defensive line of away team. Furthermore, Jonathan Walters will not take part in this match. He is a guy who works hard for the team and Stoke will certainly be lacking the service of this player. Even more his actions depend on the creativity of Stoke attacking potential. Matthew Etherington will not play either. At home games Hull is able to control the ball well and develop positional attacks. High pressure could break the game of Hull, but unfortunately guests don’t have enough resources for that. It is also worth to note huge problems of Stoke in defense. Therefore it seems that the home team have all the opportunities to achieve the positive result for them. There’s also one missing in the home is a fast and skilful striker Sone Aluko. His absence could affect the team’s game, but besides him Hull have enough resources at their disposal. For example, the best sniper Robbie Brady. Stats are also for the home team. In their last 20 home games Hull won 11 times, drawn 5 times and lost just 4 times. On the other hand Hull is not playing well on their away fixtures, but the same can be said again their opponent tonight “Stoke City”. They have failed to win 32 of their last 35 away matches in the EPL, which is a horrible record to be honest. Everything suggests to the fact Hull must triumph ( in the worst case – not to lose this game), so the best bet will be home team (0). Good luck to everyone.Hull coach Steve Bruce has set the task for his team to gain at least 20 points before Christmas Guests are coming with a weakened squad, especially in the defensive line. First of all , the main goalkeeper of Stoke Asmir Begovic was unexpectedly injured on training. There is also an important miss in the central zone of defence in the face of Robert Huth. Thomas Sorensen is expected will replace Begovic. This will undoubtedly lead to imbalance in the defensive line of away team. Furthermore, Jonathan Walters will not take part in this match. He is a guy who works hard for the team and Stoke will certainly be lacking the service of this player. Even more his actions depend on the creativity of Stoke attacking potential. Matthew Etherington will not play either. At home games Hull is able to control the ball well and develop positional attacks. High pressure could break the game of Hull, but unfortunately guests don’t have enough resources for that. It is also worth to note huge problems of Stoke in defense. Therefore it seems that the home team have all the opportunities to achieve the positive result for them. There’s also one missing in the home is a fast and skilful striker Sone Aluko. His absence could affect the team’s game, but besides him Hull have enough resources at their disposal. For example, the best sniper Robbie Brady. Stats are also for the home team. In their last 20 home games Hull won 11 times, drawn 5 times and lost just 4 times. On the other hand Hull is not playing well on their away fixtures, but the same can be said again their opponent tonight “Stoke City”. They have failed to win 32 of their last 35 away matches in the EPL, which is a horrible record to be honest. Everything suggests to the fact Hull must triumph ( in the worst case – not to lose this game), so the best bet will be home team (0). Good luck to everyone.
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Re: La Liga > December 13th - 16th Levante (0) @ 1.72 Pinnacle This match is a moment of truth for Levente as a team. The team lost 4 consecutive times in a row, but this streak was related to the numerous injuries and bad luck. However, this time leading players will be in the squad and bad lack may only be in a limited amount. You can’t say Elche is on the top of their game or some impressive results, the only good win for them is a win over Valencia which was an absolutely occasional victory. Levante faces tremendous pressure in this game and I can admit they’re in must win situation. Let’s see how Levante can win this match besides motivation factor. Elche have got two serious absences. The central defender David Rogriguez Lobman who is expected to be out of the squad. Perhaps, his level and quality isn’t higher than veteran Sergio Pelegrin Lopez and leased Alberto Botia, but they both missed the last match and may not be in optimal playing shape. Absence that is even bigger for guests is leader of attacks Manu Del Moral. Without him Elche is not that dangerous in terms of creating the chances and creativity. His improvisation could be the crucial factor tonight in Levante, but without him Elche is looking too predictable and home team should be able to read their attacking intentions. The most important factor today is the return of Levante playmaker and backbone player of Levante Andreas Ivanshitz. Levante offensive power looked toothless without him. Today we are expecting from him good breakthrough to Jordi Xumetra and Nabil El Zhar, the edge of the attack is expected of Baba Diawara. It should be noted that quick game of wingers and non-standard actions of Andreas Ivanshitz is likely to lead to the fact that defenders of Elche wil not have time to cover all zones and somebody from the attacking quartet will be given the good position to score. I see this as a weakness of Elche defense and this is a big chance for Levante boys. Elche has a strong game on the flanks, which they show in the last matches. However, today they will face Pedro Lopez and Juanfran. If you compare these defenders to wingers of Elche, you will come to the same conclusion – Elche will not be able to use their strongest weapon today. Levante have also got serious loss – Hector Rodas. But this play can well be replaced. Secondly, with a lack of creativity in attack Eche is not expected to give a big load of work on the defensive line of Levante. It obviously is a serious loss, but today it will not affect that much. One more thing is worth to mention, this game is a regional derby, so the lack of motivation fact cannot be considered in this game. Also the sum of components tells us that Levante is the favourite today. High odds of their win is the effects of misfortune of the last games. Elche have no chances to win, the draw is maximum they can achieve. Today we should realize the bookmaker’s mistake and place bets on Levante (0). More over because this is derby. Good luck!
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Re: France Ligue 1 (6-8 Dec)
Bastia produced a terrible terrible 2nd half and Lyon played really well. Tactically they were far superior and made excellent HT adjustments. There's no logical reason to explain this outcome but it's been shocking how poor Bastia have been after the break. Can't complain at the loss here' date=' Lyon were just much better. Sorry fellas, I just called this one wrong but I have no regrets because the price was massive[/quote'] Do you think Monaco will get the job done easy, do you think it's worth to risk HT/FT Monaco? -
Re: Southampton v Manchester City > Saturday December 7th Man City to beat Southampton @ 1.77 Betfair Southampton, who started this season in excellent manner, but dropped down a lot in recent matches and in my opinion is because they don’t have a big squad and they were playing with a lot of the same players and got some important injuries eventually. Regular defenders Nathaniel Clyne and Daniel Fox, added to this list Victor Wanyama and Morgan Schneiderlin who were absolutely key to Southampton record of keeping a lot of clean sheets, they will not find substitutes of the same quality for sure. Defensive midfielder Jack Cork and striker Gaston Ramirez are doubtful. Hang on a bit, but that’s not all players who are absent for the home team, they will also miss their regular keeper Artur Borus and he will be replaced by inexperienced and less skilful Paulo Gazzaniga. The only significant absent of the Man City can be identified by David Silva. In recent games that I observed the Citizens seems to finally find their game by giving some excellent matches and results. Man. City coach is convinced that today the team will continue winning ways. The major strengths of Soton are highest dedication and team play. But what kind of team play you could expect, if almost half of the important players are out? How they will find to protect their goal against skillful and gifted players of Citizens in the absence of main keeper? I believe even the main coach won’t be able to answer on these questions. At full strength Southampton could cause some problems to the famous rivals. However, the hosts are in large troubles in terms of injuries that negate their strength of the team. Unfortunately for Soton players, Man City is now on the rise and therefore to wait them struggle here when they are in need of points is not expected. The best bet for this match is conservative Man City victory. Good Luck!
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Re: Southampton V Aston Villa > Wednesday 4th December Do you guys think the odds will go up for Soton?
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Re: La Liga > November 29th - December 1st We apologize to all who was on this bet according our prediction! Unfortunately, in this match there were several factors we could not predict. Barcelona didn’t show the right attitude, which we expected in my tactical analysis, they played with really slow intensity. Even though Barca wasn't at their best, both teams could have scored much earlier Athletic played really clever and dangerous going forward as we assumed they should play to have any chances vs Barca. Hosts didn’t even attempt to take the initiative away from Barcelona – although we expected otherwise. The goal was scored too late, so teams probably were playing with caution until that period and Pinto made some saves as well.
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Re: La Liga > November 29th - December 1st A. Bilbao - Barcelona: Over (2.5) goals @ 1.74 Pinnacle This match will not be an easy walk for Catalans certainly. First of all due to the large misses in the squad of Blaugranas. Of course, the loss of the loss is Lionel Messi! But except from him the big concern is the Barca defense line-up for this game. Left wing back Jordi Albo continue to miss out and will be replaced by Martin Montoya, who posses a good speed and defensive skills, but clearly weaker in terms of creating chances and be useful for the team in the final third and less experienced. On the flank of Barca defence misses out Dani Alves, which will surely affect to the strength of the defensive line, he is likely to be replaced by 35 year old veteran Carles Puyol. Recent news suggested that he has some injury trained under a special program. In case, even if he plays, unfortunately it is worth nothing that he doesn’t possess the same speed he was playing at younger ages, so he is highly unlikely to keep the pace up throughout the whole game. Another problem that worth to be mentioned is that Victor Valdes is out for this game. He will be replaced by 37-year old Jose Manuel Pinto who was remembered by me, generally by the abundance of mistakes in the Champions League matches. He is also weak at Aerial ability and on the other hand this is one of the major strengths of Bilbao team . Xavi is a doubt in the centre midfield area, though his appearance is expected. At the end of the conversation about Barca camp Tello is unlikely to feature, Afellay and Isaac Cuenca will be out for sure. These missing should not be classified as crucial in my opinion, because Neymar, Fabregas, Iniesta and other remain formidable force. Athletic Bilbao also lost one of the key players for this match - the striker Aduriz. This is a significant loss for the hosts, no doubts about it. In his absence the team will have to rebuild the plan for the game. Young defender Enric Saborit remains under the question, although his presence on the field would be the major question if he is to be fully fit. Athletic is playing very strong at home this season and are still undefeated at home. In home games its visible the real force of attacking quality that hosts possess and bright game of attacking players such as: Iker Muniain, Iturraspe, Mikek Rico, Sasaeta. All these players possess an excellent technique, speed and intellection. One of the most important factors of the hosts that I wish to highlight is that their 1 unit as a team and understand each other really well, players understand each other perfectly. Therefore, even the loss of one of the key players is negated by consistency of other team players. Perhaps a key role in today's match will belong to attacking wingers: Iker Munian and Market Susaeta. We remember that the Barcelona defence on flanks are not in its optimal condition. Quick, skilful, creative Muniain will wear down the age-related Puyol, otherwise Puyol might get a red card if he will make fouls. On the left flank of the defence Barca have a similar situation: Susaeta will not make things easy for Montoya and this duel has all chance to finish not in favour of Montoya. But not only from the flanks Barca is exposed to danger. As it was mentioned above, a great team speed of Bilbao team can put Barca not in a comfortable position. In addition, Barca is quite weak when playing on the second floor - whereas hosts are much better in this department. Perhaps the key role in today's clash will belong to the attacking wingers of . Athletic: Iker Muniain and Markel Susaeta. We know that Barca defence, especially on the flanks is not in optimal condition. Quick, skilful, creative Muniain can wear down the age-related Carles Puyol. It's likely that the veteran Puyol won'tbe able to keep the pace or he might get a red card if he will make fouls too often. On the left flank of Barca defense the situation will be quite similar for guests. Martin Montoya will surely not have an easy game and this duel has all chance to end up in favour of the talented Susaeta. But the flanks is not the only problem of Barcelona in this match. As said above, Athletic possess great team speed and that can really hurt Barca. Moreover, Barca keeper is prone to making errors, so I would count him off for clean sheet today. All these factors lead me to the conclusion that Athletic has all the chance to score a goal and they most likely they will score, perhaps more than one. Barcelona losing several key defenders and Messi, but still they are brilliant in creativity and attacking actions. Neymar&Co can deliver problems to absolutely any opponent. Verdict:The match promises to be very interesting. Athletic plays very well and it's clear that they will be particularly motivated by the fact their opponents are somewhat weakened and vulnerable at the moment. Barcelona will have to attack all the match to stay in the game and that means this match will be one very efficient match. Good luck!
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Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Lille to beat Vallenciennes @ 1.97 Betfair The home team comes into the derby with a big and important missing in the squad. Key central defender Gary Kagelmatcher is out, defensive Midfielder Rudy Mater and key wingback Tongo Doumbia and defender Lindsay Rose are out as well. Going to review their attack they will miss young speedy attacking winger Opa Nguette. However, the most unpleasant for Valenciennes is the injury of the key striker – Gregory Pujol who contributed to the team the most benefit scoring 3 goals and 1 assist was recorded in his name as well. Attacking midfielder (temp-maker) Marvin Martin will be out for the guests. The strengths of Valenciennes in past matches it is the possession of the ball and attacking down the wings. Moreover, they love to play with a lot of width. Valenciennes will play Anthony Le Tallec as a main forward who possess good heading. At full strength Valenciennes can deliver the ball to him through attacks down the wings, but today it will be difficult to do. Valenciennes is also weak when defending against attack down the wings and defending through ball attacks. This is matches the main strength of Lille team. For example they have Salamon Kalou from the left flank and Valenciennes have some problems in this department. A lot of these factors can be found in this game. I expect too much misses and playing style of opponents denied any chances for Valenciennes. Lille will win today. Good luck.
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Re: Europa League > Thursday November 28th Lyon to beat Betis @ 1.82 Betfair Betis comes into this match with big squad problem and they will almost play with their B team, so it’s not a surprise that odds already dropped a lot. Key strikers Jorge Molina and Braian Rodriguez won’t play for sure, as well as questionable Ruben Castro Martin. These are the main players who give creativity to attack. Furthermore, they have some huge losses in defence in the face of key central defenders Damien Perquis and Antonio Amaya. So it’s not clear how Betis is going to play in attack and defence respectively. They are in a tough situation for sure. Going back to Lyon problems it’s worth to highlight regular defender Davo, but it’s really more to consider with a Betis attacking line in this game. The players like Jimmy Briand, as well as forwards Alexande Lacazette and Gomis have great speed and technique. Betis players tend to make mistakes even in their best condition. It’s very likely that Lyon strikers will have many opportunities to go through the weakened defence of Real Betis. Betis could play defensively throughout the match, but this game was never characterized to them, because they are really weak at defending against through ball attacks. In the cause of defeat Betis stays a real pretender for play-off of the LE. But in the La Liga they are in the relegation zone. It was clear after shocking lose 0-4 against their traditional rivals Seville. Betis should think and carry about La Liga because the next match against Rayo will be most important. Expect that Lyon will realize squad troubles of Betis and lack of motivation also Lyon will realize their advantage in the player’s class to win today. My recommendation is Lyon to win.
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Re: Shakhtar Donetsk v Real Sociedad > Wednesday November 27th Shaktar to beat Real S. @ 1.6 Betfair The last chance for Shakhtar players to get a spot in the playoffs. Real Socieded will be their opponent this time out who came to this game with quite serious problems in the squad. First of all, their biggest problems in the defensive line as they will miss “Carlos Martinez” who will be replaced by less reliable Liassine Cadamuro. Disqualified defensive midfielder “Markel Bergaga” won’t play either. Without him they’re not comfortable when they’re defending like they will do the most time in this match. One player is under doubt “Gorka Elustondo” who is a defensive midfielder. However, It’s likely that he will feature, otherwise Real Sociedad might be in a real disaster night for themselves. Moreover, defender “Daniel Estrada” is out who played a game in the current champions league campaign. From their attacking options they will miss the services of Esteban Granero and Diego Ifran. These all are quality players, but watching at the RS attacking talent they’re good enough even without them. On the other hand, Shakhtar is almost without any players who will miss this game. Shakhtar was always known for their skilful players mainly from South America. Today we will see in action great attacking players as: “Adriano, Teixeira, Douglas Costa, Taison, Bernard”. These guys certainly able to cause huge problems to the partly weakened RS side using their technique and ability to play with one touch, creativity. Hosts also do have a strong midfield back of Fred and Hubschman. In addition, Shakhtar have very strong wingbacks in the face of Shevchuk and Dario Srna. I believe that Srna needs no presentation! I expect that today Shakhtar’s players will dominate on both flanks. Though, Real Sociedad can set against some of their attacking brilliance versus hosts. They have such dangerous players as : “Xabi Prieto”, “Chori Castro, “Antoni Griezmann”, “ Carlos Vela”. Carlos Vela is probably the most influential players for the guests right now who possess magnificent speed, striker’s intuition in front of goal. Normally, Carlos Vela plays centre forward just behind their wingers. In any case, Shaktar must be extremely careful when against such skilful players especially in attacking positions. I counted a couple of key points in this encounter. First of all, Real Socieded is pretty poor while defending against attacks down the wings. On the other hand, this is one of the major strengths of the home team. So we have hosts strength meeting the away team biggest weaknesses. Secondly, versus creative attacking abilities of Donetsk team, they are playing fast tempo as a team and they love to play one-twos you need to have a strong mid-back. Unfortunately it isn’t tonight for the players from Real S. Therefore they do look vulnerable for me at the department and I strongly believe hosts will be able to take advantage of it. Shakhtar captain “Dario Srna” told in a press-conference that they will try to put some pressure on opponents, which is quite logical as it can be crucial in this game. The last thing I want to mention is that La Liga looks the priority for Sociedad while Shakhar looks strong favourite in this situation. For backing “Shakhar Donetsk” speaks the injuries of Real Sociedad players, the style of play and huge motivation. All together should bring a fascinating match to watch and will be expecting the victory of Shakhtar. Good luck.
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Re: Borussia Dortmund v Napoli > Tuesday November 26th Tournament standings obligate Dortmund to play only for the victory. However, the last match versus “Bayern Munich” reflected how vulnerable Borussia Dortmund can be without the players they are missing in the squad. Mainly, they do have problems in defence and indeed will be missing 4 regular defenders: Schmel, Hummels, Subotic and Pizchek. From their last game you could see Bayern really took advantage of it. Dortmund is still very powerful according their attacking abilities as they have a number of brilliant players in this department. Levandowki and company will seek to prove that their last home game vs Bayern where they didn’t score a goal was a pure accident. Indeed, it’s hard to imagine that Borussia will not score at home 2 games in a row. Marek Hamsik will be absent for Napoli and will be replaced by Pandev. In additions, Napoli have great attacking players in the squad like Insinho, Callejon and world-class striker of Higuain. These guys certainly know how to get away from defenders using their technique and improvisation. Let’s compare Napoli’s attack to their opponents defence. From the flanks: Grosskreutz and Durm ( who didn’t look the best vs Bayern and therefore was replaced). In the centre zone of defense we will see Sokratis and most likely Kehl or Bender. Socratis possesses excellent physical and defensive abilities, but he is prone to tactical mistake, so therefore it will be extremely difficult for him against very non-standard players versus Napoli attacking line. Kehl and Bender are not defenders at all and will be playing in this position from a hopelessness. Therefore, only naïve people can expect a great performance by Dortmund defenders against a superb attacking line of Napoli. Moreover, it’s worth to mention that we won’t see Gyundogan playing for the home side as he is injured. That way, everything suggests that Napoli will have a really easy job to score for an extremely weakened defenders or BVB. “Bayern Munich” could score 3 times and there are no reasons we can’t expect goals scored from Napoli. So what according Borrusia? Certainly they won’t give up and will look their chances up front, no doubt about that. Secondly, Dortmund fans will not forgive if Borussia will lose and not score again. Thirdly, Borussia possess great attackers. There is no reason to believe that they score one or more goals. Another time maybe probably very closed playing style for Borussia, because the problems in defensive line are really outstanding and they’ll try play so careful. Only not today! If Borussia will play in closed style, then Napoli with great pleasure accept it and will gain the draw. But you know that draw is equivalent to defeat for Dortmund. They should be able to find the success near a gate of competitors. So Borussia will open their formation and Napoli will get many chances to score. We can’t know the a result of this match. Possibly that Borussia will win due to superior attack and over-motivation. But the troubles in defend may be fatal for them that will close the way to play-off. Because I don’t recommend try to guess the result but place a reliable bet – Both To Teams Score. Good luck!
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Re: West Ham v Chelsea > Saturday November 23rd Chelsea to win @ 1.65 Betfair West Ham this season consistently associated with an abundance of injuries , and in this round of the situation has not changed. They will be without defenders Razvan Rat, Joey O Brien and Winston Reid It should be noted that all these players are regular players , including both wingbacks and centre back . So judging by its the Hammer's defence is messed up now and they will find it hard against Chelsea who are far more superior in quality and are hungry for the victory after their winless run of 2 games in the EPL. In midfield traditionally absent defensive midfieleder - France team player Alou Diarra, and Matthew Taylor. Their defence looks like a through-passage without these players in defence. At Chelsea the only loss may be a lack of Fernando Torres, but without it there is someone to score a goal of a disassembled opponent. . Offensively, we won't see again a powerful centre forward Andy Carroll and Mladen Petric. It must be said that the absence of two players of the same type will put them in a very limited situation . In addition to them , they will not be able to have a creative attacking midfielder Ricardo Vaz Te. This situation in the team is not the first game and the last matches showed that the substitutions of missing players are not as the same level players. . It would be hard to assume that the match against skillfull players of Chelsea will finish with a positive results for a home team. In this case, the appropriate price looks for the favorite to win , because the underdog has a very big problems with the squad and the games at Upton Park. It's obviously that Mourinho is not quite satisfied with their last game performances and will try hardly to bounce back with a victory here to chase the Gunners down. Good luck.
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Re: Serie A > November 9th & 10th Chievo - Milan: 2 @ 2.02 Betfair I was watching the last game of Chievo and they were really horible in terms of offense, but they got lucky to held on the draw here. The way Chievo played was absolutely impossible to watch and I am not doubting that Milan simply must win this game because of few factors. 1) AC Milan have won their last . 13 matches against Chievo in all competitions 2) Even though Milan will miss Balloteli, I find Matri creating many problems to the home team with their slow defenders. 3) Ricardo Kaka will be the key player here as his improvisation likely to decide this game outcome. 4) If Milan will not win this fixture they are likely not to reach the Europa league and may well have their coach sacked for the next game, so I feel Milan will give his best here. Verdict: It is one of the last chance for Allegri and I think Milan should be able to beat the home team without significant issues, they have much better squad and Chievo style of play is well suited to Milan. I am going huge on guests here. Good luck.
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Re: Queens Park Rangers v Liverpool > Sun 30th December Bad start for QPR
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Re: Arsenal v Newcastle United > Sat 29th December
Yes, I am sorry for Magpies, but they will have to suffer another loss. They are unlucky with injuries this season so far.Injuries and suspensions Arsenal FC v Newcastle Utd Arsenal FC: Santos (6/0 d), Diaby (5/0 m), Fabianski (0/0 g) Newcastle Utd: Ben Arfa (13/3 m), S. Taylor (11/0 d), Cabaye (10/2 m), Gosling (0/0 m), Tiote (12/0 m), Gutiérrez (17/0 m), R. Taylor (1/0 d), Vuckic (0/0 m), Williamson (15/0 d), Anita (16/0 m) -
Re: Arsenal v Newcastle United > Sat 29th December
Yes, I am sorry for Magpires, but they will have to suffer another loss. They are unlucky with injuries this season so far.Injuries and suspensions Arsenal FC v Newcastle Utd Arsenal FC: Santos (6/0 d), Diaby (5/0 m), Fabianski (0/0 g) Newcastle Utd: Ben Arfa (13/3 m), S. Taylor (11/0 d), Cabaye (10/2 m), Gosling (0/0 m), Tiote (12/0 m), Gutiérrez (17/0 m), R. Taylor (1/0 d), Vuckic (0/0 m), Williamson (15/0 d), Anita (16/0 m) -
Re: Arsenal v Newcastle United > Sat 29th December I fully agree with your preview&prediction notoriouspunter. But I always backing quite large amounts of money on bets, so I am still unsure on what it is best to have a bet on Arsenal to win whether Over 2.5, what would you recommend? Thanks for your advice.
US Open 2020
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Hi, would you be able to add data for 3 sets played % so we that we know if players tend to play long matches and so on.