mcnulty
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Posts posted by mcnulty
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Re: England > Weekend > Barclays Premier League > 17-18 December Aston Villa v Liverpool : Liverpool Clean Sheet 2.50@Bet365 Liverpool have the best defensive record in the league. Their away record reads 7 goals conceded in 7 games, however 4 of these came against Spurs when they were reduced to nine men. In ~20 games in all comps this season that spurs game is the only one they have conceded more than 1 goal. Villa on the other hand have one of the worst shots on goal stats in the league. They are also missing their most creative player this season in Agbonlohor.
- There have been just five goals scored in the last five Premier League meetings between Villa and Liverpool at Villa Park.
- Villa have scored just four goals in their last 12 Premier League home games against liverpool.
:hope
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Re: mcnulty's 1X2 system based on recent form
No Date League Home Team Away Team Bet Odds Stake W/L Return Bank ROI WR 0054 31/01/11 JUP Apeldoorn 1-4 Helmond Sport 2 2.50 1 W 1.5 101.75 3% 40% 0055 31/01/11 JUP Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 Veendam 2 3.30 1 -1 100.75 1% 39% 0056 31/01/11 GB2 FC Augsburg 0-1 Bochum 1 1.90 1 -1 99.75 -0% 38% 0057 31/01/11 JUP MVV Maastricht 1-0 FC Emmen X 3.40 1 -1 98.75 -2% 38% 0058 31/01/11 LIGA Racing Santander 1-1 Valencia 1 3.35 1 -1 97.75 -4% 37% 0059 01/02/11 GB2 Aue Frankfurt 1 2.05 1 0060 01/02/11 ERE De Graafschap FC Utrecht 1 3.15 1 0061 01/02/11 SFL Queen of the South Ross County 1 1.80 1 0062 01/02/11 ENC Barnsley Preston NE 1 1.90 1 0063 01/02/11 ENC Bristol City Swansea 1 3.10 1 0064 01/02/11 ENC Derby Ipswich 1 2.30 1 0065 01/02/11 ENC Doncaster Burnley X 3.20 1 0066 01/02/11 ENC Hull Leeds X 3.00 1 0067 01/02/11 ENC Sheffield Utd Leicester 1 3.20 1 -
Re: mcnulty's 1X2 system based on recent form Struggling to gain any momentum but we are in profit:nana:rollin Tomorrows games:
No Date League Home Team Away Team Bet Odds Stake W/L Return Bank ROI WR 0039 30/01/11 LIGB Granada CF 3-0 Real Betis 1 3.05 1 W 2.05 99.6 -1% 38% 0040 30/01/11 ISA Brescia 0-3 Chievo 1 2.45 1 -1 98.6 -4% 38% 0041 30/01/11 ERE Excelsior 1-5 Den Haag 1 2.90 1 -1 97.6 -6% 37% 0042 30/01/11 GB2 Union Berlin 0-2 Paderborn 1 1.85 1 -1 96.6 -8% 36% 0043 30/01/11 GB2 Karlsruher 1-0 Energie Cottbus 1 2.50 1 W 1.5 98.1 -5% 37% 0044 30/01/11 SPL Dundee Utd 3-0 Hibernian 1 1.65 1 W 0.65 98.75 -3% 39% 0045 30/01/11 ISA Bologna A-A Roma X 3.30 0 0 98.75 -3% 39% 0046 30/01/11 ISA Lecce 1-1 Cesena 1 2.15 1 -1 97.75 -5% 38% 0047 30/01/11 FL1 Nancy 1-2 Montpellier 2 3.30 1 W 2.3 100.05 0% 39% 0048 30/01/11 FL1 Bordeaux 2-0 Nice X 3.40 1 -1 99.05 -2% 38% 0049 30/01/11 LIGA Atletico Madrid 0-2 Athletico Bilbao 1 1.80 1 -1 98.05 -4% 38% 0050 30/01/11 LIGB Tenerife 3-3 Girona X 3.20 1 W 2.2 100.25 1% 39% 0051 30/01/11 ISA Juventus 1-2 Udinese 1 2.10 1 -1 99.25 -2% 38% 0052 30/01/11 FL1 Monaco 0-0 Marseille X 3.00 1 W 2 101.25 3% 39% 0053 30/01/11 LIGA Espanyol 0-1 Villareal 1 2.40 1 -1 100.25 0% 38% 0054 31/01/11 JUP Apeldoorn Helmond Sport 2 2.50 1 0055 31/01/11 JUP Go Ahead Eagles Veendam 2 3.30 1 0056 31/01/11 GB2 FC Augsburg Bochum 1 1.90 1 0057 31/01/11 JUP MVV Maastricht FC Emmen X 3.40 1 0058 31/01/11 LIGA Racing Santander Valencia 1 3.35 1 -
Re: mcnulty's 1X2 system based on recent form Up and down over the weekend. Still one game running tonight but Im going out drinking so will post tomorrows games now.
No Date League Home Team Away Team Bet Odds Stake W/L Return Bank ROI WR 0012 28/01/11 GB2 Aue 0-1 Osnabruck 1 1.83 1 -1 99.5 -4% 38% 0013 28/01/11 GB2 Dusseldorf 6-0 Frankfurt 2 3.60 1 -1 98.5 -12% 36% 0014 28/01/11 GB2 Oberhausen 1-1 Ingolstadt 1 2.45 1 -1 97.5 -18% 33% 0015 28/01/11 LIGB Alcorcon 2-0 Albacete 1 2.15 1 W 1.15 98.65 -9% 38% 0016 28/01/11 JUP Waalwijk 0-1 Den Bosch X 3.90 1 -1 97.65 -15% 35% 0017 28/01/11 JUP Apeldoorn 3-3 Cambur 1 2.60 1 -1 96.65 -20% 33% 0018 29/01/11 ISB Crotone 1-1 Torino 1 2.65 1 -1 95.65 -24% 32% 0019 29/01/11 ISB Padova 1-1 FC Modena 1 1.85 1 -1 94.65 -28% 30% 0020 29/01/11 ISB Vicenza 0-1 US Grosseto 1 1.93 1 -1 93.65 -32% 29% 0021 29/01/11 FL2 Clermont Foot 3-1 Tours FC X 2.90 1 -1 92.65 -35% 27% 0022 29/01/11 FL2 Sedan 0-0 Dijon 1 1.85 1 -1 91.65 -38% 26% 0023 29/01/11 FL2 Evian Thono Gailard 3-0 Nantes X 3.00 1 -1 90.65 -41% 25% 0024 29/01/11 FL2 Laval 1-0 Vannes 1 1.88 1 W 0.88 91.53 -35% 28% 0025 29/01/11 GB1 Nurnberg 2-0 Hamburger SV 1 3.30 1 W 2.3 93.83 -25% 31% 0026 29/01/11 SPL Hamilton 1-1 Kilmarnock 2 2.45 1 -1 92.83 -28% 30% 0027 29/01/11 SFL Partick 2-0 Dunfermline 1 3.05 1 W 2.05 94.88 -19% 32% 0028 29/01/11 SFL Raith Rovers 1-2 Falkirk 1 2.10 1 -1 93.88 -22% 31% 0029 29/01/11 ENC Hull 0-0 QPR X 3.25 1 W 2.25 96.13 -13% 33% 0030 29/01/11 LIGB Gimnastic 0-0 Las Palmas X 3.00 1 W 2 98.13 -6% 37% 0031 29/01/11 LIGB Huesca 1-0 Ponferradine X 3.13 1 -1 97.13 -9% 33% 0032 29/01/11 LIGB Villareal B 2-0 Valladoid 1 2.45 1 W 1.45 98.58 -4% 33% 0033 29/01/11 ISA Lazio 2-0 Fiorentina 1 2.00 1 W 1 99.58 -1% 33% 0034 29/01/11 LIGA Levante 2-0 Getafe 2 2.48 1 -1 98.58 -4% 33% 0035 29/01/11 LIGA Real Sociedad 2-0 Almeria 1 1.97 1 W 0.97 99.55 -1% 37% 0036 29/01/11 LIGA Deportivo Sevilla 1 3.25 1 99.55 -1% 38% 0037 29/01/11 ERE Vitesse 5-2 Roda JC 2 2.30 1 -1 98.55 -4% 37% 0038 29/01/11 ERE De Graafschap P-P FC Utrecht 1 3.00 1 98.55 -4% 37% 0039 30/01/11 LIGB Granada CF Real Betis 1 3.05 1 0040 30/01/11 ISA Brescia Chievo 1 2.45 1 0041 30/01/11 ERE Excelsior Den Haag 1 2.90 1 0042 30/01/11 GB2 Union Berlin Paderborn 1 1.85 1 0043 30/01/11 GB2 Karlsruher Energie Cottbus 1 2.50 1 0044 30/01/11 SPL Dundee Utd Hibernian 1 1.65 1 0045 30/01/11 ISA Bologna Roma X 3.30 1 0046 30/01/11 ISA Lecce Cesena 1 2.15 1 0047 30/01/11 FL1 Nancy Montpellier 2 3.30 1 0048 30/01/11 FL1 Bordeaux Nice X 3.40 1 0049 30/01/11 LIGA Atletico Madrid Athletico Bilbao 1 1.80 1 0050 30/01/11 LIGB Tenerife Girona X 3.20 1 0051 30/01/11 ISA Juventus Udinese 1 2.10 1 0052 30/01/11 FL1 Monaco Marseille X 3.00 1 0053 30/01/11 LIGA Espanyol Villareal 1 2.40 1 -
Re: mcnulty's 1X2 system based on recent form Looks like Im taking a beating tonight, 0/5 with one running:puke. Lots of selections for Saturday, heres hoping we can make some ground back.:hope
No Date League Home Team Away Team Bet Odds Stake W/L Return Bank ROI WR 0018 29/01/11 ISB Crotone Torino 1 2.65 1 0019 29/01/11 ISB Padova FC Modena 1 1.85 1 0020 29/01/11 ISB Vicenza US Grosseto 1 1.93 1 0021 29/01/11 FL2 Clermont Foot Tours FC X 2.90 1 0022 29/01/11 FL2 Sedan Dijon 1 1.85 1 0023 29/01/11 FL2 Evian Thono Gailard Nantes X 3.00 1 0024 29/01/11 FL2 Laval Vannes 1 1.88 1 0025 29/01/11 FL2 Nurnberg Hamburger SV 1 3.30 1 0026 29/01/11 SPL Hamilton Kilmarnock 2 2.45 1 0027 29/01/11 SFL Partick Dunfermline 1 3.05 1 0028 29/01/11 SFL Raith Rovers Falkirk 1 2.10 1 0029 29/01/11 ENC Hull QPR X 3.25 1 0030 29/01/11 LIGB Gimnastic Las Palmas X 3.00 1 0031 29/01/11 LIGB Huesca Ponferradine X 3.13 1 0032 29/01/11 LIGB Villareal B Valladoid 1 2.45 1 0033 29/01/11 ISA Lazio Fiorentina 1 2.00 1 0034 29/01/11 LIGA Levante Getafe 2 2.48 1 0035 29/01/11 LIGA Real Sociedad Almeria 1 1.97 1 0036 29/01/11 LIGA Deportivo Sevilla 1 3.25 1 0037 29/01/11 ERE Vitesse Roda JC 2 2.30 1 0038 29/01/11 ERE De Graafschap FC Utrecht 1 3.00 1 -
Re: mcnulty's 1X2 system based on recent form Two more from friday that I missed:
No Date League Home Team Away Team Bet Odds Stake W/L Return Bank ROI WR 0012 28/01/11 GB2 Aue Osnabruck 1 1.83 1 0013 28/01/11 GB2 Dusseldorf Frankfurt 2 3.60 1 0014 28/01/11 GB2 Oberhausen Ingolstadt 1 2.45 1 0015 28/01/11 LIGB Alcorcon Albacete 1 2.15 1 0016 28/01/11 JUP Waalwijk Den Bosch X 3.90 1 0017 28/01/11 JUP Apeldoorn Cambur 1 2.60 1 -
Re: mcnulty's 1X2 system based on recent form 1/3 tonight for a tiny profit:unsure. No games tomorrow but 4 on Friday:hope:
No Date League Home Team Away Team Bet Odds Stake W/L Return Bank ROI WR 0009 26/01/11 SPL St Johnstone 1-0 Motherwell 2 2.65 1 -1 99.25 0010 26/01/11 SPL St Mirren 1-1 Dundee Utd X 3.25 1 W 2.25 101.5 0011 26/01/11 EPL Liverpool 1-0 Fulham X 3.85 1 -1 100.5 5% 36% 0012 28/01/11 GB2 Aue Osnabruck 1 1.83 1 0013 28/01/11 GB2 Dusseldorf Frankfurt 2 3.60 1 0014 28/01/11 GB2 Oberhausen Ingolstadt 1 2.45 1 0015 28/01/11 LIGB Alcorcon Albacete 1 2.15 1 -
Re: mcnulty's 1X2 system based on recent form Well 0/4 last nite:spank. All the X were won by one goal though so that gives some hope. On to tonight:
No Date League Home Team Away Team Bet Odds Stake W/L Return Bank ROI WR 0005 25/01/11 EPL Wigan 1-2 Aston Villa X 3.20 1 -1 103.25 0006 25/01/11 ENC Doncaster 0-2 Barnsley 1 1.95 1 -1 102.25 0007 25/01/11 ENC Nottingham Forrest 1-0 Bristol City X 3.50 1 -1 101.25 0008 25/01/11 ENC Portsmouth 1-2 Burnley X 3.20 1 -1 100.25 3% 38% 0009 26/01/11 SPL St Johnstone Motherwell 2 2.65 1 0010 26/01/11 SPL St Mirren Dundee Utd X 3.25 1 0011 26/01/11 EPL Liverpool Fulham X 3.85 1 -
Re: mcnulty's 1X2 system based on recent form :okHaha yes Grex, I have been following your threads for a while and liked the way you displayed your results. Hope thats alright. The selections were in the link in my second post unfortunately didnt know how to get the image to appear in the post. Anyway, there are actually 3 more selections for tomorrow I initially missed:
No Date League Home Team Away Team Bet Odds Stake W/L Return Bank ROI WR 0001 24/01/11 EPL Bolton 0-4 Chelea X 3.60 1 -1 99 85% 60% 0002 24/01/11 LIGA Athletico Bilbao 3-0 Hercules 1 1.60 1 W 0.6 99.6 0003 24/01/11 JUP Veendam 0-0 Volendam X 3.30 1 W 2.3 101.9 0004 24/01/11 JUP Camburr 1-2 Helmond Sport 2 3.35 1 W 2.35 104.25 0005 25/01/11 EPL Wigan Aston Villa X 3.20 1 0006 25/01/11 ENC Doncaster Barnsley 1 1.95 1 0007 25/01/11 ENC Nottingham Forrest Bristol City X 3.50 1 0008 25/01/11 ENC Portsmouth Burnley X 3.20 1 -
Re: mcnulty's 1X2 system based on recent form Well Bolton took a bit of a thrashing but 3/4 is not a bad start at all. One pic for tomorrow:
No Date League Home Team Away Team Bet Odds Stake W/L Return Bank ROI WR 0001 24/01/11 EPL Bolton 0-4 Chelea X 3.60 1 -1 99 85% 60% 0002 24/01/11 LIGA Athletico Bilbao 3-0 Hercules 1 1.60 1 W 0.6 99.6 0003 24/01/11 JUP Veendam 0-0 Volendam X 3.30 1 W 2.3 101.9 0004 24/01/11 JUP Camburr 1-2 Helmond Sport 2 3.35 1 W 2.35 104.25 0005 25/01/11 EPL Wigan Aston Villa X 3.20 1 -
Re: mcnulty's 1X2 system based on recent form
^^If someone could tell me how to post images Id appreciate it! -
A couple of weeks ago I decided I was going to put a couple of accumulators on for the weekend fixtures in the Scottish Prem and English Prem. I made my selections by looking at each fixture and working out the most likely result based on both teams Home and Away records for this season. Well the Scottish bet came in at odds of 145.00:) and I managed 4/8 on the English one. Well this certainly got me interested so I decided to try this on singles and came up with a formula to decide wether, based on this seasons form, there was value on either 1,X or 2. I weighted the formula slightly to put a higher value on the last 6 results. Over the last two weeks and 30 bets, I have a 50% strike rate and an ROI of 42%. Unsustainable of course but I have decided to run a 200 bet sample here and see what happens. I am taking selections from the top tier and second tier leagues of the following countries: England, Scotland, Germany, Italy, Spain and the Netherlands. After 200 bets I may do some analysis to decide to drop some of the leagues or just give up the system altogether if it isnt performing. I am starting with a bank of 100Euros and will be making bets of 1Euro per game. I DO NOT RECOMMEND ANYONE PUTTING THEIR MONEY ON AS THIS IS A COMPLETELY UNTESTED SYSTEM. Anyway, tonights selections:hope
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Re: Short Priced Home Favourites 164 bets +17% yield Hello Grex, jumped on this and your O/U system with some nice results. Keep up the good work. Also voted for you in the Oscars. Question: How do you go about getting the odds for previous seasons when doing your backtesting?
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Re: Short Priced Home Favourites 164 bets +17% yield Hello Grex, jumped on this and your O/U system with some nice results. Keep up the good work. Also voted for you in the Oscars. Question: How do you go about getting the odds for previous seasons when doing your backtesting?
England > Weekend > Barclays Premier League > 17-18 December
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
Re: England > Weekend > Barclays Premier League > 17-18 December
Tottenham v Sunderland: Tottenham (-1.5AH) 2.15@Bet365 Spurs were very hard done by last week and I think the players will be very motivated to get back to winning ways. There home record is P6 W5 L1, F15 A7, the defeat being a 5-1 loss to Man City. Sunderland have been fairly tight away from home, only conceding 8 in 7 games but they have yet to face anyone of Tottenhams scoring power so I expect the handicap to be covered. :hope