Keyser Soze 1992
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Posts posted by Keyser Soze 1992
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Re: APOEL v FC Barcelona > Tuesday November 25th
No offence but are you sure Barcelona would be happy with a draw away to a Cypriot side?! There is a gulf in resources and quality and anything other than a Barca win would be a source of embarassment for them. Add in the fact they are still hotly competing with PSG to win the group and avoid a tricky draw.APOEL can't qualify and Barcelona already have, but both clubs still have something to fight for. APOEL need a point to have a chance of finishing 3rd and going to the Europa League. Barcelona need a point to have the chance to win the group. With both sides needing a point, does this make a draw more likely? Barcelona have easily the stronger side of course, but they only managed to beat APOEL 1-0 in Spain. I would imagine APOEL will start the game strongly. If Barcelona get an early lead, they could well win by a few goals, but if they don't, or APOEL score first, they could get a win or a draw here. The Asian handicap 'fair value' line is set at +/- 1.75 and that seems about right. Bearing in mind APOEL's decent home record and the fact that both sides might be happy with a draw, I think there is some value in opposing Barcelona here at long odds … APOEL or draw 4.2 Coral Stake: 3 points UEFA preview: http://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/season=2015/matches/round=2000548/match=2014381/prematch/preview/index.html -
Re: Quarter-Final - Brazil v Colombia > Friday July 4th I feel that Columbia have the edge in this one as the pressure seems to be getting to Brazil, but I am going to focus on the goalscorer market. James Rodriguez has been one of the stars of the tournament and is the top scorer with five goals. This lad is different class for his country and is given a free role to really express himself. He is available at as high as 16/5 to score anytime with Paddy Power and can be found around 3/1 with various bookmakers. This price is too high for me as he is on sensational form and the odds for guys like Messi or Muller to score anytime would be a lot lower. Real value here IMO.
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Re: Group A - Cameroon v Croatia > Wednesday June 18th
Is this tolerated?Croatia to win with handicaps here -1' date='5. Watched Cameroon vs. Mexiko, [b']they are only good for cotton plowing. No chance against decent european side like Croatia. Anything above 2,2 for -1,5 line represents good value imho. -
Re: US Masters > April 10th - 13th .
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Re: Manchester United v FC Bayern München > Tuesday April 1st I am amazed some people are actually backing Man U in this match. Sure it might look like value because the price is so high but there is an absolute gulf between the two sides. Would you fancy Bayern to win against Manchester City? Probably, and City are in a different class to United this season beating 4-1 and 0-3. No Mata, no van Persie, depleted defence. It all just screams relatively easy win for the away side. Can we really expect Moyes to outfox Guardiola tactically and produce a result? Even against Villa they were wide open at the back and a team with half the quality of Bayern would have punished them badly. Bayern are probably the best side in Europe and will not miss the chances that Benteke did. Even at 1/2 I still consider Bayern good value because their attacking power against United's defence could end up with an embarrasing result for Moyes.
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Re: CSKA Moscow v FC Bayern München > Wednesday November 27th
The same team that started the 3-0 win away to Dortmund at the weekend apart from the one enforced change with Gotze replacing Mandzukic. All three goals against Dortmund were scored after Gotze replaced Mandzukic, with Gotze scoring the first himself. Still a very strong team that should comfortably beat a fairly average CSKA side.But quite a few first choice players missing as well -
Re: Group A > 25 October (Anzhi, Liverpool. Udinese, Young Boys) Liverpool v Anzhi: Anzhi Goals Over 1.5 Goals 2.50 Bet365 Liverpool have conceded three goals in both of their Europa matches this season, and Anzhi possess a real attacking threat in the form of Samuel Eto'o and Lacina Traore. The Russians are currently top of the Russian league averaging two goals per game. I expect this to be an open game and the outcome of it incredibly hard to pick as the price demonstrates. The price for Anzhi has dropped to under 3 and is too short now to be played. The over 2.5 goals is an almost certainty given the rate that Liverpool have been scoring and conceding so far, 13 goals in two games! However, I think the value lies in backing Anzhi to score more than once at Anfield due to the open way that Liverpool play and the defensive issues that they have had so far. Also goalkeeper Pepe Reina is missing so in goals will be Brad Jones who has not played much football in the last couple of years.
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Re: Group C > Oct 24 (Malaga, AC Milan, Anderlecht, Zenit SP)
Bet lost. First half penalty miss was a killer but in reality it was a poor game that didn't have many significant chances in the first half. Completes a bad day of betting for me :sadMalaga v AC.Milan Over 2.5 1.95 Bet365 This match up looks to have a good chance of achieving the overs, due to the need for Milan to come to Spain and get a win to keep their chances of qualifying alive. Milan's problems this season are well documented and they fell to a fifth defeat out of eight games in the league at the weekend. They have conceded 10 goals in 8 games in the league and a team of Malag's quality will pose real problems to them. Yet they still have plenty of attacking qualities themselves and will be set up to go and win this game. The 3-2 defeat to Lazio at the weekend is more encouraging as it looks as they came back frokm 3-0 down and showed the spirit to get back into the game. This will give them enough belief to come into this game and have a good chance of winning it. Despite their poor start to the group they are still a vastly more experience team at this level than their opponents, who will be slightly nervous. The outcome of this match is hard to call and Malaga at around evens are too short for me to back with confidence, but the overs market at just under evens seems a more than fair price and one that I will be taking. Just a further note that five out of Malaga's six home games this season have gone over, so the way that they play at home results in attacking football. -
Re: Group D > Oct 24 (Man City, Real Madrid, Borussia Dortmund, Ajax) City were so poor and deservedly lost. Really baffled by Mancini opting to play so negatively against a team who they should be better than.
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Re: Group D > Oct 24 (Man City, Real Madrid, Borussia Dortmund, Ajax) Looks like a really strong line up to me, with Lescott and Kompany in the centre of defence with Barry and Milner providing a strong defensive cover from midfield. The attacking players on the pitch for City are more than enough to win this game comfortably. Evens seems way too high for me...
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Re: Group D > Oct 24 (Man City, Real Madrid, Borussia Dortmund, Ajax) Manchester City have drifted to evens on Betfair, this is far too good a price to ignore with the quality in their line up. The likes of Toure, Nasri and Aguero will stretch the Ajax defence and the in-form Dzeko has every chance of scoring at least once. Ajax are a decent outfit and should not be underestimated, but there is a gap in quality between the two teams and evens is too high for City.
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Re: Group C > Oct 24 (Malaga, AC Milan, Anderlecht, Zenit SP) Malaga v AC.Milan Over 2.5 1.95 Bet365 This match up looks to have a good chance of achieving the overs, due to the need for Milan to come to Spain and get a win to keep their chances of qualifying alive. Milan's problems this season are well documented and they fell to a fifth defeat out of eight games in the league at the weekend. They have conceded 10 goals in 8 games in the league and a team of Malag's quality will pose real problems to them. Yet they still have plenty of attacking qualities themselves and will be set up to go and win this game. The 3-2 defeat to Lazio at the weekend is more encouraging as it looks as they came back frokm 3-0 down and showed the spirit to get back into the game. This will give them enough belief to come into this game and have a good chance of winning it. Despite their poor start to the group they are still a vastly more experience team at this level than their opponents, who will be slightly nervous. The outcome of this match is hard to call and Malaga at around evens are too short for me to back with confidence, but the overs market at just under evens seems a more than fair price and one that I will be taking. Just a further note that five out of Malaga's six home games this season have gone over, so the way that they play at home results in attacking football.
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Re: Group D > 4 October (Bordeaux, Club Bruges, Maritimo, Newcastle) Newcastle United- Bordeaux Newcastle have a strong home record under Pardew and price has difted due to weakened team that played in first round match which Newcastle created more than enough chances to win the game. Ameobi was very impressive against Maritimo and starts again tonight keen to make another impression before weekend. He starts up front with Cisse who still needs another goal or two to kickstart his season and will look to do so tonight. With the partnership of Cabaye and Tiote starting together for the first time in several weeks Newcastle resemble much closer to the team that did so well last season. The defence looks solid enough with Perch and Williamson already displaying solid performances at this level. Bordeaux are a decent side and will make a game off it but expect home advantage to pay off with a narrow win for Newcastle. Newcastle 2.40 (Bet365)
French Open 2015
in Tennis Betting
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Re: French Open 2015
You are very annoying.