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oneofthebest

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Posts posted by oneofthebest

  1. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012 [TABLE=width: 100%]

    [TR] [TD]Sport[/TD] [TD] Tennis [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=width: 150]Event[/TD] [TD] Kvitova - Errani [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=width: 150]Selection[/TD] [TD] Under 19 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=width: 150]Strength[/TD] [TD] 1/10 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=width: 150]Date[/TD] [TD] 25/01/2012 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bookmaker/Price[/TD] [TD] Pinnacle Sports @ 1.71 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Reasoning[/TD] [TD] In my opinion Petra Kvitova can destroy Sarra Errani tonight on the court. Day session, so conditions are sunny and balls can flying really fast - this is huge advantage for Czech Republic star.. In this conditions I see many free points on the serve for Petra and huge troubles on the serve for Errani - agressive, powerfull return from Kvitova. Look like fast match for Petra. Too high line 6-2, 6-2 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
  2. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Sharapova - Lisicki
    Selection Sharapova
    Strength 2/10
    Date 23/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.30
    Reasoning Sharapova for me is clear favourite of this match. In this tournament show amazing form, won all matches with huge difference - Dulko, Hampton, Kerber - lost 5 games in this tournament. 2-0 in h2h for Maria, two matches in previous season - one on hard court, one on the grass. Lisicki two times concended set in this tournament and for sure Maria form is better.
    Sport Tennis
    Event Gasquet - Ferrer
    Selection Over 3.5 sets
    Strength 2/10
    Date 23/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Paddy Power @ 1.53
    Reasoning The best option for this match in my opinion. Ferrer is favourite, because leading 5-1 in h2h. Gasquet in my opinion can't win this match 3-0, but I really can't image 0-3. Gasquet in last round against Tipsarevic show amazing stuff on the court, winner after winner, not makin unforced errors. Ferrer lost 2 sets against poor Sweeting and have troubles against Chela, especially in first set. Close match
  3. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Ivanovic - Kvitova
    Selection Ivanovic +5 (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 2/10
    Date 23/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Titanbet @ 1.90
    Reasoning Too high line in my opinion. Ana Ivanovic before this match leading 3-0 in h2h against Petra Kvitova, all matches on the hard courts.. Ana Ivanovic in this tournament look very strong, especially on the serve. Won all matches in straight sets. Kvitova against Suarez-Navarro lost set and looked very bad in second set. Yesterday won against Kirilenko, but after Maria retiretment.
    Sport Tennis
    Event Murray - Kukushkin
    Selection Under 28.5
    Strength 2/10
    Date 23/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Boylesports @ 1.83
    Reasoning Murray is a banker. Murray played in this year against Kukushkin, lost first set, but take 6-2, 6-3 next two. Murray in last two matches destroyed rivals, two French players Llodra and Vasselin. Kukushkin is after two 5 setters and for sure is very tired, I can't image too much chances for him to take set or something.
    Sport Tennis
    Event Tsonga - Nishikori
    Selection Tsonga -1.5 sets (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 2/10
    Date 23/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Boylesports @ 1.45
    Reasoning Tsonga for me take this match with 3-0 or 3-1 score. Tsonga lost two times against Nishikori, but tonight I see break of bad streak and easy win. Tsonga in this tournaent lost one set in first round against Istomin, is fresh. Not spend too much time on the court. Nishikori on the other hand played two long 5 setters in last two rounds and concended a lot energy. 3-1/3-0 for Jo-Wilfried
  4. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Lacko - Nadal
    Selection Lacko +9.5 (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 2/10
    Date 20/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Betsson @ 1.90
    Reasoning I see good chances for the Lacko to make 9 games in this match, or more.. Lacko in previous season took set(won 6-0), against Rafael Nadal on hard court. Here won Q in very good style and in main draw beat Ljubicic and Young, serving on the highest level. Nadal form in my opinion is not the best and for sure not want waste too much energy before more important matches, so one break per set is possible
    Sport Tennis
    Event Niculescu - Wozniacki
    Selection Over 17.5
    Strength 2/10
    Date 20/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Titanbet @ 1.90
    Reasoning Last meeting in 2008, Wozniacki won 6-3, 6-3 on New Heaven court. Wozniacki in previous match not look good for me, been totally out play in second set by Tatishvili, this is not good thing.. Niculescu is not good match up for here, very consitent players, especially on the return. I see troubles on the serve for Caroline. This match can be closer than many peoples think.
    Tip Detail
    Sport Tennis
    Event Karlovic - Federer
    Selection Karlovic +6.5 (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 2/10
    Date 20/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Unibet @ 1.87
    Reasoning This line is too high.. Karlovic played 10 times against Federer, Roger lead 9-1, but never broken Karlovic two times per set.. I can't image that tonight. Karlovic look good, made 44 aces in first two matches. Karlovic is not easy match up for everone in tour. 7-6, 6-4, 6-3 for Federer.
    Sport Tennis
    Event Azarenka - Barthel
    Selection Azarenka -5.5 (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 2/10
    Date 20/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Paddy Power @ 1.65
    Reasoning I can't image other result than easy win for Victoria Azarenka. Azarenka is in really hot form and is one of the biggest candidate to take title in Melbourne. In first two rounds lost only 2 games - 6:1, 6:0 against Robson and the same scoreline against Dellacqua.. Barthel won 10 matches in a row, of course not beat players on the Vika level. For sure can feel tired, in last match not serving that strong.
    Sport Tennis
    Event Benesova - Bratchikova
    Selection Benesova
    Strength 2/10
    Date 20/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.59
    Reasoning For me Benesova is big favourite of this match. Benesova always feel very good on the Australian Open courts, in previous season made 4th round here. In previous round beat TOP15 players Shuai Peng in really good style. Bratchikova have amazing run, won Q and beat two Italian players Pennetta and Brianti, but I can't image next win for her tonight.
    Sport Tennis
    Event Radwanska - Voskoboeva
    Selection Over 18
    Strength 2/10
    Date 20/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Bwin @ 1.90
    Reasoning I can image close match here, really. Voskoboeva is in very good form, especially on the serve. In first two matches beat in striaght sets two very good players - Wickmayer and Pironkova. First serve was very hard to take. Radwanska have huge troubles against Bethanie Mattek Sands in first round, in second beat Ormaechea in two sets, but Paula looked tired after 4 matches.
  5. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Haas - Nadal
    Selection Haas +9.5 (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 2/10
    Date 18/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.84
    Reasoning For me this line is too high. Tommy Haas is very experience player and for sure can make troubes on the serve for Rafael Nadal. Tommy Haas in first round match played 5 sets against Denis Kudla, 5 sets - Haas played 100 points on the serve and lost.. only 24! Made 20 aces in this match, if keep this level of serving I see huge chances for make this handicpa line. I based on the Haas serve form and experience
  6. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Young - Lacko
    Selection Young
    Strength 2/10
    Date 18/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.85
    Reasoning I don't understand why this are that high. Young played against Lacko few months ago on the US Open Grand Slam and take win in straight sets. Young in first round beat very dangerous and tricky opponent - Peter Gojowczyk who trashed rivals in Q. Lacko beat Ljubicic in 5 sets, but Ljubicic leading 2-0 and concended energy, very lucky situation for Lacko.
  7. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Mc Hale - Erakovic
    Selection Over 20.5
    Strength 2/10
    Date 18/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.95
    Reasoning I see good chances for the over here. Mc Hale in first round beat in straight sets Lucie Safarova, but match been closer than scoreline suggest. McHale won only 2 points more on the return, but been stronger in key moments and take win. Erakovic won in two really close sests against Qualifier Pavlovic. Marina is girl, who feel very good on surface like that and can take many free points on the serve
  8. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Jankovic-Chang
    Selection Over 16.5
    Strength 2/10
    Date 18/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Victor Chandler @ 1.85
    Reasoning Victor Chandler made mistake with this line in my opinion. Jankovic of course is huge favourite, but I see chances for Chang to make 5 games in this match. Chang is really good player, geat footwork, not bad on serve, good on the return. Won Q and in first round won in straight sets against Martic. Jankovic destroy Robson in first round, but Robson footwork been terrible in this match
  9. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Brianti - Bratchikova
    Selection Brianti +3 (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 2/10
    Date 18/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.00
    Reasoning Brianti is more experience player on this level, no doubts in that. In this moment is 70 position higher than Bratchikova, who never been in TOP100 in career. Bratchikova in first round made huge sensation and beat Pennetta in three sets, but Flavia looked terrible on the court. Brianti is very consitent player and feel really nice on hard courts, in first round not have any troubles against Falconi.
  10. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Lopez - Cipolla
    Selection Lopez -1.5 sets (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 2/10
    Date 18/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Unibet @ 1.55
    Reasoning I can't image Cipolla win here and I can't image more than one set for him here. Feliciano Lopez look amazing on the serve in first round match, is totally untouchable in service games. Won 7-6, 6-3, 7-6 agaiinst Leo Mayer. Big mentall power in key moments. Cipolla won in 5 long sets against Davydenko, who is very poor in this moment. Cipolla not serving good, lost 9 service games in this match. So, Lopez 3-0 or 3-1.
  11. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Kavcic - Del Potro
    Selection Kavcic +9 (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 2/10
    Date 18/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.85
    Reasoning Next too high line for tonight matches. Kavcic played against Del Potro in last season at Roland Garros grand slam, lost with exactly 9 games. Australian Open surface is faster and this is good chance for Kavcic to make more games. Kavcic in first round won in straight sets against James Ward. Del Potro lost set against Adrian Mannarino and played bad, especially on the serve, many break points for French player.
  12. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Riba - Kohlschreiber
    Selection Riba +8.5 (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 2/10
    Date 18/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Betsson @ 1.87
    Reasoning Kohlschreiber of course is huge favourite of this match, but I can't understand this handicap line. Kohlschreiber in first round have big troubles against not 100% fit Monaco, who played first match in 2012. Kohlschreiber won this match after 5 sets. Riba on the other hand played against expeirnece Albert Montanes, won in 4 sets(won two TB) and made 17 aces in this match. This line is too high
  13. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Gasquet - Seppi
    Selection Over 36.5
    Strength 8/10
    Date 17/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Paddy Power @ 1.83
    Reasoning Both players from TOP40, this match can be very close. H2H in this moment is 3:1 for Richard Gasquet, who is big favourite of this match, but last two matches are very close. Two three setters. Richard Gasquet is not mentall giant, for example if take 2 first sets, can lost motivation and can lost next two. Seppi is not a mug, this man take set against Federer 2 weeks ago in Doha. 4 or 5 sets
    Sport Tennis
    Event Peer - Holland
    Selection Under 17.5
    Strength 8/10
    Date 17/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Paddy Power @ 1.83
    Reasoning Sahar peer defending third round points from last year and for sure want take easy win here and not lost too much energy. In last weekend go to the semifinal at Hobart courts. Form is good. Holland take wild card, but this is too poor player to play close match against Peer. In this year played two matches, against out of form Dushevina(3-6, 4-6) and against other Australian player Dokic (0-6, 0-6) Comfortable win for Peer
  14. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Fish - Muller
    Selection Fish -2.5 sets (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 10/10
    Date 16/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.32
    Reasoning Fish not give any chances to win for the Muller tonight, trust me. Fish in 2011 played on hard court against him and not give too much chances. Fish is better serve, better returner, have better footwork and more experience on this level. I watch Fish match against Tomic in Kooyong Final and Mardy played really good tennis, if keep this level I see three sets for him.
  15. Re: Tennis: Australian Open 2012

    Sport Tennis
    Event Mannarino - Del Potro
    Selection Mannarino +8.5 (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 10/10
    Date 16/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Unibet @ 1.87
    Reasoning Adrian Mannarino played one time in career against Del Potro, and beat this guy on grass in 2011. Mannarino is excellent server, in this conditions feel great and I can't image too much break points for Del Potro. Del Potro of course is huge favourite here and 3-0 is very possible for him, but I not see more than one break per set.
    Sport Tennis
    Event Anderson - Nielsen
    Selection Anderson -2.5 sets (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 10/10
    Date 16/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price 10bet @ 2.60
    Reasoning I see easy win for Kevin Anderson. Kevin Anderson is TOP20 player on hard courts, no doubts in this for me. Huge serve, strong shots from the baseline and not bad return. If have good day Nielsen can not have a single break point. For Nielsen main draw is big result, but in Q not have very hard opponents. Tonight I not give chances for him.
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    Sport Tennis
    Event Danilidou - Date Krumm
    Selection Danilidou
    Strength 10/10
    Date 16/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.77
    Reasoning I see amazing value in this bet. Danilidou can't be big underdog in match against Kimiko Date Krumm. Odds dropping on the Krumm really fast, but why? Because won small tournament, not beat any TOP100 player.. Danilidou play good in Brisbane and Sydney against stronger rivals. Value
  16. Re: Tennis 8th-15th Jan Sport Tennis Event Nieminen - Benneteau Selection Nieminen -1.5 sets (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 15/01/2012 Bookmaker/Price Coral @ 4.00 Reasoning Big value for me, fair odds on the 3.20 level IMO. Nieminen leading 4:0 in h2h before this match. Benenteau is terrible in ATP finals. Nieminen in this tournament for me beat more dangerous players and have better return than Benneteau. Nieminen play in final here in past, time to first win in Sydney. Today or never. If win first set I can image only 2:0.

  17. Re: Tennis 8th-15th Jan Sydney/ Hobart

    Sport Tennis
    Event Kuznetsova - Zvonareva
    Selection Over 21.5
    Strength 10/10
    Date 09/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.04
    Reasoning Two Russian players on the court, two really experience players with many titles. Kuznetsova in last weekend show very good stuff on the courts, lost in semifinal against title winner Jie Zheng in three sets. Serving very good. For Zvonareva this is first match in new season, but of course Zvonareva is fantastic player, TOP10 on the world. Over look nice for me
  18. Re: Tennis 8th-15th Jan Sydney/ Hobart

    Tennis
    Event Kubot - Dodig
    Selection Kubot
    Strength 10/10
    Date 09/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Unibet @ 2.28
    Reasoning I see really good value in this odds. Kubot have better career balance on hard courts, especially better live time record on Ocenia tournaments. Kubot in past beat Dodig in three sets in Sarajevo. Kubot defending round of 16 from last year here, huge motivation. Dodig looked terrible in last weekend at Chennai courts
    Tennis
    Event Mayer - Muller
    Selection Mayer -1.5 sets (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 10/10
    Date 09/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.63
    Reasoning In my opinion Florian Mayer have very good chances to win this match in two sets. Florian is better player than Muller, no doubts in that. Here have really good motivation, defending semifinal points from last year. Muller not defending any points here, and this is the bigges reason for my bet, before Australian Open. Muller 2-0 or without win here hehe.
    Tennis
    Event Larsson - Errani
    Selection Larsson +1.5 sets (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 10/10
    Date 09/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 3.22
    Reasoning Huge value in this odds. Larsson is 59 player on the world and for sure have potential to be TOP40 or something like that. Have good weapons for hard courts - forehand and strong serve. Errani in last weekend won 6-1, 6-1 against her, but this is WTA and I can't trust for 1.15 odds, really. Errani is only 13 position higher in rank.
  19. Re: Tennis: 31st December -8th January Tennis Event Monfils - Tsonga Selection Monfils -1.5 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 07/01/2012 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 3.72 Reasoning Why not? Monfils yesterday beat Nadal in straight sets, comfortable win 6-3 in first set and unbelieveable come back from 1:4 in second set. If stay on this level for sure is favourite of this match. Tsonga take walkover against Federer and this is not good for Jo, not have match rhytm and can be rusty in few games. I try it

  20. Re: Tennis: 31st December -8th January

    Sport Tennis
    Event Dolgopolov - Simon
    Selection Dolgopolov -1.5 sets (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 10/10
    Date 07/01/2012
    Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 4.14
    Reasoning Huge value in this odds for me. Dolgopolov in this tournament look very motivated, routine win against Falla and two comeback against Andreev(saved 3 match points) and Stepanek. Simon not have huge rivals on the road to semifinal - Sweeting, Duckowrth and Giraldo(7-6, 6-4, very close). I feel comfortable win for Alex
  21. Re: Tennis ATP Doha

    Sport Tennis
    Event Torebko - Bautista
    Selection Torebko -1.5 sets (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 10/10
    Date 31/12/2011
    Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 3.75
    Reasoning 13:00 Doha Q1R In my opinion this match can be very, very close. Both guys are from the same year, 1988. Both are future TOP100 players, Bautista is typicall claycouter from Spain. Torebko is strong Germany player with huge serve, this is huge advantage before this match. Torebko always can make many free points on the serve. I don't know why Torebko is big underdog here, I try 2:0 win for Peter, this is not impossible result today
    Sport Tennis
    Event Marchenko - Sijsling
    Selection Marchenko -1.5 sets (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 10/10
    Date 31/12/2011
    Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 3.00
    Reasoning I have more tust for the Ilya Marchenko in this match, this guy have more potential on the court, been in TOP100 and without injury problems can back to this place. Marchenko have postiive balance on the hardcourts, Sijsling not. Marchenko have more experience on ATP level, I feel two comfortable sets for Ilya!
  22. Re: WTA Brisbane

    Sport Tennis
    Event Mladenovic - Tsurenko
    Selection Mladenovic -1.5 sets (Asian-handicap)
    Strength 10/10
    Date 31/12/2011
    Bookmaker/Price Stan James @ 3.00
    Reasoning Mladenovic is my favourite here. Mladenovic is great hard couter, with very strong serve and powerfull ground strokes. In first round beat TOP100 Krajicek in three sets(in second missed 3 match points), made 20 aces in this match, lost only 2 serve games. For sure this is TOP75 material. Tsurenko beat Lucic in three sets, but Lucic played with injury, out of gas in third set. Tsurenko serve not looked good and this girl is nothing special on this surface. In Bwin odds dropped from 2.03 to 1.57.. Value option in Stan James, no doubts.
  23. Re: Belgium - Jupiler League - 16-18 December Sport Football (Belgium) Event Kortijk - Standard Selection Kortijk (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 26/12/2011 Bookmaker/Price Betsafe @ 2.90 Reasoning In previous season Kortijk won at home 2-1. Kortjik in this moment is on the 5 place in table, only one point less than Standard. Players are very motivated be high in table after this round. Kortijk like always is very strong at home, 6 wins in 8 rounds, 13;6 goals balance. Standard is after three draws in a row, time for the lost ;) Team from Liege on away is poor, only one win in 8 matches. Today without many key players - first goalkeeper, 3 key defenders, two very important midfielders and top scorer Tchite.

  24. Re: Rugby Union: 2011/12 RaboDirect Pro 12 Sport Rugby Union Event Leinster - Ulster Selection Leinster -23 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 26/12/2011 Bookmaker/Price 10bet @ 1.90 Reasoning Second match from today schedule in Celtic League, Leinster against Ulster. I'm not expert of the Rugby sport, but my friend say me about this match. Leinster is two class above Ulster, no doubts in that. For example this is match like in style Real Madrid - Gijon at home, For Leinster win in few bookies you can see 1.01 odds. I can't image other result than big win for hosts.

  25. Re: Australian A League Season 2011/2012 Sport Football (Australia) Event Perth - Central Coast Selection Draw Strength 10/10 Date 23/12/2011 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 3.50 Reasoning I see very good chances for the draw in this match, odds are too high. Central Coast are leader of the table, three points more than second place and one match less. Situation is very good for Central Coast. Guests are last team in league without draw in away matches.. Perth at home too is without a single draw - 3 wins and 2 losts, 5:3 goals balance. Always at home play very close football. 3 of last 6 home matches for Perth against Central Coast end with draw.. Sport Football (Australia) Event Hearth - Victory Selection Over 3.5 Strength 10/10 Date 23/12/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 3.25 Reasoning Derby of the Melbourne. First match in this season end with 0:0 result, but before this game both teams are without key defense players and I see very good chances for big result. In previous season one match end with 3 goals and two matches with exactly 4 goals, after 0:0 time for the few goals. 5 of last 10 league matches for Victory end with minimum 4 goals, 5 of last 6 league matches for Heearth end with minimum 3 goals. I feel goals here. Sport Football (Australia) Event Wellington - Newcastle Selection Wellington -1.5 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 23/12/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 3.80 Reasoning I can image easy win for Wellington in this match, really. Too high odds for the asian handicap option. Wellington at home is very strong team, the best in league in my opinion, always play very physical style, hart for the opponents. In last home match beat second team in table Brisbane 2:0, in my opinion can repeat this result today. Newcastle is the worst away team in league, only one point and one goal scored in 5 matches. In last round lost 1:2 at home against Sydney.. 3-0

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