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BurrowsTheGreat

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Posts posted by BurrowsTheGreat

  1. Re: EURO 2012 - Group Winners & Qualification

    Germany to win group? YES @ 2.28 This is a really tough group, make no mistake. Arguable, I'd push my neck out an say Germany, Holland, Portugal and Denmark are all better than any of the teams in Group A (Poland, Russia, Greece, Czech) which is a total joke group. Anyway Germany should win, the danger is from Holland. Yet the chances of Germany winning for me are not lower than 50% (I'd have them as 60% chance of group winners) so I'm happy to take this at over evens. Betfair :hope
    Love this play. A favourite to win Euro paying 2.28 to win the pool? I will take that all day.
  2. Re: MLB: April 26th 2012 Picks This guys picks are on the money. http://sportsblog.bethubb.com/basketball/chads-top-sports-picks-april-26/ WASHINGTON NATIONALS +100 (Edwin Jackson) @ San Diego Padres (Edinson Volquez) - I did it once, I did it twice now that’s steak with the beans and rice… yes it’s a goofy rap rhyme from a Snoop Dogg track. But it does apply to the way I have been able to profit from this Nationals Padres series where the oddsmakers continue to not give enough respect to the team that is far superior in Washington resulting in two winning tickets already. So why not go for a clean sweep three in a row? As I have stated the Padres line up is downright pathetic they simply cannot hit and sure Jackson may not have the same stuff as Zimmerman and Gonzalez but he really isn’t to far behind. The reason we get a cheaper price here is because his ERA is similar to that of Volquez this year at 4.30 to 4.26. But those numbers don’t tell the whole story as Jackson has a great WHIP at 0.84 compared to Volquez’s below average 1.48 which in my opinion is a far more important stat. This means on average Volquez allows 0.75 more runners on base which is the world of a difference when you consider how much better Washington is at hitting especially in the later innings of games. Even if it remains tight for the first half the game like we have seen in the previous two the situation will once again work in favor of the Nats. Better starting pitcher, better bullpen, better hitters, more confident group 6-2 on the road versus San Diego 4-9 at home.

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