PaulLawrie67
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Posts posted by PaulLawrie67
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Re: Scottish Football > August 30th & 31st What's happened to these Scottish football threads? I remember the days where they would have loads of replies and information :(
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Re: William Hill Scottish Cup > 10th Dec - 12th Dec Evening Guys, One bet for me tonight in the Scottish Cup: Motherwell Vs Aberdeen - Motherwell win @ 2.5 with Boylesports The Dons were lucky to get another bite at their Scottish Cup cherry with a last minute goal being the savior in Aberdeen a couple of weeks back. Motherwell are a strange team this season, they have had a fairly up and down season yet find themselves in third place, 4 points of the top. At the weekend they ground out a good 3-2 win against a very hard working Ross County outfit. McCall's men have one absentee tonight in the shape of Steven Saunders however he has been out for a while. Darren Randolph will return between the posts having served his two match suspension. Aberdeen on the other hand have not had much luck with injuries and tonight they are without arguably their most attacking player in young sensation Ryan Frazer. They have problems elsewhere with Ryan Jack, Rob Milsom, Chris Clark, Gary Naismith and Isaac Osbourne all missing the trip through injury. They may welcome back the duo of Clark Roberston and Stephen Hughes however the question remains whether either of these players will be at full match fitness. Craig Brown's men were fairly uninspiring on their travels to the capital at the weekend and a 2-0 defeat to Hearts won't have helped their confidence for this one. I don't have the stats to back it up but I the Dons traditionally fail to impress on midweek cup ties and their record in domestic cups over the past number of years is a sign they do not enjoy a midweek fixture. Craig Brown would not fancy a trip to Motherwell with a fully fit squad, I don't think it would be an exaggeration to suggest he will not be looking forward to tonights game in the slightest. We must remember this is a cup game and of course anything can happen, however I think the odds on the home side are too high and I am willing to have a punt on them. Good Luck all.
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Re: Group A > Dec 6th (Anzhi, Liverpool. Udinese, Young Boys)
Indeed, well done.Against Norwich not so long ago. -
Re: Group A > Dec 6th (Anzhi, Liverpool. Udinese, Young Boys)
Just out of interest, when was the last time Suarez scored three goals in a game? He is a top player but he is rarely prolific.At 1.95 betfair for over 2.5 goals is unreal, Two sides that will be weak at the back, But both are very capable of creating lots of chances..if Udi score first, it could end up any score. Suarez may end up with 3, certainly wont be far away.. 50 points for me, at 1.95, or 1.94. 15 points at 9/4(many firms) over 3.5 goals.. GL to all -
Re: Group G > Dec 5th (Barcelona, Benfica, Celtic, Spartak Moscow)
I don't think sitting top of that league by 1 point is anything to be proud of. Celtic have been horrific in recent weeks domestically' date=' there is no denying that.[/quote'] Where did I claim they should be proud of it? I simply said their domestic form has hardly been "horrific" as earlier claimed. Again I will state the important bit from a betting perspective for the members who are not too familiar with the domestic league. Celtic's domestic form should have no bearing on the outcome of this match, but I agree Celtic are underpriced and should not be backed at such odds, especially without Wanyama. -
Re: Group G > Dec 5th (Barcelona, Benfica, Celtic, Spartak Moscow)
Horrific? Celtic are sitting top of the league. Yes they are not firing on all cylinders domestically but their form is hardly horrific considering the league position they find themselves in. Additionally (in my opinion), Celtic's domestic form this season should have no bearing on your decision to bet in this game, be rest assured the motivation levels at the moment in a European encountar as a far cry from some of the lack luster displays we have seen in the league. Expect everyone of the Celtic players to be well up for it tomorrow night and Neil Lennon to have instilled the belief and desire that they can reach the last 16. I do agree the price on the home win is too short though, considering the importance of the game and that Victor Wanyama (Celtic's stand out player) is suspended for this one.The price was an error, it was never 1.95 for Celtic. :ok Celtic @ 1.57 have to be the worst value I've seen for a long time. They are not a good team when they have to do the attacking, but when they are allowed to sit back, keep their shape and very occasionally counter attack - effectively known as "parking the bus" they are quite good at that this season. However, no parking of the bus will be allowed against Spartak, especially being at home and their domestic form isn't bad, it's horrific considering they should be coasting. -
Re: Aston Villa v Manchester United > Saturday 10th November
Personally think United are a decent shout here as they surely will have too much for Villa. However, I am in agreement with Jase in that I don't fancy backing this United defence to keep a clean sheet against anyone. I don't particulary like "win to nil" bets as I feel one lapse in concentration can totally ruin your bet as early as the first minute, but given how this United side have shipped goals both domestically and in Europe this season I wouldnt be confident in backing them to keep a clean sheet.Does anyone really trust this united defence though? Benteke has looked pretty lively and I think he's the better of their Pre season buys. -
Re: Championship > 9th November - 11th November
Errrrr not really' date=' it's just a superstition tbh. But you will find differing results between midweek and weekend. Whether you can class Fridays as midweek or weekend is debate able.[/quote'] I tend to agree with you, it would be interesting to see if the players treat a Friday night game any differently from a Saturday afternoon game. In terms of punters, I agree it's a superstition, first game of the weekend card and we don't want to kick off the weekend with a loss. -
Re: Championship > 9th November - 11th November
I know your half joking Jase, but it's an interesting discussion. Do you think it has an effect on the outcome if the game is played on a Friday or if it's played on a Saturday?Oh god a heavily backed favourite on a Friday.... :lol Gl anyone on Boro :ok -
Re: Group A > 8 November (Anzhi, Liverpool. Udinese, Young Boys)
Somebody has been backing against them in Asia heavily all afternoon' date=' there is clearly something we dont know, will be very interested to see how this ref performs........[/quote'] How do you know this pal? -
Re: Group A > 8 November (Anzhi, Liverpool. Udinese, Young Boys) Eto'o, Zhirkov and Traore all start for the Russians... I've just backed them with 10 points due to the numerous reasons already explained above.
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Re: Group A > 8 November (Anzhi, Liverpool. Udinese, Young Boys)
My only explanation of this would be that it is down to the "loyalty bet" which many Liverpuddlians may be going for? L'Pool have a massive fan base and sometimes with games like this, team selection etc has no bearing on a loyal fans decision to place their hard earned cash on their team. Could be a niave explantation but honestly cannot think of any other reason for the drift.1.98??? What on earth is going on??? -
Re: Championship > 9th November - 11th November Hello everyone, Had to get on this early as I reckon the price will drop closer to kick off.. Middlesbrough v Sheffield Wednesday - Middlesbrough win @ 1.95 (MARATHON) The Brough seem to have found some sort of form recently, finding themselves on an eight game unbeaten run, winning six in the process. Their good form in the Championship has them nicely positioned in 2nd place and on course to enter the final weeks of 2012 as title contenders. Tony Mowbray has his men playing some good stuff at the moment, especially at home. Look for McDonald up front to continue a fairly decent return for the season so far with 5 goals to his name. Although Mowbray has a few players out injured, namely Thompson, Emnes, Miller and Arca, he does have enough quality cover to fill these absentees without too much trouble. Leadbitter, Bailey and young loanee McEachran will all look to impress on home turf and help the Northerners pick up another vital three points. Their home record in the Championship this season reads of five wins, one draw and one loss, with 14 goals for and 8 against. Their opponents on Friday night find themselves teetering below the relegation places of the Championship. They have not enjoyed a great start to their season and with an away form of one win, two draws and four losses it is clear to see where their problems lie. They lost last time out (2-0) to Blackpool, a team I would consider to be of lesser quality than this Brough side. Wednesday have actually only won two of their last thirteen games in all competitions. The rest of the results being made up from two draws and nine losses. In my opinion, the Sheffield outfit are struggling for any real quality this term and I fear they may be turned over handsomely on Friday night at the Riverside. Can't see these odds hanging around long, so I am snapping up the 1.95 currently on offer on the home win. All the best.
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Re: Group H > Nov 7 (CFR Cluj, Galatasaray, Braga, Man Utd)
3 late goals for United cleaned this bet up nicely for me, they seem to shakey in defence (although the penalty was harsh IMO) but they are lethal in attack at the moment. Nice win at decent odds, next rounds will be trickier with some teams having already qualified etc.Morning Guys, The game which interests me tonight in Group H is indeed also in Portugal: Braga Vs Man United Manchester United have confused me a little this season as whilst they are not playing to their full potential IMO, they are still getting the results, the sign of a great team. Sir Alex has taken a pretty handy squad to Portugal, but the question is; how many of the top stars will play/feature. Fergie has a decision to make, either go out tonight with a strong team and win the game, which will win them the group. Or play a weakened side in the hope of winning the game but also with the mindset that if they lose or draw tonight they still have another two games to wrap the group up. IMO, the manager should go for option one, by getting the job done tonight it allows him to rest some of his bigger players in the final two games of the group, this will be a great advantage to have as they will have some tricky EPL games coming up and Sir Alex won't want to risk his big stars in games which don't mean much to their standing within the group. Depending on team news I will be on Manchester United win @ 2.27 -
Re: Group G > Nov 7 (Barcelona, Benfica, Celtic, Spartak Moscow)
So chuffed for Celtic and Tony Watt in particular tonight, this kid has the making of a top striker if he keeps his head down and continues to work hard. Once again the Hoops show they are a force to be reckoned with at Celtic Park. Won money on the Wanyama anytime scorer bet as posted earlier by SOL, once again cheers for the heads up on the odds mate....you won a few people a fair bit of cash tonight!Samaras may make it tonight, Hooper, Izaguirre, Forrest and Rogne are all out. IMO, we will miss Forrest the most out of the absentee's from tonight, his pace would provide a good out ball for the defence, however he wasnt even guaranteed to start, so in reality he may not be that much of a miss. With regards to Tony Watt, yes he is 18 years old....however he has the attitude and discipline of an experienced striker, I have been really impressed with the young Scotsman and I think he will relish this opportunity if given the chance. We do however also have the option of play Miku up front, both these guys were on the score sheet at the weekend. I don't think Hoopers absence will have as big an impact as everyone believes. To be honest, if Celtic do score, I see it coming from a set peice (as Barca have not been particulary strong in this area) so the goals are more likely to come from the more physical guys like Wanyama, Wilson, Ledley than it will be from a striker during open play IMO. If Samaras makes it, it will give the home side a massive boost. Depends what you class as a drubbing, but I seriously doubt Celtic will be beaten by a large margin this evening, we have shown time and time again that we are capable of competing at this level at home and in the away leg we hardly recieved a drubbing so I'm fairly confident we won't be on the end of one in this tie. I could of course be wrong. No bet for me, unless it's a novilty first/anytime scorer bet. -
Re: Group G > Nov 7 (Barcelona, Benfica, Celtic, Spartak Moscow)
Tremendous spot there SOL, I followed with 2 points @ 21/1, Victor is always capable of scoring with his shooting and heading ability. Cracking value considering the prices on other sites! Well done mate and thanks again.Victor Wanyama anytime scorer @21/1 Unibet Big price for the Kenyan here and well out of line with the other firms. For me its a mistake by the odds compilers as Wanyama who is a midfielder is priced up along with other Celtic defenders such as Kelvin Wilson, Adam Matthews and Mikael Lustig, they don't even offer odds on Efe Ambrose which shows they don't seem quite clued up on Celtic. Wilson and Matthews who of course have never scored for Celtic, whereas Wanyama is Celtics top goalscorer in the SPL with four goals. Barcelona look vulnerable from set pieces where Celtic scored from in the Nou Camp and I expect that to be a target for Celtic tonight with the height difference in Celtics favour and Charlie Mulgrew and Kris Commons can both put in excellent deliveries. Wanyama came very close to scoring from a corner in the first game at 1-1 and the powerful Kenyan is very strong in the air. This price is as low as 5/1 with other firms so this is well worth a punt, Wanyama also has a great strike so chances are not just limited to in the air. Victor has 5 goals in 17 appearances this season and although primarily a defensive midfielder he likes to get forward aswell. He is a great talent and is already being touted for big money moves to better leagues and he will be a threat tonight. -
Re: Group E > Nov 7 (Shakhtar, Juventus, Chelsea, FC Nordsjaelland)
That Stamford Bridge record is spectacluar to be honest....there is a fair chance Chelsea will win tonight, I just feel with their injuries etc and a few things going against them recently, the Ukranian side will fancy their chances. Both teams to score is probably a safer bet, however I think I'll go with my instinct of Shakthar double chance. Thanks for your input though my friend.That is indeed very impressive, and actually they are now unbeaten in 18 winning 17. Nevertheless, let's not forget that Chelsea didn't lose at Stanford Bridge for 86 matches, a record run that spanned four years and eight months, until their recent 2-3 loss to ManUtd, in which they conceded the 2-3 goal whilst playing 9 vs 11 - a record almost, if not even more, extraordinary. To sum up, two great teams with high CL aspirations will play in what is for me the game to watch of all matchday 4 games. Attacking threats in both squads, Shakhtar with a full squad, Ashley Cole ruled out for Chelsea - this has the potential to be a tantalizing fixture. As Mircea Lucescu states "I prepare my players knowing very well that absolutely all teams can be beaten – even Chelsea at home" Taking all this into account I will go with Both teams to score at 1.61 with bet365. Good luck! -
Re: Group G > Nov 7 (Barcelona, Benfica, Celtic, Spartak Moscow)
with all the missings Celtic have' date=' injuries etc I seriously believe they will struggle to score. samaras and hooper are out by the looks of things and thy are missing a defender as well. I dont think Celtic will score with 18yeat old Watts up front. will barcelona rest any players? if they play with a full squad then i can see a drubbing as celtic wont be able to be quite so defensive at home.[/quote'] Samaras may make it tonight, Hooper, Izaguirre, Forrest and Rogne are all out. IMO, we will miss Forrest the most out of the absentee's from tonight, his pace would provide a good out ball for the defence, however he wasnt even guaranteed to start, so in reality he may not be that much of a miss. With regards to Tony Watt, yes he is 18 years old....however he has the attitude and discipline of an experienced striker, I have been really impressed with the young Scotsman and I think he will relish this opportunity if given the chance. We do however also have the option of play Miku up front, both these guys were on the score sheet at the weekend. I don't think Hoopers absence will have as big an impact as everyone believes. To be honest, if Celtic do score, I see it coming from a set peice (as Barca have not been particulary strong in this area) so the goals are more likely to come from the more physical guys like Wanyama, Wilson, Ledley than it will be from a striker during open play IMO. If Samaras makes it, it will give the home side a massive boost. Depends what you class as a drubbing, but I seriously doubt Celtic will be beaten by a large margin this evening, we have shown time and time again that we are capable of competing at this level at home and in the away leg we hardly recieved a drubbing so I'm fairly confident we won't be on the end of one in this tie. I could of course be wrong. No bet for me, unless it's a novilty first/anytime scorer bet. -
Re: Group E > Nov 7 (Shakhtar, Juventus, Chelsea, FC Nordsjaelland) Morning Guys, Chelsea Vs Shakhtar - Shakhtar (Double Chance) @ 1.75 (William Hill) Going against popular opinion on this one. There is no doubting Chelsea are a decent side this season under RDM, however tonight they are up against an extremely efficient and dangerous Ukranian side. Shakhtar come into this one in the knowledge that if they get a point at minimum it leaves them in a great position to qualify from the group, even as group winners. In the last round of games we witnessed how dangerous this side are, they beat Chelsea 2-1 and looked constantly threatening. Tonight I think we will see this slick attacking style once again. The Shakhtar side has a fairly large Brazilian element to it and that spells one thing for Chelsea, danger. RDM will have to be wary of pushing too many players up the park, as one swift counter from Shakhtar and they could find themselves in big trouble. Guys like Fernandhino, Luiz Adriano and Willian will all be more than capable of causing this Chelsea side, who are missing several players (Ashley Cole, Lampard and potentially Mata/David Luiz who face late fitness tests) problems. The Ukranians have taken a twenty-man strong squad to London and have reportedly no injuries worries ahead of this one. Overall I think the price on the away win/draw is appealing and it's always night to have two outcomes out of the three in your favour. Especially when you are backing a side who have yet to lose a game this season (in Europe and Domestically) and have only drawn one (away to Juve in the CL) whilst winning the remaining 16 games they have played, impressive record for an impressive side IMO. GL with your bets.
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Re: Group H > Nov 7 (CFR Cluj, Galatasaray, Braga, Man Utd) Morning Guys, The game which interests me tonight in Group H is indeed also in Portugal: Braga Vs Man United Manchester United have confused me a little this season as whilst they are not playing to their full potential IMO, they are still getting the results, the sign of a great team. Sir Alex has taken a pretty handy squad to Portugal, but the question is; how many of the top stars will play/feature. Fergie has a decision to make, either go out tonight with a strong team and win the game, which will win them the group. Or play a weakened side in the hope of winning the game but also with the mindset that if they lose or draw tonight they still have another two games to wrap the group up. IMO, the manager should go for option one, by getting the job done tonight it allows him to rest some of his bigger players in the final two games of the group, this will be a great advantage to have as they will have some tricky EPL games coming up and Sir Alex won't want to risk his big stars in games which don't mean much to their standing within the group. Depending on team news I will be on Manchester United win @ 2.27
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Re: Group D > Nov 6 (Man City, Real Madrid, Borussia Dortmund, Ajax)
Blackcrow, Not opposing your bet here, but as you say City went fairly attacking against West Ham at the weekend....three strikers started the game, yet they failed to score at Upton Park. Even though Mancini will probably be fairly positive in his starting line up, it doesnt necesserily mean this City side will score the goals. In my opinion without Silva in the side, they seem to lack any sort of cutting edge. Of course Aguero was missing from the starting line up at the weekend and his introduction tonight may give them more up front, however when you look at how they have played recently, it doesnt fill me with confidence that they will bang in the goals. Even at home too Swansea a couple of weeks back it took a Tevez strike from around 25-30 yards to break the deadlock, they just don't seem to have that cutting edge in which they demonstrated last season. That could change tonight of course. Good Luck with your bet.Man City v Ajax over 3.5 @ 2.33 pinnacle Desperate times for Man City if they wish to progress from their group and expect them to go out for the win. They started with Balotelli, Tevez and Dzeko up front against West Ham on the weekend in a very attacking mode for which Mancini is not renowned for, so expect him to play three up front with Aguero probably replacing Balotelli here. While they have goals in them, especially when playing at home, and this Ajax side, thought they beat them in the reverse game, are not that good, City do have problems in the back, and were fortunate they did not concede to West Ham. Still, expect Ajax to find holes in this defence and score a goal or two, while City are more than capable of scoring a couple of goals here as this is a must win game for them if they are to have any chance of progressing through to the next round. -
Re: Group D > Nov 6 (Man City, Real Madrid, Borussia Dortmund, Ajax)
Not been a member of the forum for too long but used to read a fair amount of threads on here and you sir always seem to talk sense. Another well reasoned and thought provoking post mate, keep up the good work.To be honest I've read virtually the same thing before every game City have played in Europe, 'City are by far the better team' 'weak opposition' etc etc, but I am yet to see them play well in Europe. I was on them quite heavily in the away game against Ajax as I thought they would have the upper hand at a good price, I was wrong. They struggled to keep the ball for any period of time and looked clueless for most of the game. What has changed!? They now have many more injuries than previously, their main creative player is out (Silva), Lescott, Milner, Rodwell, Richards, Maicon and Kolo Toure are all missing, so thats 4 probable starters out. Their league form is poor by their standards, not losing games but struggling to break down teams at home - beating the -1EH 2 times in 8 competitive games at home, against Sunderland and QPR who are both poor sides. What are they going to do here? They might win but I very, very much doubt it will be convincing talk of 4-0 wins has no basis at all. At this price and with their current form and injuries they really are mug punter material.. -
Re: Group D > Nov 6 (Man City, Real Madrid, Borussia Dortmund, Ajax)
Hi Nev, It's taken me a few years and alot of heartache, but one thing I'd like to say is NEVER place a bet with your heart. I understand you are a City fan and are proud of the side Mancini has built, however odds of 1.45 for the home win is ridiculous as Aidymac said earlier. I know you have opted to go for the "City to score in both halves" bet at evens, which personally I think offers more value than the straight home win, however without Silva, City do struggle to create the same chances in which they were able to do last season. Aguero has to be on top form along with Tevez as IMO Balotelli, whilst obviously has the talen just does not have the attitude and Dzeko just does not do it for me. I struggle to see any value in this game whatsoever, but all the best of luck with your bets.Man City to score in both halves v Ajax evs paddypower Im a city fan and they are not playing well but i think people are thinking ajax are better than they are.They did not batter city,city were all over them in second half till ajax scored from a corner and then scored a poxy deflected goal on the break,city missed plenty of chances was far from a battering.I think tomorrow city will turn on the style and hammer them 3 or 4 nil,ajax are in poor form in a weak league and for me the game in ajax was a freak and city are by far the better team as tomorrow will prove -
Re: WBA v Southampton > Monday 5th November Sky Sports News reporting James Morrison doesn't start tonight.....interesting but I'm not so sure I fancy this West Brom side so much, without one of their star players.
Scottish Football > August 30th & 31st
in Championship Predictions
Posted
Re: Scottish Football > August 30th & 31st Just having a look through just now mate before having to leave for my own game. Initial thoughts: Motherwell v St Johnstone - Price on the home win seems more than fair to me. I know Well have had a poor start to the season, but they still have the majority of players from last term where they were finished 2nd in the league. I think they will click very soon, a reason for their slow start may have been their European exploits as a distraction? The price of 3.1 is worth a nibble, especially at home for me. Aberdeen v Patrick - Aberdeen, again have had a fairly slow start considering their decent form last term. Again, they have had a few European games to distract them. I heard their gaffer has said he will freshen things up today as he felt last week the side were very flat. This could work for the Dons as a few lads coming in will keep everyone on their toes and give the boys coming in a chance to show what they can do. Partick are not a great side in my opinion, so think they may struggle to come away with anything today. In saying that, the odds are slightly skinny for me so I think I may leave this one out. Other teams I am looking at are Hearts at home to Falkirk and Inverness at home to Kilmarnock. At the moment, I am tempted to go for Hearts but may well leave Inverness for another day. Will have a bit more time on my hands in the next month or so, will try come on an add my thoughts weekly when I can, be good to get this section flowing again.