scottj15
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Posts posted by scottj15
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Interesting system. Iv recently started experimenting with overs in a similar way but looking at the form of the 2 teams rather than the H2H. I like the overs as the risk can be limited to much less than 90 mins if reached by 60 mins for example and the prices seem very good to. Have you thought about doubling them up for a greater return or are you set on singles? Keep it up, will be watching with interest.
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Re: 3 Key Attributes
I thought Omonia had pulled it back after going into the lead for the first time in the 79th minute, but Ermis last equaliser thought otherwise. Summary Starting Bank: 10 pts Current Bank: 13.95 pts No of Bets: 29 No of Wins: 26 Strike Rate: 89.7%Sunday 08/12/2013 OMONIA v Ermis - WDWWW v DWDDW - 10-1-0 @ 1.50 - Stake = 1.54 pts 2-2 :wall -
Re: 3 Key Attributes Sunday 08/12/2013 OMONIA v Ermis - WDWWW v DWDDW - 10-1-0 @ 1.50 - Stake = 1.54 pts
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Re: 3 Key Attributes
Summary Starting Bank: 10 pts Current Bank: 15.49 pts No of Bets: 28 No of Wins: 26 Strike Rate: 92.9%Sunday 01/12/13 CHIEVO v Livorno - WDDLL v LLWDL - 8-2-0 @ 1.90 - Stake = 1.40 pts 3-0 :nana OLYMPIAKOS v Ergotelis - LWWWW v LWLLL - 12-2-2 @ 1.12 - Stake = 1.40 pts 3-0 :nana -
Re: 3 Key Attributes Sunday 01/12/13 CHIEVO v Livorno - WDDLL v LLWDL - 8-2-0 @ 1.90 - Stake = 1.40 pts OLYMPIAKOS v Ergotelis - LWWWW v LWLLL - 12-2-2 @ 1.12 - Stake = 1.40 pts
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Re: 3 Key Attributes
I'm back :) Apologies for the lack of selections the past few weeks, some unforeseen circumstances have prevented me from getting online. Let's get back to it :) Firstly the results of the previous selectionsScott you still doing this was going so well!
Summary Starting Bank: 10 pts Current Bank: 14.06 pts No of Bets: 26 No of Wins: 24 Strike Rate: 92.3%Saturday 08/11/2013 CHELSEA v West Brom - WLWWW v WLDDW - 12-0-2 @ 1.3 - Stake = 1.43 pts 2-2 :@ INTER MILAN v Livorno - WDWDL v WDLLL - 9-2-0 @ 1.33 - Stake = 1.43 pts 2-0 :nana Sunday 09/11/2013 RIVER PLATE v Juventud - LDWWL v LLWLL - 9-0-2 @ 1.53 - Stake = 1.43 pts 3-2 :nana -
Re: 3 Key Attributes I'm Going to try a new format of presenting selections to hopefully make it a little easier to see the stats for each selection. Selections will now be displayed as the two teams followed by the two teams recent form followed by the head to head form (Home,Draw,Away), followed by betting odds and finally stake. Hope this helps :) Saturday 08/11/2013 CHELSEA v West Brom - WLWWW v WLDDW - 12-0-2 @ 1.3 - Stake = 1.43 pts INTER MILAN v Livorno - WDWDL v WDLLL - 9-2-0 @ 1.33 - Stake = 1.43 pts Sunday 09/11/2013 RIVER PLATE v Juventud - LDWWL v LLWLL - 9-0-2 @ 1.53 - Stake = 1.43 pts
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Re: 3 Key Attributes
Hi mate, Yes I am however I've been rushed off my feet this week with final year university work. Full selections for the weekend to follow tomorrow :)hi mate R U still posting picks? I gave been following and Ur works appreciated -
Re: 3 Key Attributes
Summary Starting Bank: 10 pts Current Bank: 14.26 pts No of Bets: 23 No of Wins: 22 Strike Rate: 95.7%01/11/2013 - Friday ALTACH v Hartberg @ 1.35 - Stake = 1.35 pts 3-0 :nana GALATASARAY v Konyaspor @ 1.25 - Stake = 1.35 pts 2-1:nana -
Re: 3 Key Attributes 01/11/2013 - Friday The first selection this evening is within the Austria Erste Liga as Altach take on Hartberg at home. Altach have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games. However Hartberg have lost 3, drawn 1 and won 1 giving Altach a 10 point advantage. Head to head these teams have played 17 times with Altach winning 13 giving them a strike rate of 76%. The second selection is within the Turkish Super Liga as Galatasaray play Konyaspor at home. Galatasaray have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games. However Konyaspor have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 giving Galatasaray a 5 point advantage. Head to head these teams have played 14 times with Galatasaray winning 11 giving them a strike rate of 79%. ALTACH v Hartberg @ 1.35 - Stake = 1.35 pts GALATASARAY v Konyaspor @ 1.25 - Stake = 1.35 pts
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Re: 3 Key Attributes Some really good points, so thank you all. I like the idea of a clean sheet for the home team or a win to nil bet. The two selections for this evening (which I will post momentarily) have odds of 2.2 and 1.85 for a Win to Nil. I think averaging this sort of price could provide a better profit rate but defiantly at a higher risk. 15/21 have successfully won to nil so far but a poor penalty decision, or lapse in concentration from the home team could turn a game round in seconds. I think higher stakes are defiantly an option however after 21 games I would not feel confident enough to do this myself. As Ziener mentioned 50-100 games will defiantly give a better set of results for analysis. The aim of this was to produce a high strike rate which so far has been successful. I think I will start paper tailing some different markets alongside each selection so that as the results build up there is a better understanding of what other markets are available, which are most successful and at what odds . Thanks all :)
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Re: 3 Key Attributes Hi Ziener, thanks for your comments. This is something I am currently looking into. As you have rightly said the system has been going almost 2 months but has only made a 34% increase on the original bank even though there is 95% strike rate. I like your idea about the goal differences. The only thing that would worry me is that there has been a number of games where the goal count/difference is actually quite low but it is defiantly something I will look at and paper trail if necessary. At the moment I am trying to come up with a new staking plan which may include doubling some of the selections up to give a higher return and increasing the stakes slightly along the higher. Hopefully this will see a higher return on the strong strike rate that has been shown so far. I will post more on that when I have it :) Thanks Scott
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Re: 3 Key Attributes
With Dynamo Kiev down to 10 men and with it still 0-0 at 80 minutes I thought this was gonna be a right off but Dynamo got awarded a late penalty to keep the winning run going :loon Summary Starting Bank: 10 pts Current Bank: 13.45 pts No of Bets: 21 No of Wins: 20 Strike Rate: 95.2%DYNAMO KIEV v Mariupol @ 1.33 - Stake = 1.30 pts 1-0 :nana -
Re: 3 Key Attributes 27/10/2013 - Sunday Dynamo Kiev take on Mariupol at home in the Ukraine Premier League. Dynamo Kiev have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 whereas Mariupol have lost 4 and won 1 of their last 5 giving Dynamo Kiev a 14 point advantage. Head to head these two teams have played 30 times with Dynamo Kiev winning 25 of them giving them a 83% win rate. DYNAMO KIEV v Mariupol @ 1.33 - Stake = 1.30 pts
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Re: 3 Key Attributes
4 out of 4 :loon Summary Starting Bank: 10 pts Current Bank: 13.02 pts No of Bets: 20 No of Wins: 19 Strike Rate: 95%26/10/2013 - Saturday MAN UNITED v Stoke @ 1.36 - Stake = 1.23 pts 3-2 :nana SILLAMAE KALEV v Tammeka Tartu @ 1.12 - Stake = 1.23 pts 6-0 :nana FLORA v Kuressaare @ 1.04 - Stake = 1.23 pts 4-0 :nana SHAKHTAR v Zorya @ 1.10 - Stake = 1.23 pts 4-0 :nana -
Re: 3 Key Attributes 26/10/2013 - Saturday A busy day Saturday... Firstly Man United are at home to Stoke. Man United are 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 5 games. Stoke on the other hand are 3 losses a draw and a win giving man united a 7 point advantage. Head to Head these teams have played 10 times with Man United winning 9 giving them a 90% strike rate. In Estonia, Sillamäe Kalev are at home to Tammeka Tartu. Sillamäe Kalev have are 3 wins and 2 losses from their last 5. Tammeka Tartu are 3 losses a draw and a win giving Sillamäe Kalev a 8 point advantage. Head to head these teams have played 24 times, Sillamäe Kalev have won 18 giving them a 75% Strike rate. Staying in Estonia, Flora play Kuressaare at home. Flora have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. Kuressaare are in aweful form with 4 losses and just 1 win from their last 5. Head to head the two teams have played 37 times. Flora have won 34 of these fixtures giving them a 92% strike rate. And finally, over in Ukraine, Shakhtar take on Zorya at home. Shakhtar have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 whereas Zorya have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 giving Shakhtar a 5 point advantage. Head to head the two teams have played 14 times with Shakhtar winning all 14 giving them a 100% strike rate! MAN UNITED v Stoke @ 1.36 - Stake = 1.23 pts SILLAMAE KALEV v Tammeka Tartu @ 1.12 - Stake = 1.23 pts FLORA v Kuressaare @ 1.04 - Stake = 1.23 pts SHAKHTAR v Zorya @ 1.10 - Stake = 1.23 pts
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Re: 3 Key Attributes
Summary Starting Bank: 10 pts Current Bank: 12.26 pts No of Bets: 16 No of Wins: 15 Strike Rate: 93.8%TNS vs Connah's Q. @ 1.20 - Stake = 1.20 pts 5-0 :nana -
Re: 3 Key Attributes Thanks jayalexander :ok 25/10/2013 - Friday Just one selection for today in the Welsh Premier League. TNS play Connah's Q at Home after only losing 1 of their previous 5 and winning 3. Connah's Q are 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw from their last 5 giving TNS a 5 point advantage. Head to Head both teams have played 29 times with TNS winning the fixture 25 times. This gives them a 86% win rate. TNS vs Connah's Q. @ 1.20 - Stake = 1.20 pts
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Re: 3 Key Attributes
Summary Starting Bank: 10 pts Current Bank: 12.02 pts No of Bets: 15 No of Wins: 14 Strike Rate: 93.3%ANORTHOSIS v Achnas @ 1.20 - Stake = 1.17 pts 2-1 :nana -
Re: 3 Key Attributes 20/10/2013 Sunday Today's selection is within the Cyprus first division as Anorthosis take on Achnas at home. Anorthosis have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games whereas Achnas have lost 3, drawn 1 and won 1. Head to head these teams have played 30 times with Anorthosis winning 27 giving them a 90% strike rate. ANORTHOSIS v Achnas @ 1.20 - Stake = 1.17 pts
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Re: 3 Key Attributes
Summary Starting Bank: 10 pts Current Bank: 11.79 pts No of Bets: 14 No of Wins: 13 Strike Rate: 92.9%06/10/2013 - Sunday DANUBIO v Juventud @ 1.40 - Stake = 1.13 pts 4-1 :nana -
Re: 3 Key Attributes 06/10/2013 - Sunday A visit to the Uruguay league for tomorrows selection as Danubio take on Juventud at home. Danubios last 5 games have resulted in 4 wins and 1 draw. Juventud's last 5 have resulted in 3 losses a draw and a win. This gives Danubio a 15 point advantage. Head to Head the two teams have played 11 times. Danubio have won the fixture 9 times giving them a 82% win rate. Seems a really good price on this one to considering the stats above and the fact its 2nd v 14th in the Uruguay League! DANUBIO v Juventud @ 1.40 - Stake = 1.13 pts
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Re: 3 Key Attributes
Summary Starting Bank: 10 pts Current Bank: 11.34 pts No of Bets: 13 No of Wins: 12 Strike Rate: 92.3%04/10/2013 - Saturday ZALGIRIS v Dainava Alytus @ 1.03 - Stake = 1.13 pts 1-0 :loon -
Re: 3 Key Attributes 04/10/2013 - Saturday Zalgiris take on Dainava Alytus at home tomorrow in the Lithuanian league. Zalgiris' last 5 games have resulted in 4 wins and 1 loss. Dainava Alytus on the other hand have won 2, lost 2 and drawn 1. This gives Zalgiris a 8 point advantage. The two teams have gone head to head 22 times. Zalgiris have won the fixture 20 times giving them a 91% win rate. ZALGIRIS v Dainava Alytus @ 1.03 - Stake = 1.13 pts
Staking System and ideas
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Hi,
Not sure if I have posted this in the right section. I have been playing around with systems to help automate my weekend selections for a months years now based on teams scoring form and am getting some good selections. However there is one thing I always seem to come unstuck at and that's some sort of staking plan. I know many people are determined to use singles for everything however I have always been a fan of accumulators with higher returns. I tend to always put the full accumulator on (Because I'd kick myself if I didn't) and some sort of 'Fold' depending on the amount of selections. Perhaps 4 folds on 5 selections or a 6 fold on an 8 selection for example. I tend to only bet on Over 2.5 goals so the odds for each selection are usually fairly close (say 1.7 - 2.0) and I can usually have anything from 3-10 selections for a weekend.
My question is has anyone ever explored more imaginative methods of staking based on a certain amount of selections of near enough the same price? For example numbering selections and building accumulators of different sizes, not covering all possibilities for each 'fold' but perhaps covering a nice amount to up your chances?
It's something I am starting to explore but just wondered if anyone had any views on this?
Thanks, All the best
Scott