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tqhai

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Posts posted by tqhai

  1. Re: Stoke v Bolton > May 13

    Hi folk I think corners is the way to a profit in this match,with Bolton needing the win they will be going all out attack from the off,Stoke will be looking for revenge for the 5-0 defeat earlier in the season in which there was 16 corners plus they will want to end the season with a win for there fans.Add this to the fact of Peter Crouch and Kevin Davies up front respectively I can see balls being lumped in to the target men when all else fails. over 12 corners 11/10 bet365 and 12 corners 8/1 again bet365
    Your two bets are exactly the same as Over 11.5 Asian Corners. Combine your two bets, the average payoff is 1.7 On Bet365 site, you can get 1.8 for Over 11.5 Asian Corners, and 188bet is offering a slightly better odds at 1.82 -which is 17% better than 1.7 - for Over 11.5 Asian Corners. Maybe you should try to get a better price elsewhere - it will make the differences in long term returns.
  2. Re: Trading Correct Scores

    You can lay multiples in the multiples section on Betfair. Back bet matched just before the goal went in. 3p profit for any result.
    I tried to lay multiples but it responded like this: Selections not included in Multiples Some selections are available for Singles, but not for Multiples. These include:
    • Lay bets

    ... Is there any other way to lay Multiples that maybe I don't know ?

  3. Re: Trading Correct Scores

    Saturday, 21st of April, 2012 "The Chase" Continues... Part 1: Arsenal versus Chelsea Lay Any Unquoted @ 11 Liability £2.00 to win £0.20 Part 2: QPR versus Tottenham Lay Any Unquoted @ 9.4 Liability £1.68 to win £0.20 Part 3: Barcelona versus Real Madrid Lay Any Unquoted @ 6.2 Liability £1.04 to win £0.20 Part 4: MULTIPLE[TABLE=class: placeBetsLegTable, width: 100%] [TR=class: BMLayBetBackground] [TD=class: CurryBoldedText, width: 15, align: center]1[/TD] [TD=width: 100%]Aston Villa v Sunderland - Correct Score (Laying Any Unquoted @ 17.8) [/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: BMLayBetBackground] [TD=class: CurryBoldedText, width: 15, align: center]2[/TD] [TD=width: 100%]Blackburn v Norwich - Correct Score (Laying Any Unquoted @ 9.35) [/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: BMLayBetBackground] [TD=class: CurryBoldedText, width: 15, align: center]3[/TD] [TD=width: 100%]Bolton v Swansea - Correct Score (Laying Any Unquoted @ 12.97) [/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: BMLayBetBackground] [TD=class: CurryBoldedText, width: 15, align: center]4[/TD] [TD=width: 100%]Fulham v Wigan - Correct Score (Laying Any Unquoted @ 10.74)[/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: BMLayBetBackground] [TD=class: CurryBoldedText, width: 15, align: center]5[/TD] [TD=width: 100%]Newcastle v Stoke - Correct Score (Laying Any Unquoted @ 10.74) Stake £2.00 to win £1.12 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
    How can you lay a multiple bets like this mate ? I cannot lay multiples on Betfair.
  4. Re: Man City v Man United > 30 April

    I've got it on now mate but I've been on twitter/facebook all afternoon so just confused as to why they haven't posted it on there and only found out about it through a link on this forum and another.
    In my opinion, because they want to avoid a free-rider problem. Only people who are members of Man City or at least spend time surfing the Man City website can benefit from this offer. Anyway, from my point of view I feel that you are "suspecting" my info. That's fine, you can stand confused there while others people are making money. I just want to be nice but I didn't expect such a respond.
  5. Re: Man City v Man Utd - £50 Free "In Play" Bet - Existing Customers too!

    I'll be placing a bet on this one and immediately laying it off in order to give me a risk free £50 in play bet. Problem is I have no idea what to even bet on in this game. I'll head off to the match thread and try and steal some tips!
    You don't need to have any idea. Generally a 50 free bet can be converted into 38-40 real cash with some simple efforts. Try to figure them out !
  6. Re: Norwich v Liverpool > 28 April A little bit Technical Analysis in the context of Asian Handicap: The odds last night is 4 3.6 1.9 (1x2) and 1.975 +0.5 1.925 (Asian Handicap) at Bet365 and 4.05 1.94 3.6 (1x2) 1.98 +0.5 1.96 (Asian Handicap) at 188bet. Right before the match start the odds were 4.33 3.6 1.72 (1x2) and 1.95 +0.75 1.95 (Asian Handicap). Presumably, punters worldwide are putting their stakes into Liverpool hence the bookies had to reduce the odd for Liverpool to win from 1.9 to 1.72, and increase the Asian Handicap from Norwich +0.5 to Norwich +0.75. In financial markets there is a principle which names "go opposite the crowd". Follow this principle, I pick Norwich +0.75 1.95 Bet365.

  7. Re: Blackburn v Liverpool April 10th Paddy Power has just released the new Money-Back Specials: If Blackburn win this game, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st/last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match The league is now actually meaningless for Liverpool as they will not qualify for European competition and of course 43 points is safe enough to stay at the Premier League next season. With the FA Cup semi-final against Everton in the weekend, there is no reason for Liverpool to play with even 60% of their strength in Ewood Park. Dalglish should keep his key players fresh for the derby, especially when they've just played with Aston Villa 2 days ago. As Blackburn is now fighting for survival, no doubt about their motivation and Ewood Park is also a tough place to visit. So I cannot see Liverpool gets more than 2 goals in this match. So we can basically have a free bet here by choosing the 0-0, 1-1, 0-1, 0-2 and 1-2 and 2-2 correct score. According to Paddy Power's latest odds, a 0-0 draw will pay you 10, 1-1 @6.5, 0-1 @8, 0-2@10, [email protected] and 2-2 @12. Dividing your stakes in 6 parts, for example I can put 1 quid on 0-0, 1.54 on 1-1, 1.25 on 0-1, 1 on 0-2, 1.18 on 1-2 and 0.83 in 2-2. In the case Liverpool does not score more than 2 goals (which is very likely) and does not lose of course I will get surely 10 quids. Therefore the odds for this trade is equal to 10/6.82 = 1.47, which I consider not too low to try. If Liverpool loses again, at least we can get stakes back. Of course if Liverpool score more than 2 goals we will lose all the stake, but this scenario is very unlikely. If you want to increase the rate of return you can ignore the 2-2 result - which is very difficult to happen. Or if you guys want to take more risk you can even ignore the 0-0. That's my own opinion, hope it's a bit useful and please do not blame if I say something stupid :D

  8. Re: Everton v Sunderland April 9th

    Incredible' date= Everton went 29 consecutive games Under 3.5, now theyve gone 2 consecutive Over 3.5 !
    And they killed lots of punters with this incredible goal-scoring form... I has even considered to Lay Over 3.5 before the match at 4.8 on Betfair, which I found a quite safe trade... but who knows Everton can score three meaningless goals in five minutes ? I doubt is there any punter was brave enough to back Over 3.5 anyway.
  9. Re: Man Utd v QPR > 8 April

    I see the common consensus here is Man Utd will have a comfortably win against QPR. Well, if you guys consider sports betting market as one type of financial markets (e.g stocks), there is a strategy named: "go opposite the crowd", an perhaps it will worth a try here. As everyone focuses on this match, QPR will not allow M.U humiliate them easily and they also improved a bit since Hughes arrived with two wins against Arsenal and Liverpool in the last 3 matches - which undoubtedly will give the away team more confidence. Furthermore, Man Utd's tactics this season is quite static with a classic 4-4-2 and they depend much on the wingers to attack. Hughes is very familiar with this classic English playing style, especially when he played under Fergie's guidance two decades ago and believe me, this afternoon Valencia will not have an easy day. I agree that Man Utd will take three points today but it will be a tough match. The win might only come at the second half and I expect QPR to not lose with a 2-goals margin in 1st half. QPR +1 (1st Half Asian Handicap) @1.875 Bet365
    Luckily, at least I got my stake back...
  10. Re: Man Utd v QPR > 8 April

    I see the common consensus here is Man Utd will have a comfortably win against QPR. Well, if you guys consider sports betting market as one type of financial markets (e.g stocks), there is a strategy named: "go opposite the crowd", an perhaps it will worth a try here. As everyone focuses on this match, QPR will not allow M.U humiliate them easily and they also improved a bit since Hughes arrived with two wins against Arsenal and Liverpool in the last 3 matches - which undoubtedly will give the away team more confidence. Furthermore, Man Utd's tactics this season is quite static with a classic 4-4-2 and they depend much on the wingers to attack. Hughes is very familiar with this classic English playing style, especially when he played under Fergie's guidance two decades ago and believe me, this afternoon Valencia will not have an easy day. I agree that Man Utd will take three points today but it will be a tough match. The win might only come at the second half and I expect QPR to not lose with a 2-goals margin in 1st half. QPR +1 (1st Half Asian Handicap) @1.875 Bet365
    Stupid mistake from the assistant referee killed my plan after 15 mins :@ Actually Young was offside when Rooney passed the ball, and it should be a clear free kick for QPR instead of a penalty and a red card :wall
  11. Re: Man Utd v QPR > 8 April I see the common consensus here is Man Utd will have a comfortably win against QPR. Well, if you guys consider sports betting market as one type of financial markets (e.g stocks), there is a strategy named: "go opposite the crowd", an perhaps it will worth a try here. As everyone focuses on this match, QPR will not allow M.U humiliate them easily and they also improved a bit since Hughes arrived with two wins against Arsenal and Liverpool in the last 3 matches - which undoubtedly will give the away team more confidence. Furthermore, Man Utd's tactics this season is quite static with a classic 4-4-2 and they depend much on the wingers to attack. Hughes is very familiar with this classic English playing style, especially when he played under Fergie's guidance two decades ago and believe me, this afternoon Valencia will not have an easy day. I agree that Man Utd will take three points today but it will be a tough match. The win might only come at the second half and I expect QPR to not lose with a 2-goals margin in 1st half. QPR +1 (1st Half Asian Handicap) @1.875 Bet365

  12. Re: Norwich v Everton > 7 April

    I find the value in Asian Handicap (Norwich +0.25) Indeed, fundamentally Norwich is not much weaker than Everton especially when they're playing at home. The Toffee is in good form with three wins in a row but their playing style is quite static since Arteta has left and such a flexible manager like Lambert (he has used several formations this season) may figure out the best way to play against Everton. Although the Canaries has a impressive season so far, they still need 3-4 points more to guarantee their appearance in the next Premier League season (normally 42-43 points is safe enough). Their next three opponents will be Tottenham (away), Man City (home) and desperately-fighting-for-survive Blackburn (away), hence this match against Everton is a great chance for Lambert's guy to get the necessary 3 points and no doubt about Norwich's motivation. Everton still has the FA Cup semi-final with Liverpool to play next weekend and maybe they cannot fully concentrate on Norwich's match. Even if they gain another three points today they surely cannot get to the Europa League position (now Everton is 10 point less than 6th position Chelsea), so I'm in doubt about their motivation. Norwich +0.25 @1.825 at Bet365 Norwich 0 @2.2 at Ladbrokes P/S: I've just lay a Everton win @2.48 at Betfair as well - it is almost equal to a Norwich +0.5 @1.66, which I consider to has very good value.
    Everton took the advantage twice - quite surprise given their low-scoring form away from home. But two equaliser help Norwich to gain one point :cheers
  13. Re: Norwich v Everton > 7 April I find the value in Asian Handicap (Norwich +0.25) Indeed, fundamentally Norwich is not much weaker than Everton especially when they're playing at home. The Toffee is in good form with three wins in a row but their playing style is quite static since Arteta has left and such a flexible manager like Lambert (he has used several formations this season) may figure out the best way to play against Everton. Although the Canaries has a impressive season so far, they still need 3-4 points more to guarantee their appearance in the next Premier League season (normally 42-43 points is safe enough). Their next three opponents will be Tottenham (away), Man City (home) and desperately-fighting-for-survive Blackburn (away), hence this match against Everton is a great chance for Lambert's guy to get the necessary 3 points and no doubt about Norwich's motivation. Everton still has the FA Cup semi-final with Liverpool to play next weekend and maybe they cannot fully concentrate on Norwich's match. Even if they gain another three points today they surely cannot get to the Europa League position (now Everton is 10 point less than 6th position Chelsea), so I'm in doubt about their motivation. Norwich +0.25 @1.825 at Bet365 Norwich 0 @2.2 at Ladbrokes P/S: I've just lay a Everton win @2.48 at Betfair as well - it is almost equal to a Norwich +0.5 @1.66, which I consider to has very good value.

  14. Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 4 April

    R.Madrid - APOEL After winning the first leg 3-0 I expect Real to play more open football and I can definitely see goals in this game. R.Madrid scored many goals this season, but when they do so they tend to relax and often concede 1 or 2 goals themselves. So, I expect this to be a very open game and won't be surprised if Mourinho will rest some of his players. Even though he does not normally do so, but they have an important game in La Liga against Valencia this weekend. However, no matter who plays for Real I can see them scoring goals and won't be surprised if the Champions League record for most goals scored in one match will be broken here with Real making the main contribution to it. Both to Score @ 2.62 (3 units) William Hill Over 7.5 Goals @ 15.00 (1 unit) Bet365
    It's pretty close right now... 7 goals have been scored and if you hedge by pick Under [email protected] with 10 units, you should gain a very nice profit tonight...
  15. Re: Weekend > The FA Cup 5th Round > 18-19 Feb

    -12 units, terrible day for me... Bit pissed off about both games, first not covering over 2.5 for the Norwich game, and then especially the Everton - Blackpool game which I covered over 2.5 did not find another goal in 84 minutes of the game.. 2 - 0 after 6 minutes I thought heres comes the goal rush... then Everton just sat back and was satisfied with 2 - 0... zzzzz. And that Penalty that was missed sumed up the whole day for me and denyed me my over 2.5.
    I don't want to be "after-eventing" and please forgive if I say something unnecessarily, but in this situation (2 goals just after 6 minutes), perhaps it will be safer if you hedge your position by betting on Under 2.5 - which should had a very high odds given that there are 84 more minutes to play for...
  16. Re: La Liga - 11-13 February

    I watch as many games as I can from most leagues, to be honest! I hate inaccurate information, which generally stems from not watching the games. My advice to you would be to always watch the games and form your own opinions regarding sides and their respective displays. Statistics should always be used to support a bet but never to create one. If statistics are the only reason you're betting on a game then you shouldn't be betting on it - that's my view. You have to approach a game with a pre-conception of what you expect to happen and what you expect the odds to be in order to seek value etc. To me, it's important to know why sides win games rather than that they are winning games. It's that kind of edge that will see you beat the bookies a little more often than most :) Anyway, good luck!
    Mozzi, do you have any views on the match Malaga - Mallorca, especially on their playing style and tactics ? To be honest I didn't follow La Liga matches very carefully and will highly appreciate your idea. I think the odds 1.66 3.60 5.50 is a bit overpriced for Malaga, they should not beat Mallorca such easily.
  17. Re: Man City v Fulham > Sat 4th Feb If Pizarro can start, Man City will feel it easier to break Fulham's (surely) deep defence, given that their main problems this season is the lack of creativity from central midfield. Barry pass the ball so slow and without flair, while Yaya's game will base more on driving runs from midfield rather than creative pass. Of course Silva can provide good through pass from midfield, but the Spaniard will be less dangerous if Mancini pulled him back to the central of the pitch, and Silva also is not strong enough to tackle and win the ball back, so he is not an option for the midfield problem. Hope Pizarro will be.

  18. Re: Liverpool v Tottenham - Monday 8pm - Bet365 £50 "In Play" Free Bet I think Bet365 has their own policy to prevent us from guarantee some profit as releasing here: "Where any term of the offer or promotion is breached or there is any evidence of a series of bets placed by a customer or group of customers, which due to a deposit bonus, enhanced payments, free bets or any other promotional offer results in guaranteed customer profits irrespective of the outcome, whether individually or as part of a group, bet365 reserves the right to reclaim the bonus element of such offers and in their absolute discretion either settle bets at the correct odds, void the free bets or void any bet funded by the deposit bonus." If Bet365 doesn't have such policy, everybody can easily make some money by bet on Over pre-match and Under in-play, right ?

  19. Re: Aston Villa v QPR > 1 Feb Actually Bent's goal at the very end of 1st half also played an important role in encouraging Villa player's morale. I was worried about what a Villa's comeback in the 2nd half but luckily it's just ended 2-2. Thanks to every guys at this forum, I bet 2 units at QPR's win and 3 units at a Draw...earned 10 units eventually. Thanks everybody again !

  20. Re: Copa del Rey 2011-2012 Valencia & Barcelona Double Chance (Valencia or Draw) 2.05 (William Hill). Good value odds for Valencia because of these reasons: - Emery often gains tactical advantage against Guardiola, even when Barca conquered the world in recent years. - Some internal conflict in Barca. What happen when some players (Messi, Xavi) and even the president Rosell are complaining about referees but Guardiola is not ? Is he trying to keep a "good image" or simply cannot control the dressing room ? - Barca's bad away form, players's bad fitness and bad head-to-head result with Valencia at Mestalla. However I will wait for the line-up. Will place bet in Valencia surely if Banega can play.

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