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mandrew420

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Posts posted by mandrew420

    Ligue 2 > October 3rd - 6th

    in French Football Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Ligue 2 > October 3rd - 6th Nancy v Ajaccio 80% of Nancy's home games ended up in a draw. 78% of Nancy's games had under 2.5 goals in total. Nancy conceded at least 1 goal in 80% of their home games. 78% of GFC Ajaccio's games had under 2.5 goals in total. I can see a scoreline like 1:0,2:0 or 1:1. My bet in this match would be under 2,5 but odds around 1,47 are too low for me. Maybe I will use it in some kind of accumulator still not sure...as I said a nice write up from Meatman would be awesome. GL

    Arsenal v Crystal Palace > Saturday August 16th

    in Premier League Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Arsenal v Crystal Palace > Saturday August 16th

    I think that the gunners have a decent edge in this game, they are playing at home and I expect them to be highly motivated to take all 3 points in the opening match. I am going for a speculative correct score bet here. At first glance I wanted to take over 2.5 goals, but 1.72 was too short for me... I am betting 5/10 units on a few correct score lines: 1:0 @Bet365 odds. 6 2:0 @Bet365 odds. 6 3:0 @Bet365 odds. 7,50 2:1 @Bet365 9,50 3:1 @Bet365 13 btw i am a gunners fan, dunno if it clouded my judgement, just wanted to let ya know :) CHEERS! :beer
    yeaa! 2:1 result secured me a juicy profit odds 9.5 :)

    Arsenal v Crystal Palace > Saturday August 16th

    in Premier League Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Arsenal v Crystal Palace > Saturday August 16th I think that the gunners have a decent edge in this game, they are playing at home and I expect them to be highly motivated to take all 3 points in the opening match. I am going for a speculative correct score bet here. At first glance I wanted to take over 2.5 goals, but 1.72 was too short for me... I am betting 5/10 units on a few correct score lines: 1:0 @Bet365 odds. 6 2:0 @Bet365 odds. 6 3:0 @Bet365 odds. 7,50 2:1 @Bet365 9,50 3:1 @Bet365 13 btw i am a gunners fan, dunno if it clouded my judgement, just wanted to let ya know :) CHEERS! :beer

    Last 16 - Germany v Algeria > Monday June 30th

    in World Cup 2022 Tips & Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Last 16 - Germany v Algeria > Monday June 30th I sure aint sorry for them :D But i agree with you 100% that it was a wonderfull match. Well played by algeria for sure, although I am a bit disapointed that germany didnt score from the 100´ds of chances they had in regular time. No profit for me today, but my Germany/Netherlands outright bet still lives.... Anyway even when the score was 0:0 in FT i would still bet -1.5 AH on germany at evens everytime...thats life u win some u loose some...

    Last 16 - Germany v Algeria > Monday June 30th

    in World Cup 2022 Tips & Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Last 16 - Germany v Algeria > Monday June 30th I took also germany on -1.5 handicap at 1.95 bet365, also considered a clean sheet for germany, but i have already too much money on this game. I cant see algeria as a big threath for germany. Imo Algeria will conceede an early goal in the 1st half and a couple goals in the second. Or they will defend well for the 1st half concede somewhere in the 2nd and later they will be forced to open up their defence and will concede once again in the last 15minutes. maybe i will have a small punt on 2:0, just my opinion though....wisch u all luck

    Bundesliga > March 8th & 9th

    in German Football Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Bundesliga > March 8th & 9th I am also taking the overs in Schalke v Hoffheim I am about to use it in a double so I am going for the safer option with lower odds 1.43 over 2.5 goals @marathonbet As u mentioned two offensive teams with bad defences. Hoffheim has 0 clean sheets in away matches and they failed to score in 27% of their visits. Schalke failed to score in 18% of their home games and got 45% clean sheets at home. 45% of their home matches went over 3.5 goals and 63% went over the 2.5 goal line. Hoffheims away matches went over 2.5g in 72% over 3.5g in 54%. Schalke scores an average of 2 goals per match at home while they concede 1.18. Hoffheim score 1.73g per away match while they concede 2.09. Everything points to the Overs in this game. GL

    France Ligue 2 (4-10 March 2014)

    in French Football Predictions

    Posted

    Re: France Ligue 2 (4-10 March 2014) Auxere v Dijon Auxere scores and average of 1,54 goals per home math and concede 0,69. 69,2% of their home matches went under 2.5 goals. They scored 6 and conceded 5 goals in their last 5 home matches. Their most recent match was 0:0 (away against poor Bastia, curently last in the table). I see only one negative stat from Auxere for the Under 2.5 goal bet which is that they have scored at least one goal in 92% of their home matches. But they make up for this with their solid home defence...they got 53.8% clean sheats at home. ok now lets look at Dijon Dijon scores an average of 0.62 goals on their travels while they concede exactly 1.00 goal. Suprisingly they have the same stat as Auxerre when we look at the under 2.5 goals per match percentage (69.2%). They scored 3 goals and conceded 6 in their last 5 away matches (they scored 0 goals in their last 3 away mathces). On their travels they failed to score in 61.5% of the games. The predictions are made purely on statistics, Id love to hear som team news before I make these bets. Any posts with your opinion or usefull links where I can find some info about team news is more than welcome. I know u dislike under bets, but I love them especially in this low scoring league...dont hate :) Bookmaker Marathonbet odds 1.60 Bet Under 2.5 goals Stake 8/10 I am about to take these two bets in a double odds around 2.6 @marathonbet obviously....

    France Ligue 2 (4-10 March 2014)

    in French Football Predictions

    Posted

    Re: France Ligue 2 (4-10 March 2014) Lol u guys gonna love my next bet :D Avignon v Nancy Avignon has scored 2 goals in their last 5 matches conceded 5. Nancy didnt score in their last 2 previous matches. Nancy had their last 2 matches under 2.5 goals and the other 3 were all overs. When I dug deeper into the statistics I noticed that Avignon has a tremendeous home record. They didnt loose at home, not even once this season, 46.2% of their home matches ended as a draw and the rest were all wins. (source www.soccestats.com). They didnt even concede more than 1 goal at home (only once against Caen earlier this season). Aproximatelly 85% of their matches (at home) went under 2.5 goals. They score an average of 1.15 goals per home match and concede 0.38 goals which is way tooo low imo. On the other hand Nancy scores 1 goal per match and concede 1.17 (away). 48.3% of their away matches went under 2.5 goals. So all in all....everything points to a low scoring match. Possibly a draw like 0:0 or 1:1. ( I noticed that both teams tend to draw alot). Of course soccer betting isnt an exact science and this can go either way, but I see a great probability that this encounter will be low scoring. I know u dislike these bets, but any feedback is more than welcome! Wish u luck! Hope u wish me the same despite my Under selections :D Bookmaker Marathonbet odds 1.63 Bet UNDER 2.5 goals. Stake 8/10. I will probably use it in some kind of double...

    International Friendlies > March 5th - 6th

    in Other International Predictions

    Posted

    Re: International Friendlies > March 5th - 6th I am watching the argentina game and I regret my decision, romanania should be leading right now 1:0 at least...argentina is playing way too unorganised. So much quality in their squad and they play soo average... I am very suprised to see them play this way...they should play together more often, they lack any cooperation in this game :/

    International Friendlies > March 5th - 6th

    in Other International Predictions

    Posted

    Re: International Friendlies > March 5th - 6th I took Argetina to win as a safe pick for the day as accumulator material. Odds 1.43 I think these odds are kinda high for a team with such quality upfront (not only upfront ofcourse). I think I dont need some serious reasoning here I just googled the starting 11 for both teams and some interviews about how they aproach this match and my opinion is that even if Argentina plays on 60-70% they are still favourites to win. It will be quite a sweat for me anyway casue I got this bet in almost all of my todays bets...so wish me luck guys :)

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