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colnroy

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Posts posted by colnroy

  1. Re: WC - Europe Qualification > 12 October Switzerland (-1.5) - Norway (+1.5) Switzerland -1.5 3.18. Small stakes. & Switzerland Norway Switzerland (-1 / -0.5) 1.91 Switzerland are very strong team in home and they have very good and talented roster( start 11- from top leagues) Norway are nothing special, some good players, but not even close to Switzerland. Their keeper is from Norway league, so if you are good keeper, you play in good league right?

  2. Re: World Cup Qualifiers > Europe - Sep 7/8 Bet of the day Moldova - England 2 (-1.5) 1.87 Many moldovian players(who plays in RPL or in Ukraine premierleague) aren't in the roster, and this is probably the weakest Moldovian team in all times. Don't know why Bookmakers Only two RPL( Russian premier league) players, others play in Moldova or other weak leagues or haven't playing practice. This team can even lose to San Marino.

  3. Re: Money management on sports betting ? Don't waste your time with this. I bet live on basketball - Deposit money 20-30 euro, than playing some games won 100-150 euro, than withdraw in next day. If you have budget 100-200 or more than you can win a lot of money. If your local bookmaker offers live betting and you can withdraw money in next day, than it's really good if not than you earn a **** money in long term. PM if you want to know more and how win in live betting(football, basketball)

  4. Re: All about betting(Tips and Secrets)

    This is nonsense. That maybe applies for obscure second leagues; Montenegro, Zanzibar, Morocco, whatever... But in top leagues, second tier is almost as professional as first tier, and even more professional than first leagues in many countries! As for financial issues, you can see many teams from first leagues struggling with funds, too! You know, too many generalizations in your strategy - don't ever bet on your favorite team; don't ever bet on low odds; don't ever bet on second league... that narrows down your selections to such a short list that it's not a wonder you have been losing your bets - you set some artificial limits, which left you with not so many matches to choose good bet from! I think basic explanation for your losses lies in above paragraph; the crucial part is "I guess", highlighted above. German Bundesliga 1, 2011-2012; total of 306 matches played, total of 875 goals scored; indeed 2.86 per match, as you say. 83 matches finished 0-0 at half time. Only 29 out of those 83 matches finished over 1.5 goals at full time. Check yourself if you want; right click and "Save as", it's Excel file, some 50 kB: www.vuko.me/excel/Germany1_11-12.xlsx That means, with level stakes, you need odds of 2.86 on over 1.5 at half time, just to break even. I'm somehow afraid that available odds were much lower than 2.86, so you indeed only guess that you would be a winner with that strategy! You have good will to help others, but apart from that, not much more than only guesses... :rolleyes This is again only your guess, correct? If we take again last season in Germany, result 1-1 occured 36 times, result 2-0 occured 23 times, and result 0-2 occured 10 times. I beg your pardon, I haven't understood meaning of this reply? :unsure Although it's maybe not relevant any longer, you don't have to bother to explain...
    I'm really really sorry. I'm really sorry that you spend time to this. I hope this excel helps you and other in future. I was wrong. Deleted
  5. Re: All about betting(Tips and Secrets)

    Hello, Colnroy, :welcome to forum! Interesting intro, looking forward to further posts. Don't worry about your English, it's quite understandable. :ok May I give a couple of comments, please... I agree sometimes is good not to bet on your favourite team, but not for this reason; my reason is that you want that team to win, and that affects your reasoning; on the other hand, you follow closely that team, so you know more news from the team, and that may be in your advantage. So, I'd say there's no reason not to bet on your favourite team if you can leave emotions aside. I don't agree on this at all. Of course, if you're betting on favourites, based only on low odds, without further analysis, you can't win in the long term; but if you're betting on higher odds, you will also lose in the long term without proper strategy. You say that 1/3 of favorites fall down at those odds; but freely speaking, if you bet at odds of 2.0, half of bets will fall down; if you bet at odds of 3.0, then 2/3 of bets will fall down, etc. I don't think you should rule out any range of the odds in advance - it's all about selection process; if it's good, you'll achieve profit even with small odds! Anyway, good luck with your "tutorial", let's see how it develops! :ok
    There is another possible result- draw. You don't find people who are winnning(just using 1,3; 1,4)
  6. Re: All about betting(Tips and Secrets)

    You want to tell other people how to bet, but you stop betting yourself because your bets are 'unlucky'.... say no more, say no more, a nod is as good as wink to a blind bat. Do continue, it will be a learning experience indeed.
    What do you do if almost all your losing bets lost by 1 point, one shoot, or many goal scoring chances( and no goal). Period- one month. It's luck of time not only unlucky bets.
  7. Re: All about betting(Tips and Secrets)

    great start. are`nt you afraid that educate and learn others how to do it .... there is the posibility that your system won`t work anymore , or the "value" that you get now , won`t exist in the future ? that`s why .....the real punters don`t tell the "secrets", cuz the money they are getting/winning , are from others bettors who are losing. that`s ...the betting business . it`s just a question. i respect you, and your experience, and encourouge you to share with us your knowledge . good luck by the way, colnroy , that is the tricking part. not to get emotional involved in betting and stick with the system, only have rational decision. ifcourse luck has to do in a smaller margin in betting, but , having a money management, and a real bank, and betting wise, you exclude the risk to ruin you bank, and have no cash. no cash ...no bet...no money . start over ? very though. always bet your money(bank) , and try not to depend on them ....with your rent or food . have a bad strike ? go party. help mental have a win strike ? go party or do something what you like. reward yourself. that`s for me. :)
    Many tips and secrets will work, otherwise no one will bet on this. Not all bookmakers or bettors read this, so this will be available. If you are losing big money, that's says you are not good at betting.(It's not my fault or other's bettors that they lose money(Try something else, dont spend time ). Bad strikes, Win Strikes... How about 1 point losing strike(month long)? So I decided to quit.
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