nkdz Posted April 5, 2010 Share Posted April 5, 2010 I plan to start with this system from the next season, of course if it will work in this paper trial. What is it all about? Let's say i start with €1000 on my Pinnacle account. I'll be taking only one bet in one day. Initial stake is 2% of total bankroll, what means €20. Every time i lose i'll increase stake for 20%, and every time i win i'll decrese stake for 20%. Scale should look like this: Bet 1: €20 Bet 2: €24 Bet 3: €28.8 Bet 4: €34.6 Bet 5: €41.5 Bet 6: €50 ................ ................ ................ Odds will be between 1.80 and 2.20, but not strictly, sometimes i'll take higher or lower odds so it's not a strict rule. When or if i increase or decrease total bankroll for 50% i'll readjust this scale and continue. In theory it looks promising, but those things usually say a lot more when you try them yourself. I just hope it won't be a waste of time. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted April 5, 2010 Share Posted April 5, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system Hi there, some comments I have. With €1000 and your staking system, if I'm not wrong, you would be able to last until Bet 13. However, your €1000 would be wiped out if you happen to run in a string of 13 consecutive losses. It is probably unlikely but I just thought I should point it out though. In my opinion (people might disagree), I think the point about increasing stakes (i.e. hoping to chase losses) is fine, BUT only if there is a maximum cap to it and it should not be too large as compared to the initial stake. For example, you can set your cap to be €50 and not go over it, i.e stay at €50 when you lose, but reduce when you win, thereafter it's back to normal. Since this season is still in progress, a paper trail would be good to see how it goes. Finally, good luck! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 5, 2010 Author Share Posted April 5, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system First of all, than you for your comment. Second of all i absolutely agree with you, i wont push it untill i lose. I wrote that scale will be readjusted when i go up or down by 50%. In that case i would set the new scale. I'm perfectly aware of the flaws which this system has, and that are long losing streaks, but on the other hand, if someone loses 13, or 15 or 20 consecutive bets at around 2.00.... You know. Again, thanks for your comment and hope to see more of such constructive posts. Cheers. :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 5, 2010 Author Share Posted April 5, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system 1) Starace to beat Luczak @ 1.79 €20 to win €15.8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 5, 2010 Author Share Posted April 5, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system Just to add screenshot of that match, officially it started 6 minutes earlier than i posted but real time was 5 minutes later. I was busy with writing that previous post. If that's a problem i'll remove it and post another bet. http://img693.imageshack.us/img693/5739/45580791.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted April 5, 2010 Share Posted April 5, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system Oops, miss out on the adjustment part. Must be the Monday blues.. :spank Anyway, congratulations on your first win! So I guess you are staking on all kinds of sports? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rob Posted April 5, 2010 Share Posted April 5, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system Out if interest, why the progressive staking instead of level stakes? Never understood why people use this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted April 5, 2010 Share Posted April 5, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system I know u very well from other forum "tipping forum", and i know how gud u're to pick winner even when u're have average month(December 2009)becos of that i will follow u wt keen interest.. Ride on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 5, 2010 Author Share Posted April 5, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system @ relf Yes, but mostly football. @ Rob You asked why progressive staking, why not flat? Well, basically i know how the things are going with level stakes, also with adjusted stakes 1-10, 1-5, 1-3 etc. so i wanted to see how this works. About this system, if i pick odds at 2.00 every time, and have about 50% strike rate i'll maximize my winnings by increasing stakes after every loss. Let's say i have WLLWWL using this scale, i would make profit of €8.80. Using level stakes i would "earn" €0. Of course, losing streaks are natural and they will come sooner or later but if i can win cca. 50% of all my bets, with odds at cca. 2.00, than i would probably earn more than using level stakes. @ lawalahmed Thank you mate, and i hope i wont dissapoint you. ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 5, 2010 Author Share Posted April 5, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system 1) Starace to beat Luczak @ 1.79 €20 to win €15.8 First one is a winner, so bank now stands at €1015.80. From now on i will post general stats every time i post a new selection. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RocknRolla Posted April 6, 2010 Share Posted April 6, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system Interesting to see how this works, bol mate :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 6, 2010 Author Share Posted April 6, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system No selections for today, i can't find anything worth of taking. :\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 7, 2010 Author Share Posted April 7, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system 2) Bayern (+0.5) against Man Utd. @ 2.11 €20 to win €22.20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 8, 2010 Author Share Posted April 8, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system 3) Benfica (+1) AH against Liverpool @ 1.88 :hope €24 to win €21.12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted April 8, 2010 Share Posted April 8, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system 3) Benfica (+1) AH against Liverpool @ 1.88 :hope €24 to win €21.12 Good luck. I think Liverpool will go out through away goals rule after winning 3-2. Evil me.. :spank Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 9, 2010 Author Share Posted April 9, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system 4) Over 2.5 in Gladbach vs Frankfurt @ 1.92 €28.80 to win €26.50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 10, 2010 Author Share Posted April 10, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system 5) Over 2.5 in Hertha vs Stuttgart @ 1.83 €34.6 to win €28.72 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 11, 2010 Author Share Posted April 11, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system Strike rate: 20% (1/5) Total stake: €127.40 Total return: €35.80 Profit/Loss: -€91.60 Yield: -- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 11, 2010 Author Share Posted April 11, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system Poor start but as soon as we reach cca 50% strike rate we'll get the results. ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 11, 2010 Author Share Posted April 11, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system 6) Over 2.5 in Athletic vs Almeria €41.50 @ 2.05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted April 11, 2010 Share Posted April 11, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system I know u'll catch it, ride on... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 11, 2010 Author Share Posted April 11, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system Sure i will, it's only a matter of time. :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted April 11, 2010 Share Posted April 11, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system I know u wil catch it, Ride on.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted April 11, 2010 Share Posted April 11, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system Welcome back friend, 67mins 4-0.... Ride on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 12, 2010 Author Share Posted April 12, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system 7) Arsenal de Sarandi (+0.5) €34.60 @ 1.94 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted April 13, 2010 Share Posted April 13, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system One thing is not consistence here, time of posting pick! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 14, 2010 Author Share Posted April 14, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system 8) Karlovac (+0.5) €41.50 @ 2.17 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 14, 2010 Author Share Posted April 14, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system Last bet is from Croatian HNL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 15, 2010 Author Share Posted April 15, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system 9) Berdych v Verdasco Over 23 @ 1.82 :hope Stake: €50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted April 15, 2010 Author Share Posted April 15, 2010 Re: Progressive staking - very selective system 10) Valencia v Athletic over 3 @ 2.22 :hope Stake: €41.50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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