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stenb

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Posts posted by stenb

  1. Re: Norway, Weekend, 4-6th of July. Missed completely with the Viking-Lillestrøm game, but the other three cashed. Placing another bet now on Aalesund to beat Vålerenga as I don't think they'll lose 5 on a trot and they have had good results against today's opponent in several of the latest fixtures. In addition Vålerenga is missing their very good keeper Troy Perkins, offensive midfielder Leigh and striker Mos. Good price on Aalesund overall!

  2. Re: Norway, Weekend, 4-6th of July. Hi everyone. I'll open my punter's account with a few thoughts on tonight's matchups in the Norwegian Tippeliga. :) Lyn - Stabæk First a word of warning against heavy bets on Stabæk. Lyn's play has been improving of late and they always produce several clear chances, however they have trouble putting them away. Lyn was denied a very clear penalty against Molde, in a match where Molde should also have had a man dismissed about midway through the first half. If Lyn had gotten the penalty and Molde the dismissal, the match might have ended quite differently. Lyn was looking likely to score anyway until the 2-0 came early in the second to kill the game. A Stabæk "on the roll" may look like great value at almost even money, but I expect Lyn to get a victory soon and it might very well be in this match. Lyn 1X is my bet. Start - Strømsgodset Again this may look like great value at almost even on a strong home team (6-3-1) but the odds are the way they are for a reason. Start are missing some very key players to their success in the league this season. They're severely lacking in defense with Goodson and Borgersen out for this match. Especially Borgersen is the glue in Starts defensive lineup and the team has looked a lot less secure defensively without him all season. Start are also missing Freeman, and, last but not least, Bolanos for this game. The replacements in defense especially are really weak at this level - expect an offensive Strømsgodset to take advantage and generate chances on the counter-attack in this game. I'm trying Strømsgodset X2 in this one. Viking - Lillestrøm Both teams stand to make a huge jump on the table if they pick up the win in this one. Lillestrøm were very unlucky to not pick up points against Molde in their last home game, where Molde scored on a fluke almost 5 minutes into overtime. After a catastrophic start to the season Lillestrøm is improving, especially defensively. They're up against a spirited Viking who have got rolling again after a for them equally catastrophic start to the season. The team that was held to be a challenger for the title is currently stuck in the middle of nowhere in the table. Expect a match with few goal with these defensively tight teams. Last year's fixture ended in a draw. I'm trying the Under 2.5 goals, as well as a draw in this one. Bodø/Glimt - Molde Not much to say about this one. Molde are too good value at even money to come away with another three points in this one. Bodø/Glimt have looked weak at home and were completely outplayed by Rosenborg who came away with a 4-0 win earlier this season. Molde is certainly capable of an equally clear win. There's always the chance of an upset in the Tippeliga but this one is a clear Molde win for my money tonight. It doesn't hurt that Molde have won all away games except a draw at Rosenborg this season, where Rosenborg equalised in overtime. That's all for now, fade or follow, the choice is yours. Good luck with your bets.

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