[Ligue 1 Orange > January 24th - 26th]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > January 24th - 26th

Many of you will know that my Ligue 1 form hasn’t been very good for a number of weeks now. Since December 3rd I’ve lost 45 units in this division which is obviously a poor return. In total I've had 9 official ‘losing’ rounds in the last 10 (fortunately the one winning round was +30 units). Luckily' date= I’m still in profit for Ligue 1 this season (+20 units, 4% yield) but obviously things have been slipping recently. I’m sure for those who’ve regularly followed me that I have earned you a profit for this season so far in Ligue 1, even despite these recent losses. So that at least is something that pleases me, but I certainly don’t want this losing slide to continue for much longer, for my own sake or for those who faithfully follow me. So during this week I’ve been conducting a ‘betting review’ on myself and investigation where I’ve gone wrong. Hopefully I’ve got to the root of the problem and a few things will change with my approach from now on. 1) I won't be betting on any matches involving teams who have just sacked or hired a new coach. This applies for at least 5 games after the new coach has been at the club. I worked out that I've lost about -40 units on teams who have had manager changes this season, Sochaux especially haven't been kind to me and I’ve lost 18 units on them. 2) I will be scrapping 3/10 bets. I’m roughly level for 3/10 bets this season but they are kinda pointless really. I mean, why stake this amount? its such a strange number. Basically I think I’ve been wasting my time with these picks, even if they haven't cost me anything. 3) Over bets will only be on the 2.0 or 2.25 line. I worked out that I’ve lost my last 9 consecutive over 2.5 bets. It’s not a good line to bet on in France, no matter how attractive the proposition looks. 2.25 and 2.0 lines offer more security. These will be the main changes. I also won't be providing any previews for matches that I don’t have any picks in. This is simply so that I can focus more on the games that matter. In the past it helped me to assess each match by writing a preview (for my own sake more than anything) but I now believe I can use my time more effectively. So overall, expect less bets but hopefully a higher number of winners and more profit. My main problem has been dealing with teams who have undergone transitions such as a change of manager. I will be avoiding these teams from now on whenever possible until I’m happy that I can call and understand them properly again. Of course, these rules won’t always apply and there might be exceptional circumstances, but this is my plan anyway. I’m hoping to stick to them as much as possible in Ligue 1. For Ligue 2 I’ll be more relaxed because I’ve generally been having few problems there. The target for the rest of the season in Ligue 1 is to make +50 more units of profit. For tonight’s match my prediction is Lille 1-1 Rennes, there is no bet.

From a 'silent' lurker in the shadows; really appreciate your hard work and level-headedness, Meatman. Best of luck for the rest of the season.