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toninozg

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Posts posted by toninozg

  1. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? after 50 bets stats for this kind of bets are: staked: 1020 returned: 1242 profit 222 hitrate 13/50 26% yield 21.76% average odds 4.90 average stake 20.40 Bank status 1242 I'm satisfied even i didn't achieve 500 units profit,last 12 bets have been disapointing only one hit,but main thing is that even with this kind of bets we can make good profit,i will show what are the stats if we were betting only on homewins not HT/FT,just one thing,this bets are almost always on clear favorite!! staked 1020 returned 932.5 profit -87.5 hitrate 31/50 62% yield -8.58 % average odds 1.51 average stake 20.4 bank status 912.5 so after all it isn't that bad..

  2. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? Ok today i will play 6 bets to conclude a cycle of 50 bets...All bets DRAW/WIN 20 units per game and all bets UEFA CL... Bayern Munchen - Sporting Lisabon 4.70 @ Betfair Liverpool - Bordeaux 5.10 @ Betfair PSV - Galatasaray 4.80 @ Betfair Roma - Olympiakos 4.70 @ Betfair Arsenal - Cska Moscow 4.70 Betfair AC Milan - Anderlecht 5.50 @ Skybet Banks and all stats will be updated after games... Good luck to all of your bets..:hope Toni

  3. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? bad night,i said that cup games are bad for this kind of bets but i still play them:@ Watford - Hull City HT 1:0 FT 2:1 Everton Luton HT 2:0 FT 4:0 Leeds - Southend HT 1:2 FT 1:3 Borussia Dortmund - Hannover HT 0:0 FT 0:1:wall Sochaux - Dijon HT 3:0 FT 5:0 Atletico Madrid - Levante HT 0:0 FT 0:1 :wall bank status 1246 yield 31.58%

  4. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? This are today selections...All HT/FT draw/win stake 20 per game Watford - Hull City 5.3 @ Betfair Everton Luton 4.90 @ Betfair Leeds - Southend 5.40 @ Betfair Borussia Dortmund - Hannover 5.00 @ Bet1128 Sochaux - Dijon 4.50 Sportingbet Atletico Madrid - Levante 5.00 @ Betfair Bank status 1246 (pending 120) Good luck with all of your bets today.. Toni

  5. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? to happygooner: i don't have anything against writting in my thread and surely i'm interested but,here is my thinking.. You have to have really good money management for this kind of strategy,indeed this kind of betting have a potential but you have to be more carefull with picks because with 3 bad days your bank can be seriously damaged... If we asume that 48% are homewins 27% are drawn and 25% are away wins(depending on league) with betting on a serious favorite you can get around 65% for homewin(singles),but asumming that prices will be 1.20-1.40 this isn't profitable and we have to use doubles,betting on a doubles chances are much lower and this is something to be considered..But we surely can have a profit with these kind of strategy because of money management,i suggest that you don't have higher than a 2 bet in a day,that you first test this on paper before this go live... With this thread i wanted to show that i can earn something(earn big) with HT/FT betting although people think that this is just luck and that has no potential,but results are different than opinion...I'm working on improval of this bets involving system but for now it is only on paper all i can say that is going really good.. I will show you the update of results if i were betting single bets homewins,not HT/FT... staked 780 returned 762.50 profit -17.50 hitrate 25/38 65.79% yield -2.24% average odds 1.52 average stake 20.52 bank status 982.50 ok,if i were betting on doubles my bank will probably be in green but this is something to consider.. Toni

  6. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? update of friday 20.10.2006... Borussia Dortmund - Bochum HT 1:1 FT 1:1 -20 Chateauroux - Brest HT 0:0 FT 1:0 +90 Cork City - Sligo Rovers HT 0:0 FT 2:0 +92 Admira Wacker - Kapfenberg HT 1:1 FT 2:4 -20 update of stats: staked 780 returned 1146 profit 366 hitrate 12/38 31.58% yield 46.92% average odds 4.88 average stake 20.88 bank status 1366 :cheers Toni

  7. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? i ve' been busy past week so i didn't have time to write picks but i played in my local and i can say that this is turning to be great,i made a 5 team system in tuesday and wednesday,Celtic,Lille and for the first time played quests,Milan,Cardiff, and Chelsea,jackpot..:cheers Ok,today picks,homewins all draw/win stake 20 per game.. Borussia Dortmund - Bochum 4.8 @ Betfair Chateauroux - Brest 4.5 @ Sportingbet Cork City - Sligo Rovers 4.6 @ Betfair Admira Wacker - Kapfenberg 4.5 @ Sportingbet bank status 1184 pending 80 Good luck with all of your bets, Toni

  8. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? Yes saturday was really dissapointing..I expected Chelsea to win but Villa have impressive results as quests..I need a hitrate greater than 29% to have a good profit.. Update of saturday: Chelsea - Aston Villa HT 1:1 FT 1:1 Lille - Nice HT 0:0 FT 1:0 +96 Coventry - Plymouth HT 0:0 FT 0:1 Werder Bremen - M'Gladbach HT 3:0 FT 3:0 Brescia - Albinoleffe HT 1:0 FT 1:1 last one(Lille) saved me and i only lost 4 units.. bank status 1234 yield 36.56% Yield is good,we are in profit but still i'm not satisfied,because results can be much better,i will try harder,i have 19 picks before 1 cycle will end and my goal is to have more than 500 units profit.. Hope i will achieve that..

  9. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? hello.. for today 5 bets HT/FT as usually DRAW/WIN stakes 20 units per game... Chelsea - Aston Villa 4.75 @ Stan James Lille - Nice 4.8 @ Betfair Coventry - Plymouth 5.8 @ Betfair Werder Bremen - M'Gladbach 4.8 @ Betfair Brescia - Albinoleffe 4.5 @ Sportingbet Staked 100 bank status 1138 Good luck to all of your bets today.. Toni

  10. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? thanks osfp!I really apreciate your feedback..:ok I was trying with games like Inter - Bayern,Bristol Rovers-Hereford get bigger odds(5,50 and higher).. eg. Inter - Bayern odds were 1.90 3.15 3.80 estimated in (%) 56 26 18 i strongly believed that Bayern will not win this game,my prediction of the result was 1:0 2:0 for Inter in the end.. Awful first half but ended 0:0,almost perfectly but.. Mancini made a big mistake,he didn't substitute Ibrahimovic(played like sh..) with Adriano and this was the crucial for this match,red card for him and probably bye,bye Inter this season in CL.. Yes the risk is really higher in this kind of games,it could easily go either way but with hot favorites it isn't,if i preddict corect DRAW at half time probably in 70% of cases favorites will win in the end,this opens a door with live betting but this is not invloved in this tread because i don't know yet if this strategy is profitable,if i manage to show that has profit with involving live betting i think i can't loose in the end,but i will play 2-3 cycles with 50 bets and then conclude.. Once again thx for your feedback i really aprecciate it:ok

  11. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? I came back!!!!!:nana :cheers Feyenord - Lokomotiv Sofia HT 0:0 FT 0:0 -20 Leverkusen - Sion HT 0:0 FT 3:1 +96 Totenham - Slavia HT 0:0 FT 1:0 +108 Espanyol - Artmedia HT 0:0 FT 1:0 +96 Dinamo Buchurest - Skoda Xanthi HT 1:0 FT 4:1 -20 Club Brugge - Ruzemberok HT 0:1 FT 1:1 -20 Parma - Rubin HT 0:0 FT 1:0 +108 ok,yesterday was a great day, 268 units profit :loon !! let's look at the stats after 26 picks: staked 540 returned 778 average stake 20,77 average odds 4,92 hitrate 8/26 30.76% yield 44.07% bank status 1238:loon

  12. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? this is the first time i will play more than 4 matches in a day..all bets DRAW/WIN stakes 20 per game Feyenord - Lokomotiv Sofia 5.2 @ Betfair Leverkusen - Sion 4.8 @ Betfair Totenham - Slavia 5.4 Betfair Espanyol - Artmedia 4.8 @ Betdaq Dinamo Buchurest - Skoda Xanthi 5 @ Betfair Club Brugge - Ruzemberok 5.1 Betfair Parma - Rubin 5.4 Betfair staked 140 Bank status 830 Good luck to all of your bets today.. Toni

  13. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? really dissapointing night but hope i will get back on the track...:wall really embarassing:sad yesterday results: FC Liverpool - Galatasaray HT 2:0 FT 3:2 -30 Inter Milan - Bayern Munchen HT 0:0 FT 0:2 -25 Vaduz - Yverdon HT 2:2 FT 3:3 -25 Bristol Rovers - Hereford HT 0:1 FT 2:1 -20 after 19 picks staked 400 returned 370 average stake 21 average odds 4.85 hitrate 4/19 21.05% yield -7.50% bank status 970 like i said i also played all this games homewins and the results are: after 19 picks staked 400 returned 418,5 average stake 21 average odds 1.60 hitrate 13/19 68.5% yield 4.62% bank status 1018,5 cheers Toni

  14. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? thanks Miguel,i 'm thinking for a while to raise my stakes in games where my confident is higher and today i decided to do that:cheers ,i will also check Australian A-league because i'm interested and surely will ask you for help.. For today 4 games again all HT/FT DRAW/WIN but with different stakes.. FC Liverpool - Galatasaray 4.7 @ Betfair stake 30 Inter Milan - Bayern Munchen 5.5 @ Betfair stake 25 Vaduz - Yverdon 4.5 @ Stan James stake 25 Bristol Rovers - Hereford 5.8 @ Betfair stake 20 pending 100:hope bank status 970 Good luck to all of your bets.. Toni

  15. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? Ok,second weekend in a row i'm on the business trip unanounced:@ , first update of friday.. Fc Porto - Beira Mar HT 0:0 FT 3:0 +90 Caen - Tours HT 1:0 FT 1:0 - 20 Bastia - Niort HT 2:0 FT 4:1 - 20 After 12 picks results are 3/12 hitrate 25% average odds 4,775 staked 240 returned 280 yield 16,67% bank status 1040 i also played just for statistic all of this picks straight win and the results are: 8/12 hitrate 66,66% average odds 1,525 staked 240 returned 244 yield 1,67% bank status 1004 to Floorwalker:believe me, i 'm really pissed because i didn't publish my picks(i wasn't near comp) because weekend results were perfect for this strategy and bank would be much much bigger:wall I'm glad that someone interested in this kind of strategy,maybe in the end will works to Newton-Heath:for now it is just experimental and i don't know if it really works,it is yet to see and decide,like i said my picks are based on estimations,first i use neural network predictor,then i check team news,current form,formations,next fixtures and else i can found out about teams,then i estimate bookie odds and my odds,if i see no value in straight home win(because bookie underestimate away team)then i play X/1.. Bt i'm also interested in results if i were playing all of "clear" favorites on home ground,without estimations and everything else.. Regards Toni

  16. Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? for now i'm really not that disappointed,look at the stats.. HT/FT betting after 8 picks Correct 2/8 hitrate 25% with average odds 4,86 staked 160 returned 190 yield 18.75% bank status 1030 +30 if i were betting on favorites only on home win after 8 picks stats will be Correct 5/8 hitrate 62,5% with average odds 1,54 staked 160 returned 152 yield -5.00% bank status 992 -8 so after all it isn't that bad for now but future will show if this has potential... Thanks ofsp for comments,i m really looking for comments about this.. regards Toni

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