ForgiveZlatan
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 17-18 December I'll explain you why I'm so sure.. On 9 home games played, Padova left only 4 points. That means they got 23 points on 27 available. Their team belongs into Serie A and not B after evaluating the players. Nocerina came from C division, and is at it's first year of serie B. The coach is risking of getting fired, and without doubt will be fired after the game against Padova. Probable line-ups PADOVA: Pelizzoli, Donati, Schiavi, Trevisan, Renzetti, Osuji, Italiano, Bovo, Marcolini, Cacia, Cutolo. NOCERINA: Russo, Scalise, De Franco, Di Maio, Bolzan, Bruno, Sacilotto, De Liguori, Castaldo, Plasmati, Farias. Nocerina lost their last home game against a modest Crotone, which I think is a pretty shi.tty team. Padova's home record is 7 wins 1 draw 1 lost. They lost to Grosseto and tied with Juve Stabia. If I really comfortable and 100% sure that Padova will win this game. Cacia and Cutolo are two formidable forwards, both 28 years old and in the best of their maturity. Although Marcolini, 36 years old has the age factor against him, he played in Serie A for his entire life and is a more than decent player. Same goes for Italiano, age 34. These two represent, together with Omar Milanetto ( entire career in serie A), the keys of the centerfield, where you win and loose games. Nocerina has one of the worst defenses of serie B, and the majority of the players played in Uk's equivalent Legue One their entire lives and are not so young either. Trust me on this game 1000% sure. I won't post anything on this forum if Padova doesn't win. I'll leave because I'd be too ashamed to show my face around.
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 17-18 December Everytime I give picks I always get maybe a 60-70% correct. As soon as winter break is over, I will guarantee constant wins because the Serie A will be much more regular. I think that Serie A is the most difficult and uncomfortable to bet on. There are too many factors that influence the games, and I'm suggesting "EXTERNAL FACTORS" that have very little to do with sports.... I would like to suggest 1 more game, which is not inherent to this post, but as I said in the past I guess more people will look at it here. PADOVA - NOCERINA - ITALIAN SERIE B. STAKE 1000/1000 I suggest (to everyone) to put this game in your multiples. I'm taking responsability and swear to never post again. PADOVA TO WIN 1000% sure. Also this is the most played ticket in Italy for the moment. Again, statistical bet!! BAYERN - COLONIA 1 MILAN - SIENA 1 JUVENTUS - NOVARA 1 NAPOLI - ROMA 1X TOTTENHAM - SUNDERLAND 1 MAN CITY - ARSENAL 1X TOTAL PRICE APPROX. 3.50
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 17-18 December
Have you been on the forum lately? It's more than a week I'm posting. If the clours bother anyone I can take them off.you have good nerves... coloring book plus picks... -
Re: Italy - Serie A - 17-18 December
:cheers SERIE A WEEK :cheers GAME 1 CHIEVO - CAGLIARI
This game shouldn't reserve any surprises. We are speaking about two teams that score very little and defend very well. The two coaches have a very defensive mentality and there shouldn't be many goals in this game. Cossu, Cagliari's playmaker is out for booking. This will force Cagliari to play with a classic 4-4-2 with Larrivey and Ibarbo up front. In the last three games, Chievo lost 2 against Udinese and Milan, and tied one against Atalanta. In their last transfer to Udine, Di Carlo's team didn't deserve to lose and Di Natale's goal came at the 79th. minute. I'm sure that Chievo is not going to loose this game, so Chievo to win/Draw ( @ 1.24 totosì) wouldn't be bad for a multiple where big money is invested. Considering what I said above, I'm going to follow my initial intuition in taking UNDERS in this game.
UNDER 2.5 goals - stake 7/10 @ 1.65 totosì UNDER 3.5 goals - stake 10/10 @ 1.22 totosì
:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin GAME 2 FIORENTINA - ATALANTA
Extremely hard game to predict due to Fiorentina's instability and because Delio Rossi, their new coach, hasn't yet given the team a precise outiline. Atalanta is without doubt far more concrete in this period and should offer a different type of consistency. It's important that we take a look at the possible lineups:
FIORENTINA 4-4-2 Boruc De Silvestri Gamberini Natali Pasqual Behrami Salifu Kharja Vargas Gilardino Jovetic To consider Montolivo's absence in the middle. An enormous loss for this game. To note Delio Rossi's strange idea of giving Salifu a chance to play for the first time from the beginning. Very wierd choice considering that the youngster from Ghana is only 19 and has no experience whatsoever in Serie A. Last year he only played 48 minutes in 4 games. Gilardino should score one in this game while Jovetic appears to be fully recovered.
ATALANTA 4-4-1-1 Consigli A. Masiello Lucchini Manfredini Bellini Schelotto Cigarini Carmona Padoin Moralez Denis
A very buttoned up Atalanta ready to counter-attack. Lucchini is back from booking. This can only be good news for Atalanta's defense. Atalanta tied the last four games! I see it extremely unprobable that we will witness a tie for the fifth time in a row.
FIORENTINA to win @ 1.90 (totosì) stake 6/10 UNDER 3.5 goals @ 1.23 (totosì) stake 10/10
:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin GAME 3 MILAN - SIENA I really really really really see it hard for Siena to get anything in this game. There is really not much to say...This is a game that Milan must win after last week's incredible draw against Bologna. Although the price is not inviting, it might be interesting to consider it in a multiple. What I strongly suggest in this game, is playing also both to score. As it might seem a little crazy at the beginning I would like to remind everyone that Bonera is playing in Milan's defense because Yepes & Nesta are out. Bonera is the most disgraceful player in AC Milan's team. I'm positive that Calaiò or Destro will force him to an error sooner or later in the course of the game, hopefully not compromising the outcome of the game and therefore my first choice bet. MILAN TO WIN @ 1.27 (totosì) stake 10/10 BOTH TO SCORE @ 2.07 (totosì) stake 6/10 :rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin GAME 4 CATANIA - PALERMO An extremely interesting derby. The first thing I should say is that both teams are missing players: Spolli, absolutely important for Catania's defense, Acquah & Munoz for Palermo. Looking at the player's form, the home team is slightly in better shape. Palermo has also played in Coppa Italia this week against Siena where they where eliminated with penalty kicks ( game finished 4-4). But only Ilicic & Migliaccio took part in the game. To register Ilicic's hat trick. Looking at the league table, Palermo hasn't yet won an away game! Only 2 draws and 5 loses. Catania's home record ( 3 wins 2 draws 2 loses) is not the same of last year's. Considering that derby's are open to any result I'm going to play the wild card...I don't trust Catania and I don't trust Palermo so a tentative on Palermo is worth to waiste..although it's very relative to use the word waiste............ Pinilla-Miccoli-Ilicic Barreto - all excellent players. PALERMO to win @ 3.25 (totosì) stake 6/10 BOTH TO SCORE @ 1.87 ( totosì) stake 6/10 :rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin GAME 5 CESENA - INTER This is a F...K hard game for Inter. I don't know if anyone had a chance to see this week's game against Genoa. Inter didn't deserve the three points. A very unfair result. With last week's victory over Palermo, Cesena seems to be much more confident and I wouldn't be at all surprised if they were to stun Inter which will be without Chivu, Sneijder, Ranocchia and Stankovic. This last one is actually the only player with 25% chances of playing. For the Cesena side, nobody is missing. I was pondering on taking Inter @ 1.85, but the price doesn't convince me. It's really not worth it. Of course Inter can win the game but there's actually a lot of chances of them drawing or loosing as well. Very tricky game. Inter managed to win 4 and loose 1 in the last five. Cesena on the other hand won 3 and lost 2. No draws in 5 games for both teams. Is this the right game? CESENA to win or draw @ 1.89 (totosì) STAKE 5/10 DRAW @ 3.15 (totosì) STAKE 3/10 :rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin GAME 6 GENOA - BOLOGNA Does Malesani want to coach or does Malesani want to leave from Genoa this is the question. Although playing a brilliant game against Inter, Genoa wasn't able to pick anything up. Bologna on the other hand was able to rip an unexpected point from AC Milan. Only absence for Bologna is Perez, while for Genoa the team is the same that played against Inter..This should make the players feel a little tired. I like the Bologna I've seen against Milan with a regenerated Di Vaio and a sparkling Diamanti, but I also liked Genoa against Inter. For me this game has all the credentials to register an OVER 2.5 goals, but at the end I think that both teams should score. Bologna can also win this game & get Malesani's head, their ex coach. GENOA - BOLOGNA both to score @ 1.77 (totosì) stake 6/10 BOLOGNA TO WIN @ 4.50 (totosì) STAKE 4/10 :rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin GAME 7 JUVENTUS - NOVARA It's not very necessary to waiste too many words on this game. It's actually the same type of game posted above where Milan is playing against Siena. Although the home team will have Bonucci and Vidal out for booking they should win the game as Novara is not a great team. Conte will move Chiellini in the middle at Bonucci's place and use De Ceglie on the left as defensive wing. Pazienza should come in for Vidal. I really expected Juventus to win against Roma last week. Considering that Roma was missing many players, Juve didn't manage to get the 3 points. This should be the point for a brief reflection. Is Juventus starting to warn some tiredness? They are the only team in Europe that haven't yet lost a game. I'm waiting for that day and will be really happy when it comes. I fancy Novara to win @ 12.00!! But I really believe that is a dream. JUVENTUS to win @ 1.27 stake 8/10 OVER 2.5 @ 1.70 (totosì) stake 7/10 :rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin GAME 8 PARMA - LECCE This Serie A week can be a week of surprises...but if there's one game where something can happen, this game is Parma - Lecce. I still continue to believe that the Parma side have little quality. Not that Lecce is Manchester City, but I think that they have a concrete chance of getting something here, at least a point. I don't like Parma's defense as I don't like Lecce's defense. What I'm also considering is that Lecce got some points when playing away this year. They still haven't won a home game! Considering also that they have a new coach and that they are coming from 4 consecutive games lost... LECCE to win @ 5.25 stake 5/10 (totosì) LECCE TO WIN/DRAW @ 2.12 STAKE 6/10 (totosì) :rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin GAME 9 LAZIO - UDINESE This game is a classic game open to all results. Udinese is confirming to be one of the best sides in Serie A, although sooner or later they will drop. The same goes for Lazio who will be missing Marchetti in goal along with Dias in the back. Lazio's defense is a little shaky without these two. Brocchi, Konko and Radu are in doubt for the game. Udinese recovers Ferronetti and Pinzi for this game. I really think that both teams can score at least a goal in this game considering Klose-Rocchi-Hernanes on one side, and Di Natale-Floro Flores on the other. It's the only valid thing to play in a game open to all types of results. LAZIO - UDINESE both to score @ 1.65 (totosì) STAKE 8/10 :rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin:rollin GAME 10 NAPOLI - ROMA Last but not least the most spectacular game of the week but also the most uncertain. Pjanic out for booking, while Juan and Bojan are back. Gago not availble. One thing is certain..Roma is going to suffer Lavezzi & Cavani. I would like everyone to remember once again that Taddei which is an offensive centerfielder is playing as right full-back, De Rossi which is a centerfielder, is playing as a central defender ( Cavani is gonna kill him), and once again, L.Enrique has redesigned a new team!! For the Napoli side everyone is available. Because today everyone will know the outcome of the Champions Legue fixtures, where I think it will be extremely hard for Napoli to progress, it has been clearly said during this week that Napoli needs points in order to not loose the first teams in the league. Next year only 3 spots will be granted for CL. I'm counting on the San Paolo factor for this game. I'm considering that historically this is a dangerous game and wouldn't be surprised if the fans fight. And finally I'm considering the polemic controversies between Totti and the fans during this past week for the penalty kick he screwed up against Juventus.. Taddei has a lot of chances of getting expelled because Lavezzi is acting on his side. While Viviani & Greco along with Simplicio will act in the middle. A re-designed centerfield with 2 youngsters and Simplcio (never played a game yet) Having to choose something, although uncertainty reigns NAPOLI to win @ 1.95 (totosì) STAKE 7/10 BOTH TO SCORE @ 1.67 STAKE 9/10
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December I was undecided if I should post this or not because it is very unprobable, but I stuck 5 € on:
Roma - Juventus exact result 2- 4 @ 60.00 Chelsea - Man City exact result 3-2 @ 25.00 Total price 1500 - total win 7.500 € STAKE 0.5 / 10 :eek
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December
ROMA - JUVE AGE OF TONIGHTS PLAYERS Stekelenburg (28) Rosi (24) - Heinze (33) - De Rossi (28) - Taddei (31) Perrotta ( 34) - Viviani ( 19) - Greco ( 25) Pjanic (21) Totti ( 35) - Osvaldo (25) Matri (27) Pepe ( 28) Estigarribia (24) Marchisio ( 25) - Pirlo ( 32) - Vidal (24) Chiellini (27) - Bonucci (24) - Barzagli ( 30) - Lichsteiner ( 27) Buffon (34) Why have I posted this? Because in the most crucial part of the game, the centerfield, Roma is young, unexperienced and lacks talent most of all!
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December How can L.Enrique be so stupid to throw in a player like Viviani, 19 years old, first game in serie A, against Pirlo, that won a f.....n world cup, 2 champions league, multiple titles in serie A?? Wouldn't it have been more logical to make someone like Simplicio play and stick him up against Pirlo? D.De Rossi in the middle together with an already precarious Heinze. An already unstable defense replaced with a experimental one. Together with Roma's numerous injuries, we must add L.Enrique's stupidity in trying to impose his game against the wrong team and without his players! Football is not 100% logical, but any result different from Juve's win will be a shocker for me.
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December I'm scared that Totti-Osvaldo-Lamela won't score...Lamela was in doubt till this morning where he recovred from gastro-intestinal problems.... I see the game at centerfield, and Roma doesn't say anything to me: Pjanic that is not really a centerfielder, Viviani at his first games, Perrotta (age & condition!), is there somewhere where Rome is better than Juventus?? I also think that Conte will not make the same mistake he made with Napoli. I see an aggressive Juve from the beginning.
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December
Goodmorning everyone, This hasn't been a drastically bad week, but again it hasn't been a perfect one. My weekend predictions.. SIENA - GENOA UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.70 (totosì) OK CAGLIARI- PARMA UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 1.70 (totosì) OK LECCE - LAZIO home team to score @ 1.50 (totosì) OK INTER-FIORENTINA - INTER TO WIN @ 1.93 (totosi) OK
CAN'T BELIEVE I MESSED UP WHAT WERE TO BE THE EASIEST GAMES... MILAN TIED WITH BOLOGNA NAPOLI TIED WITH NOVARA PALERMO INCREDIBLY LOST TO CESENA I HAVE ONE CERTAINTY TODAY.... ROMA - JUVENTUS JUVE TO WIN @ 2.10 (TOTOSI') I don't want to write a book about this game but there are important aspects that I would take into consideration.... N.1 Rome players want to get rid of Luis Enrique. This feeling is widely spread in the Rome lockers, and has been due to the fact that Totti is always benched. Totti has an incredible power, the one of taking decisions, and at the current moment Rome coach is thumbs down! N.2 Rome will be without: Gago ( played last games) - centerfield------booking Juan (played last games) - central defender------booking Bojan (played last games) - forward-----booking Burdisso (frequently present) - central defender----injured Kjaer ( not frequently used) - central defender-----injured Pizzarro - strangely sitting in tribune Last injuries: Cassetti which L.Enrique was thinking of using from the beginning of the game has 15% chances of playing and will most probably be out for tonights' game. Rome's starting 11 will be:
STEKELENBURG ROSI DE ROSSI HEINZE TADDEI PERROTTA VIVIANI PJANIC TOTTI LAMELA OSVALDO
Of these players, DE ROSSI is playing as a central defender while he always plays as centerfielder. His POSITION in that role was already experimented a few times under Ranieri and Del Neri, ex Rome coaches, and the results were really bad. Taddei is playing as a left back, when his role is right wing centerfielder. Viviavi and Rosi are unexperienced and very young players. I don't know why L.Enrique is proposing them in this game. Viviani is an offensive centerfielder. No valid bench players available for Rome. How is Heinze going to take care of Matri? What worries me the most for Rome is that the coach is preparing this game with an ultra-offensive team. This is pure suicide against Juventus.
Buffon Lichtsteiner Barzagli Bonucci Chiellini Vidal Pirlo Marchisio Pepe Matri Estigarribia Conte is playing with a 4-5-1 with Matri alone in the front due to the injury that occured to Vucinic last week. I think we are going to see an extremely attentive Juve, that conceeds very little and will capitalize every opportunity given to them. Pirlo & Marchisio again together in the middle with Vidal and Pepe, defense complete, Quagliarella, Del Piero, Giaccherini ready to switch for Estigarribia and Vidal.THERE ARE NO CHANCES THAT ROME CAN WIN Although I was thinking of betting on Draw or Juvenuts, considering the price and how L.Enrique designed the team for this game, I can't go against Juve where game mechanisms have been assimilated by all players. Roma on the other hand still seems to be "IN CONSTRUCTION", in which many people think to be L.Enrique's last game as Roma coach. JUVE TO WIN @ 2.10 totosi' stake 10/10 -
Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December
CAGLIARI- PARMA
Another UNDER 2.5 goals match. Not to many goals in Seria A lately. I was examining the record between the two teams. Cagliari's home record consists of 1 vicotry, 4 ties and 1 lost. Parma's away record is of 1 vicotry and 5 loses with ZERO tied . The two teams are complete. Only Nenè will not play for Cagliari. The chances of a low scoring game are very high. Naingolan is back for Cagliari. He should give a lot of balance and wisdom to Cagliari's centerfield together with Biondini and Conti. Parma looks a lot more solid with Galloppa, Marrone and Valliani finally playing together in the middle. I see a very tight match with above average fouls by both teams. These are the classic Serie A matches where the teams play an attentive game. Ibarbo, Cagliari forward impressed me a lot last week. I'm also expecting a lot from Cossu, which seems to be only the shadow of the wonderful player we have seen last year.
CAGLIARI- PARMA UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 1.70 (totosì)/ stake 6/10 Cagliari to win @ 2.00 (totosì)/ stake 4/10
:nana CASH
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December
LECCE - LAZIO
Lecce never won a home game since the beginning of the season; Lazio never lost away from the beginning of the season. This is the reason why the game is exceptionally uncertain to predict. Add that Lecce has a new coach, Serse Cosmi, then things become impossible. I was looking at the line-ups and I see that Di Michele (forward) who has been out since the beginning of the season is finally back for Lecce, while Dias is always missing in the middle of Lazio's defense. What shocked me the most in the last encounters, although results just didn't come, are two Lecce players: Cuadrado & Muriel. I'm pretty sure that these gifted youngsters will leave a mark in this game. For all the above made considerations I'm directed into betting on home team to score. What shocked me the most is the price....1.50 (totosi)!
LECCE - LAZIO home team to score @ 1.50 (totosì) / stake 8/10
more cash for evereyone:nana
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December
I THINK THIS IS THE BEST CASH YOU CAN WIN:nanaSIENA - GENOA
This is one of the most difficult matches to predict in serie A this week. My scale is pending torwards backing up Genoa, considering the past encounters between the two teams and most of all because Malesani, Genoa coach is at his last opportunity to save his bench. If he were to loose this game the chances of getting kicked out are close to 100%.
The last times the two teams faced each other.... Played 5, Siena 0, Genoa 3, Drawn 2 Round 31, 28-Mar-2010 at Siena : Siena vs Genoa 0 - 0 Round 12, 08-Nov-2009 at Genoa : Genoa vs Siena 4 - 2 Round 26, 01-Mar-2009 at Siena : Siena vs Genoa 0 - 0 Round 7, 19-Oct-2008 at Genoa : Genoa vs Siena 1 - 0 Round 34, 20-Apr-2008 at Siena : Siena vs Genoa 0 - 1
If we were to examine the recent results, looks like that the trend is UNDER. At the current moment I would confirm that trend due to the fact that it's actually hard to score on Siena: expecially when they are playing home. Kaladze, central defender is booked for Genoa and will not play, along with Bovo (central d.), Antonelli (left back), Birsa (playmaker) and Kucka (central c.). Only Kaladze took part in the last game. Siena is complete. Siena tied 1 and lost 3 in their last 4 games, while Genoa's record is not more encouraging, 3 loses 1 victory. I really look forward into backing Genoa offered @ 3.20 (totosì) just for a matter of motivations and urgency, but considering the above said I'm going to bet on UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.70. This bet should represent stability. Both teams are scared to lose.
SIENA - GENOA UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.70 (totosì) stake 6/10 For who has courage to sell, try GENOA TO WIN @ 3.20 totosi
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December
Although I hate the entire team, I'm taking Inter right now! Montolivo will be out for Fiorentina, while Maicon and Sneijder are back for Inter. Ranieri looses Zanetti for booking and Chivu for injury.PROBABLE LINE-UPS Julio Cesar
Maicon Lucio Samuel Nagatomo Faraoni Cambiasso Motta Alvarez R. Milito PazziniI don't think Inter can afford a defeat or a draw. Many people have rested for the CL game. Any other result besides Inter's victory in this game should be considered as surprising. I don't think Fiorentina has solved problems with Delio Rossi. Some improvements have been made but the team remains more or less the same. Without Montolivo ( I think destined to Inter), I really see no game construction in Fiorentina. They are going to suffer Inter's centerfield.This will surely not be an easy game for Inter, it's just a MUST WIN situation. I think the price will go down. INTER TO WIN @ 1.93 (totosi) stake 7/10:nana
CASH
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December
Siena has a lot of chances to win the game, but Malesani is at his last game if Genoa were to obtain a bad result. The fear of loosing will prevail. That's why I was thinking of backing Genoa.to the writeups: Inter -0.5 @ 1.92 sbo I still believe this is the best bet of this weekend. Inter in situation that they must win it. They have the team to do so, but also lots of missings, but in this case depth of the Inter team come into question. Fiore misses Montolivo, but his motivation is questionable due to not want to sign new contract. Inter to win my call here Palermo -0.75 @ 1.82 Cesena did win two, but they are still bad team, compared to Palermo, who as already said, Ilicic is showing form that can take him to Chelsea, Miccoli getting better, and i think misses of Hernandez and Zahavi wont be noticed. Might be that missing of Migliacio would be the biggest miss as he is the motor in the middle. Still technically and tactically Palermo is far more gifted as Cesena team. I believe in easy home win. Lazio game for now no bet - waiting for Klose news.ž Siena - Genoa I thought about over here, as Genoa miss out on Kaladze and Dainelli, while also two other defenders could be out (Antonelli and Bovo). over 2 paid good, some 1.8, but leaving this one alone. Siena very well organized team, while Genoa team that can play really hot-cold. no bet -
Re: Italy - Serie B - 9-11 December Juvestabia could be a real menace for Sampdoria. I don't see the price of Sampdoria worth it. It's just not enough and does not display the reality of values. Sampdoria's players are finished. Samp. could win the game but it's not so given for granted.
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December
LECCE - LAZIO
Lecce never won a home game since the beginning of the season; Lazio never lost away from the beginning of the season. This is the reason why the game is exceptionally uncertain to predict. Add that Lecce has a new coach, Serse Cosmi, then things become impossible. I was looking at the line-ups and I see that Di Michele (forward) who has been out since the beginning of the season is finally back for Lecce, while Dias is always missing in the middle of Lazio's defense. What shocked me the most in the last encounters, although results just didn't come, are two Lecce players: Cuadrado & Muriel. I'm pretty sure that these gifted youngsters will leave a mark in this game. For all the above made considerations I'm directed into betting on home team to score. What shocked me the most is the price....1.50 (totosi)!
LECCE - LAZIO home team to score @ 1.50 (totosì) / stake 8/10
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December
PALERMO - CESENA
Against Juventus, Cesena didn't really play football. At the end of the game, stats showed that Cesena only kicked in goal once, with 1 corner and 31% ball possesion. Although I must admit that they were playing against Juventus, the outcome shouldn't be different against Palermo, a team that managed to win all home games. Migliaccio (defensive centerfielder) will be the only absent for Palermo, while for Cesena, expert goal-tender Antonioli is out for booking together with central defender Lauro.
PROBABLE LINE-UPS...
PALERMO: Benussi, Pisano, Silvestre, Munoz, Balzaretti, Acquah, Bacinovic, E.Barreto, Ilicic, Pinilla, Miccoli. CESENA: Ravaglia, Comotto, Von Bergen, Rodriguez, Ricci, Ceccarelli, Guana, Parolo, Djokovic, Bogdani, Mutu.
I would also like everyone to note that Candreva, Eder, Martinez and Ghezzal, Cesena's best players, due to poor physical conditions will start from the bench. Against Cesena we have no choice but to back up Palermo for their 7th. consecutive home win.
PALERMO to win @ 1.60 (totosi) / stake 6/10
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December
CAGLIARI- PARMA
Another UNDER 2.5 goals match. Not to many goals in Seria A lately. I was examining the record between the two teams. Cagliari's home record consists of 1 vicotry, 4 ties and 1 lost. Parma's away record is of 1 vicotry and 5 loses with ZERO tied games. The two teams are complete. Only Nenè will not play for Cagliari. The chances of a low scoring game are very high. Naingolan is back for Cagliari. He should give a lot of balance and wisdom to Cagliari's centerfield together with Biondini and Conti. Parma looks a lot more solid with Galloppa, Marrone and Valliani finally playing together in the middle. I see a very tight match with above average fouls by both teams. These are the classic Serie A matches where the teams play an attentive game. Ibarbo, Cagliari forward impressed me a lot last week. I'm also expecting a lot from Cossu, which seems to be only the shadow of the wonderful player we have seen last year.
CAGLIARI- PARMA UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 1.70 (totosì)/ stake 6/10 Cagliari to win @ 2.00 (totosì)/ stake 4/10
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December
ATALANTA - CATANIA
Again another UNDER 2.5 goals match; at least in appearance, but indeed very delicate. Atalanta is one of the few teams that haven't lost a home game yet. Looking at the recent results, Atalanta is coming from 3 consecutive draws, while Catania from 2 loses 1 win. These two teams express their potential when playing home. Catania is an exceptionally bad visiting team. Scheltto will be a fundamental element for Atalanta. He is back from booking. Lucchini, central defender, is out for booking on the Atalanta side, while for Catania, everyone seems to be available. I think it's time that Atalanta wins so I would direct my prediction torwards favoring them for this match. The price is absolutely interesting. I was also considering that Atalanta's solidity is represented by the fact that everyone plays for Denis, the only offensive terminal. With this I'm saying that as soon as Atalanta score on Catania, the game could be considered finished because Atalanta will lock the players in defense.
ATALANTA TO WIN @ 2.00 (totosì)/ stake 6/10
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December
SIENA - GENOA
This is one of the most difficult matches to predict in serie A this week. My scale is pending torwards backing up Genoa, considering the past encounters between the two teams and most of all because Malesani, Genoa coach is at his last opportunity to save his bench. If he were to loose this game the chances of getting kicked out are close to 100%.
The last times the two teams faced each other.... Played 5, Siena 0, Genoa 3, Drawn 2 Round 31, 28-Mar-2010 at Siena : Siena vs Genoa 0 - 0 Round 12, 08-Nov-2009 at Genoa : Genoa vs Siena 4 - 2 Round 26, 01-Mar-2009 at Siena : Siena vs Genoa 0 - 0 Round 7, 19-Oct-2008 at Genoa : Genoa vs Siena 1 - 0 Round 34, 20-Apr-2008 at Siena : Siena vs Genoa 0 - 1
If we were to examine the recent results, looks like that the trend is UNDER. At the current moment I would confirm that trend due to the fact that it's actually hard to score on Siena: expecially when they are playing home. Kaladze, central defender is booked for Genoa and will not play, along with Bovo (central d.), Antonelli (left back), Birsa (playmaker) and Kucka (central c.). Only Kaladze took part in the last game. Siena is complete. Siena tied 1 and lost 3 in their last 4 games, while Genoa's record is not more encouraging, 3 loses 1 victory. I really look forward into backing Genoa offered @ 3.20 (totosì) just for a matter of motivations and urgency, but considering the above said I'm going to bet on UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.70. This bet should represent stability. Both teams are scared to lose.
SIENA - GENOA UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.70 (totosì) stake 6/10 For who has courage to sell, try GENOA TO WIN @ 3.20 totosi
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December Although I hate the entire team, I'm taking Inter right now! Montolivo will be out for Fiorentina, while Maicon and Sneijder are back for Inter. Ranieri looses Zanetti for booking and Chivu for injury.
PROBABLE LINE-UPS Julio Cesar
Maicon Lucio Samuel Nagatomo Faraoni Cambiasso Motta Alvarez R. Milito PazziniI don't think Inter can afford a defeat or a draw. Many people have rested for the CL game. Any other result besides Inter's victory in this game should be considered as surprising. I don't think Fiorentina has solved problems with Delio Rossi. Some improvements have been made but the team remains more or less the same. Without Montolivo ( I think destined to Inter), I really see no game construction in Fiorentina. They are going to suffer Inter's centerfield.This will surely not be an easy game for Inter, it's just a MUST WIN situation. I think the price will go down. INTER TO WIN @ 1.93 (totosi) stake 7/10 -
Re: Italy - Serie B - 9-11 December Like 3 games in serie B: medium stake and in multiple as always ASCOLI - VARESE - Ascoli to win @ 2.65 (totosi) Probabale line-ups ASCOLI: Maurantonio, Gazzola, Ciofani, Faisca, Peccarisi, Pasqualini, Di Donato, Pederzoli, Sbaffo, Papa Waigo, Soncin. VARESE: Bressan, Pucino, Figliomeni, Damonte, Cacciatore, Nadarevic, Corti, Kurtic, Carrozza, Martinetti, Cellini. I'm considering of taking Ascoli to win. For the Varese side Grillo, Troest, Camisa e Terlizzi are all out. These four defenders always play! So Varese is pratically without defenders for this game. Ascoli will be missing only Guarna, their golie. Also I would like to remind everyone that the league has removed the 3 points of penalty given to Ascoli. CITTADELLA - REGGINA both to score @ 1.75 (totosi) I think that with Job & Maah for the home side, and Bonazzoli and Ragusa for visitors, goals should'nt be a problem here. NOCERINA - CROTONE both to score @ 1.75 (totosi) Nocerina's games this year have been registering many over 2.5 goals. Considering that Crotone's defense is not extremely solid, and Nocerina's a joke, goals will not be a probelm. Also Vinetot e Abruzzese, central defenders of Crotone are out for this match. The team is without defenders.
TOTAL MULTIPLE: 8.11
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 10-12 December Hi everyone… I’m apologizing everyday to the administrators of the forum and especially to Mr.Paul Ross. Up to know they haven’t decided to forgive me for my uncivil behavior displayed last week.I really hope that they can accept my sincere apologies. And honestly I really hope that the members of the forum could give me a hand for me to be re-admitted. Again, my apologies to the staff of punters lounge, to the administrators and really from the bottom of my heart to Mr. Paul Ross. I hope he can find the courage and humanity to forgive my actions. I don’t know if this post will be taken off or not; probably it will last for very little time. I hope as many people possible will be able to look at it. I’m not an arrogant person, but actually very open hearted. My problem is my bad temper. I promise to keep my arrogance, attitude aside and respect the staff and all whom might have been offended by my actions. I’m sorry.
My predictions for this SERIE A week: 3 GAMES TO BET AT STAKE 10/10 IN MULTIPLE
BOLOGNA – MILAN – MILAN TO WIN @ 1.47 (totosi)
Not too much to say to justify my pick. Milan is definitely the team to beat this year again. With Ibrahimovic rested for the non influent CL game and with a recovered Pato, which seems to be acquiring his best form, I really see no chances whatsoever for Bologna. Pulzetti, Bologna defender will be out for bookings, while for the AC Milan side, Boateng and Nocerino have 80% chances of playing for some lower back problems the first and hamstring problems the second. Loria, Bologna central defender, is one of the worst SERIE A players. I really see them crying in the tentative to stop Ibra from scoring. The only problems for Ac Milan may come from Diamanti and from the talent of Ramirez. Although Nesta is missing, Yepes is not a bad replacement. Di Vaio’s age is beginning to be a problem (35) and Thiago Silva should stop him without problems. For the rest I’m sure that Bologna’s defense will concede at least a couple.
NOVARA – NAPOLI – NAPOLI TO WIN @ 1.90 (totosi)
At the beginning I was really undecided to back Napoli or not. I was thinking of a DRAW OR NAPOLI TO WIN @ 1.22 (totosi). Looking at Novara I really see a prominent relegation into SERIE B. They just don’t have the players for SERIE A. Meggiorini, their most dangerous striker is out for bookings., while Lisuzzo and Paci, (central defenders) are still out for physical problems. I really count on Napoli’s enthusiasm for passing to the CL next round. Considering their position in SERIE A at minus 9 from Juventus, what sense would it have for Napoli to draw? I think Mazzarri’s team will put 110% effort into winning this game and most of all Napoli will risk everything to obtain the 3 points. How is Novara’s defense going to stop Cavani and Lavezzi? They will without doubt be the key of the game.
UDINESE - CHIEVO – UDINESE TO WIN @ 1.50 (totosi)
In the past years, all punters and Serie A reporters have been saying: “Udinese is going to collapse”. This is not happening…And every Sunday I keep having the impression that the Pozzo’s (Udinese’s owners) have added new talents to the team. Bought in Brazil for a couple of dollars, Danilo is proving to be one of the most solid defenders of Serie A. Benatia is contended by the major European clubs and is proving every Sunday to be extra solid in the back. Di Natale and Floro Flores ( I’m pretty sure he is going to score against Chievo) should offer some goals. Isla-Armero-Asamoah and a very interesting Badu in the middle should provide consistency and balance to Udinese’s centerfield. For the Chievo side, I see a team that hasn’t found balance and form. Rigoni C is going to miss the match, Bradley, Vacek, Luciano and Sammarco represent an unforeseen centerfield. Pellisier up front is going to have a hard time.
TOTAL MULTIPLE – 4.18
Italy - Serie A - 20-21 December
in Italian Football Predictions
Posted
Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-21 December
SIENA - FIORENTINA
Difficult game for Fiorentina, who almost managed to loose the game against a better organized Atalanta. Siena is not getting results as well lately. As a matter of fact Siena has recorded 4 consecutive loses in the last four games while Fiorentina hasn't done much better..One win, one draw 2 loses. Has the change of coach restored serenity and game to Fiorentina? Many think that the answer is quite simple: no. Everyone looks to be available for both teams. Montolivo is back for Fiorentina, while Vargas & Cerci will contend a spot.
Probable lineups: SIENA
Brkic Vitiello Rossettini Terzi Del Grosso Mannini Gazzi D'agostino Brienza Destro Calaio' FIORENTINA
Boruc De Silvestri Gamberini Nastasic Pasqual Behrami Montolivo Lazzari Vargas Jovetic Gilardino