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pinko_rp

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Posts posted by pinko_rp

    Serie A - September 25-27

    in Italian Football Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Serie A - September 25-27 Fiorentina - Juventus I hope that Viola will stop Juventus' unbeaten run. But I expect very nervous game where the winner is unknown. These teams are in bad relations lately. The last thing that happened was that Juventus spoiled transfer of Dimitar Berbatov - who finally went to Fulham. I've made a combo bet for over 5.5 card (odds 1.80 @ bet365) and over 1.25 goals (odds 1.24). Last year in 0-5 in Florence there were 2 yellow and a red card but this year I expect more. Fiorentina's last game (1-1 away at Parma) was full of cards. Not the same in Juventus-Chievo game but there was no emotions in it.

    Slovakia > Corgon League > 2012-13

    in Other European Leagues Football Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Slovakia > Corgon League > 2012-13 lazynko , Don't you think all that you have written is a good reason for Nitra not to play at full strength. Winning or loosing - 0 points! Why bother than? I have just put a small bet on Slovan AH -1.75 to see if it won't finish 2-0 or more. As I see statistics for the last 2 championships Slovan never won with more than a single goal, so this could be their chance!

    Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13

    in Other European Leagues Football Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Chernomorets Burgas - Minyor Pernik pick: Home win, odds: 1.35 @ bet365 Confidence: 7/10 Most probable results: 2-0, 1-0 Both team are at the bottom of the table after they managed to win only 2 points in their first 5 games. After the big loss at Lokomotiv Plovdiv Minyor's coach had withdrawn from the team. There is a new one (Nikolay Todorov) who was a good player but his experience as a coach is very limited. On other hand Chernomorets with only two points at this stage is a big surprise. They have sold their best players from last year Aatif Chahechouhe and Assis but the other part of the team is still the same. The players that left the squad were replaced by some that are not so highly rated but not bad players at all - Daniel Mladenov and Lachezar Baltanov from Levski and Rumen Trifonov from CSKA. In the last game they had to win away at Montana but lost 1-0 which was one of the very little surprises. This week it's high time for them to pick up their first win. Other possible betting option is under 2.5 goals (odds: 1.85 @ bet365) cause 7 of the last 8 matches between these two teams finished this way: Chernomorets Burgas Minyor Pernik 1:1 17.11.2008 Minyor Pernik Chernomorets Burgas 1:0 23.05.2009 Minyor Pernik Chernomorets Burgas 2:0 31.10.2009 Chernomorets Burgas Minyor Pernik 3:1 22.04.2010 Chernomorets Burgas Minyor Pernik 0:0 01.11.2010 Minyor Pernik Chernomorets Burgas 0:1 14.05.2011 Chernomorets Burgas Minyor Pernik 1:0 27.10.2011 Minyor Pernik Chernomorets Burgas 1:1 27.04.2012 And all 5 matches that Chernomorets played this season finished under 2.5 goals. The only problem for this bet is the situation with Minyor's defence which proved to be second worst (after total outsiders Botev Vratsa) conceding 11 goals or 2.2 average per game! GL

    Champions League > September 19th

    in Champions League Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Champions League > September 19th I've picked Valencia + 2 goals Asian handicap (odds 1.5 @ offsidebet) in a combo with a goal for Burnley and over 1.5 goals in Braga-Cluj. Bayern are the biggest favourites but they have 2-3 new players in their squad and they will need time to stick together. Last year Bayern won only one game at home with more than a goal diffence: 27/09/11 UCL Bayern München 2 - 0 Manchester City 02/11/11 UCL Bayern München 3 - 2 Napoli 22/11/11 UCL Bayern München 3 - 1 Villarreal 13/03/12 UCL Bayern München 7 - 0 Basel 03/04/12 UCL Bayern München 2 - 0 Olympique Marseille 17/04/12 UCL Bayern München 2 - 1 Real Madrid 19/05/12 UCL Bayern München 1 - 1P Chelsea In the same time Valencia lost only once with more one goal their away games in their last 2 Champions league's campaigns: 14/09/10 UCL Bursaspor 0 - 4 Valencia 20/10/10 UCL Rangers 1 - 1 Valencia 07/12/10 UCL Manchester United 1 - 1 Valencia 09/03/11 UCL Schalke 04 3 - 1 Valencia 13/09/11 UCL Genk 0 - 0 Valencia 19/10/11 UCL Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 Valencia 06/12/11 UCL Chelsea 3 - 0 Valencia

    Champions League > September 19th

    in Champions League Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Champions League > September 19th Shakhtar - Nordsjælland The only question for this game is how many goals will Shakhtar score in Nordsjælland's net? I have made my bet on Shakhtar over 2.5 goals, odds 2.00 @ bet365. Statistics for the last matches of the "Ukrainians" show that they usually score 3 or more: 26/08/12 PRL Shakhtar Donetsk 3 - 0 Karpaty 02/09/12 PRL Shakhtar Donetsk 3 - 1 Dynamo Kyiv 07/09/12 CLF Petrolul Ploieshti 0 - 3 Shakhtar Donetsk 09/09/12 CLF Rapid Bucuresh 1 - 1 Shakhtar Donetsk 15/09/12 PRL Zorya 0 - 3 Shakhtar Donetsk Even Dynamo Kyiv conceded 3 here and they are far strong team which is familiar with games in Donetsk! I do not agree that Shakhtar will have the game with Dynamo Kyiv in mind cause it is on Sunday and as I have shown they do not have problems at home against their bigest rival!!!

    Champions League > September 18th

    in Champions League Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Champions League > September 18th Borussia Dortmund - Ajax pick: Reus to score any time and Dortmund to win odds: 2.50 @ skybet Marco Reus was excellent since moving from the "little Borussia" and though he is the second most probable goal-scorer (after Levandovski) he is my pick for today. He scored in the games against Oberneuland and Werder Bremen at the start of the season but after that missed his chances Nürnberg and Leverkusen, so he might get back to scoring today.

    Champions League > September 18th

    in Champions League Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Champions League > September 18th

    Agree with the Arsenal bet, they have started surprisingly well this season, look solid at the back and will always create chances. I know little to nothing about Montpellier, and can only go off stats but as you say they haven't started the season well. Arsenal will likely dominate possession, and they have plenty of pace and creative players. I have been burnt before with big early round bets on seemingly certain winners in the CL and EL and this is far from that, to be honest I need draw cover to back this with confidence but at 1.67 I think its a solid price and one thats likely to drop in the next few days. Arsenal DNB - 1.67 - coral - 10 Points
    Other interesting bet for this match that I made at skybet is Arsenal to win Either half. Odds are almost the same - 1.61. For the first time in many years Gunners show good game in defence - conceding just once in 4 matches. On other hand Montpellier started awful, and not only their results, but the game they play sucks.

    Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13

    in Other European Leagues Football Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 I think that the banker this week will be Lokomotiv Plovdiv to beat Minyor Pernik. Odds are around 1.70 - 1.75 at this time. Lokomotiv managed to stabilise after their owner have withdrawn from the team. They finished all their 4 matches with a draw. In these 4 they played with 3 teams that finished in top 5 last year (Litex - home, CSKA and Chernomorets - away (neutral venue for CSKA if we had to be accurate)). The players that left the squad were replaced by some that are not so highly rated but not bad players at all. Minyor's problems on other had are not solved. They have drawn two and lost two games from the start of the season. In their last home match there were battle scenes are currently they have ban to play at home. Statics show that these two teams played many draws between each-other. But this year I think that Lokomotiv, with the help of its fans, will manage to win this game. my picks: Lokomotiv, odds: 1.72 @ bet365, conf 6/10 DNB Lokomotiv, odds: 1.30 @ bet365, conf 8/10 Lokomotiv to win by 1 goal, odds: 3.50 @ bet365, conf 5/10 Lokomotiv to win by more than 1 goal, odds: 3.20 @ bet365, conf 4/10 IMO Cherno more could win their first home win cause Botev's game away is not so good as it is in Plovdiv. Litex-Ludogorets is a three way match so I won't recommend it at all. With the bet on Lokomotiv's home win I've combined OVER 1.5 goals for the game between Pirin Gotse Delchev and Slavia. Newcomers Pirin started with two 2-1 wins over Minyor Pernik at home and Botev Vratsa away. After that they lost 0-2 from the champion Ludogorets and last week beat 1-0 Etar away - which was their only under 1.5 game. Slavia started with bad defeat 0-3 in Plovdiv and sloppy 2-1 win over Montana. After that they played 0-0 visit to Cherno more where many goals do not happen to no team. Last week they trashed Beroe 6-1. Both team mood will be good so I expect open game with many goals. Over 2.5 is priced 1.85 @ bet365!!! GL

    World Cup Qualifiers > Europe - Sep 7/8

    in World Cup 2022 Tips & Predictions

    Posted

    Re: World Cup Qualifiers > Europe - Sep 7/8 Bulgaria - Italy On book this must be one of the most interesting game this week. But I don't see it this way. Our team is experience very big problems in scoring goals in the last 2-3 years. In fact in the last friendly (1-0 win over Cyprus) we scored our first goal in home match since 14th October 2010 when Georgia was beaten 6-2. I won't mention our current FIFA ranking place which is almost 90 places below that of Italy. The problem is that our team hardly scores goals. Our best player Berbatov have withdrawn from the team. He was believed to change his position but this did not happen. One of our options in attack - Valery Bojinov was without a team, and just a week ago signed with Serie B team Verona. Our captain and best option in attack Ivelin Popov had problems with his former team in Turkey and finally was transferred to the Russian team Kuban but he has lack of form as well. Ilian Mitsanski who scored the winner against Cyprus has problems in Kayserslautern, cause he does not get enough time on the pitch and asked the team for transfer but was left in the team. Manolev had been put on the bench for PSV, cause he wanted to be transferred as well. Probably coach Penev will start with many players from Bulgarian championship cause at least they have enough time on the pitch. Capitan Stilian Petrov is trying to beat leukemia and the other experienced player - Martin Petrov is left out of the team. The coach had to bring two strikers on emergency - Genkov and Rangelov, who had played for the team but not lately. On other hand Italy has it's injury problems as well. In this game guests will be without their first choice forwards - Balotteli and Cassano who have fitness problems. But the other options that their coach has are good enough for the win. Buffon who missed some games for Juventus is back. This will make problems for Bulgaria to score even bigger. Bulgarian fan has turned his back from our national team and the friendly against Cyprus was watched by 200-300 fans. In this game there would be more fans but they will want to see Italy. I think this game will finish 0-1 or 0-3 so I've took a bet for Italy with asian handycap ot 0.75 - odds WERE 1.95 at bet365 but now dropped a little. Other posible bets: Away win, odds 1.70 @ bet365, confidence 7/10 Under 2.5 goals, odds 1.53 @ bet365, confidence 5/10 Italy not to concede, odds 1.90 @ bet365, confidence 6/10 Both not to score, odds 1.57 @ bet365, confidence 7/10 GL

    Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13

    in Other European Leagues Football Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 About the match between Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Sofia I took Lokomotiv +2.25 goals (odds, 1.525 @ bet365). Last year it finished 4-0 but at that time Lokomotiv was nearly relegated, with their owner on his way out. This year they are stable enough so I expect today probably the match will finish 2-1, 3-1, cause I don't see how the team from Razgrad will win with 3 goals!!!

    Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13

    in Other European Leagues Football Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Levski - Cherno More pick: Levski (AH-1.5) odd: 1.75 @ bet365 confidence: 7/10 Levski won 3 out of 3 and the team probably will be the only one that could challenge Ludogorets for the title. After games with FC Saraevo in League Europe their from is picking up. They have already played two games at home beating Chernomorets and Botev Plovdiv. They have scored 6 goals and conceded just 1 in their matches. On other hand Cherno more started bad with 0-3 loss at home from champion Ludogorets. After that game they managed to beat newcomers Etar away 1-0 but after that they have spoiled things with dull 0-0 draw at home with Slavia. They have problems in attack though they were scoring 2 goals in their last friendlies. Away team has no success at this stadium. They have managed to win just a point at Georgy Asparuhov - back at 28.09.2003. other possible picks: BTS No; Cherno more - under 0.5! GL

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