6avin24
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Posts posted by 6avin24
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Hi all
I will be selecting 3 players to get booked in certain games and putting the bets into a trixie format.
Using Bet365 because they have the bet Builder option available.
Today’s games are Palace v Tottenham, Chelsea v Sheffield Wednesday, St Mirren v Hibs, Livingston v Rangers.
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Bet 4 loser.
bet 5 wolves v Everton
Sigurdsson to score outside the box.
Odds 13. Staked €1.18
wolves córner in all 4 corners of the pitch.
Odds 3.5. Staked €4.39
Total €5.57
Profit -€10.95
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Bet 3 loser
Bet 4 Man United v Leicester
Man Utd to score 2 goals or more, Juan Mata to score, Man Utd at least 2 corners in each half, Leicester 2 or more cards.
Odds 6.94 Staked €1.41
Both Teams to score, a goal scored with head, Maddison to be carded, Sanchez to score.
Odds 34 Staked €0.29
Total Staked €1.70
Profit -€5.38
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Bet 2 loser
Bet 3
Celtic to score two goals or more, Celtic to score in both halves, Celtic at least 5 corners, Athens two cards or more.
Odds 8.04 Staked €0.94
Both teams to score, over 0.5 goals first half, Sinclair to score, simoes to be carded.
Odds 23 Staked €0.34
Total Staked €1.31
Profit -€3.68
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Bet 1 no luck!
Bet 2 Middlesbrough v Sheff Utd
Middlesbrough at least 1 card, over 7 corners, E Stevens to be carded, under 2.5 goals. Odds 7.5 Staked €0.87
Second half most goals, Middlesbrough win, Braithwaite score, Leadbitter to be carded. Odds 13 Staked €0.50
Staked €1.37
Profit -€2.37
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Bet 1
Hull v Aston VillaVilla win, Kodjia to score, de wijs to be carded, both teams more than 2 Corners.
Odds - 20 Staked - €0.26Draw, Under 2.5 goals, more than 2 cards, more than 7 corners.
Odds - 6.94 Staked - €0.74Total Staked €1
Profit -€1 -
Hi @itzjames2017 are you going to continue with this strategy, I really like the look of it.
Especially if you’re getting at least odds of 7. A single would cover your bet.
Let me know, I’ll be following
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I recently read a pdf called “correct score selection system.” It was very interesting and it is about selecting two correct scores for one game. The author had a staking system in which he was only trying to win 7.5% of his bank for one bet. If the bet won, the winnings were added to the bank he would find 7.5% of that. However if he lost, the money staked would be added to his original 7.5% therefore you’re trying to win lost money along with initial 7.5%. I thought it was very interesting and tried it for a while, my luck eventually run out because correct scores are so difficult. However you are using very small stakes and there is good progression.
With the football season starting again I am going to try this system with William Hill #YourOdds in which you combine 2 or more selections into 1 bet. I will try to stick to live TV games.
It will be a very slow journey because I will only be trying to win 7.5% of my bank each time. But it is just a bit of fun and unlike the correct score bets I can potentially win both bets for the same game.
I will start with €55. Bets do start very small although after a run of losers they do begin to add up quickly.
I am really using this forum to ensure I stay disciplined to the system and don’t go off track!!!
You can google the PDF I mentioned at the beginning if you would like to see the staking plan I am using.
Wish me luck!!
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Hi, I really liked your thread. Did you continue with it past January? I’m very interested in the correct scores market and I’m curious if you progressed further.
Thanks
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Bet 4
10 returns 25.92
Bank = 12.37
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Bet 4 Selections
Wolves v Derby
Wolves looking to build on points at number one and Derby looking to secure promotion spot.
Wolves are the most offensive side in the league.
Wolves have scored first in the first half in 6/6 last home games.
Average first goal time for both is 33 mins.
Oldham v Walsall
Both teams will be looking for the win to distance themselves from a relegation battle.
Oldham have won 4 of past 6 home games so this is a big chance for points. Average time for scoring and conceding first goal are below 40mins.
Previous 5 home games for Oldham have seen over 0.5 first half goals and Walsall 4/6 away games.
Bayern Munich v Sevilla
Bayern have scored first in the first half in every home game of the Champions league for the last two years.
Sevilla have had over 0.5 FH goals in 4/5 away games in the champions league (the one without was against Mourinho, so no surprise)
Sevilla need to score at least one which will leave them open to one of the strongest attacking teams in Europe.
Bet365 offer 2.4 for the treble so I expect just a bit under with my bookies. I will post my slip later if I have time. -
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Sheff Utd v Middlesbrough
Sheff Utd 80% games and Middlesbrough 78% games with over 0.5 goals at HT. Sheff Utd still in the fight for a play off place so will be going all out for this. Sheff Utd with 4/5 home games over 0.5 HT and Middlesbrough 5/5 away games. Bamford and Clarke in good form too.
Dundee v St Mirren
Dundee Utd 74% and St Mirren 77% games with over 0.5 goals at HT. St Mirren are league leaders and comfortable but Dundee haven’t secured play off position yet. I expect both teams to score. St Mirren scored in first half in 5/5 last away games. Dundee have had 4/5 home games with over 0.5 goals.
Swindon v Yeovil
Swindon chasing play off place and Yeovil not quite safe from relegation. Swindon are 5th most offensive side in the league. Swindon over 0.5 HT goals in 4/5 previous home games.
Treble is 3.18, very big odds.
Bank = -34.24
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Sorry I forgot to post this.
Galatassary let me down and were beat 1-0.
Next stake will be another 10. Will post my selections once I have made my bet.
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Thoughts for tomorrow’s bet.
Leipzig v Leverkusen
Both teams have had 82% of games with over 0.5 first half goals. Leipzig have had just 1 Home game without over 0.5. Leverkusen 4th most offensive team in the league. Leipzig currently 4th on a champions league place with Leverkusen only 1 point behind. A lot to play for.
Midtjylland v Kobenhavn
81% of games for Home side and 78% for away have had over 0.5 FH goals. Both teams within top 5 offensive teams in the league. Midtjylland only 1 Home game without over 0.5 FH goals. Midtjylland 5/5 last home games over 0.5 FH Goals. Kobenhavn 4/5 in away games.
Gençlerbirligi v Galatasary
Galatasary currently in 2nd with a game in hand and will go top if they can win here. They’ve had over 0.5 FH goals in 81% of games this year. Most offensive team in the league. 4/5 away league games saw over 0.5 goals.
Will make the bet tomorrow in the shop and post price.
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Bet 1 is a winner.
10 returns 26.66
Next bet will be 10 again.
Bank = -14.24
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New Bet 1
Arsenal, Lazio and Girona games all over 0.5 first half goals.
10 returns 26.66
Arsenal v Southampton
4/5 previous home games for Arsenal have had over 0.5 in the first half. 4/5 previous away games for Saints have had over 0.5 in the first half. 71% of all league games for Arsenal and 74% for Southampton.
Real Sociedad v Girona
83% Sociedad League games and 76% Girona games have had over 0.5 FH goals. Sociedad are still not safe from relegation and Girona can still put up a fight for Europe place. Points are vital. 5/5 previous home games for Real have had over 0.5 in the first half. 3/5 previous away games for Saints have had over 0.5 in the first half.
Udinese v Lazio
Lazio highest goals per match average in league. 86% of all league games for Udinese and 70% for Lazio Udinese only had 2 home games this year without over 0.5 FH goals and Lazio only 3 away. Lazio still fighting for that Champions League spot.
bank = -€40.90
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Hi everyone I’m going to start this thread again although my system will be different. Last weekend I got a decent accumulator up from over 0.5 first half goals so now I can use that money towards this new system.
I am sticking with a treble of over 0.5 first half goals which gives me just over evens most of the time.
I will be starting with £10 stakes. If I win my treble I will continue with £10. However if I lose (which you can see happens a lot) I will look to recoup my previous stake. On a losing streak my staking will look like this 10, 10, 20, 40, 80, 160 If I do not win my 160 bet I will stop completely, I have set my budget at £320.
As you can see from the table below, if I were to lose until my 6th bet I am still in £32 profit if it comes in. That is with odds of 2.2, some bookies may offer a lot more and some less.
This is a lot riskier however I am currently playing with the bookies money.
I may change starting stakes depending on success.
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If I had done doubles I would be in very nice profit
Going to give it a break for a while. I have a different staking plan in mind.
I still really like the over 0.5 First Half goals market. The selections have been unlucky.
Thanks for everyone’s support and when I start a new forum I will link it below.
Good luck today!
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Missed penalty in Tianjin game
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Start again!
Bet 1 - Really low odds but I don’t want to do the English 3 o clock games.
With the 4,55 pocketed from previous win I only have to add 5.45 to make up the £10.
Bank = -£30.90
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Another two out of three.
Will look at tomorrow’s games.
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Blackburn have hit the woodwork twice!
Say a prayer.
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Hi, I never do in play bets but I’m more a sucker for a big win (normally ten over 0.5 FH goals accumulator)!
I read an article about selecting games for this bet.
Click on the statistics icon with Bet365 beside the fixture. Go to the bottom with the pie chart for goals. Select over 0.5 first half.
Normally if both teams have >70% or a total >140% I keep this game in mind. Then I would look on soccerway/soccerstats to further research.
I don’t know if this is what you’re looking for it might be some help. I’m currently trying a system that I’ve posted over in the Glory Hunters forum, not a great start but early days. It’s called £10 to £200 (4 bets)
Good luck
Low Stakes Trixie - Cards
in Glory Hunters
Posted
Bet 1, 2, 3
Didnt have time to look at later line ups. Let’s hope
Decided to put on Yankees with an extra 4 fold.
Each bet €3.
Bank -€9