[USA > MLS - 2013]

Re: USA > MLS - 2013 SEATTLE +0.5 AT ODDS 1.69 Seattle had a very rough start. Now with no distractions and absences team focus is solely on getting results and points in MLS. This is a very deep and talented team and they acquired Obafemi Martens to add to their impressive attack. With so many talented players offensive woes will stop soon, and players are very motivated to end this bad streak. This game is believed to be decided in the midfield, but Seattle have nice advantage there. Injury to Morales, and guys like Gil and Velasquez in RSL line up, who are not very good and been the main reason behind their weak offense. Their central defenders are also not very impressive, so it will be very tough for hosts to get something out of this game. If Seattle show their true level today, they will dominate this away game. They've been very good at it last season, and RSL is nothing special at the moment.

[USA > MLS - 2013]

Re: USA > MLS - 2013 Portland Timbers pk at odds 2.49 Pinnacle Hosts are in a very bad shape. Not only their play was poor at the start of the season, they have ton of injuries to key starting players. Even with them in line up Rapids don't control the ball, and always lose in possesion and shots on target category. As home team, you ususally want this to be your strength, not weakness. Their starting GK is a third option, defenders are young and not very good, so you can't expect strong showing and lack of mistakes from them. So what we have here, is team that's not very good when healthy, and in this game there will be 4-5 starters missing, with bad young players taking their place. Portland looks great in this matchup, they've been very tough to beat, but weren't able to get away with many points. Part of the problem was that they were playing good teams, and felt behind for no reason. But in this match they will definately have confidence and skill advantage to take 3 points on away soil. I really like their chances, cause they are desperate for victory, while their opponents are very weak. Risky option is to take Portland win for 3.58, but I prefer to stick with safer one. There is no way they should be underdogs here. Over 2.5 goals seems legit option too. Montreal Impact pk at odds 3.19 Pinnacle This is going to be very interesting game. Montreal is on a very unexpected run of 4 straight wins to start the season. Coaching change made big difference and now this team is an elite one, ready to make playoffs and be right at the top. But still their run must end soon and Sporting KC seems like the team to do it. That has to be reasoning behind odds but I feel completely different. Unexpected or not, their streak is result of their quality and confidence. They've been playing their game and opponents just can't deal with it. Veteran striker Di Vaio is in perfect shape. He have great awareness and feel of the game and he uses his main weapon exceptionally well against weak and unexpirienced MLS defenders. Italian have multiple scoring opportunities every match, and realisation is excellent in last couple of matches. Midfielders provide great support and know how to get him the ball in dangerous areas. Their defence is great, with Nesta and Ferrari leading the way. Nesta got injured, but the effort is there even without him. When he is healthy, this is by far the best defence in the league. As for Sporting, things are not looking so good. They have their key players returning from national duty. Adding to this is their weak bench players, who failed to deliever in offence. The team is scoreless for 2 straight games and guys like Sapong and Saad are not game changers off the bench. Despite keeping clean sheet, their defence has some problems in it too. Jerome Mechack and Oriol Rossell are young players, and definately not in the same skill category as Italian veterans of Montreal. The way I see it, Montreal is a stronger team at the moment, and have everything going for them. Their opponents, despite being very strong home team, have some rusty key players, weak spots in their strating line up, and problems with scoring the ball. Even though under 2,5 seems to be super obvious choice, I think neither of teams will play it safe and we may see crazy things happening. So my final choice is to take road team +0, because odds are too sweet to pass on it. Houston Dynamo win at 2.06 with Pinnacle Start of the season has been hard for many "powerhouse" teams of last season. San Jose is one of them, and they already lost some points. Wondolowski finally found his touch, but he missed many chances. In my opinion, last season was a pinnacle of his career and he probably won't improve or even repeat this kind of perfomance. Same goes for his team. They already have some young and unexpirienced players who are starting (Fucito and Harden), and their bench is very weak. Their coach don't even use 1 substitute in some games, and guys who usually come in (Attakora, Gargan, Jahn, Garza, Cato) are not much of a spark. With all this in mind, Houston looks much better in this matchup. They are a very strong home team coming of a win against Vancouver. Their midfield is rock solid and they have good rotation of quality players. Dominating midfield will be key for Houston, because Quakers are not very versatile with their formation and style of play. They use regular 4-4-2 and won't be looking to play in more defensive manner. This will allow Houston to put extra pressure and create more chances to score. I believe this game will end with Houston win and more than 2.5 goals scored. But SJ is a team that is capable of scoring and they were best road team last season, so safer option with -0.25 or DNB also makes sense.

[Grex's HOMES; 525 selections; +5.6% yield]

Re: Grex's HOMES; 305 bets; +15.5% yield [QUOTE=Datapunter;2227518]I suspect the high yield on the system is simply down to the ability to bet at odds well above the industry average. As long as you can maintain getting top prices that is all there is to it. Milan: Industry: 1.42 (see betexplorer) Betfair: 1.41 (after commission 1.39) You got: 1.53 Roma: Industry: 1.55 (see betexplorer) Betfair: 1.59 (after commission 1.56) You got: 1.62[/QUOTE] I can just say from my own experience of following Grex's systems, but odds were never hard to find. Actually, I mostly get better odds than those posted. Odds that Grex give are available at WH or Pinnacle. So it's not the matter of fishing for best price 1 hour before game starts, but the matter of betting it early (Friday), when selections are released. I bet it early, and never mentioned something wrong with odds or stats keeping. So just want to thanks Grex for all his efforts and honesty, good job!

[Grex's HOMES; 558 selections; +5.1% yield]

Re: Grex's HOMES; 305 bets; +15.5% yield

I suspect the high yield on the system is simply down to the ability to bet at odds well above the industry average. As long as you can maintain getting top prices that is all there is to it. Milan: Industry: 1.42 (see betexplorer) Betfair: 1.41 (after commission 1.39) You got: 1.53 Roma: Industry: 1.55 (see betexplorer) Betfair: 1.59 (after commission 1.56) You got: 1.62

I can just say from my own experience of following Grex's systems, but odds were never hard to find. Actually, I mostly get better odds than those posted. Odds that Grex give are available at WH or Pinnacle. So it's not the matter of fishing for best price 1 hour before game starts, but the matter of betting it early (Friday), when selections are released. I bet it early, and never mentioned something wrong with odds or stats keeping. So just want to thanks Grex for all his efforts and honesty, good job!