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retrovertigo

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Posts posted by retrovertigo

  1. Re: Copa del Rey

    Barcelona (O) @1.95 (Bet365) / 7/10 Barca (-1) @4.15 (Bet365) / 2/10
    Real was pathetic, especially in second half. They have big ambitions, great players, they play at home ground and 27% possessions + 2 shots + 1 corner.:rollin Barca should cover (-1) handicap also. Nevertheless, with some live bet, that I took in half time (Barca to win @6), some very nice profit. :ok
  2. Re: Copa del Rey First post, so welcome everyone. English is not my native language but I'll try ma best and I think it should be clear enough. So, Barca-Real again. In last 2 years I earn the biggest money when I play Barca in El Clasico games, especially when they play at Santiago Bernabeu. Today I'll try to continue this way. Surely, Barcelona is not in a great form lately, especially away from home (3-4-1, 12-9), but for me this is not a main issue here. Like Simao BVB mentioned above, I recognize this poor Barca away form as a rather motivation problem and that problem disappear when they play against biggest teams (f.e. they won away with AC Milan 3:2 Real 3:1). In that kind of games Messi&Co rise the level of their game and show intense and mature football. Messi don't play good recently, but he always can easily produce some goal(s) or assist(s) when he have a guys like Fabregas, Sanchez or Iniesta up front, especially against Real (Messi scored 7 goals in last 6 games at SB). Real wins every game (except this with Barca of course), but when you look at them closely, they don't play particularly well recently. Los Blancos had some problems with Malaga and Mallorca in last games when their loosing in halftime and showed some mental strength after breake to grab a wins. The main attacking guys Cristiano, Ozil and Kaka are rather out of form, Di Maria is not 100% fit so he rather will not play; only Benzema & Higuain plays some very nice stuff, but only one of them will play tonight. But the most important thing is that Real underachieve against Blaugrana. It seems Los Blancos have some Barca complex, sometimes it look like Real don't have faith in their ability to beat them (f.e. second half of the last game). On the other hand Barcelona recently play against Real with great self-confidence, as they show in that game at SB, when Benzena scored in 1 min. and than Barca score 3 in a row. Look at the El Clasico stats from last 3 years - 8-3-1 (W-D-L) for Barca, with the only Real win in Cup final after extra-time; goal difference - 28-10 (4-2-0 and 16-6 in goals at SB). One more interesting stats - Barcelona isinvincible for 50 games in a row when Carles Puyol have played - and today he'll play in first 11 for sure. One thing worry me a little - this is the cup game and there will be second leg at Camp Nou, so draw is something that could satisfy Barca. But this is El Clasico and I think they go for the win to show once again their domintion above biggest rival and to build some psychological advance in league competition. With what I mention above, I see good value in taking Barca OAH at nearly even. I take a Barca (-1) also, but for a lower stake - they beat this handicap at Santiago twice last year (CL 2:0 + last game 3:1), so why not one more time. Odds above 4 are high enough to try. GL for all Barcelona (O) @1.95 (bet365) / 7/10 Barca (-1) @4.15 (bet365) / 2/10

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