paul2009
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Posts posted by paul2009
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Re: Away lay system After a bit of research, Im only gonna use this trial system with matches that matter. Rules are as follows.... 1. No cup games whatsoever ( in my mind, cup games will always come second to league games, which means weakened teams and unreliable results) :D 2. All league games from England, Scotland, Italy, Spain and Germany only...:D 3. No non league games either!!! :D I will publish results in each of there countries and also a total score. For this purpose i will stake two units ( min on betfair) for each lay:D. I will not introduce another filter on this system, it either works:hope or it doesnt:wall... This saturdays fixtures has only thrown up two, cause of the international break... ACCRINGTON v CHELTENHAM..... lay cheltenham @ 2.94 GRIMSBY v BURTON..................lay burton @ 3.05 Prices matched @ 17:45.. So this is what could happen... Accrington win or draw: I win 1.90 points after liability.... If Cheltenham win i lose 4.10 points... Same goes for the other game... Gonna stick this system out for one month, and see what happens ppl...:nana
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Re: Away lay system
On which bookmakers was these odds found dann... Cheers:dudeunlucky paul on the tamworth game. football-data.co.uk is the best site out there for checking hisotrical data ive had a quick look and when away odds are between 2.5 and 3.5, 87% result in home win or draw. Meaning value lay odds should be around 7ish, hence getting odds of between 2.5 and 3.5 should be extremely profitable in the long run. i will watch this with a lo of interst paul - good luck -
Re: Away lay system No other games qualify till saturday:wall:wall:wall International break,:@... There are too many ways of getting odds for a game. Betfair, 365, or rf outlook, which i get. I only looked for the past two weeks in rfo only. But these odds would of been slightly different fo others. I am very intersted in danns stats, gonna check them tmoro on 365. I know this didnt get off to a good start but i believe in this and will for continue doing it. Simply to see if it works, cause at the end of the day... All we want is to give up our day jobs and live wealthy:rollin:rollin:rollin... And FIND THE PERFECT SYSTEM:clap
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Re: Away lay system No, dont know how to do this! Can u let me know how:D
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:welcome:welcome:welcome I have been paper testing an away system and it has thrown up excellent results, so i thought i'd test it further on here:D. Wont go into much detail yet about it, apart from saying it combines price of home team and the supremacy rating from RF Outlook... As always, paper testing works fine till you actually try it for real. But if it works, ill give full details. I am gonna try this and my stakes are as follows.... 25 Points for one lay, on betfair prices... Lays are as follows : Bury v Tranmere..... Lay tranmere @ 3.2 Tamworth v York.....Lay york @ 2.98 Prices were checked @ 18: 45:ok :drums :rollin:rollin:rollinThis time next year....:rollin:rollin:rollin
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Re: Five systems of fortune Also... Gone through my last two editions of rf outlook, and done your draw lay system. In english and scottish games only, the results were as follows: All best home odds in the rfo paper 2/1 and bigger, for the last two weeks was....27 out of 29 successful lay draws.:nana Personally, i think the foreign games are to unpredictable, and i will follow your system but only in english and scottish games. There is definately something in this system u have devised:dude... top man
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Re: Five systems of fortune
Hello...Can u please tell me what the figures in brackets are (42/53). cheershi law, ive done a bit of researching myself and it slightly differs from yours so perhaps you can explain to me how you cam to get it. EPL this season so far..... 100 % no draws on all odds between 3-5.5 for home team average odds not to draw - 1.43(reversal of laid draw) EPL Last season 79% = 1.265 odds (42/53) average odds - 1.415 yield - 11.78% EPL Last 5 seasons 82.9% = 1.206 (194/234) average odds - 1.424 yield - 18% All english divisons last season 72.4% = 1.38 (192/265) average odds - 1.421 yield - 2.9% all top flight european divs last season(eng, sco, ita, ger, fra, spa) 77.7% = 1.287 average odds - 1.43 yield - 11.11% The average odds remains consistent, but the clear lack of knowledge in the lower divisions mars this, so its best to stick to top flight and in order to enhance the amount of games, i think im going to stick to top flight european leagues only. I will work out a staking plan later, and i think im going to run my correct scores and overs thru this aswell to see where best fits. -
Here is my first system, a pretty simple one at that. Home team has to be at least 10 places above the away team in the league. For league's like scotland who dont have many teams, i will think about that one...:unsure Tuesday selections... Betfair's odds .................Home........ Lay draw Preston.... ...2.08 ..........3.55 Sheff utd.... 1.56 ..........4.67 Leeds utd.... 1.41 ........ 5.85 Treble was odds of 4.41 on betfair multiple... Not sure whether to back home selection, or lay the draw. Ill see what happens;) Simple i know, might of been done already. But i want to make money, so i will give it a go !!!!!
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Re: Five systems of fortune Well done again Dann... :clap The more i think about it, the more i like this system. Five systems running along side one another. If one lets you down, you have four other to help. Also, you can go 'In play' to limit damages, or clean up! :clap. They will be days when things dont go according to plan, but its the long time profit that counts. Three days + 200...:rollin:rollin:rollinTop man..:cheers. I have already bookmarked this page, and will continue to watch... And with so many games played nowadays, this system will could be used neally every day... :nana :beerThis time next year....:beer
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Re: Five systems of fortune One more question dan :D... Your percentage stats you mention, where you get them from:unsure... Cheers :beerThis time next year.....:beer
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Re: Five systems of fortune Hello there... I am new to this forum, and the first system i came accross was this one. Early days i know, but to get +63.87, and +110.65 points profit in two days is excellent. Not many, if any systems can boast that!!! I have tried for years to come up with a horse racing system, backing... and laying, but failed. I came up with one laying system that layed 30 on the trot, biggest price 6.0. But all it took was for a couple of bad days, and weeks of layin was wiped out. So backing is the only thing im gonna do from now on, but not with horse racing, it seems to be full of jockeys, who keep getting accused of ' not trying', if you know what i mean. So football, is the my future !!! lol... Anyway... if i was you, leave it as it is, and see what the results are. You could always add a filter to the system later. Just one question. Do you only do certain countries, cause i looked on betfair today and there are matches from all over the world tonight. cheers
Doubles and Trebles Double Chance
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Re: Doubles and Trebles Double Chance Hello there, i have been lookin at multiple laying myself, and i must say this is a very good idea. But as always results are what counts, but off to a very good start.:clap:clap..... Will keep an eye on this one. :drums This time next year.....