Jump to content

ValueHunter

New Members
  • Posts

    369
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by ValueHunter

  1. Re: England > Weekend > Premier League > 30 Dec-1 Jan

    The bit I don't understand is why you would ever take, for example, AH -1 or -1,-1.5 when you could take -1.5 and get better odds...
    The thing here is if the team you are backing wins only by one goal, AH -1 will return your entire stake and the -1.25 one will refund half of your stake. Whilst taking AH -1.5 would be a losing bet in this case hence the price is longer.
  2. Re: UEFA Champions League > Tuesday 6th December Chelsea v Valencia This could easily be called the game of the season for both sides. It looks like Valencia will have no real competition for the 3rd place in Spain, whilst the EPL title seems to be a mirage for the Blues at this stage of the season. I will pay more attention to Valencia in my analysis considering the fact I have a soft spot for them and watched over 90% of their games during the last two seasons. Missing for Valencia are Canales (long term injury) and Ever Banega. Contradictory information is coming about center backs Victor Ruiz and Ricardo Costa which were mentioned to be doubtful but apparently both of them will be sidelined giving the chance to Dealbert to start. This would destroy the regular center-back couple in the likes of Rami and Ruiz which may bring a lot of problems to the Spaniards. Dealbert’s class in my opinion is way below CL level, not to mention for a tie with such an importance. Emeri successfully adopted a tactic with two full backs playing on the left wing in big games like this. Mathieu and Alba who are left backs by presumption occupy the left side of the pitch switching their positions. Alba has a great pace and often bothers opponent’s defenders with his raids while Mathieu relies more on physics. Looking a bit chuckle at times the Frenchman somehow manages to find free spaces on the wing and delivers more than decent crosses. I remember at least 2 of the goals in the last two games against Barcelona came after Matheau’s assists. At the same time having two backs in this zone of the field makes it more secure and opponents struggle to break through it. There is no doubt who will be the main threat for Chelsea’s defense tonight, in form Soldado with 14 goals this season (9 in La Liga, 5 in CL) will be looking to improve his goal count. Valencia top scorer was rested during the weekend, he was fielded in the last 15 mins to score and bring the victory to his side. Albelda, Fegholi and Jonas were on the bench in the last game as well which makes me think they will be in the starting line-up tonight. I expect the following formation for Valencia: --------------------------D.Alves------------------------------- Bruno/Miguel ------- Rami ------ Dealbert --------------------Alba ------------------Albelda ------------T.Costa --------------------- Fegholi -------- ----------Jonas---------------------------Mathieu -------------------------Soldado--------------------------------- I mentioned a few positives of Valencia, let me add some more. Jonas improved his form of late. Despite he was meant to be one of the top scorers coming as the best goalscorer in the Brazilian league, he turned out to be one of the key assistants in the team and also delivered a few goals lately. Two talented wingers will probably remain on the bench for Valencia in the likes of Pablo Piatti and Pablo Hernandez. It’s highly probable to see them coming in If the game is not going well for Los Che. Now about the negatives, I already mentioned my concerns about Dealbert. Migual is another concern of mine if he starts of course. Yes, no doubt the Portuguese brings a lot of wide in Valencia’s attack with his raids on the right wing but he often leaves huge gaps behind himself which could be easily exploited. The missings of Banega and Canales are also bad news for Emeri, given that the Argentinian and the young Spaniard are probably the most creative players in the midfield for Valencia. Having an eye on Valencia, I can say that they failed to score only twice in 19 games this season (14 La Liga games, 5 CL games) – against Sevilla and Genk. In most of the games Valencia scored the first goal, I personally remember a few games that Valencia failed to open the score. These were against Real Madrid, the reverse fixture against Chelsea at Mestalla and the game against Sevilla where Valencia lost 0-1. My observations show that The Bats normally bring out a great performance during the first half followed by a significant drop in their form during the second half. I can’t figure out the reasons for this fact, are they mental, tactical or fitness related. But it’s a fact that Valencia outplayed Barca in the first 60 minutes, leading 2-1 at half time. The game ended in a 2-2 draw as Barcelona had the chance to take the win in the late minutes. The same thing happened in Germany where Valencia lost the game against Leverkusen after leading 1-0 at half time. Not just leading but dominating the game with more than 10 shots on goal for the first 45 mins. The picture was completely different during the second half. I will stay away of this game due to my bias. But given that Valencia needs to win or to held a score-draw in order to proceed plus the abovementioned analysis I will make a few recommendations. Valencia to open the score @2.87; Valencia to win the first half @5.00; Chelsea to win from behind @7.00 bet365 Making those tips I also took in mind that Chelsea often find themselves in a losing position after the first half.

  3. Re: Spain - La Liga - 5-6 November

    Levante vs Valencia Derby of Valencia and we can see a great football game tomorrow night. I will go for Levante for 3 reasons: 1. Great form and good chemistry between players comparative with a new team of Valencia that had problems in winning matches. 2. Good results against good sides from Levante this season. 3. Levante has many players with a lot of experience and that is a decisive factor in such derby games. home +0.25 AH @ 1.87 with Stan James
    I also like the odds on Levante. Bookies can't stop to underestimate them for some reason. They have a great mixture of experienced and talanted players. As you mentioned Valencia is far from stable right now, they manage to take the lead in almost every game this season, to find themselves struggling to keep that lead in the late minutes of the match. It repeats over and over again, the last two games against Geta and Leverkusen were the only ones which Valencia won with higher than 1 goal margin this season. But there are a couple of things that would stop me from backing Levante, 1st is Valencia is my favorite Spanish team and I rarely bet on their games. 2nd is the events in the end of the last season when Valencia clearly gifted 1 point to Levante on Mestalla who were in relegation battle by this time, a week later (in the last round) Valencia went to La Coruna and won on their ground sending Deportivo straight to Segunda. The point that Levante took at Mestalla and Deportivo's loss in the last round were crucial in the relegation battle as Levante finished barely 2 pts over the drop zone.
  4. Re: Spain - La Liga - 1-2 October Atletico Madrid v Sevilla Atletico Madrid -0.5 @2.00 with bet365 Stake 5/10 Not a great value in this one but I think home win at evens is good enough to be taken. Atletico rested few of their key players against Rennes namely Godin, Tiago and Reyes which came to show that Rojiblankos had an eye on Sevilla game. Those three are supposed to start tomorrow. Falcao and Diego played full 90 minutes against the French side but I guess it was done with purpose as those two are newcomers and missed the start of the season so they need some more in-play time to gel with the new teammates. However Falcao looks like he already settled in, as he scored 5 goals in Primera. Diego also looks promising and could become the long waited trequarista for Atletico. Reyes is another player to watch, his raids and passes always bring troubles for the opponents. Sevilla recorded a decent run since the beginning of the season with 3 wins and 2 draws. Not that I am trying to belittle their achievement but somehow they do not look so convincing to me. Andalusians won all their three games at home, all of them with a 1 goal margin. They drew both of their outings facing Osasuna and Villareal. From what I have seen Villareal is not the same team and Osasuna is a class if not more below Atletico. Sevilla will have their first tough test on the road this season and I expect them to record a first loss. Expected line-ups according to Marca: Atletico Madrid Courtois; Silvio, Godin, Dominguez, F.Luis; Tiago, Gabi, Diego; Reyes, Falcao, Turan Sevilla Varas; Navarro, Spahic, Cacares, Coke; Perotti, Rakitic, Medel, Navas; Negredo, Kanoute Striker Diego Costa is injured for Atletico but that's a long term injury and it's not something new hosts should deal with. Key absentees for Sevilla are Trochowski (holding midfielder) and Escude (central defender) who are suspended due to being sent off in the last round against Valencia. Tiberio Guarente is doubtful but he is not a key player. Alvaro Negredo suffered a slight injury but will probably start. Edit: I've just noticed a typo in my bet. Meant Atletico -0.5 @2.00, not Atletico +0.5 as it was initially typed. Sorry for that.

  5. Re: Spain - La Liga - 1-2 October Real Betis v Levante Levante +0.5 @2.10 with bet365 Stake 5/10 I think bookies overrated Betis here considering their great start of the season. But Andalusians winning run ended logically against Getafe in the last round. Now on Benito Villamarin is coming Levante - a team in top form with three consecutive wins. Granotes have a decent record of 1-3-0 in their last four outings, they are also among the only 2 teams in La Liga that haven't been defeated this season along with Sevilla. That's why I consider the price of 2.10 for Levante not to lose pretty generous. Levante were one of the best performing teams in the second part of the last season. It seems that they kept the momentum despite the selling of their star Felipe Caicedo. Granotes found a great replacement in the likes of Arouna Kone who carried a great game against real Madrid. Valdo and Aranda are excellent alternatives up front, their experience and skills can decide every single game with a vital goal. Midfielder Ruben Suarez is also in a great form netting two against Espanyol in the last round. Back in defense things also look quite good where 36 years old Sergio Ballesteros does miracles. The solid central defender was announced man of the match in 2 of the last 3 games of Levante (against Real M. and Rayo). I haven't watched much of Betis games so far but I was disappointed from their last performance against Geta. Andalusians were completely outplayed back then. Well I should also mention that I watched their away game against Bilbao and they looked impressing but the thing then was they took the lead early in the game and cought Athletic on deadly counter attacks. I doubt this would be the case in tomorrows game against the well organized team of Levante.

  6. Re: Bulgaria A PFG 2011/12

    Vidima Rakovski v Lokomotiv Plovdiv Home +0.75 @1.90 with bet365 I don't have much time for reasoning this week so I will be brief. Vidima haven't been defeated at home so far this season (1 win and 2 draws in 3 games). Hosts managed to hold champions Litex into a draw. They also drew their home game with Loko Sofia who finished 4th last season. On the other hand Lokomotiv Plovdiv are dubious away from home recording 2 draws and 2 losses. Odds on Lokomotiv are tad short and there is no reason for that. This in my opinion is the most valuable pick of the week in the Bulgarian league.
    FT: Vidima v Lokomotiv 0-3. Bet lost.
  7. Re: Bulgaria A PFG 2011/12 Vidima Rakovski v Lokomotiv Plovdiv Home +0.75 @1.90 with bet365 I don't have much time for reasoning this week so I will be brief. Vidima haven't been defeated at home so far this season (1 win and 2 draws in 3 games). Hosts managed to hold champions Litex into a draw. They also drew their home game with Loko Sofia who finished 4th last season. On the other hand Lokomotiv Plovdiv are dubious away from home recording 2 draws and 2 losses. Odds on Lokomotiv are tad short and there is no reason for that. This in my opinion is the most valuable pick of the week in the Bulgarian league.

  8. I can't find much value among the CL fixtures this week, I also believe that City worth a punt at these odds. Anyway I decided to back four draws this week in games that I consider as tight affairs and teams are pretty even. CSKA Moscow v Inter Draw @3.30 Bayern Munich v Man City Draw @3.75 Valencia v Chelsea Draw @ 3.30 Marseille v Dortmund Draw @ 3.25 I'll put minimum stakes on singles, doubles, trebles and four fold. Bet taken with Bet365, I guess you might find better prices with other bokies. Some short reasonings: CSKA v Inter Moscow has always been hard place to go, Inter desperately needs to win this one as they started in a terrible way losing to Trabzonspor at home. But as I mentioned they will miss several important players in the likes of Snejder, Stankovic, Motta, Maicon and Forlan. CSKA Moscow showed some great spirit against Lille in France when they were 2 goals down but managed to take a point. Russians have some quality players, most of them with some experience in CL from previous seasons. Bayern v City A lot has been said about this game. Bayern with some impressive record but I don't think City are doing worse so far. Price of 3.75 is a pure value if you ask me considering there is not much difference between those two in terms of quality. Valencia v Chelsea After the great game against Barca Valencia disappointed their fans with absolutely apathetic game against Sevilla, obviously looking ahead to Chelsea. Soldado, Canales and Pablo Hernandez were rested, Alba was suspended. I expect Emeri to field pretty much the same XI that he chose for Barca game except for Albelda who is injured. Alba and Mathieu will probably start on the left wing, Miguel and Pablo Hernandez on the right wing, Ruiz and Rami in the CB, Banega, Canales in the midfield along with Maduro may be who will step in instead of Albelda, and Soldado up front. I think both teams will be happy with the draw here since this is the most important clash in the group and neither of them will risk to much as losing might get them into a trouble. Marseille v Dortmund Those two didn't start the season in their domestic leagues in the best way. However Marseille nicked 1-0 win on the road against Olympiacos and will enter this clash in a better position. Dortmund outplayed Arsenal in the first fixture IMO but still they should be happy with the draw coming in the late minutes with Perisic's fantastic equalizer. Germans show a lot of enthusiasm, they have some young quality players in the likes of Gotze, Kagawa, Gundogan etc which in my opinion are slightly better than the French lads. However Marseille and their coach Deschamps already have enough experience in CL and we often see them having some close and tight games, take for example their home game against United last year when they held a goalless draw.

  9. Re: UEFA Champions League > 28 September

    Agree with Chelsea here, definitely worth a shot. Watched Valencia little bit against Sevilla and they didn't convince me at all. Those ****s couldn't dominate even when playing 10 vs 9. On the other hand Chelsea is playing better and better. For me this looks like a clash between two teams going in opposite directions right now. Chelsea DNB @ 1.70 for me.
    I wouldn't count on Sevilla game to make conclusions about Valencia. They rested Pablo Hernandez, Soldado and Canales and obviously had an eye on the Chelsea game. It was pretty awkward game because Los Che practically played without a winger in the last 25 mins as Piatti was subbed for some reason and fullbacks Baragan and Mathieu acted as wingers. No wonder they couldn't exploit their advantage. Sure Chelsea are slight favorites but there is no value in backing them IMO. If Valencia repeat their performance against Barca, at least at 80%, Chelsea will have a hard time on Mestalla.
  10. Re: UEFA Champions League > 27 September For those who consider Inter as a value bet. Bare in mind that Snejder, Stankovic and Maicon are out due to injures. Forlan is cup-tied and also can not participate. Sulley Muntari is not included in Inter's CL roster, thus Ranieri will be forced to field pretty inexperienced midline. P.S. Here is the squad Ranieri named for Moscow: Goalkeepers: 1 Julio Cesar, 12 Luca Castellazzi, 21 Paolo Orlandoni; Defenders: 6 Lucio, 16 Luca Caldirola, 23 Andrea Ranocchia, 25 Walter Samuel, 26 Cristian Chivu, 37 Davide Faraoni, 42 Jonathan, 55 Yuto Nagatomo; Midfielders: 4 Javier Zanetti, 11 Ricky Alvarez, 19 Esteban Cambiasso, 20 Joel Obi, 29 Philippe Coutinho, 48 Lorenzo Crisetig, 94 Andrea Romanò; Forwards: 7 Giampaolo Pazzini, 22 Diego Milito, 28 Mauro Zarate I can see Thiago Motta is also missing in the midfield.

  11. Re: Spain - La Liga - 24-26 September

    Valencia DNB @2.62 with Bet365 Stake 5/10
    FT 1-0. Bet lost. Mathieu was the flop of the match this time and Valencia had a terrible performance. Emeri acted like a 3rd divisional coach subbing his best player Piatti leaving his team without a wingers on the field. No wonder they couldn't take advantage even when Sevilla went down to 9 men.
  12. Re: Spain - La Liga - 24-26 September Sevilla v Valencia Valencia DNB @2.62 with Bet365 Stake 5/10 There is tremendous value on Valencia IMO. I see where are bookies coming from. Los Che lost their last 3 games to Sevilla. Bats have a terrible away record against the Andalusian team losing 6 and drawing 2 of the last 8 games. Valencia played an exhausting game against Barca 2 days ago. Despite all those negatives I think Valencia have enough quality to pick the 3 pts tonight. It's been a long time since we saw a solid central defenders in Valencia. Now I think they found them in the likes of Rami and Ruiz. Considering their height it was hard for them to cope with Barca's passey forwards but still they did well, we should also note that Valencia didn't concede a goal in the previous 3 games when those two started. I fancy them to give another good performance against Negredo and Kanoute. Bruno will probably start on the RB position replacing Miguel, Mathieu will be on the LB since Alba was sent off against Barca. Frenchman had a great game against Barca and was announced man of the match according to goal.com. Mathieu was subbed in the last 15 mins so his fitness shouldn't be that bad. Ever Banega is also in great form, he was everywhere against Barca - Argentinian stole the ball from Messi several times and delivered some great passes for Mathieu. Tino Costa is likely to start due to the absences of Albelda and Topal (both injured). This would add some more creativity in Valencia's midfield IMO. Costa is a player who can deliver nice assists and crosses and posses a horrific shot from distance. Hopefully Pablo will start as he is another player in form for Valencia, netting against Barca and delivering some assists in the previous rounds. No need to mention that Soldado is always a threat, may be he was over motivated against Barca considering he is a product of Real Madrid academy and this was a minus for him in that game. Yet he has 5 goals in 4 games this season. Sevilla are coming off a dull and boring game against Osasuna and will probably be in a good fitness condition. Andalusians enjoy a good start to the season (2 wins, 2 draws) but their game is not so convincing. For example they allowed Villareal who were down to 10 men and a goal behind to turn the score around to 2-1, anyway they managed to equalize in the very end of the game. However this was an away game and may be is a bit irrelevant but the home win against Malaga in the first round wasn't that impressive as Malaga had the ball most of the time. I expect Navas and Perotti to create some troubles on the wings for Valencia as Bruno and Mathieu are not amongst the best backs when it comes to defending. But as I mentioned I expect Rami and Ruiz to hold Negredo and Kanoute, I also fancy Banega, Tino Costa and Canales (if starts) to win the battle in the midfield. Sevilla have no missing key players, Tiberio Guarente is probably out but he is not an important one. Absentees for Valencia are Albelda and Topal (injures), Alba (suspended). Emeri said on a press conference that Valencia have a plenty of players in the midfield which can replace Albelda and Topal. Just to name a few Banega, Costa, Maduro, promissing youngster Bernat, Dani Parejo. Matheiu will go back to the LB position so there should be no prob. Probable line ups according to Marca.com Sevilla: Varas; Coke, Caceres, Spahic, Navarro; Navas, Trochowski, Medel, Perotti; Kanoute, Negredo Valencia: Guaita; Mathieu, Ruiz, Rami, Bruno; Canales, Costa, Banega, Jonas, Piatti; Soldado

  13. Re: Germany - Bundesliga II - 16-19 September

    Benny1887' date=' any Bundesliga 2 games tomorow that catch your eye?[/quote'] He usually posts his tips about 2-3 minutes before kick off. So I suggest you to lurk around here and refresh the page continuously at that time. You should be fast enough to read the preview and decide to follow or not before the game has started and the value has gone. If you are not that patient I guess he would back Paderborn in some form. Paderborn +0.5 @2.10 or +0.75 @1.80 looks nice. Considering the awful performance of Bochum lately, 4 consecutive losses, odds of 1.70ish on them look quite awkward. Table leaders Furt at evens do not look that bad as well, Alemannia Aachen scored barely one goal in 7 games whilst Furt netted 17 so far but bare in mind that hosts kept three clean sheets in a row and this could be one of the Bundesliga II tricky games.
  14. Re: Bulgaria A PFG 2011/12 I had my write up done two days ago but waited for the AH market to open. I can see jompy posted a similar bet and completely agree with him. Svetkavitsa v Chernomorets Under 3 goals AH @ 2.25 with bet365 Svetkavitsa are definitely the weakest team in the league whilst Chernomorets are on the up and the odds reflect that. However I see some value in the goals market. Bulgarian APFG games rarely produce more than 3 goals unless some of Litex, Levski or CSKA are involved. The last round was an exception when we saw some more goals scored. Chernomorets netted 4 to win 4-0 at home against Vidima last week but they are team relying mostly on their defense with a main concern not to concede. That was their first game of the season that went over 3 goals. 3 games finished under 2.5, one ended with 3 goals scored which would be a push in our case. Now Chernomorets are on the road and I doubt they will feel the same hunger for goals. I can see them netting one or two and killing the game. As for Svetkavitsa – they managed to score barely one goal in 5 rounds so far which makes me think their barren attack is not a huge threat for my bet. We saw Svetkavitsa getting demolished two times this season, 0-6 to Litex and 1-4 to Loko Sf but these two are respectively last season’s champs and 4th ranked. We should also note that these two losses came on the road. Svetkavitsa lost 2 games at home but neither of them went over 3 goals, 0-3, 0-1. Hosts are far from reliable team defense wise but on the other hand Chernomorets rarely takes part in high scoring affairs. That’s why I consider the price on under 3 goals to appealing to miss it.

  15. Re: UEFA Europa League > 15 September

    waiting on schalke and udinese any one now how they are getting on:unsure
    May be you should go to discuss in-play stuff in the Livescore thread. Anyway, Schalke have the ball but not pushing really hard for the win. It seems that both teams will be pleased with the draw. Don't know about Udinese.
  16. Re: UEFA Europa League > 15 September

    Hi, I was hoping for some advice. I was tinking of Braga on the Asian Handicap (0) but I'm not used to Asian Handicaps. Could somebody please confirm I have the following scenarios right? Asian Handicap Braga (0): Braga win = win Braga draw = stake returned Braga lose = I lose Thanks in advance :ok
    You got that right :ok You may find this article helpful: http://www.footballtip.co.uk/asian-handicap-explained.php
  17. Re: UEFA Champions League > 14 September Villareal v Bayern Munchen Villareal +0.5 @1.775 with b365 Villareal will try to extend their great home performance in the European competitions. Yellow submarine recorded 9 consecutive wins at El Madrigal, adding to this they've never lost against German opposition at home (2 wins and 1 draw), actually Villareal have never lost a home fixture in Champions League. Last year Spaniards eliminated Leverkusen of Jupp Heynckes in EL defeating them in both legs. Bayern on the other hand have a terrible away performance against Spanish teams in the last 10 years (0 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses). Villareal rely exclusively on their home games to collect points both in La Liga and European competitions. 4 days ago they found themselves a goal down and a man down against Sevilla at home. But somehow they managed to outperform their tough opponent and turned the score around to 2-1. Sevilla nicked a late equalizer and were lucky to get something out of that game. Suspended for Villareal is Borja, one of the last season's key players, but honestly I find him out of form after watching his start of the current season so his absence wouldn't be such a blow for the hosts. Bayern are picking up pace as the season goes and they look better and better after the schoking defeat to M'gladbach in the 1st Bundesliga round. Since then they recorded 6 wins with the impressive goal difference of 19-0. But if we take a look in their winning run we'll see their wins came against far inferior teams like Hamburg, Freiburg, Wolfsburg, Kaiserslautern which in my opinion will all be involved in the relegation battle in Germany. The other two wins came against Zurich in the CL 3rd qualifying round. However win is a win no matter who is the opponent but i think Villareal at their home ground will give Bayern quite a battle and this will be the first serious test for the Germans. Olic and Robben are going to miss the clash tonight. The absence of the Dutch is a huge blow for Bavarians, they often struggle to find the net when he is off the pitch. Given the great home record of Villareal contrasting to the poor record of Bayern against Spanish teams plus the missing of Robben, I think home side are valuable pick. EDIT: Villareal +0.5 rised to 1.85 now.

  18. Re: Italia Serie A 1st round Unlike most of you, I think the value is on Lecce's side. They ended the last season in a really nice way and if they manage to keep the momentum, should be able to hold at least a draw here. Udinese have nothing to do with the team they used to be few months ago. 3 key players were sold, 2 more of them are going to miss today's fixtures so that makes half a squad. That's why I think backing Lecce in some form would be valuable pick. Anyway I am going to stay away from Serie A in the first round, just added my two cents. GL with your bets guys.

  19. Re: Germany - Bundesliga - 26-28 August

    Schalke 04 v Borussia M'gladbach M'gladbach +0.5 @2.025 with b365 I usually avoid to mess up with Schalke since they are one of the most unpredictable teams not only in Germany but in Europe as well. They proved it once again last week when they turned the score around, they were losing 2-0 at halftime against Mainz 05 to come back in the 2nd half and win 4-2 thanks to their great front line in the likes of Farfan, Holtby, Huntelaar and Raul. But we should take in mind that Borussia also had a stunning performance last week winning 4-1 over Wolfsburg. Reus, Bobadilla, Hanke and Arango were outstanding and demolished Wolves' defense. Gladbach is yet to face a defeat this season and look completely transformed under the reign of Lucien Favre who made out of them a team who reminds of the great Gladbach team from decades ago. Those of you who watched the game against Wolfsburg would have noticed it in the faces of the old supporters in the crowd who for sure have been witnesses of that glory team from 60's and 70's. Just half an year ago M'gladbach were relegation candidate number 1, to became a table leader one week ago. Another thing I want to mention is that M'gladbach conceded only 10 goals in 15 official games since Favre came. Borussia are definitely on the up and the price on them is a lil bit long in my opinion. I'll back Borussia +0.5 with small stakes.
    FT: Schalke 04 v Borussia M'gladbach 1-0. Bet lost.
  20. Re: Germany - Bundesliga - 26-28 August Schalke 04 v Borussia M'gladbach M'gladbach +0.5 @2.025 with b365 I usually avoid to mess up with Schalke since they are one of the most unpredictable teams not only in Germany but in Europe as well. They proved it once again last week when they turned the score around, they were losing 2-0 at halftime against Mainz 05 to come back in the 2nd half and win 4-2 thanks to their great front line in the likes of Farfan, Holtby, Huntelaar and Raul. But we should take in mind that Borussia also had a stunning performance last week winning 4-1 over Wolfsburg. Reus, Bobadilla, Hanke and Arango were outstanding and demolished Wolves' defense. Gladbach is yet to face a defeat this season and look completely transformed under the reign of Lucien Favre who made out of them a team who reminds of the great Gladbach team from decades ago. Those of you who watched the game against Wolfsburg would have noticed it in the faces of the old supporters in the crowd who for sure have been witnesses of that glory team from 60's and 70's. Just half an year ago M'gladbach were relegation candidate number 1, to became a table leader one week ago. Another thing I want to mention is that M'gladbach conceded only 10 goals in 15 official games since Favre came. Borussia are definitely on the up and the price on them is a lil bit long in my opinion. I'll back Borussia +0.5 with small stakes.

×
×
  • Create New...