Denman Posted February 5, 2010 Share Posted February 5, 2010 As the title says I love football, but unfornatley I've never had much success betting wise in the sports. Hopefully I'll be able to change that around with this Glory Hunt. It shall be almost Premiership selecitons only but they'll be the odd selection from other competitions. Selecitons are based on form and statistics as well as quite a bit of emphasis on previous match performance, I watch quite a lot of football which should be an advatage when it comes to betting. In terms of the odds I'm going to aim for selections around the even mark, but that's by no means a strict rule if I see anything at shorter of longer odds that I tihnk will be good value. But I do aim to have the average odds taken at around the even mark which means i'll need above a 50% strike rate to produce a profit Since I've done rather bad betting on football before I'm going to take it easy and go with £2 level stakes staking plan and take it from there. Selections for tommorrow's games will be up soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 5, 2010 Author Share Posted February 5, 2010 Re: I Love Football Posted my reasonings in the Premiership fixtures thread if anyone's interested. Liverpool v Everton - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 Bolton v Fulham - Home Win @ 2.25 Burnley v West Ham - West Ham AH (0) @ 2.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 6, 2010 Author Share Posted February 6, 2010 Re: I Love Football Liverpool v Everton - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 Final Score 1-0 +£1.60 Bolton v Fulham - Home Win @ 2.25 Final Score 0-0 -£2.00 Burnley v West Ham - West Ham AH (0) @ 2.04 Final Score 2-1 -£2.00 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): (£2.40) Bets 3, Wins 1, Lost 2 Strike Rate: 33.33% ------------------------------------------------- Not a great start but feel I was somewhat unlucky in some of my picks, West Ham played well and probably deserved a point at the least whilst Bolton apparentley had a perfectly good goal ruled out. Not to worry only early days yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 6, 2010 Author Share Posted February 6, 2010 Re: I Love Football Birmingham v Wolves - Wolves (+0.75) @ 1.77 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted February 6, 2010 Share Posted February 6, 2010 Re: I Love Football Good luck! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 7, 2010 Author Share Posted February 7, 2010 Re: I Love Football Thanks Hooloovoo :ok Good job I took the extra insurance on the handicap for Wolves, They really did throw away the game after being 1-0 up. Birmingham v Wolves - Wolves (+0.75) @ 1.77 Final Score: 2-1 -£1.00 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): (£3.40) Bets 4, Wins 1, Lost 3 Strike Rate: 25.00% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 8, 2010 Author Share Posted February 8, 2010 Re: I Love Football Portsmouth v Sunderland Sunderland (+0.25) @ 1.88 Wigan v Stoke City Home Win @ 2.25 Under 2.5 goals @ 1.67 Man City v Bolton Man City (-1) @ 1.71 Over 2.5 goals @ 1.81 Fulham v Burnley Home Win @ 1.80 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 9, 2010 Author Share Posted February 9, 2010 Re: I Love Football Results Portsmouth v Sunderland 1-1 Sunderland (+0.25) @ 1.88 +£0.88 Wigan v Stoke City 1-1 Home Win @ 2.25 -£2.00 Under 2.5 goals @ 1.67 +£1.33 Man City v Bolton 2-0 Man City (-1) @ 1.71 +£1.35 Over 2.5 goals @ 1.81 -£2.00 Fulham v Burnley 3-0 Home Win @ 1.80 +£1.52 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): (£2.32) Bets 10, Wins 5, Lost 5 Strike Rate: 50.00% ------------------------------------------------- Managed to make a small profit from tonight's fixtures, which is a step in the right direction at least. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 9, 2010 Author Share Posted February 9, 2010 Re: I Love Football Arsenal v Liverpool - Home Win @ 2.10 West Ham v Birmingham - Home Win @ 2.30 Wolves v Tottenham - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.88 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowles10 Posted February 10, 2010 Share Posted February 10, 2010 Re: I Love Football Arsenal v Liverpool - Home Win @ 2.10 West Ham v Birmingham - Home Win @ 2.30 Wolves v Tottenham - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.88 well done,3 up tonight:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 11, 2010 Author Share Posted February 11, 2010 Re: I Love Football well done' date='3 up tonight:clap[/quote'] Thanks bowles, only the three selections but can't grumble at a full house. Sends me into profitable waters for the first time. :) Arsenal v Liverpool - Home Win @ 2.10 Result: 1-0 +£2.20 West Ham v Birmingham - Home Win @ 2.30 Result: 2-0 +£2.60 Wolves v Tottenham - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.88 Result: 1-0 +£1.67 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): +£4.14 Bets 13, Wins 8, Lost 5 Strike Rate: 61.54% Total Staked: £26.00 Total Returned: £30.14 Yield: +15.96% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jazzmorris Posted February 11, 2010 Share Posted February 11, 2010 Re: I Love Football Thanks bowles, only the three selections but can't grumble at a full house. Sends me into profitable waters for the first time. :) Arsenal v Liverpool - Home Win @ 2.10 Result: 1-0 +£2.20 West Ham v Birmingham - Home Win @ 2.30 Result: 2-0 +£2.60 Wolves v Tottenham - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.88 Result: 1-0 +£1.67 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): +£4.14 Bets 13, Wins 8, Lost 5 Strike Rate: 61.54% Total Staked: £26.00 Total Returned: £30.14 Yield: +15.96% Always good to be in profit my friend :beer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 12, 2010 Author Share Posted February 12, 2010 Re: I Love Football It is indeed Jazz. :ok Just posting to say no bets this weekend, I'll stay clear of the FA Cup and it's shocks thank you very much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 15, 2010 Author Share Posted February 15, 2010 Re: I Love Football Man City v Stoke City Stoke City (+0.25) @ 1.90 Lyon v Real Madrid Real Madrid to win @ 2.15 Over 2.5 goals @ 2.12 Also check out my new blog for a full explanation and reasoning behind each bet: http://denmanbetting.blogspot.com/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 16, 2010 Author Share Posted February 16, 2010 Re: I Love Football Stoke managed a point with ten men, whilst Madrid had a lot of the ball but couldn't find a goal in Lyon. Man City v Stoke City - Result: 1-1 Stoke City (+0.25) @ 1.90 +£0.90 Lyon v Real Madrid Real Madrid to win @ 2.15 -£2.00 Over 2.5 goals @ 2.12 -£2.00 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): +£1.05 Bets 16, Wins 9, Lost 7 Strike Rate: 61.54% Total Staked: £32.00 Total Returned: £33.05 Yield: +3.28% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 17, 2010 Author Share Posted February 17, 2010 Re: I Love Football Wigan v Bolton Bolton (+0.25) @ 1.98 Under 2.5 goals @ 1.81 FC Porto v Arsenal Back Arsenal (0) @ 2.13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 17, 2010 Author Share Posted February 17, 2010 Re: I Love Football Arsenal should really have got a draw at least out of the Porto game but fell foul to two freak goals, suppose that's football sometimes though. Elsewhere my picks in the Wigan/Bolton game proved profitable which means I'm slightly up on the night. Wigan v Bolton - Result 0-0 Bolton (+0.25) @ 1.98 +£0.98 Under 2.5 goals @ 1.81 +£1.54 FC Porto v Arsenal - Result 2-1 Back Arsenal (0) @ 2.13 -£2.00 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): +£1.57 Bets 19, Wins 11, Lost 9 Strike Rate: 57.89% Total Staked: £38.00 Total Returned: £39.57 Yield: +4.13% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 19, 2010 Author Share Posted February 19, 2010 Re: I Love Football Everton v Man Utd Under 2.5 goals @ 1.85 West Ham v Hull City West Ham (-0.75) @ 2.00 Portsmouth v Stoke City Draw @ 3.30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 20, 2010 Author Share Posted February 20, 2010 Re: I Love Football Got the Everton/United game very wrong whilst an injury time winner messed up my draw bet in the Pompey/Stoke game. At least I got the West Ham pick right. Everton v Man Utd - Result: 3-1 Under 2.5 goals @ 1.85 -£2.00 West Ham v Hull City Result: 3-0 West Ham (-0.75) @ 2.00 +£2.00 Portsmouth v Stoke City Result: 1-2 Draw @ 3.30 -£2.00 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): (£0.43) Bets 22, Wins 12, Lost 10 Strike Rate: 54.55% Total Staked: £48.00 Total Returned: £47.57 Yield: -0.90% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 20, 2010 Author Share Posted February 20, 2010 Re: I Love Football Fulham v Birmingham Fulham @ 2.10 Wigan Athletic v Tottenham Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 Wigan DNB @ 2.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 21, 2010 Author Share Posted February 21, 2010 Re: I Love Football Fulham v Birmingham - Result: 2-1 :D Fulham @ 2.10 +£2.10 Wigan Athletic v Tottenham - Result 0-3 :$ Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 -£2.00 Wigan DNB @ 2.75 -£2.00 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): (£2.23) Bets 25, Wins 13, Lost 12 Strike Rate: 52.00% Total Staked: £50.00 Total Returned: £47.77 Yield: -4.46% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 22, 2010 Author Share Posted February 22, 2010 Re: I Love Football Stuttgart v Barcelona Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 Barcelona (-0.75) @ 1.88 Olympiakos v Bordeaux Olympiakos (+0) @ 2.1 Man Utd v West Ham West Ham (+2) @ 1.80 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 26, 2010 Author Share Posted February 26, 2010 Re: I Love Football Stuttgart v Barcelona (1-1) Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 -£2.00 :$ Barcelona (-0.75) @ 1.88 -£2.00 :$ Olympiakos v Bordeaux (0-1) Olympiakos (+0) @ 2.1 -£2.00 :$ Man Utd v West Ham (3-0) West Ham (+2) @ 1.80 -£2.00 :$ ------------------------------------------------- Very poor this midweek, hopefully I'll do better this weekend full update on my progress after this weekend. Birmingham Vs Wigan Over 2.5 goals @ 2.44 Bolton v Wolves Home Win @ 2.10 Under 2.5 goals @ 1.88 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 28, 2010 Author Share Posted February 28, 2010 Re: I Love Football Small profit for today but still in overall loss, no bets tommorrow don't fancy anything. Birmingham Vs Wigan (1-0) Over 2.5 goals @ 2.44 -£2.00 Bolton v Wolves (1-0) Home Win @ 2.10 +£2.09 Under 2.5 goals @ 1.88 +£1.63 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): (£8.51) Bets 32, Wins 19, Lost 13 Avg. Odds: 2.04 Total Staked: £64.00 Total Returned: £55.49 Yield: -13.30% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted March 5, 2010 Author Share Posted March 5, 2010 Re: I Love Football Arsenal v Burnley Arsenal to win both halves @ 2.00 Cesc Fabregas Anytime Goalscorer @ 2.38 Total Goal Line: Over 3 goals @ 2.00 West Ham v Bolton Total Goal Line: Over 2 goals @ 2.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted March 7, 2010 Author Share Posted March 7, 2010 Re: I Love Football A full house takes me back into profit :D Arsenal v Burnley(3-1) Arsenal to win both halves @ 2.00 +£2.00 Cesc Fabregas Anytime Goalscorer @ 2.38 +£2.76 Total Goal Line: Over 3 goals @ 2.00 +£2.00 West Ham v Bolton (1-2) Total Goal Line: Over 2 goals @ 2.00 +£2.00 Portsmouth v Birmingham (2-0) Portsmouth (+0) @ 1.92 +£1.84 I'll fully update with the running totals after the next two games below. ------------------------------------------------- Everton v Hull Everton @ 1.40 Wigan v Liverpool Liverpool to win to nill @ 2.60 Under 2.5 goals @ 1.78 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
01087924 Posted March 7, 2010 Share Posted March 7, 2010 Re: I Love Football well done mate. i've liked the basis of your selections. hopefully over a period of time it'll reap the rewards. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted March 8, 2010 Author Share Posted March 8, 2010 Re: I Love Football well done mate. i've liked the basis of your selections. hopefully over a period of time it'll reap the rewards. :ok Thanks mate that's the main aim of mine, profit over a sustained period of time. Had a very good weekend of results this weekend but it's the long-term I'm more focused on always a confidence booster to have a good weekend though. Everton v Hull (5-1) Everton @ 1.40 +£0.80 Wigan v Liverpool (1-0) Liverpool to win to nill @ 2.60 -£2.00 Under 2.5 goals @ 1.78 +£1.48 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): £2.37 Bets 40, Wins 26, Lost 14 Avg. Odds: 2.03 Total Staked: £80.00 Total Returned: £82.37 Yield: +2.96% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted March 9, 2010 Author Share Posted March 9, 2010 Re: I Love Football Sunderland v Bolton Sunderland @ 2.16 Darren Bent Anytime goalscorer @ 2.74 (Half Stake £1) Kenwyne Jones Anytime goalscorer @ 3.15 (Half Stake £1) Arsenal v FC Porto Arsenal @ 1.67 Real Madrid v Lyon Real Madrid to qualify @ 1.62 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted March 10, 2010 Author Share Posted March 10, 2010 Re: I Love Football A profitable midweek, with Real Madrid the only ones to let me down. Sunderland v Bolton (4-0 incl. Bent hat-trick!) Sunderland @ 2.16 +£2.21 Darren Bent Anytime goalscorer @ 2.74 (Half Stake £1) +£2.65 Kenwyne Jones Anytime goalscorer @ 3.15 (Half Stake £1) -£1.00 Arsenal v FC Porto (5-0) Arsenal @ 1.67 +£1.34 Real Madrid v Lyon Real Madrid to qualify @ 1.62 -£2.00 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): £5.57 Bets 45, Wins 29, Lost 16 Avg. Odds: 2.06 Total Staked: £88.00 Total Returned: £93.57 Yield: +6.33% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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