Alcarin
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Posts posted by Alcarin
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Re: Real Madrid v Atlético de Madrid > Wednesday April 22nd Its funny when i read peopel saying Atletico wants to plot revenge for losing finals, this is long over, this was maybe a factor in the first few meetings, but its nearly a year now, and 7 matches inbetween.... If anyone is out to have revenge and win its Real Madrid, not winning for straight 7 games..... Cannot see them not win forever.... I will most likely bet on Real win, but the key things are, getting a goal in the first 20 minutes.... if they fail to score in the 1st half, they will get even more nervous.... Also im afraid of usual that some surprise result in each leg of Champions league, last one was Porto win, now both second leg matches went as expected, so it might be difficult. Fun prediction 2:1 for Real to qualify.
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Re: FC Schalke 04 v NK Maribor > Tuesday September 30th Guess Maribor was ''underestimated'' again or? :P Wonder what would happen if Maribor player would not assist Huntelaar!
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Re: FC Schalke 04 v NK Maribor > Tuesday September 30th We all know that Maribor is the worst team in that particular group, but I think at home they can easily annoy both Sporting(they did) and Schalke..... I predicted 2 draws and 4 losses for NK Maribor as their optimal and realistic way to go..... maybe they can achieve 3 draws..... it also depends what ''chances'' they will have for 3rd place For example if Chelsea wins today and Maribor draws (theoretically) and then Schalke beats Sporting and Chelsea wins vs Maribor after 3 games Maribor will be 3rd place.. and if so, when they visit Lisbon Sporting will be big favorites to win, because Maribor will be obviously trying to secure spring in Europa League and they would likely achieve it by winning Sporting in Lisbon (again theory) and if they open up, Sporting will likely trash them..... But to get to such Scenario, Maribor needs to draw tonight, Chelsea needs to win, and Schalke must then beat Sporting Sorry for Off topic, it was not that bad. I am aiming for Live play here, if the score is 0:0 by 60th minute, then I will likely play for a goal, since MB wil lbe tired as hell!
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Re: FC Schalke 04 v NK Maribor > Tuesday September 30th Schalke are heavy favorites, but so was Sporting.... I live 25km away from Maribor, watched many of their games, but I just do not see them winning at all.... draw is possibly if Schalke will be really bad and will underestimate Maribor.... if 0:0 stay above 60th minute, there might be good value in late goal(s) since Maribor usually grows evidently tired after 75th minute, due to not used to such high rythm..... NO BET for me
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Re: Chelsea v FC Schalke 04 > Wednesday September 17th Luckily I bet x2 on PSG, but Ajax hit the post and nearly won, crazy
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Re: NK Maribor v Sporting CP > Wednesday September 17th
, 1x was the obvious value here, granted I past since its the club from the country I live in, and i never back them, true it was a lucky goal, but Maribor should've taken the lead in the 43rd minute with that header that hit the post....... It was a good game and 40 shots :)Sporting backers seething... bet lost -0.75 -
Re: NK Maribor v Sporting CP > Wednesday September 17th 2x hitting post (1 for each side) decent match should be 1:1 realistically, I fear for Maribor fitnes..... Can smell a late Sporting Goal if the tempo keeps on the current level because Maribor is not used to such pace........ over 0,5 might be an option for live!
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Re: FC Bayern München v Manchester City > Wednesday September 17th
Indeed but if Baern will miss 1-2 more opportunities City might just be lucky and get 0:1....... As long as its 0:0 hope remains for both sides, if Bayern leads I cannot see City winning!Those on ManCity must be sweating right now. Bayern are running riot and City do look like the real underdog here. Lewy just missed an one-on-one. City were very lucky to avoid conceding 2 goals in the first 30mins and they will need a lot more to get out with something. -
Re: Ajax v Paris Saint-Germain > Wednesday September 17th With lineups up I can see PSG getting the win! They have ibrahimovi? to hightower the attack and useful Cavani, I think Ajax cannot hold the draw let alone win, maybe 1/10 games they can manage a win but, they have the pace, but not solid defence and I think quality of ibra and Cavani together with Motta and others will prevail! Luiz and other defense can keep the sheet clean even! High stakes on PSG win 1,66@bet365 7/10 points
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Re: NK Maribor v Sporting CP > Wednesday September 17th I am from Slovenia (NK Maribor) and over here news are all over this, the coach said they go for the win, but Maribor is out of their msot reliable Defender Å uler, most likely Arghus will play and he is prone with doing the red card + penalty! (some info) I think the value is on 1x due to sporting being bad at scoring goals, but since its my countries club,I will pass!
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Re: Manchester City v Stoke City > Saturday August 30th
No I am not glad they did, I think its funny when someone is so ''sure'' something in match will happen aka ''Easy City win'' or even some words like 7:0.............. I personally wish we all would get money all the time (which is obviously impossible)So you're glad that people lost money? Think before you post. -
Re: Manchester City v Stoke City > Saturday August 30th That was funny today, luckily I passed the game, as opposed to some :) Tough luck!
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Re: Manchester United v Swansea City > Saturday August 16th
Congratulations, great call :) /sarcasm off Man United sucks, luckily I decided not to bet on them..... but was not confident enough to put x2 :/I spoke to the bank manager yesterday about how I could go about getting my mortgage put on this bet. In the end the whole process sounded too complicated' date=' too lengthy and required the other half to agree to it which made it pretty much impossible. Once I explained Swansea's patchy pre-season form and United resurgence now they've got rid of Moyes, the bank manager himself agreed this was a great idea. So to make it clear, this is a home banker for me. [u']United to win @ 1.4 with Ladbrokes (10pts) -
Re: Last 16 - Germany v Algeria > Monday June 30th
I forgot something very important. The most important Muslim tradition - Ramadan' date=' has just started today. For one month, all Muslims should fast and not take any food or liquid before sunset. According to info from Algerian camp, most of the players intend to follow the Ramadan fasting. The team has summoned a diet specialist to deal with this problem, but the fact remains - the Algerian players will not ear, neither drink during daylight, starting from today.[/quote'] Ramadan is excused for sport players even in their own country, let alone World Cup... I strongly believe this is false.... you think they will play 90 min+ without taking a drink? Good luck believing that! -
Re: Group C: Greece vs Ivory Coast > Tues 24th June President of Ivory Coast promised ''his'' palyers double prices for the win... up from 17.900€ to 25.800€ if they win the Greece today!
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Re: Group B - Spain v Chile > Wednesday June 18th Sorry guys I could not edit yet (not having 20 posts) I posted in the wrong forum was thinking im posting on another forum..... anyhow Ill correct and add reasoning. Span vs Chile is full of goals for me, I expect Spaniards to go full out to get early lead, maybe even 2:0 if possible... they will be on fire.... So all it depends is how effective can they be upfront, and how good Chile can convert their chances I expect 2,5+ but put a bet for 1,5+ to be a bit more safe!
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Re: Group B - Spain v Chile > Wednesday June 18th Spain vs Chile is all who scores first..... I expect the match to be atleast 3+ goals.... Chile cannot defend, Spain has to win... perfect combination..... I expect the same for the Dutch vs Australia..... Australia has to win + cannot defend, the Dutch best part is the offense..... as for Cameroon vs Croatia, without Eto Cameroon is like a toothles shark.... so I expect Croatia to win, unless Cameroon really has an amazing offensive days, they will get 2 maybe 3 chances if they can convert them Croatia is in trouble!
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Re: FC Bayern München v Real Madrid > Tuesday April 29th
This is all true (the facts) but keep in mind Bayern(Bavaria) won last 5(if i recall correctly) matches in Munich with scores 2:1 against Real Madrid..... and if such scores repeats for the 6th time it is Real who advances obviously I think Real Madrid this time (mainly thanks to their coach) has 60% chances of qualifying.... It all depends who scores first..... If Bayern scores 1:0 ''early'' (before 30th min) then I see huge problems for Real Madrid, but if score is 0:0 or 0:1 by the 60th minute, I see no hope for Guardiolas side...... Real Madrid will not concede 3 goals in a couple of minutes like Werder did.... So for goal bets, it all depends who scores first.... if Real Madrid scores 0:1 I can see over 2,5 easily with their counterattacking perfection....Ok I see all you guys saying Bayern too short,early christmas in april etc but let's face some FACTS: - Bayern are the reigning europian champions and they'll be fully motivated to defend their title - Bayern enjoys great records against Real,this is the 6th semifinal between the two and Bayern has failed to play the final only ONCE - Bayern has won 7 out of 8 home games played in Champions against Real and has drawn only ONCE - Bayern scored the earliest goal in Champions League history exactly against Real after only 10 seconds with Makaay back in 2007 meaning that Bayern needs only a few seconds to find the back of the net and to crush Real - Bayern will have a great support from their fans while it will be an extremely hostile atmosphere for Real...we all saw how it end up in Dortmund for los merengues...they could be eleminated if they weren't that lucky! All in all,I bilieve that anything above 2.6 odds are valuable to take on Bayern ht-ft cause I doubt that Real will keep a clean sheet again after holding only 25 or 30% of posession! Especially with the news that Pepe might not feature... -
Re: Liverpool v Chelsea > Sunday April 27th
No worries, I did not back any team to be honest, if anything the best idea I had was under 2,5 (but if i had to bet something Id go under 3,5 for less heart beats) It was more about the fact that my friends laughed at me for skipping ''easy money'' when l'pool was on 2,05 if i recall correctly :) Though I admit l'pool was value on 2,05, untill you check the manager from Chelsea :P Good luck in future games, sadly I do not have time to participate actively enough (as much as I would like)Yeah where the hell were you prefer game? :welcome to PL but putting your thoughts up before the event will earn you more respect here :ok -
Re: Liverpool v Chelsea > Sunday April 27th I seriously have to laugh on L'pool backers today..... Just amazing, how people underestimate Jose Mourinho.... He is the most skilled manager in England
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Re: Real Madrid v FC Bayern München > Wednesday April 23rd
Congratulations on profit....I love to oppose the public in big CL matches. It has been profitable over the years. Yesterday it was Atletico Madrid the public's sweetheart and today it's the other Madrid team! Cant blame the public.. I mean it looks too good to be true right? Madrid at home, BBC, amazing odds, Bayern seemingly out of form, etc. So I'll gladly take Bayern. -
Re: La Liga - Sat 17th August Celta de Vigo v Espanyol = 2.5+ FC Barcelona v Levante UD = Barca or draw Osasuna v Granada CF = Osasuna or draw Rayo Vallecano v Elche CF = NOT SURE Real Madrid v Real Betis = Real Madrid or 2.5+ Real Sociedad v Getafe = NOT SURE Real Valladolid v Athletic Bilbao = Draw Sevilla v Atlético de Madrid = Atletico or draw UD AlmerÃa v Villarreal = NOT SURE Valencia v Málaga = Valencia or draw
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Re: Swansea City v Manchester United - Sat 17th August I think in Premier league opener we will see entirely different Manchester United than in Friendlies... I espect a 1:2 win for Man Utd. or even a draw, but I somehow cannot see Swansea winning the opener, united needs the morale boost and they will strike hard and quick to score 1-2 goals.
Real Madrid v Atlético de Madrid > Wednesday April 22nd
in Champions League Predictions
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Re: Real Madrid v Atlético de Madrid > Wednesday April 22nd
Win for me, thanks for bookies for such a generous offer..... 50€ profit.... Atletico showed 0 today, like last time, and Real was without 4 key players!