expert
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Re: Crucial categories system
Tight game and w/o straight sets win for either of two this one is going over the totals.Sport Volleyball Event France vs Serbia Selection over 185.5 Strength 10/10 Date 27/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.95 (Back)
Big qualitty difference between those two teams and 3 straight sets win is expectedSport Volleyball Event Cuba vs Korea Republic Selection under 160.5 Strength 10/10 Date 27/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.74 (Back)
Bulgaria the better of two teams already beaten Spain in two previous occasions.Sport Volleyball Event Bulgaria - Spain Selection Bulgaria Strength 10/10 Date 27/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.79 (Back)
Big quality difference, Poles should get this one in three sets.Sport Volleyball Event Poland - Dominican republic Selection Poland -1.5 sets (Asian Handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 27/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.75 (Back)
Big difference between those two. Cant see USA dropping the set in this one.Sport Volleyball Event USA - Thailand Selection USA -2.5 sets (Asian Handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 27/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.76 (Back)
Italy dominated Russians in last game, had match point at 2-0 in sets but later won it easily with 3-1 imo huge value.Sport Volleyball Event Italy - Russia Selection Italy -1.5 sets (Asian Handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 28/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.78 (Back) -
Re: Crucial categories system
Sport Football (Minor Leagues) Event Grashoppers - Shaktar Selection Shaktar -0.25 (Asian Handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 27/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price Mansion @ 1.84 (Back) Reasoning Neutral venue Shaktar imo much better team as Swiss Odds going down Sport Football (Minor Leagues) Event Soderhamns - Gefle Selection Gefle -1 (Asian Handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 27/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price Mansion @ 1.80 (Back) Reasoning Big quality spread between those two teams and imo Gefle should win this one comfortably. -
Re: Crucial categories system
Sport Football (Minor Leagues) Event Rapid Wien - Publikum Celje Selection Rapid Wien -1.25 (Asian Handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 27/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price 10bet @ 1.90 (Back) Reasoning Rapid leader of Austrian champs, Publikum struggled last season, new coach and best attacker Pecnik left. Rapid better team. Publikum will travel to Austria just after the lunch so no bigger preparation for this game. -
Re: Crucial categories system
Sport Football (Minor Leagues) Event Lokomotiv Moscow - Mattersburg Selection Lokomotiv Moscow -0.5 (Asian Handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 27/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price 10bet @ 1.94 (Back) Lokomotiv better team Mattersburg will make lots of substituions as they are not taking this one too seriously, they are preparing mainly for wednesdays game against Gyor. Neutral venue -
Re: Crucial categories system
Sport Football (Ireland) Event UC Dublin - Cork City Selection Cork City Strength 10/10 Date 27/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price Blue Square @ 1.91 (Back) Reasoning Guests the better team Dublin had a cup game in midweek Guests with full strenght team today -
Re: Crucial categories system
Both teams thumped by injuries and suspensions, but Bray in much better form as home team.Sport Football (Ireland) Event Finn Harps - Bray Wanderers Selection Bray Wanderers 0 (Asian Handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 27/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price Paddy Power @ 1.92 (Back) -
Re: Crucial categories system
Galway full strenght squad, Drogheda miss at least 8 first team players today.Sport Football (Ireland) Event Galway - Drogheda Selection Galway +0.75 (Asian Handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 27/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.87 (Back) -
Re: Crucial categories system
Match behind closed doors Slovenia also miss 4 important players for this match due to injuries, NBA draft..Sport Euro Basketball Event Slovenia - Croatia Selection Croatia +2 (Asian Handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 27/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.93 (Back) -
Re: Crucial categories system time to get this thread started again....as before flatbet, 10 pts per bet, and will add also some infos about the match.
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two from Croatia today, with shortish explanation... KK Zadar -14 just too smallish spread for these two teams. Zadar at least one class above Dubrava team, and yeah Dalmatians will love to crash the team from suburbs of Zagreb... KK Cedevita Zagreb v KK Split Croatia Osiguranje over 167 Split extremely offensive team, and lately results theyre producing are exceeding axpectations, all 3 games in second round were over this line with two of them stopping at some 190 points. Imo this over should be in no doubt. and for future reference..livescore page: http://www.hks-cbf.hr/index.php?opt=extern&id=4〈=HR
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Re: WTA Amelia Island 7/4/08 - 13/4/08 another try today..was really close for pulling the plug on Chakvetadze, but remaine undecided...so here goes nothing... Agnieszka Radwanska @ 2.13 IMO surely a value on Radwanska today, she has a legitimate shot to defeat Mauresmo, who yesterday pretty much took advantage of Cristeas young age or better inexperience at this level. Radwanska despite herslef being a young player, posses more quality as Cristea and have loads more of exp. in this situations. IMO everything above evens is value as this one could really go both ways. Katarina Srebotnik @ 1.75 Srebotnik looking really comfortable here. I will surely back her again today as she will play out of form Szavay, the later clearly easily won in 1st round, but her opponent was nothing special and also Makarovas break point defending was a big mess. IMO yesterday Katas opponent Safarova was clearly more of a threat as Szaway today..and for almost exactly same odds.
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Re: WTA Amelia Island 7/4/08 - 13/4/08 so a loosing day yesterday...Wozniacki game a real thriller, and Crsitea fallen apart in 2nd set..well..she has done so in the decisive moments of the first...surely lack of experience and young age...in two years time, she will finish those kind of matches with no trouble at all..so missing out on overs for half of the game...Srebotnik easily and also Safina went under..so 2/4.
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Re: Sweden - Allsvenskan (5-6 April 08) IF Elfsborg +0.5 @ 1.70 to say the least im pleasantly surprised with these odds for Elfsborg. They have according to reports and also the FT result been the dominant team in last game vs AIK and won it with 3-0. With team that Elfsborg has at their disposal, despte i am surely not an expert for Swedish football, but yeah their midfield do look scary at this level, with Anders Svensson as midfield dynamo. And along with fact that Malmo hasnt won vs them since 2005 - back then Elfborg were a mediocre team in this league, the odds look value indeed. Imo a try on straight away win should be also tried or even dnb, which is priced over evens...but for this purpose Elfsborg no to loose at this price is imo a must. AIK -1 @ 1.88 Despite AIKs bad start to new season, i still strongly believe that they have strong squad for Allsvenskan and that the quality spread compared to newly promoted GIF is quite big. IMO this should be a good bounce back game for the best of Stockholms teams (that statement of course just for our beloved AIK die hard fan G:G, as in reality it isurely snt so:lol) and poor GIF are still not aclimated to the quality of football in this division, their recent results are just the proof of that. Imo clear home win and the odds are set just right, maybe a little low due to the start of the season, but im willing to take them, as said, AIK surely one class better.
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Re: UEFA Cup - April 10th Zenit - Leverkusen over 2.5 @ 1.88 logical bet, Leverkusen have to chase goal deficit and if coach wont save strenght for the league clash, it should be an open match with some goals in it.
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Re: Copa Libertadores
According to ESPN' date=' Arsenal are playing with 2 goalkeepers, 6 defenders and 3 midfielders. :lol :unsure[/quote'] sounds like our national team under coach Prasnikar:lol -
Re: WTA Amelia Island 9.4. to final :) boring day, so...despite my showing in this threads is rarity..let me put in some hopefully not money loosing bets aha, firstly, agree bout Azarenka as these odds are value in my eyes Sorana Cirstea v Amelie Mauresmo over 19.5 @ 1.90 with more cojones im could be willing to take younger of two, but still i count on Mauresmo to use her wealth of experiences and eventually win this match. But really cant see an easy job for her, Cirstea in good form and playing beter and better, so it is bound to be a tense match and overs are my choice here. Tatiana Perebiynis v Dinara Safina under 19 games @ 1.85 IMO a big quality difference between those two and cant see anything apart quick two setter from Safina. Alos along with quality diff, Safina much better on clay, so im willing to take a chance on this bet Katarina Srebotnik @ 1.76 very decent price for Kata here. She is currently in better mood and form as Safarova and she should take this one without bigger problems. IMO her play on much higher level atm. Caroline Wozniacki @ 1.79 Despite Bondarenko with good results last year on clay the current form of Wozniacki tells a different story, she plays in great mementum and also beaten Bondarenko in Australian open. With Bondarenkos curent form far away from her best imo these odds are pretty good for young danish player.
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Re: Russian top flight 4-6/4
it should have been a great weekend if matches were played some five minutes less. Loko scored a winner if i remember in 86th, while Zenit lost a two goal lead in 90th minute, Rubin managed only one goal win, so thats a push, while Krylia did their job and won with 1 goal precisely...CSKA...well, to say the least im pretty surprised they managed to loose..ok..some bets (lowered stakes of course, its mother Russia were talking about), as i really like this league..but always affraid to pull the trigger with higher stakes here - check the brackets... CSKA Moscow -0.75 @ 2.05 Despite many times being said that this Terek team is somewhat a political project they still perform as expected, badly. and with one of the best teams coming to town i cant see any other result as convicncing CSKA win. They sure have the necessary quality in their team to do so. Saturn Mosk Oblast v FK Lokomotiv Moscow draw @ 2.88 No wonder draw is so poorly priced as imo its the likliest of outcomes, and yeah teams played 5 draws in last 6 games on this venue. And with also both quite nicely balanced quality wize i relly see, better give the draw at least 40% possibilty to happen, hence this odds, despite theyre low, offer value in my eyes. FK Rubin Kazan -1 @ 2.35 OK i know that this ah is probably big, but odds are to tasy not to take a bit. Rubin with very good and experienced attack with Milosevic and Rebrov, and with very good squad which can kick the asses of any team in this league..so despite they lost last three vs. Tom, this time situation is different, as Rubin is the big fav and guests will surely want to get the points in other games. PFK Kryliya Sovetov Samara -1EH = draw @ 3.60 Specualtive bet, as surely home team is better but is failing to show their potential and Luch despite being one of the lower quality teams in the league are proving theyre hard to beat - Rubin the proof of that, when they went down with only 1-0 then. So im going for home team to win with exactly one goal difference..odds are surely good and ill take that. FK Zenit St. Petersburg @ 2.10 Majority of books on that odds and after impressive 4-1 trashing of Leverkusen in UEFA i wont mind backing the wealthy Zenit once again. At least i give them 50% chances to win it, so these odds represent value, despite Shinik pretty good start of the season..quality on the side of Advocaats team. -
Re: Sweden - Allsvenskan (5-6 April 08) Djurgårdens IF FF -0.25 @ 1.98 IMO very good odds for last years best home team in Allsvenskan league. Djur has again a very solid team and with latest h2h with Malmo they should be able to get a win here. Home court a decisive factor for me here, maybe also a good start to the season, when they got a win from Norkoping in away fixture. Odds are value imo, as i give at least 45% for Djur to snatch it.
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Re: Czech Gambrinus Liga + Second League 5-6/4 FC Slovan Liberec -0.5 @ 1.80 Despite the fact Libererc loves to play the draws in their house, the mementum of both teams is too big not to have a shot on home team. They are currently on a great run, and finished march with 4 wins and a draw. Boleslav in crisis, as they could even get a positive results against lowly Most and Bohemians and got expectedly trashed by Sparta. Surely not an easy game, but guests defence is leaking and Liberec should take advantage of that.
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Re: Danish Sasliga 5-7 April AC Horsens 0 @ 1.97 Quite simple, good odds for a good home team against bad away team. Looking at it, Horsens with only one lost game at home , while Brondby managed only 1 away win, add the historical factor and this dnb offers value. Esbjerg F.B.-1.25 @ 1.90 Imo a risky bet but looking at both teams, heck if Esbjerg plays to their potential and score from their chances Lyngbys defence will be under huge pressure..and yeah, their back line really doesnt look solid at all, with allowed 16 goals in last 6 games and recent results between those two, this hcp looks very well beatable.
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Re: Russian top flight 4-6/4 ok..some bets (lowered stakes of course, its mother Russia were talking about), as i really like this league..but always affraid to pull the trigger with higher stakes here - check the brackets... CSKA Moscow -0.75 @ 2.05 Despite many times being said that this Terek team is somewhat a political project they still perform as expected, badly. and with one of the best teams coming to town i cant see any other result as convicncing CSKA win. They sure have the necessary quality in their team to do so. Saturn Mosk Oblast v FK Lokomotiv Moscow draw @ 2.88 No wonder draw is so poorly priced as imo its the likliest of outcomes, and yeah teams played 5 draws in last 6 games on this venue. And with also both quite nicely balanced quality wize i relly see, better give the draw at least 40% possibilty to happen, hence this odds, despite theyre low, offer value in my eyes. FK Rubin Kazan -1 @ 2.35 OK i know that this ah is probably big, but odds are to tasy not to take a bit. Rubin with very good and experienced attack with Milosevic and Rebrov, and with very good squad which can kick the asses of any team in this league..so despite they lost last three vs. Tom, this time situation is different, as Rubin is the big fav and guests will surely want to get the points in other games. PFK Kryliya Sovetov Samara -1EH = draw @ 3.60 Specualtive bet, as surely home team is better but is failing to show their potential and Luch despite being one of the lower quality teams in the league are proving theyre hard to beat - Rubin the proof of that, when they went down with only 1-0 then. So im going for home team to win with exactly one goal difference..odds are surely good and ill take that. FK Zenit St. Petersburg @ 2.10 Majority of books on that odds and after impressive 4-1 trashing of Leverkusen in UEFA i wont mind backing the wealthy Zenit once again. At least i give them 50% chances to win it, so these odds represent value, despite Shinik pretty good start of the season..quality on the side of Advocaats team.
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Re: Euroleague Basketball 03.04. KK Partizan Beograd v Tau Ceramica points Palacio M over 12(ah) saw this kind of bets few times, especially Crazy North is playing them on regular basis and..what the heck..and i must agree with him that Palacio could be a key man for Parizan today. He is one of better scorers for his team, averaged 12pts in 1st part and 15.2 in 2nd part of the EL. And especially good info for this bet is his tendency to play - score more points, that is - on home court. He went over this total in 7/10 times, scoring high against more prominent opponents. Olympiakos Pireus v CSKA Moscow points Langdon T over 12.5 Langdon a man who averages over 30 mins per game for CSKA, and in previous two games scored 17 and 21 points vs. Oly. In last game stoped aT 10 with only 40% FG..imo today with similar amount of time on court and with his good ability under the rims, he can achieve the selected points pretty comfortably Fenerbahce Ulker Istambul v Montepaschi Siena Mcintyre Total Match Points over 12.5 very rarely did Sienas playmaker scored less than this total and he has a lot to prove, last time out 2 from 8 for three point, is bad for his standards. And with his ability to split Ds with his runs under the rims, he could very easily go over this totals today. Also 30 mis on court makes him one of key players and surely in time of need he will be the man to look for. Fonbet has totals on 13.5, for less juice, so im taking this one..
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Re: UEFA Cup QF, Leg 1, Thu 3/4 making a stupid thing....so three bets for moi.. TSV Bayer 04 Leverkusen v FK Zenit St. Petersburg under 2.5 Imo this one is really hard to crack. Zenit surely not far off, if not on par with this Leverkusen team quality wize. With Arshavin and Pogrebnyak, the Russian Chelsea are surely no underdogs in this h2h. But going for the unders, as Bayers coach mentality is based not to conceede rather than to score, so i guess hell be very happy with 1-0 scoreline, and surely wont be too dissapointed with goalless draw. But, odds tell a different story, this under is priced very well and i agree that total selection and no. of goals could be very balanced, if we see an early goal, over is imminent, apart from that i am pretty convinced both teams wont take too many chances as this is only the first part of stwo leg tie. Injuries: i couldnt find no sensational news for either team, so i will stick with unders. Other option that i was thinking about was 2-3 goals, which is priced same as this under in various books. AC Fiorentina OK, i know this could become a very tricky match as PSV aint no punks at all, their defence is working well and shot stopper Gomez is also highly rated in my eyes. But still, Fiore again have almost full squad, only worries are Gamberini and Ujfalusi and most important, Romanian wizard Mutu is back - and that, better said his involvement in this game was the catalyst to back Fiore. He is the man with that extra move, with that special something that can turn the match around, wither if that is long range effort or decisive pass...Anyway... So, imo, Fiore have a decent shot to win this game, surely it wont be easy, but crowd factor, home pitch and mentioned Mutu, along with other great players and coach Prandelli...heck, odds are worth it. FC Bayern Munchen -1ah Not at all sure about this one, but stil i believe Bayern will take this game, but the question remains, can they win it with two or more goals. Surely odds on home win are crap and offer no value at all, as Getafe can be a real pain in the ass, when it comes to playing the highly favourised team, and yes they have a realy decent squad to offer good battle to anyone...but...Bayern has faboulous tridente...Toni, Klose and Ribery..with backup in as i see it woken up Podolski...so thats a world class attack and question remains can this Getafe contain attack which is dangerous through the midlle from wings...to shorten..complete attack...so imo Bayern should take this, they are far more experienced team in Euro competitions as Getafe and posses more quality..plus, home pitch advantage...at least money back should be pretty safe bet
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Re: Greek cup
2-2 after 36mins...talk about a low scoring draw..:unsureThrasivoulos +1.25 basing this one on few reasons...sure Oly quality wize probably at least one class above Thrasivoulos team, but..second division promotion contenders are playing great, they are still unbeaten at home this season in league and they just beaten highly rated Larisa in last round of cup in away game with 3-1. Alos this is first leg and hence probably both teams will not go with full power in this one, also Oly lost heavily in last league game with 0-4 at AEK and surely champs is their priority. Imo if Oly will win i doubt it will be higher than one goal, despite that i see this one ednding in low scoring draw.
28-30/6 & 01/07 Sweden Superettan
in Other European Leagues Football Predictions
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Re: 28-30/6 & 01/07 Sweden Superettan Glad to see GG back in action! From todays games i really fancy Sirius with odds over evens (2.05 @ 188bet), Hacken game is really nice for playing overs (2.75 priced around evens), as FFF really plays offensive football and their recent game against Assyriska should have been a goal fest imo. Also Hacken do have some really good attacking options up front. Bjorkampojarna game looks intersting, they welcome back Orebro loanee Frempong but Albin Ekdal still out, so their midfield is bound to suffer; +0.25 on guest should be good.