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the_observer1900

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Posts posted by the_observer1900

  1. Re: Euro 2016 Qualifying > Tuesday September 9th

    I'm not certain why I understand Ramsey = goals? He's a very good player' date=' but a midfielder, not a striker? We know about Bale, but he can't do it all himself. Wales look very weak up top to me, I'd be surprised to see them score more than two goals. Their form the last five or so is much improved, but imo there's no getting away from the fact Coleman is a terrible manager, which is also a factor.[/quote'] I agree with you, the bet is: "Both teams to score? No"
  2. Re: Euro 2016 Qualifying > Monday September 8th Andorra - Wales: no goal @1.40 bet365 Huge value here imo. Wales are very focused on this game, Gareth Bale said they want to qualify for Euro 2016 and their first step is Andorra, a weak team with just 1 goal scored in the last 23 games. Wales have good players besides Bale like midfielders Ramsey (Arsenal) and Allen (Liverpool) and central back Williams (Swansea). I think Andorra will play for the 0-0 also because they don't have a team able to score. High stakes bet for me (10/10). I also pick Gareth Bale to score 2 or more goals @2.62 Bet365, because he will play centre forward after the injury of Church. 2/10 here.

  3. Re: Europa League Semi-Finals > Thursday April 24th

    Why are people favoring the under 2.5 so much in the Lisbon match? Benfica is an ultra-offensive side' date=' I understand Gaitan is possibly out (apparently trained yesterday and pulled up ok), Toto Salvio definitely out as is Fejsa, Vidal out for Juve (Marchisio will play), Vucko to start with Tevez up front. I think both teams will score tonight, Benfica plays loose and will go for it, they have to. Juve's defence isn't THAT strong and doesn't command the same respect it does domestically. The over is currently $2.47! Ridiculous odds for two teams who can both find the net.[/quote'] Juventus is a team with great denfenders and the midfielders have great defending attitude. During this season it happened sometimes, when facing a good team, that Conte made Juventus play in a "we're waiting for you" way, for example against Inter Milan, when they scored and then stand back looking for quick counterattack leaving the ball possession to the rivals. I think that Conte wants this kind of play in though matches (previous year they lost 3-1 at home vs Inter Milan) because the 3-5-2 is not a formation that allows you to attack all the time and I think that tonight we'll see this, also because Benfica is a very offensive team and will let some spaces behind. my2c
  4. Re: Group G > Dec 5th (Barcelona, Benfica, Celtic, Spartak Moscow) Celtic to qualify @1,50 seems very good to me. Since Benfica will play against Barca at Camp Nou I think that the only way Celtic is not qualified is if they loose vs Spartak. There's a 0,05 difference between Celtic to win (1,55) and Celtic qualified (1,50) but with the second one you can win even if they draw, assuming that Barca will win vs Benfica.

  5. Re: Group B > Dec 4th (Arsenal, Schalke, Montpelier, Olympiakos) Olympiacos is already qualified to EL while Arsenal must win and hope, to get the 1st place. On the other hand, Arsenal don't seem very motivated since they need to win and hope for a 1X on the other match. Conversely Olympiacos is very motivated, as usual, when they face big teams at home. I'm not gonna bet on 1X2 but I have a lot of trust in: Over 2.5 @1,83 Paddy Power stake 8/10. I think that when you have nothing to loose you are playing more aggressively and open so I expect a lot of goals. Less confident but good odds, I'm gonna bet on Schalke04 win in France. Montpellier is playing for nothing and they will be focused on Ligue1 where they are in a very bad position while Schalke must win to be sure of the 1st place. Shalke to win @ 2,20 Giocodigitale stake 5/10

  6. Re: Serie A > 30th Nov - 2nd Dec Hi guys, this is my first post so don't be too rude to me if I mess up something, thx :) Catania - Milan 2 @2,30 I'm gonna bet on Milan's win tonight for two simple reasons: - Catania have several, very important abscences as someone mentioned and comes from the Derby match vs Palermo, in which they were never able to show strenght. It' true that Catania is a different team at home but I think that they are slowing down a little bit from the incredible beginning of season. - AC Milan is in great shape, not only the results speak for that but the game and mentality shown in the last 3 games were very indicative. Moreover, the president Berlusconi came to visit the team at Milanello for the third time in a row, so I'm expecting a strong attitude tonight. Don't forget that AC Milan is already qualified in CL so they will not be worried about next week match (since they have very little chance to get the first place) vs Zenit (at home btw). If think the odds are pretty good so I'm gonna take this one with a medium stake.

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