bettor6
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Posts posted by bettor6
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Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System
I have looked at your selections and the problem is that you put too much importance in team`s goals history, that is why this system is going to end badly. Good luck anyway, you will need it ;)It seems that the value pays for it self. -
Re: "80' minute favourite" System I don`t think you will get an edge in this strategy. I have done research to find out probability of result depending on current scoreline in any precious moment of the game. When the favourite of the game is one goal up with 15 minutes to go, there is about 11.5% probability that he won`t get a win. The same 11.5% is when the score is level or is leading by more goals. Only in the case being a goal down this number lowers to 9.0% Average price of the favourite was about 1.65 and you will need at least 1.14 odds in 75th minute of the match to beat the statistics. With such crappy odds as you have had last weekend it would be definitely better to lay these favourites. GL though, you will need it :rollin :rollin
UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v3.0
in Betting Systems & Strategy
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Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System
It is more or less calculated by comparing the actual strength of teams and besides you need to calculate goal expectation correctly. The importance of each team`s goal history is fairly low.