packmanuk
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Posts posted by packmanuk
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I'm looking to test out some low liability strategies. I was thinking of laying the under 4.5 goals market and backing following a goal or even doing that on the over 3.5 market. Any other low liability strategies that anyone uses and would the above ideas be any good ?
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Could this work - 2 even teams level at HT You lay the draw at about 2.5 for £10 then back the current score at about 4.0 for 5 Now if there is no change in the score you break even but if a goal is scored you can back the draw and lock in a profit. The later the goal is scored the better. Would the draw odds drift far enough out after a goal to lock in a profit ? Would I be better with a smaller bet on the current score giving me a bigger profit if a goal is scored but a small loss if the score remains as it was at HT ? Any thoughts or ideas ?
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Re: Stats ? According to the above results wouldn't I be in profit if I backed both the u2.5 and u1.5 for equal stakes in every match ?
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Re: Idea ? I see my mistake now. Although the liability is £58 on lay the draw the actual bet is only 20.70 which would be my profit before taking away the correct score bets leaving almost nothing.
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Can this work ? Dutch the following results - 0v0 1v1 2v2 3v3 for total bet of £20 Lay the draw at 3.8 for the liability of the profit of the above which is about £58 If a draw on any of the above scores I would break even. If either team won I would get £58 minus the £20 on the correct score giving a profit of £38 I can only lose on a 4v4 draw or above. Am I correct with these figures as it seems too good to be true.
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Is there a site that will give the following stats - Games under 1.5 goals Games with only 2 goals total Games with over 2.5 goals I'm trying a system that backs the over 2.5 goals for say £10. This £10 bet is then covered by a bet on the under 1.5 goals market. So if its under 1.5 goals you break even and if its over 2.5 goals you win. The drawback is 2 goals in a game which is why i'm trying to get the above stats. Once I know the stats I could maybe look at also backing the 1 v 1 and even the 2 v 0 to cover everything but the 0 v 2 but need to know if a profit is possible. What do people think ?
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Are there any good tennis systems out there ?
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Re: Laying correct score multiples experiment I can't see any option on multiples to lay or back correct scores. I go into multiples and only get the option of match odds. What do i need to do to find the correct score multiples ?
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Re: Best Low Risk Football ? I was meaning low liability, not low risk.
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Re: Best Low Risk Football ? What about laying 1.5 goals in the first half ? If an early goal is scored back for the profit. Does this work ?
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Anyone got any tips for low risk football systems ? I've read about laying under 4.5 goals and laying the draw and wondered what people reccomended. I'm looking for a couple of low risk systems.
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Re: Quick System No mention of the win 2 days ago on betfair, strange. I just thought the other thread was for aw and this was different. I'll get my bet on now, thanks for all the selections, I was on your winner yesterday.
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Re: Quick System Don't understand this selection. Firstly isn't it on AW and secondly it says it hasn't run for 820 days according to betfair.
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Re: Getfin Where do you see the official ratings ?
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Re: New System Tomorrow's selections - Southall 1.00 - Gower Sophia War 3.20 - Overton Lad Kem 6.50 - Mass Rally
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Re: New System Another very frustrating day - Exeter - 2.10 - Clyffe Hanger - 2nd - Lost £2.00 Ling - 2.00 - Sonowyouno - 1st - Won £4.50 Sedg - 1.20 - Freedom Flyer NR Sedg - 2.50 - Persian Prince - Nowhere - Lost £2.00 Sedg - 3.20 - Knockaven - 2nd - Lost £2.00 Down £1.50 today Overall Down £10.50 Selections to date - Winners - 2 Placed - 8 Others - 5 Most of the placed are second so have been a bit unlucky. Hopefully a few of these seconds can be turned into winners.
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Re: New System The system works by picking a horse with one of the top rp ratings, good recent form and having run in the last 2 weeks. Thats bascally it really and it is picking some good horses but so far too many seconds.
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Re: New System Tomorrow's Selections - Exeter - 2.10 - Clyffe Hanger Ling - 2.00 - Sonowyouno Sedg - 1.20 - Freedom Flyer Sedg - 2.50 - Persian Prince Sedg - 3.20 - Knockaven
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Re: New System Results - 1.10 Southall - Silver Steel - 3rd - lost £2.00 1.45 Southall - Lady Pilot - 2nd - lost £2.00 3.05 - Wolv - Shark Mam - 1st - won £4.00 4.40 - Wolv - Gaily Noble - 4th - lost £2.00 So 1 winner today and had a good run with the other 3. Overall profit and loss is now - Minus £10.00 on £2.00 bets
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Re: New System Tomorrow's selections - 1.10 Southall - Silver Steel 1.45 Southall - Lady Pilot 3.05 - Wolv - Shark Mam 4.40 - Wolv - Gaily Noble Hopefully a winner for the system today.
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Re: New System Todays results - 12.55- Naas - Noble Prince - 2nd - lost £2.00 1.30 - Hereford - Cartier Opera - UR when going well - lost £2.00 1.50 - M R - Mcmurrough - NR 2.55 - M R - Panuck D'Airy - 2nd - lost £2.00 4.15 - Lim - Midnight Socialite - NR A bit unlucky today with 2 x 2nd places and an UR when going well. Overall now down £8.00 using £2.00 bets. Can only get better tomorrow.
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Re: New System Sunday Selections - 12.55- Naas - Noble Prince 1.30 - Hereford - Cartier Opera 1.50 - M R - Mcmurrough 2.55 - M R - Panuck D'Airy 4.15 - Lim - Midnight Socialite Hopefully get 2 winners from these.
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Re: New System Not a very good start - Doncaster - 11.55 - Observatory Star - 7th - £2.00 loss 12.25 - Adventure Story - 1st - £8.00 win 1.25 - Gourey Girl - 2nd - £2.00 loss 2.05 - Les Fazzani - 4th - £2.00 loss Down Royal - 12.55 - Carrigmartin - 20th - £2.00 loss Sandown - 2.45 - Akrum - 3rd - £2.00 loss Overall - £2.00 down
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Re: New System Todays selections - All to win- Doncaster - 11.55 - Observatory Star 12.25 - Adventure Story 1.25 - Gourey Girl 2.05 - Les Fazzani Down Royal - 12.55 - Carrigmartin Sandown - 2.45 - Akrum Lets see how these do.
Lay The Draw HT Idea
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Re: Lay The Draw HT Idea Could this work ? 0 v 0 at ht so lay the draw at 2.5 for £5 so £7.5 liability back 0 v 0 at 4.0 at £2 back over 1.5 goals at 2.5 for £2 so if it stays 0 v 0 there is a loss of £3.5 if 0 v 1 or 1 v 0 there is a profit of £1 if a draw of 1 v 1 or higher score draw there is a loss of 6.5 however if there is more than 2 goals and it's not a draw you win £5 plus £2.5 so make a £5.5 profit What do you think ?