Champions League 24th of February

[heniek31]

Wednesday 24 February 2010	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
	CSKA Moscow v Sevilla (17:30 GMT)	3	3.35	2.62	101.35 %
	Internazionale v Chelsea (19:45 GMT)	2.78	3.3	2.9	100.76 %

[Mustafa]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February I know that I have been talking about Eti'o to score in previous games and think now he will do it. He was just unlucky against Sampdoria ad odds on Eto'o to score are really good @ 2.20. However considering how Inter struggles against English teams a 0-0 draw is the most likely scenario, even though I hope it won't happen and Inter will win :)

[ultravires]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February I agree and don't think that there will be many goals at all. I quite like the look of a 0-0. Two pretty solid defences and quite physical players. If Inter could keep a clean sheet I think they will be more than happy.

[Mustafa]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February

I agree and don't think that there will be many goals at all. I quite like the look of a 0-0. Two pretty solid defences and quite physical players. If Inter could keep a clean sheet I think they will be more than happy.

They can keep a clean sheet. I just remember games Inter had in the past years against top sides which ended 0-0. Inter - Man. United, Inter - Barcelona. Odds are @ 2.60 for either Inter or Chelsea to keep a clean sheet, and @ 8.00 for 0-0.

[Scotlandspunter]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February Hello gents, One bet I am looking into this Wednesday .. Inter Milan V Chelsea - Under 1.5 goals @ 2.8 (Batfair) Here we have a game between two of Europe's elite clubs. Inter Milan are a good side, despite their lack of European success in recent seasons, the have now a man in place Jose Mourinho who knows how to deliver European success, having done it at Porto and been close with his opposition on Wednesday. Inter will be very wary about losing an away goal on Wednesday night, simply for the fact they know that Chelsea have the ability to keep them out at the Bridge in the second leg. I think Jose will be looking to keep it tight at the back first and foremost, but he will also be eager to score on home soil and take a lead to England. This tie is between two fairly physical sides, there will be battles all over the pitch, it will be alot more physical than a game between say Barcelona and Arsenal. For this reason I cannot see many goals at all in the first leg, perhaps a 1-0 either way, but cannot see too much being risked or won in Italy on Wednesday night. Dont normally like backing unders, but on this occassion I will go with the Under 1.5 goals @ 2.8 with Betfair :ok:ok Good luck everyone :hope:hope

[xaralas]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February Ι can understand the expectation of a low-scoring affair in the Inter vs Chelsea game, however you should take into account the unpredictability factor in a game between so many players that are able for unpredictable actions in the game, plus if Chelsea scores first, then we should see another game and this could be closer to 1-1 or 0-2 or a more surprising scoreline since Inter will have to take up big risks. Bets with value: "Draw at halftime" and "1st goal to be scored after the 29th minute".

[Spannar]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February I will go against the grain here gents and although i havn't checked the odds yet i'm including over 3.5 goals in the Chelsea game , it should be over 3/1 at least. My reasoning is that i havn't been impressed by either defence recently and these teams can score a few beween them . When i look back at previous Inter results at home only the 0-0 against Barcelona was an exception to the general goalfest rule and that may be a result of the Catalans taking 5 mins and 100 passes to move the ball from defence to attack - Chelsea are more direct. I don't really class Inter as a defensive team anymore and i would expect to see Drogba get the better of the likes of Lucio who is better going forward than he is marking big target men. I would also hope to see Inter expose Chelsea's attempts at defending set pieces . Hoping that there are many free kicks and many corners as i am convinced that this will lead to many goals and although this bet is my personal preference i would certainly not recomend it as a banker to anyone as it is way too risky for that!

[Papa Lazarou]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February I watched Internationale on Saturday match Sampdoria with 9 men and think that they will carry the game to Chelsea at home. Mourinho is one of the best motivators in the game and I can't think of a tie which he would be more up for than this one. Eto should have scored at least one goal (though only Samp know why they choose to attack in the way they did) in their last game. On the same day, Chelsea escaped another away flop due to some poor judgement from the officials and poor finishing by relegation candidates, Wolves. Internationale 1 @ 2.78

[Mozzi]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February

They can keep a clean sheet. I just remember games Inter had in the past years against top sides which ended 0-0. Inter - Man. United' date=' Inter - Barcelona. Odds are [b']@ 2.60 for either Inter or Chelsea to keep a clean sheet, and @ 8.00 for 0-0.

Whereas that statistic is accurate, I think it's worthwhile to point out that Inter got battered in both games and it took some heroics from Julio Cesar to keep both sides out, particularly in the game against Manchester United.

[nicko]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February

Inter Milan V Chelsea - Under 1.5 goals @ 2.8 (Batfair) Here we have a game between two of Europe's elite clubs...

No bad feelings, and good post, but I have to give myself a moment of self-indulgence - the only place where Inter is among Europe's Elite is in that megalomaniac's brain of their President. Italy's Elite - yes, but let's face it - Jose M has done no more than Mancini did before him - the title at home and not even close to the Final in CL. For the record - even Leverkusen were there few years ago, and with a bit of luck could have won it...when saying luck I mean take Zidane out :lol Can they possibly do it this year? Well, Bursa just turned the game in Istanbul in the last 5 mins, beating Fener 3-2, why not...Then, and only then I would rate them elite, unless we count the 60's... Scotlandpunter - this one is not against your bet or you, it is against Inter and all people who rated them higher than they deserved in recent years in CL. If JM doesn't get a Final this season, who will the Inter President hire next as Manager? I guess a top Member of the Chinese Triads :ok With the world going for the Under, the Over 2,5 Goals becomes very tasty - currently 2,48 at bet365, Over 2 is now 1,805 - just a bit more up and I will go for it - 2-0, 0-2, 1-1 - none of these results looks THAT unlikely...IN-PLAY doesn't tempt me here, rather watch and go for the other game.

[xaralas]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February

Whereas that statistic is accurate' date=' I think it's worthwhile to point out that Inter got battered in both games and it took some heroics from Julio Cesar to keep both sides out, particularly in the game against Manchester United.[/quote'] 0-0 of this season vs Barca has got to be the most entertaining, packed with scoring chances, 0-0 game I have ever seen in my life. Totally undeserved draw for Inter, of course.

[Mustafa]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February

Whereas that statistic is accurate' date=' I think it's worthwhile to point out that Inter got battered in both games and it took some heroics from Julio Cesar to keep both sides out, particularly in the game against Manchester United.[/quote'] And Julio Cesar can do it this time again and with Chech in Chelsea goal 0-0 is a very probable outcome.

[80percenter]

Re: Champions League 24th of February Let's put our brains together on this one ! VfB Stuttgart v Barcelona Olympiacos v Bordeaux What are your predictions? I'm thinking Stuttgart and Barcelona OVER game. I will bet when it drops to 2 balls... it's 2.5 Now. Still deciding for Olympiacos v Bordeaux...[url=http://www.ft3388.net/_bet/panel.aspx?b=away&oId=2154292&odds=7.35]

[Rob the I ty]

Re: Champions League 24th of February Inter AH(0) @1.85 Inter are different from their previous teams as they aren't focusing so much of their attention on funneling their play towards Ibra. Inter have had a couple of draws in Serie A, but they still outplayed a good Samp squad with 9 men. Chelsea were unimpressive vs Wolves where Cech was heroic. Not sure about CSKA though I would lean towards them vs Sevilla.

[james.perkins]

Re: Champions League 24th of February I can't see many goals to be scored in Inter - Chelsea, so I would go for an under 2.5 bet, maybe Inter winning on a single goal diffrence. Inter - Chelsea under 2.5 goals In the other game CSKA Moscow - Sevilla things can go any way around but CSKA is in the season break and Sevilla should mount themselves to victory. CSKA Moscow - Sevilla 2

[Jase82]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February

No bad feelings' date=' and good post, but I have to give myself a moment of self-indulgence - [b']the only place where Inter is among Europe's Elite is in that megalomaniac's brain of their President. Italy's Elite - yes, but let's face it - Jose M has done no more than Mancini did before him - the title at home and not even close to the Final in CL. For the record - even Leverkusen were there few years ago, and with a bit of luck could have won it...when saying luck I mean take Zidane out :lol Can they possibly do it this year? Well, Bursa just turned the game in Istanbul in the last 5 mins, beating Fener 3-2, why not...Then, and only then I would rate them elite, unless we count the 60's... Scotlandpunter - this one is not against your bet or you, it is against Inter and all people who rated them higher than they deserved in recent years in CL. If JM doesn't get a Final this season, who will the Inter President hire next as Manager? I guess a top Member of the Chinese Triads :ok With the world going for the Under, the Over 2,5 Goals becomes very tasty - currently 2,48 at bet365, Over 2 is now 1,805 - just a bit more up and I will go for it - 2-0, 0-2, 1-1 - none of these results looks THAT unlikely...IN-PLAY doesn't tempt me here, rather watch and go for the other game.

I like your thinking, as always..... Inter as the home side will know they need to take home advantage back to the Bridge, which could leave them open at the back. I don't think either defences have been water tight this season, so I don't see where the sure fire reasoning for under 2.5 goals come from. The snowball effect maybe? Under 2.5 goals @ 1.61???? If you think it's going to be a tight game, I would much prefer to take ScotlandPunters bet @ under 1.5 goals. Betting on first legs is always a minefield anyway. Best to bet in play, or wait until the second leg to see how the tie unfolds.

[nicko]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February

I like your thinking, as always..... Inter as the home side will know they need to take home advantage back to the Bridge, which could leave them open at the back. I don't think either defences have been water tight this season, so I don't see where the sure fire reasoning for under 2.5 goals come from. The snowball effect maybe? Under 2.5 goals @ 1.61???? If you think it's going to be a tight game, I would much prefer to take ScotlandPunters bet @ under 1.5 goals. Betting on first legs is always a minefield anyway. Best to bet in play, or wait until the second leg to see how the tie unfolds.

ScotlandPunter is going the right way IMO - the Under is unacceptably low, so he goes for higher odds and Under 1,5. In this line of thoughts Blackcrow also picks right for tonight - the low odds for the Over in Stuttgart makes him go for Over 3,5 Goals and it makes sense in terms of odds... What I don't know is if both guys lower their stakes going for bets by far riskier, but the picking is justified by the odds IMO. Not to mention the stats allthethings posted about the last Bordeaux Away Games - in view of the odds for the Over in Athens they make more than just a little difference... Often the difference that makes one game go Over or Under can be a simple GK mistake, a magic Free Kick from 30 meters, or even a throw-in taken the wrong way. Xaralas points right - the main thing/person that made that game between Inter and Barca 0-0 was yet another fantastic performance by Julio Cesar... In short - I have never seen so little posts about a CL round here, but the % of the ones that make sense is higher than usual - I am happy I popped in here again tonight...I am even considering some further bets, in CL, on top of Man Utd, Stuttgart, Scunthorpe and a few games in the lower Leagues in England...which, apart from Stuttgart I won't post, because I am the Jinx of the Century :lol GL

[MrMal]

Re: Champions League 24th of February CSKA v Seville I am not sure what to expect from the home side this being their off season. They only came 5th in their league last season so won't be back in CL come next sept. Their coach is quoted on the CL site - "play aggressively and push for victory". If true then I think that could be the wrong tactic versus Seville but a good one for the Overs. Seville are just back from the warmer climes of the Balearic's where they took the home side's unbeaten record away. If you look at Seville's recent away form you would not put your money on them - 2 wins and 3 losses (and only 1 clean sheet since their winter break at the start of Dec). The more startling fact is their disciplinary record in the last 2 away matches - 4 players sent off. Negredo twice! Not good for confidence in any betting result as another red could swing the game. Because of the above I will swerve the 1X2 and go with Both Teams to Score - CSKA will push but allow Seville to counter which will hopefully mean both scoring. Both Teams to Score @ 5/6 PP (6/10) - Not great odds but hopefully safe odds! And a small punt on the Over 2.5 @ 6/5 PP (4/10)

[Toronto_Mike]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February

And Julio Cesar can do it this time again and with Chech in Chelsea goal 0-0 is a very probable outcome.

Hate to break it to you but Brasilian press are stating he is not playing tomorrow

[Toronto_Mike]

Re: Champions League 24th of February If this game is based on defense then I would be all over Chelsea 0. They have a much more sound defensive partnership then Inter. Midfield wise, I'm going to give Chelsea the nod here. Essien will not feature but Mikel will cover, however, Zanetti will be forced to play left back and he will be exposed there. but then again, with no Ashley Cole, Bosingwa, Ancelotti will have to rely on Belletti or Ivanovic. Julio Cesar is not expected to play tomorrow but this is based on Brasilian press, after he had a car accident that damaged his face. The Italian press are not happy with Inter especially Mourinho. Over the weekend Mourinho got banned due to his handcuff symbol and his defense looked shot with the cards received. Inter's defense is big and clumsy they rely too much on the mid and quite frankly do not play with enough competition in the Serie A to really challenge them. Ancelotti is returning to his old stomping grounds and you can bet your ass that he would love to come in and win, as would plenty of Italians so they could see Mourinho shut up. Inter's attack is still mediocore, they have class strikers but lack creativity outside of Sneijder who isn't even the most creative team. One problem Inter has is playing against a team t hat locks down the midfield. Inter loves playing against teams that are always leaving open space because that is where they counter, however, Chelsea will probably play 4-4-1-1 or 4-5-1 and just play possesion football, something Inter is rather poor at because they get stuck due to the lack of creative skills. this will be a tight game but the pressure is on Inter, if they cannot get a result here, they are doomed at stamford bridge. A 1-1 result for chelsea would be ideal but I think 1-0 Chelsea would be the dagger.

[AJ]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February

I know that I have been talking about Eti'o to score in previous games and think now he will do it. He was just unlucky against Sampdoria ad odds on Eto'o to score are really good @ 2.20. However considering how Inter struggles against English teams a 0-0 draw is the most likely scenario' date= even though I hope it won't happen and Inter will win :)

2.2 odds imply a 45% chance he will score. He has played 27 games and scored 10 goals. If we assume it's one goal per game then we can say it's an average of .35 goals per game or a 35% chance he'll score in any given game. If we assume that this game was as hard for him to score as the average of his previous games then we'd need odds of 2.8 to make it even value. I'm prepared to suggest that Chelseas defence is much harder to score against than the average of the mostly italian teams he's faced so far, with that in mind I'd suggest that this bet shouldn't be touch at anything below 3.5. Can you please expalin why you think the odds on him scoring @ 2.2 are really good when the maths would suggest that they are utterly awful ??

[AJ]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February

I know that I have been talking about Eti'o to score in previous games and think now he will do it. He was just unlucky against Sampdoria ad odds on Eto'o to score are really good @ 2.20. However considering how Inter struggles against English teams a 0-0 draw is the most likely scenario' date= even though I hope it won't happen and Inter will win :)

ps Eto is 3.35 to score on Betfair :ok

[AntoNescU]

Re: Champions League 24th of February Sport Football (Euro Cups) Event Cska Moscow vs Sevilla Selection Both Teams To Score Strength 10/10 Date 24/02/2010 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 1.83 (Back) Reasoning Here I expect a good match.Cska Moscow not played an official match from 9th December 2009,with Besiktas away in Champions League,Cska winning with 2-1.This fact can be an advantage for hosts,they being the more rested team,but can be and an disadvantage, without having official matches in last 2 months.However,I guess the hosts will score tonight,is the one chance for to have some hopes for qualify.Sevilla Like show signs of recovery,winning last stage in Primera away with Mallorca,score 3-1.The guests have a dtrong attack with Kanoute and Negredo,but also and the hosts we can say have a solid offensive ,with Necid and Krasic.Probably Sevilla will be satisfied with a draw,while the hosts will try the victory.In this conditions,I believe the best choice here can be that both teams will score in this meeting.

[waynecoyne]

Re: Champions League 24th of February the front 3 that finished against mallorca was perrotti fabiano and navas which isn't two shabby, kanoute seems to be more of a peripheral figure now being used sparingly due to his fragility. Negredo's form has picked up recently and he has started scoring but fabiano should start.

[waynecoyne]

Re: Champions League 24th of February bbc site says fabiano injured

[Mustafa]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February

ps Eto is 3.35 to score on Betfair :ok

I don't think Betfair accepts Credit/Debit Cards from my country, as most ther betting sites, plus some of the charge a fee for deposit as well as withdrawals from abroad. That's why I have only one account with William Hill. To be honest @ 3.35 looks really good and I'm surprised why it is lower at William Hill. But they do have Eto'o First Goalscorere @ 5.50. By the way I did not use the math to calculate the odds as you do/ It was just based on the fact the Eto'o hasn't scored in a while and he might score in this one in my opinion. Still haven't decided what to pick in this one. Will wait and see other posts and then will make my decision.

[AntoNescU]

Re: Champions League 24th of February Sport Football (Euro Cups) Event Inter vs Chelsea Selection First Goal Will Be Scored After 29th Minute Strength 10/10 Date 24/02/2010 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 2.00 (Back) Reasoning Last 2 matches in Serie A,Inter obtained only a draw home with Sampdoria,score 0-0 and again draw away with Napoli,the same socre 0-0.So,we can see Inter seems to have something problems to score last time.Tonight certainly the coach Mourinho will make a team more defensive than offensive.Is a very important match and I guess the coach from Inter will play on counterattack.Is possible the same tactic to be used and by Ancelotti,Chelsea being satisfied with a draw here.I think this meeting can be decided by one goal,but this will be scored ,in my opinion,maybe in second half,in first part this teams will not risk nothing,the game will be played more at midfield.I expect a draw after first half,so I pick that first goal(if will be any goal),will be scored after 29th minute.

[Spartak]

Re: Champoins League 24th of February

I don't think Betfair accepts Credit/Debit Cards from my country, as most ther betting sites, plus some of the charge a fee for deposit as well as withdrawals from abroad. That's why I have only one account with William Hill. To be honest @ 3.35 looks really good and I'm surprised why it is lower at William Hill. But they do have Eto'o First Goalscorere @ 5.50. By the way I did not use the math to calculate the odds as you do/ It was just based on the fact the Eto'o hasn't scored in a while and he might score in this one in my opinion. Still haven't decided what to pick in this one. Will wait and see other posts and then will make my decision.

I am quite surprised to here this. Betfair is worth to try as there you can find most competitive odds. And such boоkies as WH, Bwin, etc. just making money from us. Reporting about weather conditions in Moscow: Local time °C 00:00 -5.6 03:00 -4.4 06:00 -2.7 09:00 -0.9 Forecast for evening about 0 °C with little snow/rain.

[fkiely]

Re: Champions League 24th of February CSKA - Seville Have watched both of these teams quite a bit recently and have actually been more impressed with the home side, albeit in their freindly games. I think they should have enough to secure a result here tonight against a Seville team without Capel and Luis Fabiano. The break might mean a bit of rustiness and with a relatively poor defense it wouldn't surprise me to see Seville get an away goal either. CSKA @ 9/5 Both teams to score @ evens Inter - Chelsea It's vital not to underestimate how much this means to both managers. I can see the tie being decided in the return leg but Jose will certainly want to get something out of this one and get one over his old employers. With Chelsea's issues at left back, I can see the home side scraping this one. Tight game mind. Inter @ 7/4

[thebambers]

Re: Champions League 24th of February

CSKA - Seville Have watched both of these teams quite a bit recently and have actually been more impressed with the home side, albeit in their freindly games. I think they should have enough to secure a result here tonight against a Seville team without Capel and Luis Fabiano. The break might mean a bit of rustiness and with a relatively poor defense it wouldn't surprise me to see Seville get an away goal either. CSKA @ 9/5 Both teams to score @ evens Inter - Chelsea It's vital not to underestimate how much this means to both managers. I can see the tie being decided in the return leg but Jose will certainly want to get something out of this one and get one over his old employers. With Chelsea's issues at left back, I can see the home side scraping this one. Tight game mind. Inter @ 7/4

I can see goals in the CSKA and Seville game as well. CSKA will see the home leg as being extremely important and will go for goals and Seville will fancy their chances at home especially if they grab an away goal. Have also backed both teams to score so good luck to us both :hope