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Football Laying


Denman
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The inspiration for this Glory Hunt comes from seabird's and jimmah's laying threads. They both are doing really well at laying selections and I've always been a bigger fan of laying rather than backing selections. My GH will be football win markets lays only, mainly Premiership games. I shall stake and therefore lay to win 1% of my bank each time, although in reality it will be 0.95% of the balance because of the Betfair commission charge. I shall only do lays that I deem fit although I'll try not to pick too many at longer odds because one or two losses could wipe out a large chunk of the bank. I shall start with a balance of £50.00. Yes this is low starting point but if this proves successful the stakes and hopefully winnings will increase as I go along. This is going to be a long-term GH I don't expect to increase my balance rapidly but with wise picks I'm hopeful I can slowly increase my balance over time. First selections will be up shorty. CHANGE OF STAKING PLAN (Explained Below) Having seen Keep Earth's GH i've decided to change my staking plan slightly and adopt a similair one. The idea behind it being that you try and limit you liability to a certain amount by reducing the % of the stake your backing to win the longer the odds are. That way if you get a freak upset at long odds it won't have a big impact on your balance than if I continue with this compound 1% fixed stake method of staking. There shall be 5 bands of prices which are the following: 3.5 or lower = 1.4% of bank per stake 3.6 to 7.4 = 1.0% of bank per stake 7.5 to 11 = 0.8% of bank per stake 11.5 -15.5 = 0.6% of bank per stake 16 or higher = 0.4% bank of stake In addition I update the stake after every day of selections. If I hit a losing streak the stakes will remain at the same as when the bank was at it's previous highest until either I regain the bank upto a new high and change the stakes according or until 35% of the bank as been lost since it orginal high point at which stage I shall adjust the stakes to the new bank.

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Re: Football Laying Thanks for the best wishes jimmah and skylark. Unfornately it's not been a very good start for me with Aston Villa getting a shock away win at Anfield. Arsenal v Portsmouth (27) Stake £0.50 Result: Arsenal 4-1 Portsmouth :) Liverpool v Aston Villa (10.5) Stake £0.50 Result: Liverpool 1-3 Aston Villa :( Start Bank: £50.00 Current Bank: £45.73 P/L: -£4.27 Bets 2, Wins 1, Lost 1 Strike Rate: 50.00%

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Re: Football Laying Results Gillingham v Blackburn (5.6) Stake £0.46 Result: Gilllingham 1-3 Blackburn :) Portsmouth v Hereford (11) Stake £0.46 Result: Portsmouth 4-1 Hereford :) Wolves v Swindon (7.8) Stake £0.46 Result: Wolves 0-0 Swindon :) Atheltico Madrid v Panathinaikos (8.6) Stake £0.46 Result: Athletico 2-0 Panathinaikos :) ---------------------------------------------------- Start Bank: £50.00 Current Bank: £47.49 P/L: -£2.51 Bets 6, Wins 5, Lost 1 Strike Rate: 83.33%

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Re: Football Laying Results Stuttgart v FC Timisoara (14) Stake £0.47 Result: Stuttgart 0-0 FC Timisoara :) West Brom v Rotherham (10) Stake £0.47 Result: West Brom 2-2 Rotherham :) ---------------------------------------------------- Start Bank: £50.00 Current Bank: £48.39 P/L: -£1.61 Bets 8, Wins 7, Lost 1 Strike Rate: 87.50%

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Re: Football Laying

Thank you, I am Richer Martyn, I like the information you shared. I extremely thank you. Be connected with me and help after this time also.
Thanks for your message I will continue to share my lays of course hopefully I'll be in profits sooner rather than later and welcome to the forum by the way. :ok Saturday 29th August Lays Chelsea v Burnley (32) Stake £0.48 Bolton v Liverpool (8) Stake £0.48 Wolves v Hull City (3.75) Stake £0.48 Man Utd v Arsenal (2.3) Stake £0.48
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Re: Football Laying Results Chelsea v Burnley (32) Stake £0.48 Result: Chelsea 3-0 Burnley :) Bolton v Liverpool (8) Stake £0.48 Result: Bolton 2-3 Liverpool :) Wolves v Hull City (3.75) Stake £0.48 Result: Wolves 1-1 Hull City :) Man Utd v Arsenal (2.3) Stake £0.48 Result: Man Utd 2-1 Arsenal :( ---------------------------------------------------- Start Bank: £50.00 Current Bank: £49.15 P/L: -£0.85 Bets 12, Wins 10, Lost 2 Strike Rate: 83.33% Average Odds: 11.71

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Re: Football Laying Results Barcelona v Gijon (27) Stake £0.49 Result: Barcelona 3-0 Gijon :) Norwich v Brentford (5.1) Stake £0.50 Result: Norwich 1-0 Brentford :) Walsall v Bury (5.1) Stake £0.50 Result: Walsall 0-0 Bury :) ---------------------------------------------------- Start Bank: £50.00 Current Bank: £50.58 P/L: +£0.58 Bets 15, Wins 13, Lost 2 Average Odds: 11.85 Strike Rate: 86.67%

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Re: Football Laying CHANGE OF STAKING PLAN (Explained Below) Having seen Keep Earth's GH i've decided to change my staking plan slightly and adopt a similair one. The idea behind it being that you try and limit you liability to a certain amount by reducing the % of the stake your backing to win the longer the odds are. That way if you get a freak upset at long odds it won't have a big impact on your balance than if I continue with this compound 1% fixed stake method of staking. There shall be 5 bands of prices which are the following: 3.5 or lower = 1.4% of bank per stake 3.6 to 7.4 = 1.0% of bank per stake 7.5 to 11 = 0.8% of bank per stake 11.5 to 15.5 = 0.6% of bank per stake 16 or higher = 0.4% bank of stake In addition I update the stake after every day of selections. If I hit a losing streak the stakes will remain at the same as when the bank was at it's previous highest until either I regain the bank upto a new high and change the stakes according or until 35% of the bank as been lost since it orginal high point at which stage I shall adjust the stakes to the new bank. * Hopefully that's all clear, now I can get back to my selections. Shall post Saturday's selecitons up shortly. *Adding all this explantion to the first post.

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Re: Football Laying

BOL denman maybe one of us will achieve similar Maria's success :lol or better...why not both???:ok
Indeed there's two of us at it surely one of us will have some success, hopefully both like you said. :hope Anyways onto selecitons for later today, quite a lot of them but then again there's plently of matches to choose from. Saturday 5th September Lays Denmark v Portugal (2.3) Stake £0.71 Switzerland v Greece (3.75) Stake £0.51 Slovakia v Czech Rep (2.96) Stake £0.71 Azerbaijan v Finland (5.3) Stake £0.51 Croatia v Belarus (15.5) Stake £0.30 Austria v Faroe Islands (32) Stake £0.20 Cyprus v Ireland (4.6) Stake £0.51 Scotland v Macedonia (6.2) Stake £0.51 Iceland v Norway (5.3) Stake £0.51 Charlton v Brentford (6.8) Stake £0.51 Leeds v Stockport (13) Stake £0.30 Southampton v Colchester (3.5) Stake £0.71 Carlisle v Tranmere (4.3) Stake £0.51 Notts County v Burton (7.8) Stake £0.40
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Re: Football Laying Results Denmark v Portugal (2.3) Stake £0.71 Result: Denmark 1-1 Portugal :) Switzerland v Greece (3.75) Stake £0.51 Result: Switzerland 2-0 Greece :) Slovakia v Czech Rep (2.96) Stake £0.71 Result: Slovakia 2-2 Czech Rep :) Azerbaijan v Finland (5.3) Stake £0.51 Result: Azerbaijan 1-2 Finland :) Croatia v Belarus (15.5) Stake £0.30 Result: Croatia 1-0 Belarus :) Austria v Faroe Islands (32) Stake £0.20 Result: Austria 3-1 Faroe Islands :) Cyprus v Ireland (4.6) Stake £0.51 Result: Cyprus 1-2 Ireland :) Scotland v Macedonia (6.2) Stake £0.51 Result: Scotland 2-0 Macedonia :) Iceland v Norway (5.3) Stake £0.51 Result: Iceland 1-1 Norway :) Charlton v Brentford (6.8) Stake £0.51 Result: Charlton 2-0 Brentford :) Leeds v Stockport (13) Stake £0.30 Result: Leeds 2-0 Stockport :) Southampton v Colchester (3.5) Stake £0.71 Result: Southampton 0-0 Colchester :) Carlisle v Tranmere (4.3) Stake £0.51 Result: Carlisle 3-0 Tranmere :) Notts County v Burton (7.8) Stake £0.40 Result: Notts County 1-1 Burton :) ---------------------------------------------------- I do believe they call this a clean sweep. :loon Amazed with the results, I'd be sorted if it went like this every week. Was helped with a number of teams I laid receiving red cards, I believe Slovakia, Tranmere, Colchester and Greece all saw players sent off, which is always a bonus. Profit was £6.62 for the day which is a 13.09% increase on the bank. Bank reaches a new high point which means stakes rise to £0.23, £0.34, £0.46, £0.57, £0.80. ---------------------------------------------------- Start Bank: £50.00 Current Bank: £57.20 P/L: +£7.20 Bets 29, Wins 27, Lost 2 Average Odds: 10.04 Strike Rate: 93.10%

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Re: Football Laying Results Barrow v York (3.9) Stake £0.57 Result: Barrow 0-0 York :) Cambridge Utd v Altrincham (7.8) Stake £0.46 Result: Cambridge 0-0 Altrincham :) Ebbsfleet v Rushden & Diamonds (3.85) Stake £0.57 Result: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Rushden & Diamonds :) Kidderminister v Mansfield (3.0) Stake £0.80 Result: Kidderminister 3-1 Mansfield :( ---------------------------------------------------- Unfornatley Kiddermnster went onto win comfortable, this means a small loss for the day but nothing to worry about. Tommorrow's picks coming up shortly. Stakes remain the same. ---------------------------------------------------- Start Bank: £50.00 Current Bank: £57.12 P/L: +£7.12 Bets 33, Wins 30, Lost 3 Average Odds: 9.38 Strike Rate: 90.91%

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Re: Football Laying Wednesday 9th September Lays Norway v Macedonia (7.4)Stake £0.57 Moldova v Greece (10.5) Stake £0.46 Latvia v Switzerland (4.3) Stake £0.57 Liechtenstein v Finland (12) Stake £0.34 England v Croatia (7.2) Stake £0.57 Belarus v Ukraine (4.9) Stake £0.57 Serbia v France (2.64) Stake £0.80 Italy v Bulgaria (10.5) Stake £0.46

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Re: Football Laying Results Norway v Macedonia (7.4) Stake £0.57 Result: Norway 2-1 Macedonia :) Moldova v Greece (10.5) Stake £0.46 Result: Moldova 1-1 Greece :) Latvia v Switzerland (4.3) Stake £0.57 Result: Latvia 2-2 Switzerland :) Liechtenstein v Finland (12) Stake £0.34 Result: Liechtenstein 1-1 Finland :) England v Croatia (7.2) Stake £0.57 Result: England 5-1 Croatia :D Belarus v Ukraine (4.9) Stake £0.57 Result: Belarus 0-0 Ukraine :) Serbia v France (2.64) Stake £0.80 Result: Serbia 1-1 France :) Italy v Bulgaria (10.5) Stake £0.46 Result: Italy 2-0 Bulgaria :) ---------------------------------------------------- Another clean sweep, five draws out of the eight matches but that's the advantage of laying. If all the games from now on where draws I'd be happy. Bank reaches a new high of £61.24, that's a 22.48% increase in the balance since I started on the 22nd August. The new bank high point means the stakes increase accordingly to £0.24, £0.37, £0.49, £0.61, £0.86. ---------------------------------------------------- Start Bank: £50.00 Current Bank: £61.24 P/L: +£11.24 Bets 41, Wins 38, Lost 3 Average Odds: 9.00 Strike Rate: 92.68%

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Re: Football Laying Saturday 12th September Selections Blackburn v Wolves (5.1) Stake £0.61 Man City v Arsenal (3.1) Stake £0.86 Sunderland v Hull (5.6) Stake £0.61 Tottenham v Man Utd (3.4) Stake £0.86 Crystal Palace v Scunthrope (5.7) Stake £0.61 Middlesborough v Ipswich (5.2) Stake £0.61 Preston v Swansea (4.8) Stake £0.61 West Brom v Plymouth (9.8) Stake £0.49 Gillingham v Millwall (3.2) Stake £0.86 Tranmere v Wallsall (2.54) Stake £0.86 Hartlepool v Wycombe (4.6) Stake £0.61 Rotherham v Morecambe (6.6) Stake £0.61 Bournemouth v Lincoln (5.8) Stake £0.61 Bradford v Burton Albion (4.1) Stake £0.61 Dag & Red v Chesterfield (3.9) Stake £0.61 Hayes & Yeading v Tamworth (3.3) Stake £0.86

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Re: Football Laying Results Blackburn v Wolves (5.1) Stake £0.61 Result: 3-1 :) Man City v Arsenal (3.1) Stake £0.86 Result: 4-2 :( Sunderland v Hull (5.6) Stake £0.61 Result:4-1 :) Tottenham v Man Utd (3.4) Stake £0.86 Result: 1-3 :) Crystal Palace v Scunthrope (5.7) Stake £0.61 Result: 0-4 :$ Middlesborough v Ipswich (5.2) Stake £0.61 Result: 3-1 :) Preston v Swansea (4.8) Stake £0.61 Result: 2-0 :) West Brom v Plymouth (9.8) Stake £0.49 Result: 3-1 :) Gillingham v Millwall (3.2) Stake £0.86 Result: 2-0 :) Tranmere v Wallsall (2.54) Stake £0.86 Result: 2-3 :) Hartlepool v Wycombe (4.6) Stake £0.61 Result: 1-1 :) Rotherham v Morecambe (6.6) Stake £0.61 Result: 0-0 :) Bournemouth v Lincoln (5.8) Stake £0.61 Result: 3-1 :) Bradford v Burton Albion (4.1) Stake £0.61 Result: 1-1 :) Dag & Red v Chesterfield (3.9) Stake £0.61 Result: 2-1 :) Hayes & Yeading v Tamworth (3.3) Stake £0.86 Result: 2-2 :) ---------------------------------------------------- 14 out of 16 is pretty good going. The Man City game I wasn't to bother about since they wer eone of the shorter odds selection, Man City winning incurred a loss of £1.81. Whereas the one shocker out of my selections was the lay of Scunthrope who went onto win 4-0 away at Palace costing me a further £2.87. But apart from that it was success all-around this left me showing a healthy £4.29 proft for the day. This takes the bank to a new high of £65.53, which again means a rise in the stakes. The new stake levels are £0.26, £0.39, £0.52, £0.66 and £0.92. ---------------------------------------------------- Start Bank: £50.00 Current Bank: £65.53 P/L: +£15.53 Bets 57, Wins 52, Lost 5 Average Odds: 7.83 Strike Rate: 91.23%

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Re: Football Laying Sunday 13th September Lays Birmingham v Aston Villa (3.85) Stake £0.66 Ajax v NAC Breda (10.5) Stake £0.52 Sparta Rotterdam v RKC Waalwijk (6.4) Stake £0.66 FC Koln v Schalke (3.45) Stake £0.92 Werder Bremen v Hannover (9.8) Stake £0.52

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Re: Football Laying Results Birmingham v Aston Villa (3.85) Stake £0.66 Result: Birmingham 0-1 Aston Villa :) Ajax v NAC Breda (10.5) Stake £0.52 Reuslt: Ajax 6-0 NAC Breda :D Sparta Rotterdam v RKC Waalwijk (6.4) Stake £0.66 Result: Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Waalwijk :) FC Koln v Schalke (3.45) Stake £0.92 Result: FC Koln 1-2 Schalke :) Werder Bremen v Hannover (9.8) Stake £0.52 Result: Werder Bremen 0-0 Hannover :) ---------------------------------------------------- Only the five selections today, but they where all successful lays which left me with a £3.11 profit for the day. This takes my bank to a new high of £68.64 and as always this means our stakes increase to £0.27, £0.41, £0.55, £0.69 and £0.96. It's going to be difficult to keep up with this current strike rate which is nearing on 92% now. But I've already built up a nice amount of profit on my intial investment (37.28% increase in the bank size) which should stand me in good stead should we get the odd hiccup here and there. ---------------------------------------------------- Start Bank: £50.00 Current Bank: £68.64 P/L: +£18.64 Bets 62, Wins 57, Lost 5 Average Odds: 7.74 Strike Rate: 91.94%

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