dannkez2407 Posted December 15, 2009 Author Share Posted December 15, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system CATTERICK 12:20 AMIR PASHA 7/1...1st...+108...+24 13:50 YOUNGS TOWN 7/2...1st....+52....+12 15:20 SHEEPCLOSE 9/2...nowhere....-10...-10 CORK 13:45 MORNING SUPREME 8/15....1st....+3.4....+0.8 15:15 INSTINCTIVE 11/4...nowhere...-10...-10 15:45 AUSPICIOUS OUTLOOK 7/1....nowhere...-10...-10 FOLKESTONE - meeting abandoned SOUTHWELL 15:10 KIPCHAK 8/1...3rd...-10....+15.1 To Win Total Stake = 1400 Profit = +355.4 Yield = 25.39% strike rate of 1st's = 43/140 = 30.71% Placed Total Stake = 1400 Profit = +177.9 Yield = 12.71% Staking Plan Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 29.94 Total Bank - 786.14 Total Profit - 586.14 Next day points per bet - 39.31 Staking Plan with bets divider Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 29.94 Total Bank - 692.70 Total Profit - 492.70 Next day points per bet - 34.64 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 16, 2009 Author Share Posted December 16, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system TODAYS SELECTIONS BANGOR 13:10 BERWICK LAW 11/8 (10)(39.31)(34.64) 13:45 PEDDLERS CROSS 7/4 (10)(39.31)(34.64) 14:55 FRENCH LEAVE 9/4 (10)(39.31)(34.64) 15:30 WILLIE HALL 7/2 (10)(39.31)(34.64) KEMPTON 20:20 BLACK DAHLIA 10/1 (10)(39.31)(13.86) 20:50 MUSTAKMIL 11/2 (10)(39.31)(20.78) LINGFIELD 12:00 THOUGHTSOFSTARDOM 5/1 (10)(39.31)(20.78) 14:45 BEE STINGER 5/2 (10)(39.31)(34.64) 15:20 SIRCOZY 11/8 (10)(39.31)(34.64) NEWBURY 12:20 ROUGHAM 4/1 (10)(39.31)(34.64) 13:25 OSCAR WHISKY EVS (10)(39.31)(34.64) 14:35 FORTIFICATION 7/2 (10)(39.31)(34.64) 15:10 THE GIANT BOLSTER (10)(39.31)(13.86) 15:40 RISAALA 9/2 (10)(39.31)(20.78) :hope:hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 16, 2009 Author Share Posted December 16, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system ok so before i give todays results, thought id mention that i have added the strike rate for this system, which currently stands at around 30% for first place results. what is extroadinary aswell is that its very consistent throughout the 150 or so selections ive posted so far. on days where there isnt an average of 30% and its fairly low, what quickly follows is days that are a lot higher. also when i get high days, low ones quickly follow suit, so all in all it remains very consistent at 30%. now 30% coincidentally falls in line with the amount of favourites that win races these days so i looked deeper at the odds of the winners. seems that the 30% of winners is mostly made up of first or 2nd faves which keeps the value at break even but then every now and then a big priced winner comes in and thats what seems to boost the bank for another period before the next big priced winner. all in all i think what im saying is that this really does have potential. having said that i will still wait til the 200 selection mark before i decide to back with my own money. but what i am going to do is drop the place results now as i see more value in the win bets. BANGOR 13:10 BERWICK LAW 11/8..3rd....-10...-39.31...-34.64 13:45 PEDDLERS CROSS 7/4...1st...+8.5...+33.41...+29.44 14:55 FRENCH LEAVE 9/4....nowhere....-10...-39.31...-34.64 15:30 WILLIE HALL 7/2....nowhere....-10...-39.31...-34.64 KEMPTON 20:20 BLACK DAHLIA 10/1....nowhere....-10...-39.31...-13.86 20:50 MUSTAKMIL 11/2...1st...+33....+129.72...+45.74 LINGFIELD 12:00 THOUGHTSOFSTARDOM 5/1....nowhere....-10...-39.31...-20.78 14:45 BEE STINGER 5/2....nowhere....-10...-39.31...-34.64 15:20 SIRCOZY 11/8...1st...+11.4...+44.81...+39.49 NEWBURY 12:20 ROUGHAM 4/1....2nd....-10...-39.31...-34.64 13:25 OSCAR WHISKY EVS...1st...+4...+15.72...+13.86 14:35 FORTIFICATION 7/2...nonrunner....0....0....0 15:10 THE GIANT BOLSTER 14/1....nowhere....-10...-39.31...-13.86 15:40 RISAALA 9/2....nowhere....-10...-39.31...-20.78 To Win Total Stake = 1530 Profit = +322.3 Yield = 21.07% strike rate of 1st's = 47/153 = 30.72% Staking Plan Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 39.31 Total Bank - 656.01 Total Profit - 456.01 Next day points per bet - 39.31 Staking Plan with bets divider Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 34.64 Total Bank - 578.75 Total Profit - 378.75 Next day points per bet - 34.64 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sebastian Bach Posted December 16, 2009 Share Posted December 16, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system Been keeping a eye on this and still very impressed. Good posts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 17, 2009 Author Share Posted December 17, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system cheers seb, much appreciated Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 17, 2009 Author Share Posted December 17, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system Clonmel 15:35 Majestic Mayhem 4/1 (10)(39.31)(34.64) Exeter 12:50 Delcombe 7/2 (10)(39.31)(34.64) 13:20 Bathwick Quest 4/1 (10)(39.31)(34.64) 13:50 Classic Dream 9/1 (10)(39.31)(20.78) 14:20 Sagalyrique 11/8 (10)(39.31)(34.64) 15:20 Carole's Legacy 7/4 (10)(39.31)(34.64) Ludlow 13:10 The Snail 11/8 (10)(39.31)(34.64) 14:10 Keyneema 7/2 (10)(39.31)(34.64) 14:40 Master Somerville 9/2 (10)(39.31)(20.78) Southwell 14:30 Ten Pole Tudor 14/1 (10)(39.31)(13.86) 15:30 General Tufto 7/2 (10)(39.31)(34.64) Wolves 17:30 Glen Lass 3/1 (10)(39.31)(34.64) Prices And Stakes To Follow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 17, 2009 Author Share Posted December 17, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system Clonmel 15:35 Majestic Mayhem 4/1...nowhere...-10...-39.31...-34.64 Exeter 12:50 Delcombe 7/2...nowhere...-10...-39.31...-34.64 13:20 Bathwick Quest 4/1...3rd...-10...-39.31...-34.64 13:50 Classic Dream 9/1...1st...+88.5...+347.89...+183.90 14:20 Sagalyrique 11/8...nowhere...-10...-39.31...-34.64 15:20 Carole's Legacy 7/4...1st...+19.7...+77.44...+68.24 Ludlow 13:10 The Snail 11/8...1st...+16.6...+65.25...+57.5 14:10 Keyneema 7/2...nowhere...-10...-39.31...-34.64 14:40 Master Somerville 9/2...nowhere...-10...-39.31...-20.78 Southwell 14:30 Ten Pole Tudor 14/1...nowhere...-10...-39.31...-13.86 15:30 General Tufto 7/2...nowhere...-10...-39.31...-34.64 Wolves 17:30 Glen Lass 3/1...1st...+24.5...+96.31...+84.87 To Win Total Stake = 1650 Profit = +391.6 Yield = 23.73% strike rate of 1st's = 51/165 = 30.91% Staking Plan Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 39.31 Total Bank - 928.43 Total Profit - 728.43 Next day points per bet - 46.42 Staking Plan with bets divider Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 34.64 Total Bank - 730.78 Total Profit - 530.78 Next day points per bet - 36.54 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 17, 2009 Author Share Posted December 17, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system so a 33% strike rate today to keep the overall constant at 30%. The staking plan bank hits a new high taking the points per bet tomorrow to 46.42. of course due to the 33% today, i would expect a loss tomorrow, but we shall see....... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 18, 2009 Author Share Posted December 18, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system Downpatrick 14:45 Harps Counsel 6/1 (10)(46.42)(21.92) 15:20 Tammys Hill 6/1 (10)(46.42)(21.92) Southwell 15:15 Topcroft 7/4 (10)(46.42)(36.54) Uttoxeter 12:35 Acknowledgement 5/4 (10)(46.42)(36.54) 14:15 Tarateeno 100/30 (10)(46.42)(36.54) 14:50 Ayemdee 9/4 (10)(46.42)(36.54) Wolves 18:20 Ella Woodcock 3/1 (10)(46.42)(36.54) 19:50 Istiqdaam 6/1 (10)(46.42)(21.92) 20:20 Tallest Peak 9/4 (10)(46.42)(36.54) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 18, 2009 Author Share Posted December 18, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system Downpatrick 14:45 Harps Counsel 6/1...3rd...-10...-46.42...-21.92 15:20 Tammys Hill 6/1...nowhere...-10...-46.42...-21.92 Southwell 15:15 Topcroft 7/4...nonrunner...0...0...0 Uttoxeter 12:35 Acknowledgement 5/4...nonrunner...0...0...0 14:15 Tarateeno 100/30...1st...+46.9...+217.71...+171.37 14:50 Ayemdee 9/4...1st...+30...+139.26...+109.62 Wolves 18:20 Ella Woodcock 3/1...nowhere...-10...-46.42...-36.54 19:50 Istiqdaam 6/1...nonrunner...0...0...0 20:20 Tallest Peak 9/4...nowhere...-10...-46.42...-36.54 To Win Total Stake = 1710 Profit = +428.5 Yield = 25.06% strike rate of 1st's = 53/171 = 30.99% Staking Plan Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 46.42 Total Bank - 1099.72 Total Profit - 899.72 Next day points per bet - 54.99 Staking Plan with bets divider Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 36.54 Total Bank - 894.85 Total Profit - 694.85 Next day points per bet - 44.74 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 19, 2009 Author Share Posted December 19, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system so 3 nonrunners only saw 6 out yesterday, but still a 33% strike rate as maintained with 2 winners boosting the bank healthily again. We break the 1000pt mark on the 1st staking plan and take the points per bet to 54.99. The bets divider staking plan takes a huge leap to 44.74pts per bet thanks to 2 of the losing 4 being only small stakes. I really am expecting a bad day soon, normally today generates anything between 15 and 20 selections, so hope it doesnt come crashing today..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 19, 2009 Author Share Posted December 19, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system Haydock 12:45 My Moment 5/4 (10)(54.99)(44.74) 13:50 Suntini 5/2 (10)(54.99)(44.74) 14:20 Exmoor Ranger 7/1 (10)(54.99)(26.84) 15:25 Wymott (10)(54.99)(44.74) Lingfield 12:50 Robust Wish 5/2 (10)(54.99)(44.74) 14:30 Sky Crusader 10/1 (10)(54.99)(22) 15:35 Brett Vale 9/2 (10)(54.99)(26.84) Navan 15:00 Jessies Dream 4/1 (10)(54.99)(44.74) Wolves 13:20 Justcallmehandsome 7/2 (10)(54.99)(44.74) 14:25 Tamino 7/2 (10)(54.99)(44.74) 16:00 Climate 14/1 (10)(54.99)(22) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 19, 2009 Author Share Posted December 19, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system Haydock - MEETING ABANDONED Lingfield 12:50 Robust Wish 5/2...nonrunner...0...0...0 14:30 Sky Crusader 10/1...nowhere...-10...-54.99...-22 15:35 Brett Vale 9/2...nowhere...-10...-54.99...-26.84 Navan 15:00 Jessies Dream 4/1 - MEETING ABANDONED Wolves 13:20 Justcallmehandsome 7/2...nowhere...-10...-54.99...-44.74 14:25 Tamino 7/2...nowhere...-10...-54.99...-44.74 16:00 Climate 14/1...nonrunner...0...0...0 To Win Total Stake = 1750 Profit = +388.5 Yield = 22.2% strike rate of 1st's = 53/175 = 30.29% Staking Plan Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 54.99 Total Bank - 879.76 Total Profit - 679.76 Next day points per bet - 54.99 Staking Plan with bets divider Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 44.74 Total Bank - 756.53 Total Profit - 556.53 Next day points per bet - 44.74 that was one odd days racing, but hey it leveled the strike rate back down near to 30% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 20, 2009 Author Share Posted December 20, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system OK getting too twitchy about not using my money so gonna start from today. Now if a system is going to work over time, it will work with most minimum of stakes. So betfair i will be using, and ill be starting from the minimum bet of £2. Im not going to use the divider staking plan but keep to the progressive one which just takes the 5% high of the bank so far. My bank will be £40(all i have left in bf). so all youll see after the selections now in brackets will be the level pt staking plan ive been keeping from day 1 and now the real money staking plan. This is where this system gets real for me, so expect all losers today :lol not many selections today because of the cancellations.... KEMPTON 14:45 KAI MOOK 9/2 (10)(2) THURLES 12:35 RIGOUR BACK BOB 4/7 (10)(2) 13:05 CHEERS JON 20/1 (10)(2) :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 20, 2009 Author Share Posted December 20, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system KEMPTON 14:45 KAI MOOK 9/2 (10)(2)...nowhere...-10...-1.2 THURLES 12:35 RIGOUR BACK BOB 4/7 (10)(2)...1st...+4.75...+0.95 13:05 CHEERS JON 20/1 (10)(2)...nowhere...-10...-0.8 To Win Total Stake = 1780 Profit = +373.25 Yield = 20.97% strike rate of 1st's = 54/178 = 30.34% Staking Plan Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 2 Total Bank - 38.95 Total Profit - -1.05 Next day points per bet - 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 20, 2009 Author Share Posted December 20, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system Ffos 12:30 Hectors House 8/1 (10)(1.2) 13:05 Sweet Shock 13/2 (10)(1.2) 14:40 Sanpor 13/2 (10)(1.2) 15:45 Crannaghmore Boy 12/1 (10)(0.8) Kempton 15:05 Sircozy 4/5 (10)(2) 16:05 Autumn Blades 11/2 (10)(1.2) 16:35 Kingsgate Castle 7/2 (10)(2) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 21, 2009 Author Share Posted December 21, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system i actually think the odds divider staking plan is the more sensible way forward so have amended yesterdays results to suit and will continue to follow this method from now on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 21, 2009 Author Share Posted December 21, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system Ffos 12:30 Hectors House 8/1 (10)(1.2)...3rd...-10...-1.2 13:05 Sweet Shock 13/2 (10)(1.2)...nowhere...-10...-1.2 14:40 Sanpor 13/2 (10)(1.2)...nowhere...-10...-1.2 15:45 Crannaghmore Boy 12/1 (10)(0.8)...2nd...-10...-0.8 Kempton 15:05 Sircozy 4/5 (10)(2)...2nd...-10...-2 16:05 Autumn Blades 11/2 (10)(1.2)...nowhere...-10...-1.2 16:35 Kingsgate Castle 7/2 (10)(2)...2nd...-10...-2 To Win Total Stake = 1850 Profit = +303.25 Yield = 16.39% strike rate of 1st's = 54/185 = 29.19% Staking Plan Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 2 Total Bank - 29.35 Total Profit - -10.65 Next day points per bet - 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 21, 2009 Author Share Posted December 21, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system typically as i start to put real money down the system hits a bad run, weirdly enough the last time it hit a bad run was after 85 selections, now its after 185 selections, somesort of pattern there or just coincidence. if it is a pattern then the system is due a big price winner. the strike rate drops below average so again a few winners at least are due....... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 21, 2009 Author Share Posted December 21, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system tomorrows selections SOUTHWELL 13:25 THOUGHTSOFSTARDOM 2/1 (10)(2) 15:25 MERRION TIGER 5/2 (10)(2) Early forecasts taken with prices on BF around the same :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 22, 2009 Author Share Posted December 22, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system SOUTHWELL 13:25 THOUGHTSOFSTARDOM 2/1...nowhere...-10...-2 15:25 MERRION TIGER 5/2...2nd...-10...-2 To Win Total Stake = 1870 Profit = +283.25 Yield = 15.15% strike rate of 1st's = 54/187 = 28.88% Staking Plan Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 2 Total Bank - 25.35 Total Profit - -14.65 Next day points per bet - 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 22, 2009 Author Share Posted December 22, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system chose the wrong time to come in with money, but hey ho, ill see what boxing day brings before i decide to step out of using my own, it may be i need to see 3-400 selections first to see where the regular bad runs fall. i will definitely stick with this paper or real, the true legend of this forum sir ralphie can back me up on this ones staying power :lol merry xmas to anyone that drops in here, not that i think anyone does :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sebastian Bach Posted December 23, 2009 Share Posted December 23, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system I think quiet a lot will be dropping in on here soon. I think results are brilliant and do not lose heart because of a few losing days, every system has losing runs and its painful if you start at the wrong time but im sure its only a matter of time before you are using the enemies money. Merry Christmas Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 23, 2009 Author Share Posted December 23, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system cheers seb, merry xmas to you to Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 23, 2009 Author Share Posted December 23, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system Boxing Day Selections Down Royal 15:00 Lead 'em Over Kempton 12:45 Bellvano 13:20 Lake Legend 13:55 Pocket Aces 15:05 Deep Purple 15:40 Nikos Extra Leopardstown 13:20 Our Nana Rose 13:50 Almolahek 14:20 Osana Limerick 13:40 Rigour Back Bob 14:10 Swift Counsel 14:45 Questions Answered Wincanton 14:20 Suntini 15:25 Star Of Angels 15:55 Megastar Wolves 15:20 Licence To Till Prices And Stakes Will Follow On The Morning Of Racing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sebastian Bach Posted December 25, 2009 Share Posted December 25, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system Hi Dan...... Have decided to join in with you with real money starting January 1st. Just wondering how better or worse the system would be if you applied it to males only, ie colts & geldings. I always found that they hold their form better Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 26, 2009 Author Share Posted December 26, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system Hi Dan...... Have decided to join in with you with real money starting January 1st. Just wondering how better or worse the system would be if you applied it to males only, ie colts & geldings. I always found that they hold their form better not a bad idea seb, have made some changes for today.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 26, 2009 Author Share Posted December 26, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system if i continued the original staking plan, it would now look like this Staking Plan Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 54.99 Total Bank - 300.99 Total Profit - 100.99 Next day points per bet - 54.99 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 26, 2009 Author Share Posted December 26, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system and with the divider... Staking Plan with bets divider Points per bet (5% of bank high point) - 44.74 Total Bank - 384.08 Total Profit - 184.08 Next day points per bet - 44.74 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 26, 2009 Author Share Posted December 26, 2009 Re: Cant think of a name TO WIN system so we need to do further investigation in to how and when this bad run will end. im not staking real money until im sure this works...so will continue as before with the 3 plans - level stakes, 5% staking plan and divider plan. 9am forecasts will determine stakes later Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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