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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

vedenn

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Posts posted by vedenn

  1. Re: away favor! I don't understand how you transfer the casino system to footbal. It is basicaly straight martingale betting. (you can't wait for 3 losses and why would you split your stake when you win?) However, Ill give this a try (martingale is one of my sins). I am with [email protected] tonight. I thought Chelsea was too (@1.4)low and Barca and madrid a bit tricky.

  2. Re: Hoopy's 3-3 laying £200 - £1000 Nice job Hoopy!:clap I have been playing with this idea myself and tried to come up with "unbeatable" criteria such as laying the two teams who's last game was 3-3. Although its a pretty solid one, it only happens once a week or so :sad Can you share some of you selection criteria?

  3. Re: Be the Bookie (LAY All)

    The problem, if that's what to call it, for track bookies, is that because of Betfair they offer much larger odds than they used to pre-2000. Ten years ago you hardly ever saw a 100-1 winner from January to December. Look how many you see these days. These horses were 33/1 in the days before Betfair. Look at any maiden race this afternoon, the rags will be 100, 200, 300, or higher, you'll be lucky to see 66s at the track, with a maximum of 120s.
    If so, why dont we back the 200+ rags? Any profit in that? Should be since they are overpriced.
  4. Re: Laying Correct Scores

    Blimey that's quite a diff on the Sevilla price. Which book was that?
    I think it was Paddy. Barcalona killed me tonight. Two goals in the last minute :eek put me right back at the start :sad But the positive side is that I am still 0.45 up with an amazing yield of 0.14% :lol Bets placed 40 Bets won 35 Strike rate 87.50% Units staked 320.5 Units returned 320.95 Yield 0.14% Starting bank 100 Profit 0.45 My full list is here
  5. Re: Laying Correct Scores So far so good :) Won both yesterday. Results so far; Bets placed 38 Bets won 34 Strike rate 89.47% Units staked 304.9 Units returned 312.00 Yield 2.28% Starting bank 100 Profit 7.10 My full list is here So far my little sample is in line with Hodgey, same strike rate and yield.

  6. Re: Laying Correct Scores

    I'm not sure the prices would rise that much. Sometimes there's 1-2k available on the English Prem matches. It would take a hell of a lot of money to move that! Besides' date=' people aren't that mad to follow this - it's only you and me! :lol[/quote'] I guess you are right:lol
  7. Re: Laying Correct Scores Those stats look really promising. I have about the same figures after only 36 bets, which is nothing, I know. But it would suprise me if your figures would be much different after 500 or a 1000 bets. (how many bets do you need to get a statistical representative figure do you recon? 10000ish?) I think there is value in your idea. :notworthy Although the prices will rise too much if this idea (and hundreds of punters) catches on. Anyway, I had a small but full house last night;:nana 33 11-Nov port 1 Benfica v Boavista 2-0 6.50 6.40 6-1 1 0.95 102.35 34 11-Nov port 1 Amadora v Porto 0-1 7.00 6.80 2-2 1 0.95 103.3 35 11-Nov spa 1 Real Madrid v Mallorca 2-1 9.00 8.80 4-3 1 0.95 104.25 36 11-Nov Tur 1 Galatasaray v Genclerbirligi 2-1 10.00 9.80 3-2 1 0.95 105.2 My full list is here

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