Jump to content
** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Piodale

New Members
  • Posts

    2
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Piodale

  1. Re: UEFA Europa League » 2009-2010 ( 23 July ) Just want to make a quick tip here as Unibet offers 4.00 on Flora Tallinn to progress against Brøndby. I dont have much of an opinion about the 2nd leg, but it seems like the consensus among bookmakers is that Flora has from 13 to 18% chance of winning the match and 22% to 25% chance of a draw. So even going with the lowest evaluations of 13%+22% we get 35% chance of Homewin or Draw which is good enough for Flora to progress. And obviously we only need +25% chance of the bet to win to find value in 4.00. Even with a 1-0 win for Brøndby the bet is still alive as we go into extra time. A warning should be that this might be a missprint from their side, but most likely just the case of an overworked oddscompiler who simply missed out on the simple math and/or was afraid of too many bets on Brøndby. Follow at own free will :)

  2. Re: UEFA Champions League » 2009-2010 ( 21 July - 22 July ) Hi Istanbul, FC Copenhagen will be without atleast 5 regular (or atleast semi regular) players tomorrow. Defenders Pospech, Antonsson and Wendt as well as winger Grønkjær and striker Cesar Santin were all left out of the squad and didnt travel to Montenegro. So they will for sure not be starting with strongest 11, as you could argue all of the above mentioned players would fit into that category. They have also announced that teenager Thomas Delaney will get a start for the first time, not accounted for a Cup match against a none league team earlier this year. They still have a strong squad, though (see below), and claim to take the match seriously and prepare like any other away tie in Europe. And judging from the first match they will roll easily, as they were miles better than Mogren. But 1.67 or lower on a team that doesnt need to win as they are basically qualified allready is not attractive looking to me. No bet from here. The full squad is here: 1. Jesper Christiansen 3. Niclas Jensen 4. Hjalte Nørregaard 5. Ulrik Laursen 7. Ailton Almeida 8. William Kvist 9. Morten Nordstrand 12. Peter Larsson 14. Dame N’Doye 16. Thomas Kristensen 20. Martin Vingaard 21. Johan Wiland 24. Libor Sionko 25. Mathias Zanka Jørgensen 27. Thomas Delaney 28. Saban Özdogan 29. Danni Jensen

×
×
  • Create New...