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Seen2001

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Posts posted by Seen2001

    Southwell 230

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Southwell 230 I fancy Sergeant Slipper to run a big race here, guys. Must have a strong pace to come off, and that looks likely with several front-runners in the field. Came back to form with a decent 3rd last time in a very fast run race (winner ATTORNEY won again since) and he looks a solid ew bet at around 8/1. Good luck, Seen

    Each-way fancy - 1.30 Hereford

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    The odds-on fav (ONLY VINTAGE) should be hard to beat here but there is a possibility he may need the run and better value lies with JACKIE BOY. He won a bumper on his debut, then finished 2nd in a similar race before only running 7th on his hurdles debut - but that run can be ignored as he broke a blood vessel. He was quite well fancied in the betting (backed from 11/1 to 8/1) and this is a drop in class. Top trainer and jockey, he should go well here at double-figure odds. Seen

    Seen's dogs

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Seen's dogs 3rd :( A little unlucky, not a good start then squeezed out at the first bend and he found himself in 5th, well off the pace. He showed guts to get back into it and wasn't beaten far at the finish. A clear run and he'd have won. Interestingly he was 5/4 on course but was generally odds-on on Betfair, briefly touching evens. One to be on next time methinks.

    Seen's dogs

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Seen's dogs Running total +7.37pts 10.40 Romford DROOPYS DIETMAR looks to have a cracking chance here, although I'm not expecting a great price now that his main rival in trap 4 has been taken out (trap now vacant). I would have preferred trap 4 to have run, as that one heads for the rails on the run-up so would have probably caused chaos on the inside allowing the selection a perfect run to the bend. He still should lead and win, but the odds will be shorter. He's won his last 2 starts at this trip comfortably and clocked times none of his rivals can get near. He just needs to trap out and run a couple of lengths to his best. Wide runners are doing well so far tonight, the first 9 winners were drawn 646666162. If he's too short (ie odds-on) then I'm not betting, otherwise he's a 4pts win. DROOPYS DIETMAR - 4pts win

    BANDARI - 3.15 Kempton

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    BANDARI's form at Group3 level or lower reads... 1711110111 ...his 2 defeats were when he freaked out at the start - but that has been rectified now with the fitting of earplugs. He's 5/2 joint 2nd fav in this Group3 race, which looks a fair bit of value for a proven performer considering he has just 3 rivals, the main rivals being one which is returning from injury and another who is up in class. BANDARI has won a few times in small fields and he'll surely run a big race today.

    Each-way double

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    I fancy 2 favourites today to at the very least get placed, with a good chance that both will win. Although they will be sent of at short prices (probably around 6/4 and 7/4), placing an ew double will return 87.5% of the total outlay (based on 6/4 and 7/4 prices) if they both place, which they should. 2.20 Chep - GROUP CAPTAIN (7/4 approx) 3.35 Hayd - GLEN IDA (6/4 approx) A £10 ew double will cost £20 and give the following returns (based on 7/4 and 6/4 assumed prices)..... One or both unplaced - LOSS £20 Both placed - LOSS £2.45 One winner, one placed - LOSS £2.45 Both winners - PROFIT £66.30 So almost a free bet, as long as they both place of course.

    3.15 Epsom

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Looking at the past stats on 5f Epsom hcaps on easy ground, high drawn runners really should have the edge here. Draw - horse - Betfair odds 9 - ATLANTIC VIKING - 12.0 10 - PLATEAU - 10.5 11 - FURTHER OUTLOOK - 17.0 12 - BRAVE BURT - 8.2 13 - SIR EARNEST - 70.0 14 - WHITBARROW - 14.0 ATLANTIC VIKING seems best on fast ground so it discarded. PLATEAU went close over CD 3 runs ago but also may need faster ground. Shortlisted. FURTHER OUTLOOK is a course winner and likes cut but hasn't won a hcap for 4 years. BRAVE BURT has placed twice here and likes cut but has been well beaten the last twice. He probably found 6f too far and then possible didn't take to Chester, so shortlised. SIR EARNEST hasn't won a hcap or on a straight track and has finished last on his last two starts, which explains why he is 69/1. He does have bits of form however, including when runner-up on easy ground at Haydock in June. Might improve for this downhill track and worth a saver at those odds. WHITBARROW looks totally out of form since his last win 8 runs ago (form since reads 7709890) but he's been badly drawn on most of those starts and has the plum draw here. He likes cut and has run well on both starts here, and is probably best on an easy track like this. My idea of the winner is WHITBARROW, with the dangers being PLATEAU and BRAVE BURT. SIR EARNEST is a lively longshot. Any views?

    Greyhound track bias

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Greyhound track bias Hawksteel - it's usually a case of heavy rain affecting the surface and making either the inner or the outer of the track faster, therefore advantageous to the dogs racing on that part of the track. I did okay on Wed night, I'll post my results up later. Tonight - ROMFORD seems to be favouring the wides, first 4 results 5-6-5-6 I'll be backing the wides and laying the railers (if short enough!)

    Greyhound track bias

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    There seems to be a track bias at both of the evening BAGS meetings tonight... LASTEST RESULTS Sunderland 6-4-5-6-3-5 Swindon 6-4-1-2-1-1-2 The track is definitely favouring the wides at Sunderland, and the inner seems fastest at Swindon (the first race where T6 won was a messy affair). I'm backing the wides and laying the railers at Sunderland, and backing the railers and laying the wides at Swindon.

    Seen's dogs

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Seen's dogs Hall Green on SKy Sports tonight.... 8.50 Hall Green This looks a good chance for BLONDE CHIMES in Trap 6 - she was touched off by OUT OF TROUBLE (runs from T4 in this) last time but can gain revenge from an ideal draw (only wide). Her last-time-out victor in T4 heads for the rails early so could well meet early trouble. BLONDE CHIMES - 3pts win 9.45 Hall Green The main event and I think the fav in T2 is in for a bumpy ride, as the 3 dogs immediately to his right all possess superior speed and he could well find himself chopped off at the opening turn. Trap 1 could also cause him problems so the likely short odds of around 13/8 look skinny. DROOPYS BROOKLYN looks a good bet to make all here, he's surrounded by 3 outsiders and his time on his last outing was only 3 spots slower than the fav, so he's a speedy pup. DROOPYS BROOKLYN - 2pts win (odds taken on Betfair to follow)

    Seen's dogs

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Seen's dogs Not much time as I'm off out. One strong bet tonight... 9.14 Romford BABY SHOES (Trap 2) has a major chance in this, is head and shoulders above this lot on times and with a slow starter to her inner she should grab the rail early and make all. 3pts (price taken to follow...)

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