[NFL week 9 picks]

Re: NFL week 9 picks Depend of bookies, on pinnacle it counts.

[NFL week 9 picks]

Re: NFL week 9 picks

Kansas City @ Buffalo KC (-3.5) to win 10/11 (Paddy Power) + (most other bookies)

I took this bet to, Jeff Tuel is most likely to start for Bills, can't see how he can handle with Chiefs pass D. Chargers @ Redskins, over 51 @ 1.926 pinnacle High line but two very good offence versus bad D. Chargers pass D pretty awful. Rivers playing his best season ever will have easy day against Skins defence.

[Nfl week 8 picks]

Re: Nfl week 8 picks Eagles -5.5 @1.980 at pinnacle Giants won their first game last week, but it was ugly game where Freeman throw ball over 50 times. With different gameplan and more running by AP I'm sure there will be different result. First win, but they didn't show a quality game. Brandon Jacobs probably wont play, and that leaves them with Payton Hillis at starting RB, he was watching NFL on TV two weeks ago. Eagles play hot and cold, but still have chance to win a division. Both teams have bad defences, but Eagles have big advantage in better OL and couple of game changing playmakers in McCoy and Jackson. Last week they lost against Cowboys, but were without Vick. He is back for this game, but he is not 100%. Also, in first game Eagles won by 15 point in NY. Also, I am thinking to put some money on Chiefs under 38.5 as I cant see Browns scoring lot with Campbell at QB, and Browns also have pretty solid D. Jets/Bengals I agree it can go under, thinking also to go for Bengals on handicap. AJ Green can make that difference.

[NFL: Week 7 picks]

Re: NFL: Week 7 picks Regarding that low line for o/u, I remmeber when I started betting on NFL about 5 years ago, every weekend there was couple of game with lines low as 35. Standard is set higher these days, you can see maybe one game per week with o/u lines lower than 40.5. This season that line of 40.5 is very common and I play very often under, but I lost more times than won. Last week it was 49ers-Cards, under 40.5, two stout defences and division derby, I played under thinking how it should be set at around 36.5 and how I took value bet, but it went over by miles. So, 40.5 is very low line by today's standard, but I still can't get used to that. I would low to see stats on that line for this season. Case Keenum starting at QB, Schaub played very bad but this is still big downgrade for Texans offence. Andre Johnson is not 100%, Daniels is injured. They will force ball to Foster & Tate as much as possible. I' ve read that Chiefs OC want to give ball to Charles hands even more. So everything points to hard possesion game. IMO this game can only go over wiith pick-6 or special team score TD. I will play under 40.5 and probably will loose again :)

[NFL: Week 6 picks]

Re: NFL: Week 6 picks The Sioux Falls Police Department revealed Friday that Adrian Peterson's two-year-old son has passed away due to injuries sustained during an alleged assault by the boyfriend of the child's mother. This is great tragedy and I doubt he will be concentrated for sunday game, maybe he wont even play. Cassel will start at QB, and with this news about AP, Panthers can be nice bet. On Pinnacle they were around 2.20, but now that game is offline. I have them in my lokal bookie at 2.45 (Mozzart) and I will take them. Watched Panthers last week, really really bad team, but this news change a lot of things for Vikings.

[French Open 2013]

Re: French Open 2013 Hi, I dont bet on tennis very often, but here are my two bets for tommorow, I will appreciate comments from tennis experts. Nadal-Wawrinka, 1st set over 9.5 @ 1.90 bet365 It looks like Nadal starts his matches slowly this year. All first sets he played on RG have gone over 9.5 points. He even lost 2 first sets in early stages of tournament against low ranked players. I dont think that Wawrinka can cause an upset here, but he can give him good resist in first set, after that I expext Nadal to finish a job easily. Djokovic-Haas, tie break in match YES @ 2.10 bet365 Loot of you took Haas over 13.5. And yes, I think that Haas can keep this close in every set, Djokovic wont take from him more than one break per set. I took this bet because of odds, its bigger than playing on o/u points. Cheers!

[NFL: Week One Picks]

Re: NFL: Week One Picks K. Smith over 64,5 @ 1,80 bet365 Smith is healthy and with Leshoure out he will get at least 15 touches, probably 20-25 if Lions take early lead. Rams last year was awful in run D, they allowed to much big plays. He is good RB when he is healthy and should pass this line easily. Price on Bills droped, but I will probably place some money on them before game. Also I am thinking on Saints over 50,5, line is high but this should be a really high scoring game, would like to hear some opinions? GL with your bets :hope:hope

[NFL: Week One Picks]

Re: NFL: Week One Picks Jaguars@Vikings under [email protected] bet365 IMO both team should struggle with passing the ball this season, with MJD holdout attempt and AP still not 100% their running game wont be so good. They will have problems with moving the chains, I dont expect to much big plays on offence.

[MLB: April 29th picks]

Re: MLB: April 29th picks overall 9-7 +1.27 units Rockies -1.5 @ 2.05 bet365 Correia after great start surrended 5 ER in 4 innigs against Nat's, and hope he wont be much better this time. Last two games against Rockies he didnt last more than 5 innigs. Chacin this year pitch great at home, in two starts he throw for 16 scoreless innigs. Big difference in both pitching and bathing on Rockies side. Rangers @ 1.96 bet365 Not to much difference between starting pitchers tonight and I am going with IMO stronger batting lineup.

[MLB: April 25th 2011 Picks]

Re: MLB: April 25th 2011 Picks overall 8-7 +0.44 units Been away for couple of days, hope to break bad streak after this pause. Cubs over 7 @ 1.83 bet365

[MLB April 19th picks]

overall 8-6 +1.44 units Reds over 9.5 @ 1.90 bet365 Dont like this pitchers tonight, and both offences have enough quality to hurt them. Galarraga have two victories with D'backs thanks to great run support, his ERA is 6.75. LeCure had two good start against Padres and Astros, I think that D'backs can hit better. He didnt go for distance in that starts, only 5 and 6 innings. Reds finished 7 of 10 games at home in over.

[MLB: April 17th picks]

Re: MLB: April 17th picks overall 8-5 +2.44 units Braves -1.5 @ 2.05 bet365 Mets are on 7 game losing streak, and I think it will continue tonight. Gee is on the mound, dont know what to expect from him in his first start this year. Their pitching is terrible all year and last couple of games they cant hit either. In last 5 games they avg is .195 with 3 R/9. Braves are good in all aspects of their team, Hanson pitch really good at home, in last two starts at home against Mets he won twice throwing each time 7 scoreless innings. Hope he can get enough run support, cause I dont see Mets scoring a lot against Hanson and Braves bullpen.

[MLB: April 16th 2011 Picks]

Re: MLB: April 16th 2011 Picks overall 7-5 +1.64 units Dodgers over 6.5 @1.80 bet365 Cardinals scored 20 runs in last 2 games, Puyols is out of slump in big style, and rest of the lineup is also hot. McCellan had 2 good start in his first year as a starter and both were pretty good, but I'm not sure how long he can continue to pitch that well. Cardinals bullpen is awful, and I hope that Dodgers can score a couple of runs on them. Kershaw have great start, he don walk as many batters as he did last year, and that is main reason for succes, but think that hot Cards lineup can hurt him.

[MLB: April 15th picks]

overall 7-4 +2.64 units Reds -1.5 @ 2.15 bet365 Sure there will be a lot of money on Reds tonight. Pirates come with 4 game losing streak and 1 run scored in last 2 games. Charlie Morton is on the mound, great start of the season, with ERA 2.08 after 2 games. But he dont pitch well against Reds, he lost last 5 starts and have career ERA 6.34 against them. On other side, Arroyo also started great season, with 2 W and 2.08 ERA. He can count on some better run support. Bruce is back in the lineup tonight, and lot of Reds big bats have good record against Morton. At home Reds lost only 1 game out of 6, and didnt have problems with scoring runs. I expect that trend to continue tonight.

[MLB: April 14th picks]

overall 7-3 +3.64 units Twins @ 2.16 bet365 Twins are underachiving at the moment, but I like this price on them. Rays won 2 games against Red Sox and that is reason why bookies took them for favorites. Shields usually pitch better at home, but I dont rate him much better than Pavano. Pavano had bad start against Blue Jays, but come back with great performance against A's where he allowed 1 ER in 8 innigs. Twins really have much better lineup than Rays, and hope that Rays will continue to struggle to score at half empty Tropicana.

[MLB: April 13th picks]

Re: MLB: April 13th picks overall 6-3 +2.78 units Mets over 7.5 @1.86 bet365 I saw that all Mets games this season went Over, and I hope that streak will continue tonight. Niese is their starter tonight, after solid start against Marlins he was destroyed by Phillies. Pitching at home park will make it easier for him, but Rockies lineup have enough power potential. They are hitting .246 wiht just over 5 R/9. On other side Esmil Rodgers had great start against Pirates with 1 ER in 7 innings. I hope he wont repeat that tonight. Reyes is in awsome form, and when he is hot Mets can produce some runs. Against lefties they are hitting .236 with 7.13 R/9.

[MLB: April 12th 2011 Picks]

Re: MLB: April 12th 2011 Picks I asked beacuse I tried a similar system 2-3 season ago, with betting on underdogs priced between 2.0 and 2.50, or something like that, and it didnt work out. It was good for first two month, but I finished season losing half of my bankroll. Just want to say to be carefull with that kind of system :)

[MLB: April 12th 2011 Picks]

Re: MLB: April 12th 2011 Picks What is your system, you play just underdogs ?

[MLB: April 12th 2011 Picks]

Re: MLB: April 12th 2011 Picks overal 5-3 +1.90 units Really embarrasing defeat by Red Sox last night, last time I put my money on Matsuzaka. Astros @ 1.88 bet365 I watched Myers against Phillies and he was very good, in next start he won against Reds, he have good staff this year. Cubs offence is doing ok job, but I think he can hold them down. Astros offence is not so good, but they can produce some run support to Myers. Bullpen is what little scares me. Russell first start of the year, last year he was in the bullpen and I dont believe he can get more than 5-6 innings, if Astros dont score of him, than they can do that against shaky Cubs bullpen.

[MLB: April 11th 2011 Picks]

Re: MLB: April 11th 2011 Picks overall 5-2 +2.90 units Red Sox -1.5 @ 2.30 bet365 Not sure this is best game to bet for tonight, but I believe that Red Sox could start a winnig streak after they won 2 of 3 against Yankees. There was big hype about Hellickson and his ability in this offseason, and he had solid start against Angels. But Red Sox lineup and Fenway Park are another level. I am not big Dice-K fun, but with Rays hitting only .138 aginst righties maybe he can deliver good start tonight.

[MLB: April 10th 2011 Picks]

Re: MLB: April 10th 2011 Picks overall 4-2 +1.79 units Indians @ 2.11 bet365 Nice to see Indians as underdog with 6 game winning streak, against this bad Marines team who is on 6 game losing streak. In first start Tomlin was dominant against Red Sox with 7 strong innigns, Bedard didnt impress against Texas. Indians hit well against lefties with .357 OBP and 6.91 R/9. Mariners are really struggling in batting, against rigthies they are hitting only .171 with 2.10 R/9. All stats and form are on Indians side, and this is nice price for their win.

[MLB: April 9th picks]

Re: MLB: April 9th picks overal 3-2 +0.99 units Twins under 8 @1.80 bet365 Good pitching matchup tonight, Gonzales pitched 7 inings with 1 ER against Mariners, Blackburn pitched 6 inings with 1 ER against great Blue Jays lineup. Gonzales is a pitcher who is expected to really break out this year. Last night match ended 2-1, and I dont expect bigger score tonight. Twins tend to struggle against lefties, A's lineup is not so dangerus. A's are hitting .229 with 3.29 R/9, Twins are just .210 with 3 R/9. And that numbers Twins put on away stadium, at Blue Jays and Yankees, stadiums that favors batting better.

[MLB: April 8th picks]

Re: MLB: April 8th picks overall 3-1 +1.99 units White Sox @ 1.70 bet365 Also on White Sox, Rays cant hit anything at the moment, their team avg is only .145, Upton looks like only player in form. They score 1.33 R/9. White Sox started good this year, they have avg of .313 with 6.86 R/9, and they hit excellent against righite pitching, they score 8.16 R/9. Both pitcher had good start of the year, but Shields usually have big trouble pitching away from Tropicana Field, and with Rays lineup out of form he wont get enough run support.

[MLB: April 7th 2011 Picks]

Re: MLB: April 7th 2011 Picks overall 2-1 +0.99 units Phillies -1.5@2.00 bet365 No time for reasoning tonight, Halladay dont get to much run support but this is ok price for him pitching at home.

[MLB: April 6th 2011 Picks]

Re: MLB: April 6th 2011 Picks overall 1-1 +0.25 units Tigers @1.74 bet365 Really like Verlander this year to make something special, he won last 7 starts against Orioles. Orioles are off to a great start, thanks to superb pitching. Bergesen is on the mound tonight, and Tigers can hurt him. Against rigthies Tigers are batting .259 with 4.91 R/9, and Orioles are .242 with 4.15 R/9.