broke
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Posts posted by broke
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Bet #5 | Combo pick @ 1.96 | ? 50.14€ +15.00€ Bet Credits (100%)
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Bet #4 | Combo pick @ 2.11 | ? 45.00€ (50%)
Post Match Analysis:
Gremio - Coritiba ✅ 2-1
Rosenkranz - Tenti ❌ 5-7, 4-6
Cabal/Farah - Pavic/Soares ✅ 6-7, 0-0
Borges - Gerch ✅ 6-4, 0-0-45.00€
Bankroll: 50.15€ ?
Day/Stage01: 100€ > 107€ | 0/100%
[ €€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€ ] -
Bet #4 | Combo pick @ 2.11 | ? 45.00€ (50%)
Pre Match Analysis: Gremio solid results lately, just lost to top of the table Mineiro. Gremio coach Gaucho leads the h2h vs his opponent Jorginho with 4-1 which is always a good indicator for me. Rosenkranz killed Luca Potenza in the first round who won this tournament two weeks ago and was semifinalist last week. Should be clearly above his opponent, a clay courter from Argentina. Pavic/Soares is tricky because in mens doubles at this level one mistake can seal the set, but when there is one combo that is trustworthy right now it's this one. Last pick Borges, who should also be way above his opponent from Germany.
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Post Match Analysis: Slightly injured Djokovic lost the opener which was perfect, because all he needed to do then was turn this match around. He did and made this bet look like the easiest one so far.
Djokovic - Carreno-Busta ✅ 4-6, 6-2, 6-3, 6-4 (37 Games)
+44.52€Bankroll: 95.15€ ?
Day/Stage01: 100€ > 107€ | 0/100%
[ €€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€ ] -
Bet #3 | Single pick @ 2.00 | ? 50.62€ (100%)
Pre Match Analysis: Overline at 29.5 @ 1.80 but I'm sure Djokovic wins, so this one looks really good. Full risk after losing 50% of my bank. Carreno-Busta needs literally one set going into extra games (or win one) and I think he can do it.
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Post Match Analysis: Sloppy match from Djere, was almost there at 7-5, 4-2 but invited Nagal back into the match. As so often in his career he won the decider. Rublev slendered a 5-2 lead in the opening set, was serving for it at 5-3 but completely fell apart. He never recovered from this. Tsitsipas played great, but I don't think anyone excepted a clean sweep in this encounter. Djokovic with no serious problems.
Nagal - Djere ✅ 5-7, 6-4, 4-6
Rublev - Tsitsipas ❌ 5-7, 2-6, 3-6
Djokovic - Carreno-Busta ✅ 4-6, 6-2, 6-3, 6-4
-41.00€
Bankroll: 50.63€ ?
Day/Stage01: 100€ > 107€ | 0/100%
[ €€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€ ] -
Bet #2 | Combo pick @ 1.90 | ? 41.00€ (50%)
Pre Match Analysis: Nagal didn't have any notable results since the lockdown. He took a set from Stan Wawrinka in Prague before he got crushed 6-2, 0-6, 1-6. He even lost to Dustin Brown in straight sets in Paris Qualification a few weeks ago. Djere was semi-finalist lately in Kitzbuhel where he beat players like Sinner and Schwartzman in straight sets. Rublev is on a roll in 2020 and I just can't see him getting sweeped by Tsitsipas. And Djokovic will never ever lose vs Carreno-Busta, not after what happened in their match in New York lately.
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Post Match Analysis: Cashed out when Korda was trailing 1-6, 1-5 (0-40). Didn't have any hope left that he would still be able to win 5 games in the 3rd set. Hsieh/Strycova also lost their match vs #14 seeds in straight sets. Their 2nd loss (23-2) in 2020. Hsieh was some kind of ill. Shit happens.
Korda - Nadal ❌ 1-6, 1-6, 2-6 (22 Games)
Hsieh/Strycova - Guarachi/Krawczyk ❌ 4-6, 5-7-8.37€
Bankroll: 91.63€ ?
Day/Stage01: 100€ > 107€ | 0/100%
[ €€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€ ] -
Bet #1 | Combo pick @ 1.86 | ? 10.00€ (10%)
Pre Match Analysis: I think Korda played solid tennis so far in Paris. The line is very low and he only needs 7 games overall. Hsieh/Strycova are the best female doubles combo out there. They won 4 tournaments this year (Brisbane, Dubai, Doha, Rome) and lost only once in the Australian Open final to Babos/Mladenovic. Their opponents get constantly crushed when playing top combos.
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On 10/4/2020 at 8:39 AM, Skittle said:
That's going to take some doing, especially per day. Do you not think that setting those kind of parameters forces you into finding and having to do certain bets that you would not normally do?
The 89 days can also be seen as stages, so I'm not forced to play something for the sake of hitting my daily target. We'll see how and if it works ?
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7.4% per day
in Glory Hunters
Posted
Not a single bad pick from an analytical standpoint, but still broke. Better luck next time ?