Ayebrox
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Posts posted by Ayebrox
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Re: UEFA Cup 1st Round 1st Leg 20/09
Damn ! :( Felt very confident with that selection as well ! I had been thinking of taking the 0-0 separately as cover, but never bothered. Sounds as though Aberdeen really raised their game tonight going by the after match thoughts on Radio Scotland. I'm happy to see a Scottish side do well, but sorry to anyone who followed my selection. Hopefully nobody staked too high on this one !Dnipro only played out 0-0. Lucky I did cover my bet with 0 goal. -
Re: UEFA Cup 1st Round 1st Leg 20/09 Aberdeen v Dnipro Selection: Dnipro to win The odds are just far too tempting for me to ignore this match, so I've done a little bit of homework which has only convinced me further that it's worth backing Dnipro for this one. I'm Scottish, so have decent knowledge of Aberdeen, but if anyone has any opinions on Dnipro, I'd appreciate your thoughts ! Firstly, and I realise this is far from a solid reason for backing a side, but when the draw was made the general feeling from football pundits in Scotland seemed to be that Aberdeen had been given a very tough draw. Willie Miller, Aberdeens Director of Football, certainly seemed disappointed when interview shortly after the draw was made. Aberdeen have proven themselves to be a consistent side under Jimmy Calderwood. However, they have had a poor start to the season, only winning 1 game from 6. And their home record is 0 wins, one draw, 2 defeats, with 3 goals scored and 6 goals against them. Scottish sides, outside of the Old Firm, have been woeful in europe in recent times. It is certainly no surprise if they fall at the very early stages of european competitons, in fact it is pretty much expected. Aberdeen's record in europe in recent years is not impressive. In 2000/01, they were knocked out in the 2nd Preliminary round of the UEFA cup. In 2002/03 season, they were knocked out in the 1st round of the UEFA Cup. Aberdeen's top goalscorer this season has been Craig Brewster, the only player in the squad on 3 goals........but he has now moved to Inverness Caledonian Thistle to return to his post as manager. Striker Darren Mackie, Aberdeen's top goalscorer last season with 13 goals, is rated as doubtful for this match with a hamstring injury. Mackie has fantastic pace, and I would think he will be a big loss in europe, where pace can be so important. As for Dnipro, I don't know anything about them ! :unsure But I have done a brief bit of homework on them. They finished 4th in the Ukranian league last season. They are coming into this game after winning 3-0 in their last domestic game, and sit 2nd in the Ukranian league (I assume behind the impressive Shakhtar Donetsk). Dnipro's recent record in europe is as follows. 2003/04, they were knocked out in the 3rd round of the UEFA Cup. 2004/05, they were knocked out in the last 32 of the UEFA Cup. In the 2005/06 season, they were knocked out at the group stages of the UEFA Cup. In the previous round of this years UEFA Cup, they negotiated a tie with GKS Belchatow. GKS are a polish Premier league side, and led the Polish Premier League for most of last season, before eventually having to settle for 2nd place. So they must have been quite a useful side I would think. A worry for me when betting on teams from the likes of Russian and Ukraine is how these sides travel, but Dnipro's result in the last round encourages me. The first leg was in the Ukraine, and finished 1-1, but in the second leg, Dnipro travelled to Poland and won the match 4-2, to go through, 5-3 on aggreggate. EDIT: I would also add that I believe a big reason for Aberdeen's poor form this season has been the loss of Russell Anderson to Sunderland. He was their captain and had been at the club all of his career. Very popular and well respected, and will be a big loss on and off the field. He's a centre back, and was not only their best defender, but was the organiser and 'talker' at the back. Losing him is, I guess, a bit like Chelsea losing Terry or Liverpool losing Carragher. He was crucial to Aberdeen. And as I've already mentioned, you can see it already this season with the goals they are now leaking, 6 goals against them in 3 home games. Further edit: have just discovered that Scottish side Hibs faced Dnipro 2 years ago at this stage of the competition. I would rate that Hibs side ahead of the current Aberdeen side, especially in terms of being suited for european football. Hibs were beaten 5-1 on aggregate (0-0 at home, 5-1 in Ukraine). And another edit ! : The Daily Record is today (Thursday) reporting that Aberdeen captain Scott Severin is rated as 50/50 for this game. He's a big player for them, a cool head in this kind of game. Plays central midfield for Aberdeen, although he can also play at centre back. Even if he plays, if he's not 100% fit, it must be a serious concern for Aberdeen.
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Re: Champions League (18-19 Sep)
Comfortable 2-0 victory for Shakhtar, could and should have won by more to make my handicap bet a lot more comfortable ! :okThe best bet there for me has to be Shakhtar to beat Celtic. Now I'm a Rangers fan, so I'll try and follow this prediction up with some constructive points ! Shakhtar Donetsk's and Celtic's only previous encounters came in the first group phase of the 2004-05 Champions League. The Ukrainian side won their home match (3-0) through goals by the Brazilians Matuzalem (two) and Brandao. Two weeks later, Celtic beat Shakhtar Donetsk (1-0) through a goal by Alan Thompson. Anatoli Tymoschuk and Cosmin Barcauan (both Shakhtar) were red-carded in that match. Shakhtar Donetsk are unbeaten in their last five Champions League home matches. Their last home defeat was on 14 September 2004 against AC Milan (0-1). Celtic are yet to win their first CL away match. In 13 matches away from home, Celtic managed one draw and 12 defeats. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 31. Celtic lost 3 goals in each of their 3 away games in the group stages last season, losing to Man U 3-2, Benfica 3-0 and Copenhagen 3-1. So my bet is Shakhtar to win. I think it is also worth noting that in Celtic's 13 Champions League away games, they have lost by 2 or more goals in 6 of those matches. So Shakhtar to win by two or more goals, which I have seen priced at 10/3, also looks great value to me. -
Re: Champions League (18-19 Sep)
I don't have MSN mate, tend to just use the internet for football info. Best just to stick our thoughts down here anyway I reckon and we can all help each other out. Better watch we don't turn this place into a chatroom, so I'm away for now. Good luck with any selections you make :okheh ayerbox are you using msn if you give me your msn adress we can earn o lot of money together I'M FROM TURKEY -
Re: Champions League (18-19 Sep)
Yep :)ayebrox are u here? -
Re: Champions League (18-19 Sep)
Rangers have not lost in 12 consecutive home matches in European competitions. Their last home defeat was on 15 December against Auxerre (0-2). They have kept clean-sheets in the last four European matches, and have drawn their last six Champions League games. The Champions League record for consecutive draws is seven and was set by AEK Athens between 17 September 2002 and 17 September 2003. They have lost 6 out of their 21 home games in the Champions League. They are undefeated in their last 4 home matches in the Champions League (Porto, Artmedia Bratislava, Inter Milan, Villareal). Last 7 if you include qualifying rounds :okStuttgart to win- Whatever odds? Reasoning-Rangers are mince,probably worst team in competition Dont know correct stats but Rangers have lost alot of home games in champions league over the years... Gl -
Re: Champions League (18-19 Sep) Rangers v Stuttgart: No bet Rangers have a mixed record at home in the Champions League, so it's hard to predict this match. First of all I'll admit I'm a Rangers fan, so I'll be assessing this match mainly from a Rangers perspective. In Rangers last season in the Champions League, 2 years ago, they reached the last 16 of the Champions League, losing out to Villareal on goal difference after two score draws. In the group stage, they were undefeated at home: - 3-2 win over Porto. End to end match, could have gone either way on the night - 0-0 draw with Artmedia Bratislava. A limited side that Rangers struggled to break down and should have beaten on the night. To be fair though, Artmedia did beat Porto in Portugal in that campaign (3-2, Porto's last defeat at home in the competition), and ultimately beat Porto to 3rd place and a UEFA Cup spot. - 1-1 with Inter Milan. Fair result on the night, although Inter had already qualified for the next stage. Rangers played Zeta of Montenegro in their 2nd round qualifier, and started off with an unconvincing 2-0 victory at home, before defeating them 1-0 away. In the 3rd round qualifier against Red Star Belgrade, Rangers were again unconvincing and won 1-0 with a late strike from Nacho Novo. In the away leg, Rangers played a defensive game but were comfortable enough and achieved a 0-0 result to qualify. Domestically, Rangers have had an impressive start to the season......up until last weekend. They have just been defeated 4-2 by Hearts at Tynecastle. Hearts are not the side they were 2 years ago, and to lose 4 goals to any non-Old Firm SPL side is very concerning. Up until the Hearts game, Rangers had a 100% winning record in the SPL, and had prided themselves on their solid defence, at home and abroad, so far this season. It's yet to be seen whether or not this defeat is just a blip or reason to be concerned. Rangers have used a 4-5-1 system in europe this season, and I expect they will use this sytem once again against Stuttgart. Rangers lack creativity, flair and pace but are a well organised, hard working side that, besides the Hearts game, has had a solid looking defence so far this season. They will probably play with two holding midfield players (Brahim Hemdani and Kevin Thomson) with Barry Ferguson in an advanced midfield role, and Steven Whittaker and Lee McCulloch out wide (although DeMarcus Beasley may start, as he has more pace and experience than Whittaker, and a good goalscoring record from his days at PSV in the Champions League) The fact that Ferguson has usually been a deep lying midfielder for the most part of his career, and the fact that Whittaker is a full back turned midfielder since signing for Rangers, illustrates how Rangers are a safety first outfit with no passengers, and solid hard working players all over the field........but the downside as I've said is a lack of flair, pace and creativity. The lone striker role will probably go to Jean Claude Darcheville. He's small, but built like a tank, and is very fast, hardworking and aggressive. A bit like Kenny Miller on steroids but with a good first touch ! ;) He's not a natural goalscorer, but he's a real pesk of a player and will no doubt ask questions of the Stuttgart defence. Rangers have played Stuttgart before in the Champions League, in the 2003/2004 season. Rangers won the home leg 2-1, and lost 1-0 in Germany, but I don't think too much can be read into those results. Two very different squads now. Although I would rate this Rangers side as better than the 2003 side, but then I'm sure Stuttgart have improved also. As a Rangers fan, I'm encourage by the fact that Stuttgart have lost their opening two domestic away games, scoring 1 and conceding 4. However, I'm clutching at straws here, and I'm not one to read too much into domestic results when assessing european matches. I think this is a game to stay clear of, but if pushed I would predict a draw. If there is to be a winner, I would lean towards it being Stuttgart, but Ibrox is an intimidating venue, and with the crowd behind them I think Rangers are capable of scraping a win here. But ultimately, no bet for me ! edit: additional information, taken from the BBC website: Rangers have not lost in 12 consecutive home matches in European competitions. Their last home defeat was on 15 December against Auxerre (0-2). They have kept clean-sheets in the last four European matches, and have drawn their last six Champions League games. The Champions League record for consecutive draws is seven and was set by AEK Athens between 17 September 2002 and 17 September 2003. Stuttgart have not won nor scored in their last three CL matches, but have won their last three European away games.
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Re: Champions League (18-19 Sep)
The Celtic and Rangers games are the only two that I feel I could comment on in detail to be honest. I'm certainly no expert on the wider european game, and I'll be interested to read what others have to say on the other matches. Nevertheless, I still can't see past Chelsea for this one, which is hardly sticking my neck out ! The BBC is reporting that they will be without both Lampard and Drogba, and they have dropped 5 points in their last 2 Premiership matches. But still, Rosenberg have apparently not been firing on all cylinders in the early part of their domestic season, and at Stamford Bridge I can't see past a Chelsea win. Even without Lampard and Drogba, they still possess tremendous quality, and their record at home is excellent. Still, at that price for a Chelsea win, it's not a game that interests me greatly so they won't be featuring in my selections this week.Cheers for that Mr Ayebrox, Whats your opinion on Chelsea supposing Drogba's in? -
Re: Champions League (18-19 Sep) The best bet there for me has to be Shakhtar to beat Celtic. Now I'm a Rangers fan, so I'll try and follow this prediction up with some constructive points ! Shakhtar Donetsk's and Celtic's only previous encounters came in the first group phase of the 2004-05 Champions League. The Ukrainian side won their home match (3-0) through goals by the Brazilians Matuzalem (two) and Brandao. Two weeks later, Celtic beat Shakhtar Donetsk (1-0) through a goal by Alan Thompson. Anatoli Tymoschuk and Cosmin Barcauan (both Shakhtar) were red-carded in that match. Shakhtar Donetsk are unbeaten in their last five Champions League home matches. Their last home defeat was on 14 September 2004 against AC Milan (0-1). Celtic are yet to win their first CL away match. In 13 matches away from home, Celtic managed one draw and 12 defeats. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 31. Celtic lost 3 goals in each of their 3 away games in the group stages last season, losing to Man U 3-2, Benfica 3-0 and Copenhagen 3-1. So my bet is Shakhtar to win. I think it is also worth noting that in Celtic's 13 Champions League away games, they have lost by 2 or more goals in 6 of those matches. So Shakhtar to win by two or more goals, which I have seen priced at 10/3, also looks great value to me.
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Re: Euro 2008 Qualifiers - midweek coupons 12th Sept Spoke to soon.......Norway equalise ! :nana
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Re: Euro 2008 Qualifiers - midweek coupons 12th Sept Can't believe the way this game is going ! :( A Slovakian win was my most confident selection for tonights games, and it all started so well......... I've also got Norway on a separate coupon, and they are a goal down. Not a good start for me ! BBC has live commentary on-line for the Wales game for anyone interested.
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Re: Euro 2008 qualifiers - matches 12/9 BBC's website is reporting that the Slovakian squad is suffering from a bout of food poisoning. Does anyone know how serious the situation is ? Could affect whether or not I back them tonight ! :unsure
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Re: Euro 2008 Qualifiers - midweek coupons 12th Sept Go with your instinct guys, I never like to affect the thoughts of others when it comes to betting. But a word of warning ! Lithuania only beat the Faroes 1-0 away from home, and have only scored 5 goals in their 8 qualifiers.
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Re: Euro 2008 qualifiers - matches 12/9 I don't like the idea of predicting Ukraine v Italy, but I found this interesting. Italy have won all 4 of their competitive games against Ukraine by at least two goals. And the Ukraine have never beaten a team ranked higher than 14 by Fifa at home. Italy are around 'evens' for this, so they'll feature on my coupon. Possibly my favourite bet of the week is Slovakia to beat Wales. Around 4-6 for a Slovakian win. They beat Wales 5-1 away from home, Germany have just effectively put to bed any hopes Wales had of qualifying and Jason Koumas has pulled out of the squad.........definitely a selection for me.
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Re: Euro 2008 qualifiers - matches 12/9 I like the look of France (-1). 10-11 with William Hills. Boo hiss, I know, but I definitely fancy France to beat us by a clear two goal margin. I'm worried about Scotland at the back, for me it's the weakest area of the team. Ok, we have an outstanding keeper in Craig Gordon, but he alone can't stop the French attack. The pace and movement of Anelka, Ribery and Malouda will be difficult for a static Scottish defence to cope with. McManus and Weir badly lack pace, and even if they are defending deep, the movement of the French will cause them problems. Hutton has been excellent at right back for Rangers, but has been most impressive going forward. Defensively there is still a bit of Jekyll and Hyde about his play......brilliant in one moment, but then loses his head soon after. Great footballer, poor decision maker at times, and I think his lack of experience at this level could hinder the side. And at left back, McEveley doesn't convince me. I think he could be a big weakness for us in this game. Ok, admittedly I've seen little of him, but I just don't think he's ready for this encounter. As a unit, Scotland's back 4 is lacking in both pace and experience at this level for me, so I believe the French will score at least twice. The Italians put two past us, as did Ukraine, and I fear the French attack more than any other side in the group, even without Henry. There is always the chance any side could steal a goal out of nowhere, but Scotland don't have great quality going forward. Fletcher and Ferguson are excellent at keeping possession under pressure in the middle of the park, and Brown adds tremendous energy and drive, but we lack genuine quality in the final third, and a goal will come as a genuine surprise to me, never mind a favourable result ! Against the top sides, we have scored a fortunate goal against France at Hampden, and failed to score in Italy and Ukraine.
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Re: Euro 2008 Qualifiers - midweek coupons 12th Sept Bet1- double France(-1) 10-11 Slovakia 4-6 £10 stake Bet 2- double Italy (evens) Norway (evens) £10 stake Bet 3- double £2 double for Hungary and Moldova to win (£160 returned if it comes up, so worth a go !) Bet 4- correct score and first scorer Anelka to score first, and France win 3-0. (22-1) £2 stake. Bet 5- patriotic bet ! McManus to score first and 1-1. (230-1) £1 bet Bet 6- treble France(-1) 10-11 England 8-15 Portugal 4-9 £10 stake :hope
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Re: CL matches - return leg - 6-7/3 Some team news for Valencia v Inter Milan, taken from the BBC: Valencia have no selection problems, with Spain midfielders Vicente and Ruben Baraja both returning from injury. Defender Asier del Horno who made his debut against Celta Vigo after recovering from an Achilles tendon injury is also set to play. Inter will be without Patrick Vieira, while Esteban Cambiasso is doubtful with a leg injury. Brazilian striker Adriano pulled his left hamstring in last week's 1-1 Serie A draw with Udinese and misses out. I have to say, I don't fancy Inter for that game. If I was to back anyone, I would actually back Valencia. But no bet for me on this one. Good luck to those that do :beer
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Re: UEFA Cup matches 8/3 Thanks for the info blysk :cheers
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Re: UEFA Cup matches 8/3
Celtic fan ? ;) That game is probably a no bet for me, although I will take an interest in any odds given for under 2.5 goals.Osasuna 2/1:eek must be the bet of the season!! -
Re: UEFA Cup matches 8/3
Benfica attracted my interest also, especially at that price. PSG are battling relegation domestically, and that will undoubtedly be their priority. However, I'm not convinced that Benfica are a good team to back on the road. In their Champions League group, they only scored 1 goal in their 3 games, in the 3-1 defeat to Man U. They also played two average team in Celtic and Copenhagen. Celtic thrashed them 3-0 and Copenhagen drew with them 0-0. I would be interested in seeing the stats for Benfica's away record in europe over the past few years, if anyone has it :) Would be good info to assess before making a bet on this game.Benfica to beat PSG @3.20 looks great value! PSG are such a poor team this season that they are constantly flirting with relegation. I doubt very much that they have enough to contain the attacking threat of Benfica. -
Re: CL matches - return leg - 6-7/3 First of all, I will put my cards on the table and state the fact that I am a Rangers fan ! However, when it comes to betting I like to view myself as an objective punter. And in this game, I am sure even the most loyal of Celtic fans will acknowledge that that it is more than likely that this is the end of the line for Celtic.
2-5 for aMilan Milan Milan Milan here, and as I’ve said, I would suggest the handicap bet, Milan -1. I see this as a rock solid bet. However, if someone was going to put this bet at risk, it would be Nakamura. I highly doubt Celtic will manage a goal from open play, but Nakamura can be deadly from set pieces, as he’s shown against Man United, twice. A small stake for Nakamura to be last goalscorer (16/1) may be sensible.. IfMilan -
Re: Turkey Super League (Mar 2-4) I'm thinking of backing Buraspor to win this match. Is this a worthwhile bet as far as those in the know are concerned. I realise the poster above fancies a draw, but I always prefer betting on a winner if I can. Seems decent odds for a home win (evens)
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Re: Turkey Super League (Mar 2-4) Anymore thoughts on the Bursapor match this evening ?
Quick System
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Re: Quick System Have been following this thread for a couple of weeks now, but haven't put my money down on it until today ! Put £15 on in total, £5 of that on Malapropism who I was very happy to see win to give myself a nice £10 profit for todays racing ! :) Keep up the good work, Ralphie. I'll continue to follow your progress with interest :ok