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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

P.I.T

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Posts posted by P.I.T

  1. Re: England > Weekend > Championship > 17-19 September

    Millwall - West Ham: West Ham @ 2.47 (Pinnacle) 10/10 This is a derby and the odds are quite good for West Ham's win, I think. The guests sit in 4th place with a 4-1-1 record and a 15:7 goals differential. They have won all 3 of their away matches. Millwall sits in 15th place with a 1-3-2 record and a 6:8 goals differential. The hosts have collected only 1 point in their last three matches and failed to score in all three. West Ham has the upper hand here and despite the derby aspect of the match should be able to win against Millwall. Good Luck...:hope
    Millwall v West Ham Millwall are unbeaten in the last 3 home games and likewise with West Ham in their last 3 away games. The latter seem to be playing much better away from home scoring nine goals in 3 games but i expect millwall to be more resiliant at home as they have only conceded 2 at home this season and they will want to bounce back after their loss to birmingham so for that reason i fancy the draw in this game DRAW @ 3.4 With BET365
    Is this only "derby" ? :lol match of the year for both, do or die, kill or will be killed :D Definitely no bet here.
  2. Re: Ukraine Premier League 2011

    No worries mate,i'm here to help.do what i can ;) Also took Dynamo on handicap in acca,they should of be ahead in HT but...Sheva is getting old, also those new guys they signed are good,specialy theior new striker Ideye-he scored 4 in 2 matches now. I think they will smash Rubn at home again.Milevsky was rested too.
    Did you like how Dinamo played this season so far? 4-0 vs poorest Obolon and 1-3 vs new promoted Oleksandrya. Was there any good team play? I did not see it (watched them). Be careful betting against Rubin :)
  3. Re: Brazil Serie A 2011 THREAD

    Bagzi can you tell me the difference between the above bet and a straightforward win' date=' am I right to assume the above bet if you draw or lose you loss your bet.[/quote'] Hi, There is no difference between -0.5 and straight win, but in Asian Handicap this is usually like that, because there also exist "2 way handicaps" like -0.25 and -0.75 which are middle between - 0,5 and (0) & -1 lines . Read here http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asian_handicap sorry for offtopic.
  4. Re: Russian Football Leagues 2011 Krasnodar – Tom Krasnodar -0.25 @ 1,83 at SBO (take 1,75+ this line) 4/10 Krasnodar is more organized team with a good collection of strong players in midfield and wings and good coach Muslin. They are dissapointed with loose at Kazan vs Rubin as disagree with penalties into their gates, lose was deserved, but still looked quite strong, and now intend to come back vs real rival, agains which they have to take 3 points. Tom are good on recent matches, but after drawn game at home, they will slow down now. Moreover, thye have long list of injured players (including captain Kharitonov), and prematchday the news information arrived that key midfielder Kim and defender Gultyaev are also out, so Tom is much weaker team atm then the home side and in this conditions this is -0.5 line game with not more then 1,8 odds on home side.

  5. Re: Russian Football Leagues 2011 Krasnodar - Zenit Zenit -1 @1,99 at SBO 4/10 Zenit seems came back after 2 unsuccesful matches vs CSKA and intend to prove who is the best team in premier. They are very motivated and most players, who are titled as "key" are OK now. Playmaker Danny back from injury, striker Lazovich on fire, Bukharov not the best, but everybody is working to cheer him up and to start scoring, Kerzhakov - clinical as always. The only result in Krasnodar which is satisfactory for them is 3 points. And they have very good chance for that. As Krasnodar, after good start, is becoming worse. Team, which has been founded just few years ago has no experience on this level and seems for now fuel is finished. The key players, central defender Amisulashvili is still out, he was most significant player so far, stabilizer of the defence and taking part in attacking actions also, perfect on header, passgiver. So their defence looked awful vs Lokomotiv and were destroyed 1-4. Attacker Movsesyan is back, but I doubt if he makes big difference for zenit defence. My line for this game is -1.25 with @1,9 for Zenit. 0-0

  6. Re: Russian Football Leagues 2011

    hi pit! i meant the absences of players that their team will participate in today's game for example rubin, amkar, spartak...?
    I think you can check round preview http://www.euro-football.ru/article/29/784075 where all expected misses and returnes are included. Actual lineups, who will definitely be back or miss, we can check just before the match 10-15 mins before when official lineups are given to the RFPL officials.
  7. Re: Russian Football Leagues 2011 Zenit - Krylia Krylia +1.5 @1,98 at SBO 4/10 Not everything is going in right direction in Zenit. They managed to give a cup next round ticket to CSKA on their home field and also week before were not very good agains the same CSKA finishing 1-1 and getting technical 0-3 defeate. After they did not make any transfers this summer, they look bit slowing down, no fresh blood and the situation looks like they are morally not in the best condition, loosing motivation. They will play 3rd match in last 7 days and they will be weakend significantly for this clash: creative midfielder and attacking force Danni, also Shirokov and Semak are out, Ionov doubtful, + Bystrov long term injury. Of course Zenit squad is very deep and substitutes are also quite strong, but the quality of the team is on downtrend now. Krylia with the coach Tarkhanov became a tough team, they should have beaten Krasnodar last round, but were unlucky, beat Lokomotive in agressive style and tough defence, and now against Zenit some tough play in back line is expected again. Of course Zenit is a favorite in this game, but the game looks more close then this line/odds show. I would say Krylia must not be more then @1,75 at +1.5 line, or even +1.25 at @2,00 ... 3-0

  8. Re: Russian Football Leagues 2011 Krasnodar - Lokomotiv Lokomotiv DNB @1,80 at SBO 4/10 After two home wins of Krasnodar and 2 away looses of Lokomotiv would not be logical to take away side here, but things are changing and lines created by stats give some value. Krasnodar started good season and have not lost before the cup round 2 days ago. Of course they raise in experience, but quality bit going down. They rested some guys in Spartac cup game, but main force of the team were in: Amisulashvili, Anjelkovic, Drincic, Gorodov, so the engine of the team has not a rest. In that cup match Amisulashvili (central defender) was injured and left the pitch at 22'. He was the guy who saved Krasnodar from loose in a Krylyia game, often in the "best 11 of the round", one of the best central defenders in the league, so this guy got a concussion and returned home 1 day later, after the team. Now sent to Germany for treatment. So situation now is not as good in Krasnodar as 3-4 weeks ago for example. Lokomotive getting better, after changing squad from last season, they did not convince, were not clinical enough, but coach Krasnozhan is doing his job. Already in last match, where Volga has been beaten, they showed the increasing of quality, willingness to win and quite smart decisions from attacking line. Beating Volga for Loko can be the sign of the start of the uptrend for them, so their chances against weakened Krasnodar look higher then dnb line suggests. 1-4

  9. Re: Russian Football Leagues 2011

    any ideas over the zenit - cska game... looks like zenit won this cup before so maybe home win' date= normaly defending champs put 110% to try and keep the cup..still waiting for some russian inside info lol
    Zenit quite motivated, especially after 0-3 technical loose 2 weeks ago, but most probably will be without Danni (key midfielder). Spartak no coach, keeper Dikan injured and in attacking line will have Tikhonov, 40 yo veteran.
  10. Re: Russian Football Leagues 2011 17.04.2011 14:45 CET CSKA - Rubin CSKA -0.5 @2,04 at SBO (2,07 at IBC) 4/10 At first sight this is a clash of two top teams and -0.5 line would not be takeable at all, but just last season and the name can not be big help for Rubin right now. After Coach Berdyev changed the style of playing, Rubin looks quite unconfident and without much ideas in play. First round won, but after that round they are without their creativity force - Kasaev, who is expected back in next round after the injury, also Carlos Eduardo, another attacker and creative midfielder is expected back in May. That is why Rubin can not create many chances and in both last matches without scoring goals looked very limited in attacking line. In last round midfielder Noboa, was redcarded and defencively also they will have more problems (although they are decent in back until now). CSKA is a title contender, still did not show up what they can and therefore have not made a statement that they are really ready to take something this year. After win over Amkar at home, came one postponed match and two draws at home vs Krasnodar and away Zenit (which technically was decided and changed to 3-0 win of CSKA as Zenit did not put youngster player in lineup). Until now points are OK, but they finally have to show a big win, a win over top team, and bloodless Rubin is best opportunity for now. CSKA aslo has injury problems: Mamaev and Honda will miss the game, (Honda has played just one match this season), however the depth of CSKA squad gives them the possibility not to weaken much because of this missings, as in attacking/creative line Dumbya, Dzagoev and Necid are in good form and can make big problems for Rubin defence. Due to the background for this match, I would not give more then 1,9 for CSKA win here. 2-0

  11. Re: Russian Football Leagues 2011 Anzhi – Rubin Anzhi +0.25 @1,98 at SBO (1,9+ takeable) 4/10 The biggest investment of the new season in Russian football has not yet brought results yet. Big name arrived to the club in the face of Roberto Carlos, who is considered to be the engine of the team, mostly psychologically. And he is working already in this direction, has conversations with fans and is a captain of the team. The new signing Bousouffa, several times best player of Belgium also arrived to the club and can start vs Rubin. So far Anzhi played 3 official games in this season, lost twice to Zenit (2:3 and 0:2) and drew to Krasnodar. They were seeking their game and improving from match to match. In last match vs Zenit they were quite decent, played very good football away at Petrovski stadium (where top Russian teams have big problems to gain anything) and just the difference in class was the reason for dry loose, otherwise was a good battle from southern side. This match for Anzhi is already extremely important, they have to start collecting points, and if last year the main target were smaller clubs to take all three points, now they must also put pressure on top ones, as the target this year is to reach euro cups’ zone and not fight for the relegation. Rubin is of course high class team, leading the table already but their games so far did not impress much. They beat Kuban away in the first round, just promoted team with many new names and new coach, still without good team play (but vs Spartak this round they already showed that they are a team already), then also style-searching and not-in-form Terek was beaten on muddy field, also not very convincing. Coach Berdiev announced that they are changing the style and will play attacking and combinational football. Probably they will, but without a big, physically strong forward they will find hard to break tough defenses this year. And today they will have hardest opponent so far in this season. Of course Rubin are still better side then Anzhi, but I can not see them minus line favorites there, DNB with the same odds would be more fair line. 1-0 won

  12. Re: Russian Football Leagues 2011 Krasnodar - Nalchik Krasnodar -0,5 @2,14 at ASIA Stake: 4/10 (medium) Krasnodar are newcomers and most important for the starting stages was how they prepared in preseason matches as a team. In Makhachkala match, where took deserved draw vs already rich and "full of stars" Anji, Krasnodar looked as a team which has a plan of play, the manager Muslin seems to be one of the most qulified in big football. The squad of Krasnodar is not top for the russian standards, but the main point is that all their lines are balanced and well organised. In Anji match they were very good side, especially in the first half and had several possibilities to score. The matches like here, vs Nalchik, will be the most important for Krasnodar. Their main aim this year is of course to stay in the premierleague, and home matches, especially against teams like Nalchik, are much more important than for example away game at Zenit. Amisulashvili and Anjelkovic are very good for this level in defence, Drincic and Movsisyan also experienced in high levels, so they don't have a "small team" psychology at all. Nalchik lost the most of the quality from last year, the club sold Amisulashvili (one who will be playing for Krasnodar now), Gogua (Volga player now), Dyadun (playing in Rubin now), Vasin (CSKA), Geteriev, Jesus,and they did not add the same quality players. And most important, the main creator of Nalchiks last year decent performance, manager Krasnozhan moved to Lokomotive Moscow. The new local coach Eshtrekov is leading the team now. In previous match, won vs Krylia, Nalchik took all three points undeserved imo, Krylia were in control and a silly mistake of defender gifted a penalty to home side. With this quality of play, Nalchik does not have a lot of chances to stay in the league and collect the points away from home. Medium bet here. Result: 2:0 won

  13. Re: Russian Football 2011

    Spartak is not playing with reserves!? Please correct me if I am wrong.
    The changes from Ajax match were: McGeady, Makeev, Rojo, Alex, Carioca out and Welliton, Dzyuba, Rodri, Yakovlev, Makhmudov in, and we can not call Welliton or Dzyuba "reserves", Makeev, Rojo, Karioka were on bench, and Spartak "is proud" to have at least 1,5 same strength squad, but except Scottish and Alex, others were almost the same quality, so for me not "reserves" Spartak lost 0-4 in Rostov. But that is just my opinion.:\
  14. Re: Russian Football Leagues 2011

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    Добрый День Уважаемый! I would ask (or advice :) ) not to make the picks before the Asian bookmakers (SBO, 12bet, 188bet ... ) open their lines, because nobody will make profit from your exellent picks when only BWIN or this kind of 1-2 bookmakers have the lines. 2 bet of 20 EUR will slash this 2,25 down to 1,9 at this kind of bookies, and then in normal ones instead of -0,25 line we will have -0,5 or -0,75 ... :cry Thanks :cheers
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