[Tennis 09-16 October]

Re: Tennis 09-16 October

Shanghai final Ferrer vs Murray over 20.5 games @evens local bookie OK, I was shocked seeing Ferrer ML around 5.00 in a couple of books. The fact is that Murray always defeats Ferrer on hard and Ferrer beats Murray on clay. They played last week in Tokyo SF, and Murray won 62 63. Me too I expect Murray to win this one, but 20.5 games? This line is probably calculated from the odds, but IMO this is a mistake. First - the court in Shanghai is slower than the one in Tokyo. And second - If you look at Murray's path, he had it all too easy. The only seeded player he had to beat was Stan Wawrinka, and Andy dropped a set with him. The rest are Ebden, Tursunov, Nishikori ... OMG! Ferrer had it much harder, had to beat couple of top quality players, let's begin with Andy Roddick to name a few :-) The bottom line is - I really do not expect the final to be over in two straight sets (straight in the sense of not exceeding 6 games for the winner). 20.5 games is common, but quite interestingly, Pinnacle did not publish total games line yet. All in all, 20.5 seems tooo loooow for this match. GL :hope

Great job you made here, and on the rest of that tournament.