ainsworth_21
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Posts posted by ainsworth_21
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Re: UEFA Champions League > Tuesday 8 March Barcelona V Arsenal Under 10 Corners - Various 11/10 I'm a sucker for overs bets, be it goals, corners, whatever. For some reason i don't like unders - less excitement, which is madness i know. Having said that - and I warn everyone that my research into this market is not extensive and i haven't fished around for lots of stats - but i remember being stung on this market last year. The last 3 meeting between the sides has yielded a total of 14 corners. The two meetings at the emirates (2010, 2011) there were 4 and 5 respectively in the whole match. In the meeting at the nou camp there were 5. I had it in my head originally that the way these two teams set up would mean it would rain corners. But it appears not. I suppose it makes sense with a lot of infield passing going on, and Barca particularly cutting infield when getting towards the box. Add to that the relative lack of target men and crossing seems to make for quite low numbers. Therefore i'm going to have a play at this one.
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Re: Rugby League: Super League Round 21 & Co-op Championships Hull KR Over 21.5 points 1.80 Bet365- Going to go with this one. A few times this season i've seen Leeds conceed some easy tries; their defence has looked porous against even some of the so called weaker sides (against Crus conceeded 32, against Quins conceeded 24). To me, although this is maybe talking out of my pocket, they seemed to have coughed up ball so much and made a lot of simple mistakes they didnt make last year. Anyway, as Leespam says, KR have shown some good form of late- putting good scores against Quins, Wire and Wakefield. They've got Briscoe back tonight who creates for them as well, so i'll take this with fair assurance.
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Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday 8th July
Also just to add, it could be said that although Randers have in effect won the tie already, Dudelange have lost it already so where is their motivation coming from? Will follow on this one.
This tie is already over after Randers smashed the Luxembourg minnows Dudelange 6-1 in Denmark last week. It might seem obvious to avoid backing Randers as the tie is finished however, a look back at Randers results at this stage of the competition last year is interesting. Last year Randers beat Linfield (N Ireland) 4-0 in the first leg at home and then beat them 3-0 away in the second leg. They didn't hold back in the 2nd leg last year against stronger opposition so again they may look to bang in some more goals and sharpen up for the domestic campaign just around the corner. I am going to try a handicap for this one. Randers (-1) Evens with Bet365
F91 Dudelange v Randers FC (17:30 BST) 8 5.1 1.39 104.02 % -
Re: Rugby League: Super League Round 12 & Co-op Championships
An undeserving victory if ever i had one! I know a win's a win, but that was a dire match and although wakey dominated possession they were unimaginative in attack to say the least. Followed your tip on Quins though Kev, keep up the good work!:)Nice shout mate :clap:clap. -
Re: Rugby League: Super League Round 12 & Co-op Championships Backing Wakefield +6 Evens (various) I think Hull are a decent attacking team when at full strength, but missing key players like Long and Yeaman, therefore losing fluency. Wakefield have put in some dire performances and Kear is a proud man, one who i imagine gives his teams the hairdryer every now and then. So i think he will have his boys ready for tonight. So basically, FC's injuries + Wakey's need to prove themselves is guiding my money tonight.
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Re: UK General Election Cameron to win 2nd Election Debate -11/8 bet365 Cameron was criticised by many political commentators after the first debate for his lack of aggression and willingness to openly criticise Brown. Michael Portillo on 'This Week', said he believed this was a planned move by Cameron's strategists- so as not to appear playing the negative tit-for-tat game, which could put voters off. Cameron also, in my opinion, appeared to be quite nervous. He has proved to be quite a confident, if unimaginative orator; but this assertiveness seemed to be lacking in his delivery and not to mention his arguments. And of course, the story of the week has been Nick Clegg's 'appearance' to the mainstream, as he was declared winner of the last debate. He was supposed to have 'freshened' the debate up and brought new ideas to the table. The very fact the the Lib Dems have seen a surge in the polls post-debate must make it clear to Cameron and his team just how important these debates have become. Weeks, months and even years of campaigning are not worth 90 minutes on this platform. Perhaps this is a slight over exaggeration, but then again Clegg's team might disagree there. But perhaps Clegg this time is not the outsider, and has not got the novelty factor on his side. But then again it's quite unfair to say that Clegg only won because no one knew who he was. His performance has generally agreed to have been confident and assured. The debate tonight is on Foreign affairs- and as the above poster has mentioned, Trident is sure to feature in this debate. It is a matter that both Labour and Conservatives are itching to get stuck into Clegg on. I think though that Cameron will want to shout out to middle England on the matters that seem to crop up most when the electorate are quizzed- and the main issue is immigration. If he can portray Labour's perceived failures, and sell the idea of a 'wishy washy' liberal view plunging us into a swamp of foreigners then i don't think Cameron will go far wrong. I think Cameron will be pumped for this one; this is almost his last chance to convince a lot of people he is PM material.
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Re: Champions League 7th of April With the score at 3-1 at half time i'm goingfor some Bayern to qualify at 11/4. They have to now win the second half to qualify and i think they stand a fair chance of doing that. Bayern have not been in the game too much but Robben showed at the end of that half how dangerous he is.
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Re: Super league Round 8 & Co Op Ch'ships Leeds +6 @ 11/10 various I think i'm going with my gut feeling on this one, and that is Leeds to dig deep and at least keep it close. Sure, if it was the same team that lost to KR, i would be confident of backing Wigan considering the form they're in. However, the fact that returning players like Hall and Buderus are back in the squad makes me think Leeds mental strength will be bolstered as well as they're playing staff skills. Ok so there are still some doubts over fitness still- Sinfield looks like he may struggle to play any part; but Leeds have enough in there now, i believe, to compete. They have now got the WCC out the system and even though they've lost 4 already this season, it's not indicative that they've become a bad side. Wigan have trashed a few teams already- they're my pick for the regular season W/O Leeds or Saints- but i think they've still got to prove themselves and i think back to the Bradford match, where they hid away somewhat when they came under a bit more scrutiny.
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Re: Super league Round 5..Co Op Championhip's..Challenge Cup First round Had Wigan on the -6 and -4 handicap, outright and their total points over 24.5. Oh for at least one more try! At half-time i was very content; But the wind was literally taken out of their game. Never mind. :wall
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Re: Rugby League: Pre-season discussion & Ante-post bets Anyone got any clearer ideas yet for season bets? I was thinking of having a punt on Amos Roberts currently 6/1 top tryscorer and Wigan either for Grand Final/Regular Season winner at 7/1. I've been impressed by the way Roberts has started the season, running in 2 trys in each match played so far. He's a quick player, and has some strong and intelligent creators around him to provide the opportunities. My reasoning for Wigan really centres on the fact that they missed the Grand Final last year by a smidgen really and from what i've seen look better than last year. As a neutral, they're a team that i always look forward to watching and are sort of my adopted team. They've got some exciting youngsters like the Tompkins brothers, and obviously the experience of the likes of Richards and Gleeson. I know obviously the likes of Leeds and Saints had a few dodgy results early on, and they will get better in the warmer months; and the likes of Wire and Hudds have strong squads- but i just feel Wigan can compete with most if not all of those and go the distance. Not too sure where their weaknesess might be, and i know it's easy to back them after a few good results, but it would give a bit of excitment to things and i think i might just have a dabble with those.
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Re: Rugby League: Super League XV - Round 3 & NR Cup Hey, i'm quite a recent convert to rugby league, but really look forward to friday nights now because of Superleague. Got into it from a betting point of view so much kudos to the likes of Kevshat et al for some very hand tips in the past. Anyhow, i quite fancy Cas tomorrow. Watched both Bulls v Giants couple of weeks ago and was expecting Bradford to at least put up a fight. But they were shocking. They were so one-dimensional it was untrue and despite the fact that Huddersfield gave away repeated fouls and had men in the bin they still won comfortably. I know that was only round one for them and their creative force is new and adjusting but i get the sense that Mcnamara is already on borrowed time even this early on. And Cas of course had the famous win over Leeds early on, and did ok again Warrington. Not so much offering a tip here as saying, are those odds on Castleford too good to be true, or might i be missing something?
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Re: Champions League: 26th & 27th August 2008 BATE Borisov v Levski Sofia ends 1-1. very dissapointing and frustrating for me. home side down to 10 men for 45+ mins and levski still don't get a second. credit to the belarussians, and good luck to them in the CL- I think they'll need it.
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Re: Champions League: 26th & 27th August 2008 BATE Borisov v Levski Sofia- I've looked at this match and, whilst i can understand why BATE are favourites, there must be a case for Sofia having a fair chance of a win in 90mins and therefore being value at around 6/4. I just can't imagine a team as small as BATE being involved in the group stages in CL. Correct me if im wrong, but their ground holds about 6'000, and unless they play european ties somewhere else this is incredibly small. Of course, this is no reason to say they won't qualify, but does it not indicate that they are a very small club who have played above their means? They beat Anderlecht away, which was a good result, and i watched the game and they took their chances really well in that game. Having read some of the previews of the match i have found that both teams have their first choich goalkeepers out, and Sofia have a new manager after the previous resigned after the first leg. Sofia won 6-0 in their last game, on the 17th, whilst BATE drew 2-2 with a mid-table team. I'm going to stick my neck out though, and go for a Sofia win, as they have no choice but to go for the victory to progress. They are reported to be starting with 3 up front so i expect them to go all out on the attack.
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Re: UEFA CUP Qualifying Round (31 July) hmmmm according to this site http://www.spartak.sk/index_1.php which is Trnava's official it was 1-0 and other sites are starting to change to this score, so i think 1-0 actually was the final score. bit weird, since my bet slip still says 'lost' still! might be having a word about that one.
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Re: UEFA CUP Qualifying Round (31 July) Can anyone confirm the WIT - Trnava score for me? most score sites have the FT score as 0-0, including UEFA, but on futbol24.com it says 1-0 to WIT. Would love it to be 1-0 but i doubt it is,
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Re: Group D had my eye on this bet for a while, before the games in the group started, and i hope it unfolds like i imagined. I fully expected spain to beat russia (well hoped dearly), and a win in the other match for either sweden or greece. that happened and so i'm tipping Russia to qualify @ 2/1 Stanjames. The scenario that needs to unfold now for this bet to come off is that spain needs to beat or even draw with sweden. Hopefully by a big margin, but a draw would still be ok. Russia needs ideally to beat greece, and im pretty confident of this. now for the reasoning.... Firstly Greece were terrible in my opinion, and all talk of them as 'defending champions' was overhyped; from what i saw they couldn't defend at all save from passing it persistantly on the half way line between centre backs. Sweden i thought were ok, good effort by them but they've lost wilhelmsson, who i thought was one of the stand outs, and also alexandersson who wasn't bad either. Basically i think spain should be able to beat them. I think Russia were beaten by a very good side in Spain, and they were very poor at the back but to beat greece i think they have enough attacking prowess to see of the greeks. If this goes to plan, then it leaves potentially a sweden- russia play-off for the 2nd qualificaion spot. The prospect here is that arshavin will be back for russia, and they will be much stronger with him, he will inject a lot of confidence into the attack and resume his role as a v. good playmaker. Really the only thing that i think might spoil this bet is the 4 goals conceeded by russia in the first match. this could be a big factor meaning the pressure could be on for russia to beat sweden and not draw, but i'm willing to risk it. a lot of hypotheticals maybe, but well in the realm of possibility i think. Cheers.
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Re: ATP Casablanca/Poertschach/WTC & WTA Strasbourg/Istanbul 19th-24th May sorry, this is off topic, but i was wondering if anyone else if not being paid out for soderling today. i had him with stanjames against canas and they've not settled it yet, but they've settled matches from the same tournament. anything funny going on in this match? mine weren't big stakes, so not sure the reason. cheers, and sorry again for the off-topicness!
UEFA Champions League > Tuesday 8 March
in Champions League Predictions
Posted
Re: UEFA Champions League > Tuesday 8 March
It was looking a bit shady after 15 mins with 3 corners conceeded by Arsenal, but came through nicely in the end.