Jump to content
Announcements
*** Cheltenham Festival Competition: Well done to 1st. Skittle, 2nd. glavintobuy & 3rd. Cragwood ***
** March Poker League Result : 1st muttley, 2nd andybell666, 3rd ian309 **
** Football Tipster Competition Result : 1st MABS, 2nd PercyP, 3rd Kingdom for, 4th Catijohn, 5th runadrum **
** March Naps Competition Result: 1st GARY66, 2nd TRAINMAD091, 3rd ZIDANE123, 4th MICK33. KO Cup Winner SILVER FOX, Most Winners: ALASTAIR **

The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!!


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 396
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Amongst the hurdles entries, there are 2 Grand National trials in there too. He is rated 139 so its going to be touch and go whether he gets in, unless he can increase his rating on Saturday, which is possible as he is in good form. I've topped up a bit Back - Mobaasher: £7 @ 280.0

Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! I have backed Carruthers, thinking he would be an ideal type for the Grand National but without any indication that connections are actually considering the race for him. Well he has an entry in the GN Trial at Haydock over 3m4f which is a clear indication to me that they will now consider it. Its typically been seen as a good prep race for Aintree, as an example 6 of the 14 runners from the 2010 race ran in the Grand National. I think Carruthers could run a big race if he did line up, he looks well handicapped and will respond positively to a step up in trip I think. He is still 200.0 which is tempting. So he is another one I have topped up on. Back - Carruthers: £11 @ 200.0 Back - Carruthers: £15 @ 180.0

Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Interest in the Thyestes Chase today. I'll be looking for good runs primarily forcThe Midnight Club, Whinstone Boy and Ballytrim. I have backed Siegemaster for the GN too but it looks unlikey he will be entered now.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Well the Thyestes result was interesting. Siegemaster won and its is confirmed he will be aimed at the Irish national rather than Aintree. Dessie Hughes suggested as much a couple of weeks ago so I have layed £5 @ 130.0. It was quite amusing watching his price plummet to about 40.0, only to creep up to 300.0 again once people heard the trainers plans for him! He is one for 2012.

The Midnight Club made an impressive reappearance in 2nd, beaten ¾ length. He looks sure to be Mullins main representative in the Grand National and could start favourite. I already have a free 10/1 ish bet on him.

Another Mullins horse was 3 lengths back in 3rd – Ballytrim. I backed him for the GN last season and Mullins was keen to run him but he didn’t get in off his OR. He ran off 138 yesterday andwill get a rise of around 4 or 5 lbs for that, I would think. That will be enough to get him into the race and I think Mullins will run him to make up for missing out last year.

He is inconsistent and you could argue the handicapper has him in his grip somewhat but a Mullins train horse who has won over 30f on heavy ground cannot be written off for the National. The Racing Post suggest he will go for the Irish national, but I disagree. Certainly, if these quotes are anything to go by, Aintree will be the aim.

07Mar10 Naas ( 24 Y/Sft ,RPR144 )

He certainly left his Thyestes run well behind him, the light weight was a big help. I`d love to run at Aintree but I just don`t think he`ll get in, so we`ll probably go for the Irish National now - Willie Mullins

I think the price on betfair reflects the Racing Post’s comment that he will be aimed at the irish National but I’m certain he will get an entry at Aintree and as it looks like he is now running into some form, could be a contender there. 170.0ish is certainly worth taking and should be tradeable.

Lay – Siegemaster £5 @ 130.0

Back – Ballytrim - £8 @ 200.0

Back – Ballytrim - £7 @ 160.0

Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! I managed to lay off the rest of my stake on Ballabriggs. He may well start as a market leader on the day but 17.0 now is too short and having backed him at 34.0 im very comfortable to lay that off. Lay - Ballabriggs £4.74 @ 17.0

Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Neptune Collonges got a favourable mention from Paul nicholls on the morning line on Channel 4 this morning and he is now trading at 65.0 from triple figure prices. One Cool Cookie runs at Punchestown tomorrow. The Skybet Chase at Donnie was abandoned which is a real shame as Chief Dan George, Imoncloudnine and Killyglen were all due to run.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Well Grand National entries came out on Wednesday and here they are, in order of rating:

1 168 42F14 Or Noir De Somoza 132 9 2 168 14/B01 Neptune Collonges 70 10 3 166 74-322 Tidal Bay 70 10 4 164 3P1-P0 Don´t Push It 98 11 5 163 41111 Midnight Chase 120 9 6 162 596989 Scotsirish 69 10 7 160 196-11 Tranquil Sea 115 9 8 160 P46-3U Deep Purple 115 10 9 159 31-561 Synchronised 91 8 10 159 211-5 What A Friend 140 8 11 155 01U-77 Vic Venturi 84 11 12 154 6-1155 Little Josh 70 9 13 153 P1447 Glencove Marina 72 9 14 153 11325 Majestic Concorde 101 8 15 152 05-244 The Tother One 70 10 16 151 U14-2F Big Fella Thanks 133 9 17 151 570-19 Fair Along 70 9 18 150 111-11 Ballabriggs 68 10 19 150 P/1-7F Taranis 98 10 20 150 P-3631 Tatenen 77 7 21 149 6/454- Roll Along 466 11 22 149 29P-F5 Niche Market 133 10 23 149 121-07 Silver By Nature 91 9 24 148 7011-7 Chief Dan George 140 11 25 148 11FP18 Grand Slam Hero 196 10 26 148 21616- Just Amazing 350 8 27 147 F42848 I´msingingtheblues 91 9 28 147 55084 Northern Alliance 90 10 29 146 152-26 Oscar Time 101 10 30 146 P2111/ Surface To Air 1014 10 31 146 2P-253 Killyglen 99 9 32 146 2199-P Tricky Trickster 147 8 33 146 56242 Calgary Bay 70 8 34 145 UP-259 Notre Pere 102 10 35 145 3133-2 The Midnight Club 71 10 36 144 1F24-4 Dooneys Gate 90 10 37 144 10-113 Quinz 119 7 38 144 13-355 From Dawn To Dusk 120 12 39 144 000-06 Comply Or Die 84 12 40 143 UP-570 Backstage 255 9 41 143 2151P/ Ornais 855 9 42 142 22-41F Gullible Gordon 139 8 43 142 211-11 King Fontaine 140 8 44 142 44/P3- State Of Play 364 11 45 142 1169-2 Quiscover Fontaine 93 7 46 142 236-26 Snowy Morning 161P 11 47 141 P21-04 Bluesea Cracker 147 9 48 141 212-42 Becauseicouldntsee 101 8 49 141 22077 Santa´s Son 213 11 50 141 40854 West End Rocker 84 9 51 141 75P-1P Hello Bud 84 13 52 141 1PP-PP Dream Alliance 91 10 53 141 1P619/ Starzaan 770 12 54 140 391059 That´s Rhythm 120 11 55 140 122B0 Nedzer´s Return 206 9 56 140 0P-234 Piraya 77 8 57 140 100-03 Ballytrim 71 10 58 140 U2U-9P Arbor Supreme 91 9 59 140 F-FF25 Quolibet 132 7 60 140 6F-8P5 Can´t Buy Time 98 9 61 139 31-P31 Nicto De Beauchene 91 10 62 139 66U-34 In Compliance 98 11 63 139 5P-614 Mobaasher 70 8 64 138 1P-41U Meanus Dandy 139 8 65 138 07-305 Character Building 98 11 66 138 313-0 Skippers Brig 101 10 67 137 2613-P Galant Nuit 119 7 68 137 4/12-P The Sliotar 98 10 69 137 321112 Putney Bridge 266 9 70 137 212-52 Apt Approach 135 8 71 137 P-7204 Le Beau Bai 84 8 72 137 472P-0 Faasel 120 10 73 137 4/22-1 Belon Gale 143 8 74 137 812P51 Quezac De La Roque 141 7 75 137 2d61-8F Merigo 139 10 76 136 1155873 The Sawyer 70 11 77 136 F3U-P1 Frankie Figg 139 9 78 136 123-P2 Giles Cross 91 9 79 135 13111- Our Monty 510 8 80 135 41d1001 Golden Kite 181 9 81 135 05241P Duers 119 9 82 135 11128- Toby Jug 497 10 83 135 1-PP11 Sagalyrique 71 7 84 135 P1-006 Always Waining 139 10 85 135 P0-053 One Cool Cookie 139 10 86 134 35P-6P Cane Brake 71 12 87 134 131-32 Junior 98 8 88 133 8-24U3 I´moncloudnine 91 8 89 133 0R0-69 Ambobo 90 11 90 133 0F-844 Ballyfitz 91 11 91 132 15F-03 Khachaturian 108 8 92 131 56-921 Askthemaster 100 11 93 130 22112/ Carronhills 783 9 94 130 12-UPP Burren Legend 154 10 95 130 F4-536 Pomme Tiepy 71 8 96 129 5U-42P Royal Rosa 91 12 97 129 116PP- Treacle 350 10 98 129 11U8-6 Saddlers Storm 86 9 99 128 63221- Dev 503 11 100 126 F2P-43 Tinakellylad 181 7 101 123 21-962 Noble Concorde 69 9 102 122 67-P23 Regal Heights 91 10

Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! So what do those entries mean for this thread? Well the most notable absentee is Carruthers, who I had convinced myself was going to get an entry. £33 was staked and only £7 layed off so a loss of £26 on him.

Maljimar was another who hasn’t been entered. He hasn’t looked quite right this season. £15.50 loss on him.

The other significant absentees are Abbeybraney (-£9) and Fabalu (-£11) but I had already resigned myself to those two not lining up.

So those four not being entered have alone cost me £61.50, which won’t be helpful when I’m trying to “green up”.

On a more positive note, Mobaasher is in and has shortened in price, irish National winner Bluesea Cracker is in, after connections were uncertain about the race and horses such as Oscar Time, Chief Dan George and Ballabriggs to whom I am highly exposed to are all in.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Some more updates: Lay - Ballabriggs: £10 @ 17.0 He is favourite but looks too short a price off the back of two hurdles wins. The McCain factor is driving the price down, as I predicted and I will extract some more profit. Back - Bluesea Cracker £5 @ 65.2 Back - Bluesea Cracker £13 @ 65.0 Irish National winner wasnt originally going to be entered but has been unlucky with the weather missing races and missed the Welsh national through injury. The entry implies connections are still tempted and this price should be tradeable. Lay - Ballytrim - £10 @ 90.0 Lay - Ballytrim - £8 @ 85.0 Glad I backed him now after his 3rd place in the Thyestes. That has caught a few peoples eyes and is now rated high enough to get into the race. Have taken £18 out.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! :ok COLEMAN DREAMING OF NATIONAL GLORY Aidan Coleman is now dreaming of John Smith’s Grand National glory aboard Mobaasher. The jockey suffered a blow this week when 2009 winner Mon Mome was ruled out of the Aintree showpiece but Coleman believes he and Venetia Williams still have a live contender. Writing in his exclusive Racing UK blog he said: “Mobaasher ran an excellent race to come fourth in the Cleeve Hurdle on the same card and is our big National hope. “He has solid chase form and has shown he is in excellent form this term. Talking of the National, it’s a shame to see Mon Mome ruled out for the season, but word is it’s not serious and he will live to fight another day.”

Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Lay - Ballabriggs £20 @ 17.0

Lay – Ballabriggs £2 @ 16.5

For the same reasons as in post #315

Lay – Niche Market £3 @ 20.0

Possibly a bit short now. Good chance to lay.

Lay – Bluesea Cracker - £18 @ 50.0

Lay – Bluesea Cracker - £6 @ 48.0

Not guaranteed to run, connections have been quiet on the horses aim for the season. I don’t want to get stung like I did with Carruthers.

Lay – Ballytrim - £4.59 @ 70.0

Will be extracting as much as I can out of this one. I have backed him at big prices and am happy to lay off on the assumption he lacks a bit of class required to win this.

Lay - In Compliance - £8 @ 110.0

Having backed at bigger prices, have layed off after failing to impress in prep runs. Likes Aintree though and should appreciate longer trip. A lively outsider and still happy to have him on my side.

Lay – Oscar Time - £22 @ 28.0

Overexposed to this one so have layed off roughly half of my stake. I think he will get shorter when the weights come out and will lay some more off then. He is my biggest fancy at the moment.

Lay – Chief Dan George - £2.32 @ 60.0

Again, overexposed to this one. His price keeps drifting, I think I have taken too short a price in hindsight.

Lay – One Cool Cookie - £3 @ 55.0

Another who may lack the class to win the National. Having backed at bigger prices, extracting a bit of money out seems sensible.

Lay – Becauseicouldntsee - £5 @ 40.0

Injured after last run and now 50/50 to run at Aintree. There was a school of thought that said he was too inexperienced for this year and maybe they will be better coming back next year.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Thanks mate, i'm hoping I can match last year's success but a lot depends on the likes of Chief Dan George, Oscar Time and Taranis, who I am exposed to and Mobaasher and Ballytrim who I have backed at big prices and should be able to extract a lot of cash from, if their prices shorten a touch. Its a big day on Tuesday - the weights are announced and its often from this point that the market starts to move a little and become more liquid. I'm hopeful I will be able to green up, but lets see what the next couple of weeks holds!

Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! The market has livened up over the last couple of days, with weights day approaching tomorrow. I’ve laid a further: Mobaasher 15.31 @ 75.0 and Chief Dan George - £5 @ 50.0 and £10 @ 46.0 This leaves me with a deficit of only -£5.41 now so obviously I’m very confident of being able to green up in the near future :nana Mobaasher is declared for Saturday’s Grand National trial, for which he is 6/1 2nd favourite. He is in good form and I expect him to run well. His price should shorten further :hope Taranis is drifting on the exchanges and I can only guess that he isn’t going to line up :( Nicholls wants to run him but the owners aren’t keen, and it looks like the owners have got their way. A further £18 down the drain I think but more will be revealed tomorrow. Ballytrim is one I should be laying off but the liquidity isn’t there at the moment. I think the feeling is that he will bypass Aintree and go for the Irish Grand National, but judging by Mullins comments last year, he wanted to run him at Aintree but couldn’t get the horse rated high enough to get in., That is unlikely to be a problem this year – rated 140, compared with 133 last year and I think Mullins will run him. A bit of a gamble that I could live to regret but I don’t fancy laying him off at 100.0 now, when I’m pretty sure I can get double figures in a few days time.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! I've backed Carruthers for the Grand National trial at Haydock on Saturday. each way at 14/1. Hopefully I'll win back some of the money I lost backing him for the Grand National itself. No doubt I'll be postng tomorrow after the weights come out. Announced at 11a.m. :ok

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...