AndyT
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Posts posted by AndyT
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Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 23 February
0-1:wall Still happy with the reasoning behind this bet, I will certainly be looking at the same bet when these two meet in the 2nd leg.Both to Score - Yes 4/5 Skybet Inter Milan V Bayern Munich This is my first pick for tonight. Looking at the stats for the group stages of the C/L, Inter scored in all their homes games but did manage 2 clean sheets out of the 3 games. Against Spurs the group winners they conceded 3. Bayern scored in all their away matches, Bayerns last C/L away trip was in Italy which resulted in a 3-2 defeat by Roma. Inter's domestic stats show they have keep a clean sheet in only 23% of home games. Bayern's away form shows they have failed to find the back of the net in 33% of their games but most of these games were in the early stages of the season, they have scored in 5/5 of their last away games. GL to all :hope Reposting from midweek both teams to score -
Re: UEFA Europa League > 22-24 Feb
Both to score, the link to the reasoning is fixed now :$What is your bet on the Inter v Bayern game? -
Re: UEFA Europa League > 22-24 Feb Both to Score - Yes PSV V Lille (2-2) Top of the table clash between Holland and France with not much to split them after the first leg. PSV are scoring plenty of goals at home in the domestic competition with an average of 3.38 goals per game. They have only kept a clean sheet in 23% of these games which is ok for them as they score plenty. In Europe they kept a clean sheet in 2 out of 3 home games with the final one these finishing 0-0, both teams had already qualified when they played so it was pretty much a dead match. Lille have scored in 83% of their away matches in the French league. In the Europa league their away form shows they scored in 2 out 3 away games. Best price at time of post is 5/6 Coral, although I will put it in a double with Inter Milan V Bayern Munich with Betfred @ 9/4
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Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 23 February Both to Score - Yes 4/5 Skybet Inter Milan V Bayern Munich This is my first pick for tonight. Looking at the stats for the group stages of the C/L, Inter scored in all their homes games but did manage 2 clean sheets out of the 3 games. Against Spurs the group winners they conceded 3. Bayern scored in all their away matches, Bayerns last C/L away trip was in Italy which resulted in a 3-2 defeat by Roma. Inter's domestic stats show they have keep a clean sheet in only 23% of home games. Bayern's away form shows they have failed to find the back of the net in 33% of their games but most of these games were in the early stages of the season, they have scored in 5/5 of their last away games. GL to all :hope Reposting from midweek both teams to score
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Re: Sounding's Goals Galore :notworthy Nice job Soundingstylish, keep up the good work sir!
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
Murray's had 4, Djokovic has had 0 :wallAnyone know the double fault count so far? -
Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
The h2h stats would point to this being a good pick as well. In 6 h2h matches Djokovic hits more double faults in 5 out of 6 matches.I also fancy a small punt on djokovic to hit more double faults than murray in the final...both are probably likely to hit a few...but djokovic is renowned for having a shaky second serve in pressure moments and he is much more likely to go on a mini-run of doubles ...like to in a game. Djokovic just generally hits far more double faults than the top players and though murray is likely to get tight at some stage too... the statistics suggest djokovic will hit more. in 3 sets djokovic hit 5 doubles against federer while in 4 sets murray hit 3 against ferrer. worth a small punt
N Djokovic @ 1.83 Paddypower 2pts :hopeMost Double Faults -
Re: 2010 Formula One World Championship
2/3 Nice profit from the dual forecast. Not the order I expected them to finish but thats the beauty of the dual forecast covers the 1/2 in any order. Well done Spooner for the e/w and Ben for Sutil/Alonso some nice picks there :clapSafety Car Yes/No :clap Yes @ 1.33 Betfair Theres only been two previous F1 races held at this circuit. Both have seen the safety car deployed and I feel this year will be no different. The walls of this street circuit are unforgiving and its likely that someones race will end with them hitting the wall. Dual Forecast Vettle/Alonso @ 7.50 William Hill :nana Vettle put in a solid performance at Monza and got the maximum points that could have been expected from the Red Bull car. Hes said that he feels the pressure is more on the other drivers ahead of him in the WDC standings and with this I expect a very fast Vettle this weekend. Yesterday in fp3 he had over half a second over the field with maybe the exception of Alonso who wasnt able to show his true pace on the soft tyres after making a mistake and stopping on track (the 2 sectors he completed were purple and green and the time was on course to be 2nd fastest behind Vettle). Alonso's best time on the hard tyre was still good enough for 4th overall best time. Pole/Fastest Lap/Race Win
Vettle @ 6.50 William Hill
The same reasons as stated above. I think the only things to stop Vettle this weekend could be a poor start or the weather.
I am taking these prices now as I dont think they will be as high after fp3 and qualifying. -
Re: 2010 Formula One World Championship
Good performance from Alonso today didnt think he could outpace Vettle today.Safety Car Yes/No Yes @ 1.33 Betfair :hope Theres only been two previous F1 races held at this circuit. Both have seen the safety car deployed and I feel this year will be no different. The walls of this street circuit are unforgiving and its likely that someones race will end with them hitting the wall. Dual Forecast :hope Vettle/Alonso @ 7.50 William Hill Vettle put in a solid performance at Monza and got the maximum points that could have been expected from the Red Bull car. Hes said that he feels the pressure is more on the other drivers ahead of him in the WDC standings and with this I expect a very fast Vettle this weekend. Yesterday in fp3 he had over half a second over the field with maybe the exception of Alonso who wasnt able to show his true pace on the soft tyres after making a mistake and stopping on track (the 2 sectors he completed were purple and green and the time was on course to be 2nd fastest behind Vettle). Alonso's best time on the hard tyre was still good enough for 4th overall best time. Pole/Fastest Lap/Race Win :wall Alonso on pole beats this one. Vettle @ 6.50 William Hill The same reasons as stated above. I think the only things to stop Vettle this weekend could be a poor start or the weather. I am taking these prices now as I dont think they will be as high after fp3 and qualifying. -
Re: 2010 Formula One World Championship
Sutil will need rain to have a chance, I cant see past the two Red Bulls and Alonso for the top 3 in fp3. Best of luck for your bet:hope:hopeSame again for P3 -- Sutil Fastest @ 67 Centrebet (Not EW) Sutil is no stranger to the top of these practice timesheets. With the possibility of inclement weather this will further enhance his propects as he really comes to the fore in the wet. Very good odds given the lottery nature these events can take. -
Re: 2010 Formula One World Championship Safety Car Yes/No Yes @ 1.33 Betfair Theres only been two previous F1 races held at this circuit. Both have seen the safety car deployed and I feel this year will be no different. The walls of this street circuit are unforgiving and its likely that someones race will end with them hitting the wall. Dual Forecast Vettle/Alonso @ 7.50 William Hill Vettle put in a solid performance at Monza and got the maximum points that could have been expected from the Red Bull car. Hes said that he feels the pressure is more on the other drivers ahead of him in the WDC standings and with this I expect a very fast Vettle this weekend. Yesterday in fp3 he had over half a second over the field with maybe the exception of Alonso who wasnt able to show his true pace on the soft tyres after making a mistake and stopping on track (the 2 sectors he completed were purple and green and the time was on course to be 2nd fastest behind Vettle). Alonso's best time on the hard tyre was still good enough for 4th overall best time. Pole/Fastest Lap/Race Wim Vettle @ 6.50 William Hill The same reasons as stated above. I think the only things to stop Vettle this weekend could be a poor start or the weather. I am taking these prices now as I dont think they will be as high after fp3 and qualifying.
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Re: Tennis - US Open
:ok Good post. This a bet that I am very interested in. What price would you anticipate Davydenko falling too if he reaches the quater finals?Most MAJORS i like to back and then lay an outsider once at the Qtr Final stage for a decent profit and this major is no exception. However, like most i'm struggling to find anyone at ALL that stands out. Ideally I look for >100/1 shots that if they make week 2 are a great price to lay off, but as mentioned there is noone i like this year so instead this is the best I could come up with: Nikolay Davydenko since returning from injury hasn't been the "SAME" Nikolay that played so well at the back end of last year and the start of this one, however I back him to finally come good on a surface he plays well on. On hard courts in general when it matters Davydenko has a fantastic record of late, he won the Shanghai masters and in Doha beating Nadal (twice), Djokovic, Federer and Karlovic. He then lost to Federer in this years Australian in 4 sets but Federer faced 19 break points against him! Davydenko on his day on a hard court can clearly mix it with the best. After the Australian in lesser tournaments he didn't play his best and THEN broke his left wrist. The results since have not been great and many say that Cincinnati plays as close to Flushing Meadows as anywhere and in that event Davydenko overcame Ginepri and Ferrer in good fashion but then lost to Federer in straight sets. That day he didn't take his break point chances well converting just 1/4. He did defend his own break points well though 8/11 and of course giving up 11 break points isn't great but to Federer on a hard court it doesn't seem to bad to me. So his route to the quarters... R1- Russell - Seems ok R2- Gasquet - Has potential shoulder problems and isn't in great form of late and has't a great record at the US Open. R3- Anderson/Belluci - both not in the best of form and Davydenko should be a class too much L16- Roddick/Monfils - Now i like Davydenko here against both despite Roddick having a good h2h against. Roddick has injury clouds over his head after his mononucleosis diagnosis and has a tricky few games against Tipsarevic and Monfils both have given him problems in the past and given Davydenko beat Roddick in their last hard court match up i like Davydenko here, Monfils - Isn't in the best of form and has had a few injuries himself in the past month. If he takes out Roddick in the round before I can't see him taking Davydenko out as well given how "fresher" Davydenko should be going into that matchup. Qtr - Time to Lay But potential opponent Fish/Djokovic. Both of which I don't mind fading, Fish has been great in recent weeks but now its a SLAM im not soo sure he can repeat his form and an earlier encounter with Bagdatis is going to go the distance for sure. Djokovic struggles with the heat and it's meant to be the hottest US Open for a while this year, the Serbian showed glipses of his ability in recent weeks but is just not the player he was. If he goes crashing Davydenko's price is sure to drop a great deal as Djokovic is the top seed for this quarter. If Davydenko makes the quarters he will be layable for a decent profit and win or lose I feel there's value in a trading point of view. Back DAvydenko 70/1 Betfair Or try 12/1 for Davydenko to win the Quarter again with hopeful trading opportunities best of luck with your punts -
Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 100% on the overs :clap
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Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 100% on the overs :clap
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Re: 2010 Formula One World Championship
Tell me about it :wall I backed Vettel for the WDC at 8.5 (skybet) in January on the basis the Red Bull had finished 09 so strongly. I thought he was a stronger option than Webber. I still think it will be a Red Bull driver who wins and current form would indicate that it will be Webber. Mclaren I think will be strong in Monza but after that I would expect Red Bull to dominate.Cheers mate. Really do have to wonder about those Red Bull drivers though. Frankly, they should have the titles wrapped up by now, but they keep on finding ways to lose. -
Re: 2010 Formula One World Championship
:ok Good call from yourself aswell Crouch. Shame about Kubica's 2nd trye stop for my inplay bet but still happy with a modest profit at the end.3/4 at odds against. Great work Kramer :clap Some great shouts too from Andy, Ben and Jens, though I dare say Rosberg left it a little late :loon -
Re: 2010 Formula One World Championship
lol should be forecast might lay it with rain a possibility.Taken a forecase in running Hamilton/Kubica @ 3.0 betfair -
Re: 2010 Formula One World Championship Taken a forecase in running Hamilton/Kubica @ 3.0 betfair
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Re: 2010 Formula One World Championship Live pictures from Spa on Eurosport show the track to be dry at the minute.
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Re: 2010 Formula One World Championship Leader after 1st lap - Lewis Hamilton 3.40 Betfair My bet for tomorrow will be Lewis Hamilton to be leading at the end of lap 1 @ 3.40 with Betfair. Hamiltons a good starter and at Spa the F-duct on the McLaren will be a major advantage in the 1st and 3rd sectors were there are 2 long straights with good chances of slipstreaming and a overtake. Hamilton did a 31.093, Webber a 31.316 in sector 1. In sector 3 Hamilton did a 28.500 compared to Webbers 28.854. He lost all of his time in twisty 2nd sector. With a high chance of rain tomorrow I see this as a safer bet than Hamilton to win the race outright (2.90 betfair) as it can become somewhat of a lottery when it starts to rain. :hope
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Re: Super Yankee Long Shot HT/FT
Hi mate thats an interesting idea' date=' i will watch your selections with interest. Best of luck :ok[/quote'] Thanks Chris. No luck with my selections during the week. I will follow your selections this week if thats cool but I shall change the bet to half time lead and fail to win. I have taken them with Paddypower at the following prices Liverpool v Arsenal 1/? @9/1 Scunthorpe v Norwich 1/? @17/2 Leyton Orient v Charlton 1/X @13/1 (taken in play 1/X) Hartlepool v Swindon 1/? @9/1 Lincoln v Torquay 1/? @9/1 10p super yankee :hope -
Re: Super Yankee Long Shot HT/FT Hi Chris read the whole thread and I was very impressed with your results. I was wondering have ever considered the bet of half time lead and fail to win. This bet is available with paddypower but I'm not sure about other places. Teams who meet your selection process seem to generally priced between 9.5 and 10.5. Although the prices and winning payout are lower the target an away win at full time would also be a winning result. So with your thread in mind I have done a 10p canadian bet for this weeks carling cup matches. The criteria I used for picking the teams was similar to yours in that I looked for teams that are closely matched in the betting.
Selection Selection Details Result 1 Football Matches Carling Cup Matches Northampton v Brighton 10th of Aug 2010 7:45 pm Half-Time Lead & Fail to Win Northampton @ 17/2 Pending Selection Selection Details Result 2 Football Matches Carling Cup Matches Yeovil v Crystal Palace 10th of Aug 2010 7:45 pm Half-Time Lead & Fail to Win Yeovil @ 17/2 Pending Selection Selection Details Result 3 Football Matches Carling Cup Matches Oxford United v Bristol Rovers 10th of Aug 2010 7:45 pm Half-Time Lead & Fail to Win Oxford United @ 9/1 Pending Selection Selection Details Result 4 Football Matches Carling Cup Matches Hereford v Colchester 10th of Aug 2010 7:45 pm Half-Time Lead & Fail to Win Hereford @ 17/2 Pending Selection Selection Details Result 5 Football Matches Carling Cup Matches Carlisle v Huddersfield 10th of Aug 2010 7:45 pm Half-Time Lead & Fail to Win Carlisle @ 8/1 Pending
This early in the season its hard to call so :hopeStake and Return Details Bet placed at 10th of Aug 2010 11:55 am Total Stake £2.60 Bet type Canadian (To Win) Tax@Tax free 0 Number of lines 26 Total stake due £2.60 Stake per line £0.10 Freebets Redeemed £0.00 Channel Internet Total amount paid £2.60 Number of win lines - Potential Returns £12,729.03
UEFA Europa League > 22-24 Feb
in Europa League Predictions
Posted
Re: UEFA Europa League > 22-24 Feb
here :wall