Jump to content
Download the PL Forum App!
** ELO Ratings are now back **

bully3061

New Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    323

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by bully3061

    flat racing thurs 27th nov

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: flat racing thurs 27th nov 655 Kempton Kings request is still overpriced with the likes of SJ 16/1 looks a fair ew shout. Trainer won this last yr. The yard also come to hand around now on the aw. They have a chi stat in hcps on polly in nov since 2007 to prove that there runners out run their price. The horse won in a similar race at lingfield cozily and we are only a few lb higher today. Looks a bit of value to be involed even off top weight

    UFC Fight Night Sunday 23rd November

    in Boxing & UFC Predictions

    Posted

    Bobby Green V Edson Barboza. Ill be backing Bobby Green here. Impressed me in his last fight against Josh Thompson who i regard as a legit challenger in the division. He went close against Henderson with a broken hand. That fight would of given Green great confidence and Barboza we no the challenge we face and it's his kicks which are as mean as they come. He was more than holding his own v Cowboy until he was dropped with what was only a jab and Green has pretty heavy hands and can take this 19/20 is currently available and is quite generous.

    flat racing thurs 13th nov

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: flat racing thurs 13th nov 1250 Southwell Blue bajan to place @ 2.42 is fair. Have gd CD form here 2/7 5 places. Hopefully been freshened up with the break and look to have a good draw. Jockey is a slight neg else id of had a good ew bet. Our last win here shows in the right race we should be able to compete off this mark. We are high in the hcp but hopefully if wound up goes well. 1.5pt place @ 2.42 as i write this

    UFC Fight Night 55 and 56

    in Boxing & UFC Predictions

    Posted

    Re: UFC Fight Night 55 and 56 Well done some very good shouts :ok Hope to see some more posts. Like a UFC bet myself so if a few of us contribute would be ace. Still learning this end though but so far ive done well. I find though i can go 2 or 3 cards and no value then like yesterdays a few value. Pearson was well overated been wanting to take him on since watching his fight get stopped in the uk v Guillard as he was loosing that on his feet. Beat a broken Maynard since so the 7/5 you got for a solid up and comer was excellent

    flat racing thurs 2nd oct

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: flat racing thurs 2nd oct 645 Kempton. A trappy race but one at a price Moonfaarid on hcp debut is on a fair mark looking through the maidens we have ran in as we have finished in front of several now rated between middle to high 80s yet we go off 77 here. Now we look like we have has issues as recently returned after a long lay off so hopefully we still retain our ability and go well here. Jock does well here also in these types of races . 0.5pt win 10.5 0.5pt place 3.45

    Creating my own odds

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Creating my own odds Need to give yourself a bigger margin for error when pricing. No expert this end as i use stats then piece form around that but Hipz you priced as 15/2 shot yet 11/1 was available. Whilst the price looks a big difference in % terms it's small 3.4 ish. Someone i no uses 10% diff. food for thought for you if my maths is right. Been a long day.

    Flat Racing > Thursday September 25th

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Flat Racing > Thursday September 25th 815 Kempton one at a price Artic lynx ew or win/p @ 23 and 5.8 currently. 0.25pt win 0.5pt place. Not the best draw but this on has plenty in our favour if finding a bit of form. Goes well here over CD 1w 5p from 8 CD runs. In the right class today as on the aw only out the places once in this type of company. Our Lingfield run 3 runs back is working out well. The odds are way to big for me not to have a interest in this one. Jockey not ideal but at the odd worth a interest at a price

    Flat Racing - Thursday 7th August

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Flat Racing - Thursday 7th August 7.00 Southwell Sofias number one w/p @ 12- 3.00. Looks over priced as won this last yr by 4l. Needs to bounce back to form as still 1lb higher than that win plus meets a few unexposed. In our favour is our trainer does well here this time of yr from a small sample of around 20 and 10 have placed plus we have a jockey who rides here very well. Small write up as suffering with RSI but if a going day the price looks a few pts too big

    UFC 26-27th July

    in Boxing & UFC Predictions

    Posted

    A card i like alot. Can see LAWLER, THOMPSON + MASVIDAL winning but prices are short enough. I ave backed Clay guida who fights Dennis bermudez in which id have Clay as a 55-45 fav. Little between them but this is a step up in class for Bermudez who is still fairly new and from a good camp but on form Clay has mixed it with the elite of the UFC and held his own so 6/4 is a tempting value price for a fight that looks close on paper and 1 i expect to go the distance

    Ufc175

    in Boxing & UFC Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Ufc175 Faber is def schooling him tonight. Not going mad but I fully expect faber to finish and 4/6 for a sub or Ko looks value even at that price as id imagine it to happen around 70% 75% of the time. Just seems a silly time for him to take this fight. Man against boy. 1pt for me 4/6 is with PP. Will be up watching live will anyone be about on here or twitter ?

    Ufc175

    in Boxing & UFC Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Ufc175 Good luck to the pair of you. No bets for me as cant find much in the prices yet. any thoughts on why Alex Caceres is being thrown under the bus against Faber. A good up and coming fighter but why pitch him in here way to early ?

    UFC 173

    in Boxing & UFC Predictions

    Posted

    Re: UFC 173 Agree with Cormier beating Jones. Odds will dictate if i get involved mind. Can see a Ko as he hits hard for the division. Saying that would not rule out Gus against Jones in the rematch. Slightly favour Jones still but not alot in it going by the last fight.

    Ufc FN 40

    in Boxing & UFC Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Ufc FN 40 Some good shouts. I also like a punt on UFC. Still learning mind. Not sure id fancy Machida to beat Weidman though. Can see Weidman getting him to the ground and plenty of Gnp. The odds of Weidman do not inspire me though. Will check in nearer the next UFC event to see if any fancies as a untapped market i find with good value. @jamesbully on twitter if you are on there could def do with someone to bounce ideas off regarding this sport.

    What do you love about racing?

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: What do you love about racing? I enjoy solving the puzzle by using stats and form to find what i hope is a value bet and let the winners take care of themselves. Sites such as this one have helped me understand how others approach there study and i certainly wouldn't be where i am today with out such forums where i've picked up bits and pieces. Away from betting i quite simply like racing as it's never over until it's over. You cant beat seeing a horse stand off a fence and clear it leaving you wondering how the heck we cleared that one. Certainly agree with seeing the smaller yards/under dog every now and then finding a good one and proving that they are just as competent given the right ammo.

×
×
  • Create New...