crackout
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Posts posted by crackout
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Re: Euro Ice Hockey Leagues: (14/9) Not going to really start on the Euro Leagues for another couple of weeks. Following the picks here with interest just now though! Does anyone have a link to follow the Allsvenskan scores live?
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Re: Rugby World Cup 2007 - Official Thread
Thanks. Think I might give this game a miss. The way ITV have been building it up in the UK, it is as though they are expecting England to get beat by 20 or 30 with all their doom talk!extremely different crackout. England played practically a reserve side away from home against a full strength Bok side. I'm considering taking England on the cap myself. -
Re: Rugby World Cup 2007 - Official Thread
Jumbo' date=' based on what you have said I have placed £50 on them at -110.5 at 1.89 with betfair so I hope you are right![/quote'] Swayed me as well, quite the convincing argument :ok Anyway, can someone help me out with todays game? I see that England have been beaten twice this year by the Springboks, by 33 and 48. How different were the sides those days? -
Re: Champions League (28-29 Aug)
:cheers Nice little 8/1 shot comes in.Red Star -vs- Rangers I think no goalscorer could be an excellent bet and 8/1 with Extra Bet is pretty generous. Rangers +1 @ 1.625 (Extra Bet) Under 2.5 goals @ 1.60 (Bet365) -
Re: Champions League (28-29 Aug)
Fair enough, that is your opinion. However it should be noted that in the 2 games against Tallinn Basta, Molina Uribe, Burzanovic and Barcos were all available. Red Star were very poor in front of goal in those games as well. Also a 0-0 home draw against Čukarički, who have since lost their following 2 games (including a 3-0 loss to Partizan at home). Then the 1-0 home win against FK Smederavo. Juding on their performances as a whole so far this season, they have been poor in front of goal.How about this....Their best player Igor Burzanovic(attacking midfielder), who missed the first leg, is set to make his return.The player of Ecuadorian national team Franklin "El Mago" Salas(forward) is likely to make his debut for the club in the curo comp.He missed the first leg through injury!Argentina international Hernan Barcos(forward) was on the scoresheet in the last (friendly) match and is also likely to take part tonight.He missed the first leg.Playmaker and attacking midfielder Mauricio Alejandro Molina didn't start in Glasgow, but he's almost certain to start to tonight!Key man Dusan Basta is set to make his return from suspension! In other words, 5 more players fully fit and available for Red Star this time. In the first leg at Ibrox Red Star played with youth player Djordjevic up front! -
Re: Champions League (28-29 Aug) Red Star -vs- Rangers First off, I'm a Rangers supporter, so some people might want to take what I say with a pinch of salt. Anyway, I don't see Red Star winning tonight. Rangers have been excellent in defence this season when playing with a 4-5-1 formation. They haven't lost a goal in the 5 games that Hemdani has played, who hasn't played in Rangers last 2 league games as the position isn't really needed in the SPL as Rangers face little pressure. Walter Smith will set Rangers out to soak up pressure tonight, and probably play Beasley and Darcheville with the view of hitting on the break if the chance arrives. Red Star haven't exactly had a good start to the season, with a few average results and the sacking of their manager a couple of games ago. They have scored 1 goal in their opening 2 League games, and only managed 2 goals in their 2 games against Tallinn. They dominated their home game against Tallinn, but only managing to break down the Estonians once despite the heavy pressure. Everything I have seen of them shows them as fairly toothless. From what I have seen they have little to suggest they will score. I see this game going a lot like the Zeta game for Rangers in the last round. Red Star will have a lot of possession and won't be able to break through, with Rangers trying to take advantage on the break. I think no goalscorer could be an excellent bet and 8/1 with Extra Bet is pretty generous. Rangers +1 @ 1.625 (Extra Bet) Under 2.5 goals @ 1.60 (Bet365)
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Re: Danish Sasliga 4/5 august
I think I agree with this one' date=' but do you know the lineup FCK will be fielding? I think they are gonna save some energy for the tuesdays UEFA cup 2nd leg game. So they should be missing some players(regulars today).[/quote'] Don't know about the starting line up, however their squad is: Jesper Christiansen, Niclas Jensen, Hjalte Nørregaard, Brede Hangeland, Michael Silberbauer, Morten Nordstrand, Jesper Grønkjær, Marcus Allbäck, Atiba Hutchinson, Michael Gravgaard, Mikael Antonsson, Oscar Wendt, William Kvist, Libor Sionko, Jacob Neestrup, Mads Laudrup & Nathan Coe. I'm not an expert on FCK but that looks a full squad. One change from midweek, I'd fully expect to see Libor Sionko make his debut. -
Re: Sweden - Superettan (29-30 July 07)
Unlucky mate. I don't understand how the hell that one didn't win. Oh well. No more Scandinavian football bets for me again after this, Kalmar and Esbjerg :wallNorrköping - Ljungskile First thoughts were to back the home side as they must be pissed as their latest game ended to a loss against todays opponent ending the awesome streak they had going on, but the odds are 1.45ish -> not acceptable. Over2.5 goals on the other hand sounds really great although the odds are just a bit better @1.65 . Norrköping have played six home games in a row that have gone over the line, making only one home game under (the first game of the season). Also they've played over the line nine games in a row now... need I say more? :tongue2 Okey, the visitor has also played four games in a row over now and has conceded three goals in two latest road games. Plainly said I think that Norrköping will come in and kick the s*** out of Ljungskile as a reaction from the 2-1 defeat. Can't see this going under... oh well it could happen, but it would take a small wonder performance from Ljungskile defense and the two latest road games show they just could have some motivation problems as the visitor. Adding this one to a double with Kalmar hw (Allsvenskan) to make it @2.64. ------------ Best of luck everyone :ok -
Re: Champions League I like the over 2.5 goals market in the Kahzar Lenkoran - Dinamo game, however I am going to wait a little closer to kick off time. Kahzar are used to attacking football after dominating the Azerbaijani league last season. In the last 8 games of the season they scored 23 goals, 13 in their last 4 home games. They should see today as their chance, and give Dinamo an open game. Dinamo are one of the few quality sides in at this stage, and they should still run out winners. The doubts I have is over their team selection, if the likes of Šokota and Modrić are starting, then I don't think they'll miss Eduardo too much against this type of opposition.
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Re: NFL Wk. 1. Early in the game but I am feeling sorry for anyone who has bet on the Broncos ... they look nothing short of terrible after 20 minutes. They plays that are getting called are pathetic! Should stop trying to run the ball so much, even more so when they should have had a TD pass!
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Re: NFL Wk. 1. Houston Texans @ Buffalo Bills Going along with TazaDs pick here. This game will be all about the rush. Buffalo have a solid defence and should be able to contain the Texans passing to keep this a low scoring affair. Losman is good enough to get a couple of TD's here, but I doubt there will be more than 3 in this game. It will be all about the rush in the bulk though. Under 35 @ 2.15 St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49'ers This tie last year the Rams ran out easy winners. 24-0 up at the half and they appeared to take it easy in the second half and gave up 2 TDs in the fourth to win 24-14. Martz wasn't too happy about that. Faulk ran for over 100 yards that day, and I'd expect Jackson to have an even better day today. I don't see enough to suggest they will be able to stop the Rams running game, and I expect Bulger to get a lot of time in the pocket for the most part. He will probably get sacked a couple of times, but as long as he hangs onto the ball, which he is better at now, things should be fine. Ugly day for the 49ers I think. St. Louis Rams -13 @ 2.80 Tennessee Titans @ Pittsburgh Steelers I like the Titans to win this one, not sure if I like them enough to put money on it just yet though. That said, the Steelers strong defence should hold the Titans offence, and Roethlisberger looks like he could well struggle this year. Running game is also an issue for the Steelers. I like this for under the 39.5 points. Under 39.5 @ 1.90 Think about taking the Jaguars on the basis that they have one of the best records in season openers compared to the Seahawks one of the worst. Add to that the fact teh Jaguars like the NFC games! Also, don't rate the Cardinals as highly as many people do, think the Giants will have a good year, and the evens price on -3 is very tempting. The Jets and Bears money lines are also attracting my attention. I'll have a think about them though.
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Re: NFL Wk. 1.
:ok Well done ... how that won I'll never know with the missed extra point! Anyway, onto the game, more than one of Belichicks choices in tonights game were puzzeling to say the very least. Running the ball on a fourth down, when prior to that ther was NO success at all and the D was built against the run. Also, when they scored their last TD to go 29-14 up with 9:27 remaining, you have to go for the 2 point conversion to try and make it a 3 possession game. If you miss it, you are no worse off than if you had tacked on the extra point. Just small notes I made that could swing me towards their opposition in future close games this season. Oh well decent start to the season ... well done Valiant23 and WorkingForTheEnemy!:okOAK at NE under 50.5 2pts@ 1.90 -
Re: NFL Wk. 1. Season Bets Oakland Raiders over 7.5 wins: They are in a painfully average division which I can easily see them winning this year. Collins has now got some talent around him in the shape of Curry, Gabriel, Porter and Moss. That will win them a lot of games this season, along with LaMont Jordan at RB. At the back they are a little suspect, and will certainly get picked off big time on occasion. But for the most part they should be able to win 9 or even 10 games with their O. St. Louis Rams over 8.5 wins: I like them this year, I like what they have done with Archuleta, in moving him back and that should help them stop the run a little. They are always going to give up big plays, but this should cut down on the 6-9 yard runs that hurt St Louis. Marshall Faulk taking a reduced role will let Steven Jackson improve on the promise he showed last year and we all know what Bruce and Holt can do. They have lost 2 home games in the past 2 years, 6 in the last 4, and that will certainly continue. Then road games against the 49ers, Cardinals, Seahawks, Giants, Texans and Cowboys should be enough to get them another 3 wins, considering how crap the 49ers are and the fact the Seahawks can't beat St Louis. Carolina Panthers over 9.5 wins: I love this bet. Great O, decent D, fairly strong depth and with Mike Wahle brought in to protect Delhomme is a great signing. I can see this team going to the Superbowl and with a schedule that isn't the toughest in the world they could hit 13-3. San Francisco 49'ers under 4.5 wins: I look at the team and can't see wher they have improved enough on last season. They don't seem to have anything really going for them. They are in a division where 3 teams will have serious thoughts on winning the division and all 3 should finsh the year around 8-8. I look through their schedule and struggle to find 2 games that they'll win.
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Re: NFL Wk. 1.
Anyone wanting on that should get on it quick. The line has moved by 2.5 points in the last few days, and may well move to around a TD before Sunday. Rams won easily last season (by 10 points) without even trying in the second half, should be more of the same this season.Rams -5 (now 6) at the 49ers - again a very bad team in the 49ers - obviously the rams aren't as effective on grass but they should still have too much for the 49ers not to cover. -
Re: WC Quals. 07/09 European Zone Norway are at a crazy price of 1.70. They are missing a few players, including Morton Gamst-Pederson, and are having troubles up front. They have apparently asked Egid Ostenstad (sp?) to come into the squad. He wouldn't even get close to the Scotland squand, and their strikers are terrible. I think all the value in this game lies with Scotland +1 at 2.25. I'd avoid Israel. Going to the Faroes isn't as easy as it used to be and it could easily kill you line. Avoiding Russia Portugal as well ... Russia can be a very good team, but as always, they are a bit unpredictable. They will want revenge for their humiliation in Portugal though where they were beaten something like 7-1. Just remember Portugal have basically qualified, they will want a draw out of this game. Moskva isn't the easiest place in the world to go to and holding a 5 point lead with only a couple games left (home to Liechtenstein & Latvia), a draw is more than enough to see them through. England, Poland and Croatia are the obvious bankers. Decent priced treble. Yet again the bookies haven't learned about Moldova. They are a good home side, have only lost to Italy by 1-0, and will be value with a goal start. 1.8 is available and I think that is a fantastic price after their 2-0 home victory at the weekend. Liechtenstein - 2 or 3 goals will be very good value. When you don't win too often you are going to enjoy humping a team when you get the chance. Should be fairly safe. France are attractive as well. They have to start winning to try and avoid a play-off or even going out. Italy took care of Ireland in a friendly last month and France have improved, so should take care of Ireland at a decent price. That is all that jumps out at me, but I think that Moldova +1 is the best bet available this midweek.
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Re: NFL Strength Ratings
Sky Sports 1 are showing it. The reason you probably aren't seeing it on the listings is that they only confirmed the contract to show the NFL about 10 days ago. NASN don't have rights to NFL, just collage. I have seen adverts for it on Sky as well I'm sure, also says on Bet365 that they are showing it live. Broncos @ Dolphins (Sky Sports Xtra, 11/09 18:00) Cardinals @ Giants (Sky Sports Xtra, 11/09 21:15)What UK channel is the game on Thursday? I swear I saw an advert on sky for it but its not listed anywhere I can see. Unless the ad was for NASN but I dont think it was. -
Re: NFL Wk. 1. Start off with a good division bet, St. Louis Rams who are available at 3.25. The Seahawks and Rams are pretty even all considered, and I don't yet consider the Arizona Cardinals as serious Divisional challengers. The reason I take the Rams as favourites is simply because they have had the better of the Seahawks in the past couple of seasons. That was underlined by a huge comeback in the last 6 minutes in Seattle last year, and again when they beat them in the playoffs. However the main reasons behind this is Steven Jackson, he alone will win the Rams 2 games this season, which evens out the 2 games that Martz will lose them ;) As for the Seahawks they have everything to win this division ... expect people that can catch a football that comes into their arms. The amount of easy catches this teams drops is untrue, it lost them a few games last season, including the playoff game against St. Louis. They have shown in pre-season that they haven't addressed this issue yet, this will cost them the Division. I'll have a look at the games and post on them on Friday.
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Re: Baseball picks
Cardinals 3-1 Pirates I don't normally get mad with losing bets, but I am totally raging with this one. They should have pounded this crap Pirates team into the ground. Pujols is the main offender, he couldn't hit a cows arse tonight. Nunez now has a record of 1.000 with 5 at bats, so he was great like he normally is. 10 hits in the first 3 innings and coming away from that with a pathetic 3 runs is a joke. The pitching was painfully predictable, but they still couldn't do anything with it. Ach ... enough moaning from me :wallTonights best bet seems to be the St. Louis Cardinals. They have won 7 of 9 against the Pirates this year and 5 of those 7 wins coming by 3 or more runs. Mulder (ERA 3.87 ... 14-6) is 2-0 against the Pirates this year (1 road/1 home) with wins of 7-1 and 11-5. He is 2-1 for August with his 2 wins by margins of 5 and 8. Pirates hitters have a career record of .145 against Mulder. Fogg (ERA 5.07 ... 6-8) is 0-1 against the Red Birds this year a 11-1 defeat at home. He is (1-2) for the month with both losses being by 4 runs or more. Cards hitters are .398 lifetime against him, which is huge. Standouts are Nunez 1.000 (2AB), Pujols .478 (23AB w/ 3HR), Edmunds .467 (15AB w/ 2HR) and Grudzielanek .357 (14AB). Should be routine and while the Cards have had trouble putting runs on the board in recent times, double figures could be on the board tonight with this favourable match up! I have about 6 pages of stas on the game tonight, so any questions just ask. Bet: Cardinals -2.5 runs @ 2.35 (Bet365) (8 of 10) -
Re: NFLX Week. 2.
I agree with everything you said. The Seahawks defence looked good and seems to be progressing well. Rather worrying for myself being a Rams fan. Their offense as always, plods along on a fairly average form, and should score about 24 points tonight. The Cowboys are always a little unpredictable, but they are ugly in offensive terms and I can't see them putting too many big drives together tonight. I expect Seattle will win by double figures tonight, so I'm taking them on the handicap. A sidenote, NFC West is a great betting division. Rams should take the title again, Seahawks are the better all round team, but the Rams play great against Seattle and have won the last 4 ties between them, that should continue with Faulk playing more as a reciever and Jackson taking the role of RB. The Seakhawks are the better team, but the Rams beat them and that is a huge 2 game advantage in a 17 game season. Cardinals still arren't ready to challenge, so even if you fancy the hawks, you can get a decent price. Add your choice to a line with the Falcons and Vikings and it is a nice treble. Avoiding New England on all bets though.Hi all, I really fancy the Seahawks against the Cowboys in tonights pre-season encounter. Seatlles defence, albeit there are a couple of new faces in there, are progressing and looked half-decent against New Orleans in week 1, who were seen off in comfortable fashion with a 34-15 win. That display seems even more impressive seing that the Saints on Thursday went on to beat New England by 37-27. The cowboys were far from impressive in their pre-season opener against Arizona, in a game which they lost 13-11. Recommendation: Although this is a pre-season game (and should be treated with caution accordingly), I think the Seahawks will cover the 3-point handicap quite comfortably. Another possibility could be the over 40.5 points total, but as I am unsure of the Cowboys offensive capabilities and for how long they will play QB Bledsoe, I would leave that one alone.... Seattle Seahawks - Dallas Cowboys (0-3): 1 @ 1.91 with Stan James: 10/10 Seattle Seahaeks - Dallas Cowboys: total points over 40.5 @ 1.91 with SJ: no bet! -
Re: Baseball picks Tonights best bet seems to be the St. Louis Cardinals. They have won 7 of 9 against the Pirates this year and 5 of those 7 wins coming by 3 or more runs. Mulder (ERA 3.87 ... 14-6) is 2-0 against the Pirates this year (1 road/1 home) with wins of 7-1 and 11-5. He is 2-1 for August with his 2 wins by margins of 5 and 8. Pirates hitters have a career record of .145 against Mulder. Fogg (ERA 5.07 ... 6-8) is 0-1 against the Red Birds this year a 11-1 defeat at home. He is (1-2) for the month with both losses being by 4 runs or more. Cards hitters are .398 lifetime against him, which is huge. Standouts are Nunez 1.000 (2AB), Pujols .478 (23AB w/ 3HR), Edmunds .467 (15AB w/ 2HR) and Grudzielanek .357 (14AB). Should be routine and while the Cards have had trouble putting runs on the board in recent times, double figures could be on the board tonight with this favourable match up! I have about 6 pages of stas on the game tonight, so any questions just ask. Bet: Cardinals -2.5 runs @ 2.35 (Bet365) (8 of 10)
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Started a thread and then had to leave so I'll do it on a day-by-day basis now. Kansas City Royals (30-57)(11-30) @ Detroit Tigers (42-44)(19-22) Zack Greinke (1-11)(ERA: 6.20) @ Jeremy Bonderman (11-5)(ERA: 3.99) Season Meetings: 04 April: Royals @ Tigers (2-11) 06 April: Royals @ Tigers (7-2) 07 April: Royals @ Tigers (3-7) 15 April: Tigers @ Royals (5-6) 16 April: Tigers @ Royals (7-1) 17 April: Tigers @ Royals (6-1) Zack Greinke: Road Record: (0-6) ERA: 6.54 over 43.2 IP Night Record: (1-9) ERA: 7.26 over 71.2 IP June/July Record: (0-5) ERA: 9.33 over 36.2 IP @ Comerica Park (season): (0-0) ERA: 0.00 over 2.1 IP (4 hits avg. .364) Jeremy Bonderman: Home Record: (5-2) ERA: 3.86 over 61.2 IP Night Record: (8-2) ERA: 3.40 over 79.1 IP June/July Record: (6-2) ERA: 4.64 over 54.1 IP Despite Greinkes terrible record, he doesn't give up too many walks and has a lifetime (2-1) record over the Tigers, with an ERA of only 2.11 over 21.2 innings. Rondell White and Craig Monroe like batting against him and that really should continue tonight. Bonderman has hit a little bit of a hot streak this month going (2-0) with an ERA of 2.12. He is only (4-3) lifetime against the Royals, but having pitched 48.2 innings, his ERA isn't bad at 3.33. Impossible to back Greinke to win, mainly down to the fact his averages do jump up a little when there is a man in scoring position. The 2.1 scoreless innings he posted at Comerica Park this season came in a day game, wher his record is far better than that of night games. 9/1 on Tigers by 7 runs or more is great value. He has only pitched 1 game this season that ended up with that result, another (against the Angels a couple of weeks back) was going the same way before being called a final at 5-0 in the 6th. Along with another couple of saves from team-mates of games heading down that road. Bets: Detroit Tigers -2.5 runs @ 27/20 (Bet365) (7/10) Detroit Tigers by 7 runs or more @ 9/1 (Bet365) (3/10) New York Yankees (46-40)(17-21) @ Boston Red Sox (49-38)(24-14) Mike Mussina (9-5)(ERA: 3.97) @ Bronson Arroyo (7-5)(ERA: 4.02) Season Meetings: 03 April: Red Sox @ Yankees (2-9) 05 April: Red Sox @ Yankees (3-4) 06 April: Red Sox @ Yankees (7-3) 11 April: Yankees @ Red Sox (1-8) 13 April: Yankees @ Red Sox (5-2) 14 April: Yankees @ Red Sox (5-8) 27 May: Red Sox @ Yankees (3-6) 28 May: Red Sox @ Yankees (17-1) 29 May: Red Sox @ Yankees (7-2) Mike Mussina: Road Record: (4-2) ERA: 5.09 over 53.0 IP Night Record: (7-4) ERA: 4.43 over 81.1 IP June/July Record: (7-3) ERA: 4.27 over 46.1 IP @ Fenway Park (season): (0-1) ERA: 7.20 over 5.0 IP (7 hits avg. .333) Bronson Arroyo: Home Record: (1-3) ERA: 4.41 over 51.0 IP Night Record: (5-3) ERA: 3.82 over 78.2 IP June/July Record: (3-3) ERA: 4.25 over 48.2 IP Not too many walks or strikeouts for either pitcher here Messina has been spanked by the Red Sox this season, pitched 14 innings giving up 23 hits and 14 runs. Arroyo's record against the Yankees is little better, that said he hasn't pitched many innings, 9 hits and 5 runs in 5.2 innings. Stats are all pretty even for both teams, and the Red Sox havent had the bollocking they have deserved in the press thanks to the Yankees. Yankees seem to have picked up in form (9-3 in last 12) and are coming off a 3-1 series win over the Indians. Compared to a Sox team who are (5-8) of their last 13 and just lost a series 3-1 to the Orioles! Without a Devil Ray series anoywhere in sight, the Yankees cuold be set to go on a little run. Matsui loves batting against Arroyo (3 for 3 this season and .533 lifetime), and with the men who will be hitting in front of him, this has pushed me into taking the Yankees tonight. Went for the -2.5 runs line as only 1 of the 9 games this season has been within that for either teams win, and the fact the Yankees will still feel they have a point to prove from the 17-1 thrashing they got. Bets: New York Yankees -2.5 runs @ 19/10 (Bet365) (7/10)
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Re: Home Un Derby I think the value could lie in Hee-Seop Choi here. Not the best home-run hitter in games but can put on a nive littel display other times. 12/1 is a generous price IMO.
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Re: Tour de France 2005 Jan Ullrich is my choice. Lance Armstrong is far too small a price for someone who hasn't won a race for the first time ever going into Le Tour de France. Add to that the fact the only reason he is participating in this years event is the fact he is obligated by a sponsorship deal to enter either this year or next you have to wonder if his head really is fully in it. I don't doubt for a second he wants to win ... but he hasn't had the greatest preparation and there are far to many question marks to take a price as short as 10/11. I know many will disagree with that, but lets add to that the fact the officials don't want Armstrong to win. They have adjusted the sections where he was very strong (Prologue/TTs/Mountains) to try and even it out a little. Everything is stacked against him this year, I will be laying him big time rather than trying to pick a winner between the like of Basso, Mayo and Ullrich.
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Re: NBA Finals I finally return to the forums after a lot of problems! Anyway, I took Detroit in 7 at the start of the series, as I liked the Pistons for this series, and they always like to do thiings the long way. Game 7 is a new feeling for the Spurs, and the Pistons are use to the pressure. Have to say I always prefer the stronger defence in game 7s as well, it is always easier to shut a team down when they are a little more stiff than it is to start the big scoring. Probably the biggest one here is Tim Duncan. His performances haven't been as bad as people like to make out, stat wise anyway. But he is certainly not his usual self. His free-throws have been pathetic over the past 2 games and that easy chance he missed at the end of regulation in game 5 won't be helping him. I expect hiim to end up taking about 12 FTs tonight, and I can only see him hitting 50%, and those will be 6 huge points against a Detroit defence in a game 7.
Eurobasket 14/11
in Other Sports & Novelty Predictions
Posted
Re: Eurobasket 14/11 Greece made a big comeback there, down 16 at one point in the fourth! Nice pick modo!