Jump to content

artursfas

New Members
  • Posts

    10
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by artursfas

  1. I'm really worrying, not wanting to be negative, I've already lost 25% of my bankroll from Sunday to today. I hope things change direction. Today so far no betting 17 bets, and yesterday of 8 no hit. = /. But I still believe that the tide changes before breaking my bank. I use 1% of the bank per bet.

  2. Good morning dear, I am resident in Brazil and I am having difficulty finding a Mollybet style platform to place bets on horse racing. My bet365 account has already been limited, I currently use the betting house, however, it only works with Victory Tote odds and still charges 6.5% tax on all winning bets. I do not use betfair because it's almost the same as wearing suaposta because of the commission. Here in Brazil there are almost no specialists in this market and what exists is a God and does not help anyone who seeks it.
    That way I'm very grateful for your help.
    A hug to everyone.

  3. Hello gentlemen, I bring some more data about the study I've been doing with tips using odds of 8/1 or greater in the winner or podium markets.

    Picture's subtitle:
    Dias de P: Damage days in points;
    Dias de L: Days of profit in points;
    Maior P: Day in which you had the most damage in points;
    Maior L: Day in which you had the highest profit in points;
    Quat de seq ruim: Negative day sequence in points (two days or more)
    Quat de seq boa: Sequence of positive days in points (two days or more)
    P Pior seq: Highest injury among the worst injury sequence in points;
    L Maior seq: Highest profit among the best profit sequence in points.

    Conclusion:

    For a more cautious and conservative bettor, I suggest using 0.5% of the bank for each bet, where 1 point represents 0.5% of the bankroll. I know profit is down by half, but for someone who is cautious the negative peak does not come to scare.

    I hope I have helped with something.

    Capturar.JPG

  4. Good morning, I'm doing a day-to-day study of each month to see the negative peaks and positive spikes to chart a conservative and aggressive emotional management.
    I will soon post the result. There are many days to check and it takes a while.
    Recalling that this study is based on the filter I did:
    Bets with odd 8/1 or higher, in the winner or E / W markets.
    I embrace you all and hope that my study is valid for someone.

  5. Good evening. I understand your concern that it is mine too.
    I do not know if I'm unhurried, but I think the filter I did on the tips gave a really good result. In the spreadsheet I used 1 point as base and that one point represents 1% of the bank. Well, I started the filtration system today, but by holding because of the high number of tips per day I will use 0.5% of the bank and see how it works.
    I made the month-by-month filter of the filter system that I did and follows the result:

    Aug / 16: -1,94 points
    set / 16: -20,37 points
    out / 16: + 83.15 points
    Nov / 16: + 33.59 points
    Dec / 16: +37.10 points
    Jan / 17: + 13.55 points
    Feb / 17: + 28.76 points
    Tue / 17: + 39.72 points
    Apr / 17: + 78.63 points
    May 17: + 53.64 points
    Jun / 17: + 102,40 points
    jul / 17: + 116, 02 points
    Aug / 17: + 33.43 points
    set / 17: + 25.67 points
    out / 17: + 99.72 points
    Nov / 17: + 21.45 points
    Dec / 17: + 8.51 points
    Jan / 18: + 33.22 points
    Feb / 18: + 6.32 points
    Mar / 18: - 18,90 points

    Dude, it's too good to be true (rs). As you can see, of the 20 analyzed months only 3 became negative, thus showing a consistency. And the lows were swiftly swallowed by the high peaks.
    I hope this filter looks as good in 2018 as it did in the past few months.
    I would like to congratulate those who send these tips and if not ask too much would like to know your method of selection so I can study and not stay dependent, if not ask too much of course.
    So much for my contribution. When I have a more successful time I will see the points for days and bring such information here.

    The filter is: Runs with odd 8/1 or higher, being for the winner or E / W markets.

    PS: Sorry for my English pessimism.

  6. Hello sirs, congratulations on the statistics. I took your spreadsheet and made a filter on the statistics and found something really good.

    Selection Pattern:
    Odd of 8/1 or greater, type of bet: Winner or E / W

    Data: 08/01/2016 to 03/31/2018

    Total stakes: 4646
    Bets you win: 1383
    Hit rate: 29.76%
    Profit on a $ 20 stake: $ 29,132.54
    Points: 1,468,25

    It is only necessary to give a filtered month to month to know the lowest and highest points and thus make a decision on how many points it is necessary to have the bank to work in a "safe" and with a healthy mind.

    But I think it's the most cost-effective way to use the site's tips.
    Which, incidentally, are of great excellence.

    If someone did this job, please share it to see good management.

  7. Good afternoon, first of all congratulations for the beautiful system, I'm really fascinated. Still giving a studied (recently) and verified that the forecasts are much more successful when there is a difference greater than 10 for both the 4 avg and 2 avg situations, would this be a safe parameter for betting? Or would a greater difference in both be more reliable, for example, above 20 for 4 avg and 2 avg?
    Already grateful for the clarification,
    Regards,
    Artur.

×
×
  • Create New...