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BillyHills

NH Novice Hurdlers

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Re: NH Novice Hurdlers No time today, just the ratings. 215 Str: 91 Rushwee, 82 Stapleton, 76 Tribal Dance 335 Wth: 87 Soux Mix, 78 Tower, 76 Overpriced 545 Wth: 102 Red Merlin, 93 Jack The Gent, 92 Little Hurcules 615 Wth: 94 Waldvogel, 92 Solis, 91 High Hoylander

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Re: NH Novice Hurdlers 230 Exe: 90 Jewellery, 88 Rhyton, 86 Rolanta 410 Tow: 93 Lifestyle, 85 Omokoroa, 85 Red Whisper Preview; A couple of non events today really, Lifestyle should follow up her win last week, the opponents are pretty average and need to find something to get involved, maybe Omokoroa is the one for the forecast. The seller at Exeter is dire, Jewellery has one peice of form that entitles her to go close but you cant rely on any of these to reproduce their form. *Just one week left of the 2011 jumps season which ends at Sandown on Saturday, just 7 meetings left and the novice races are winding down, will start on a new project from the beginning of May as this thread has now run its course.

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Re: NH Novice Hurdlers 220 Fon: 94 Raduis Bleu, 93 Allerford Jack, 91 Camden 420 Fon: 99 Sawpit Solitaire, 97 Midnight Macarena, 97 Sorcillera Preview; The first race at Fontwell is interesting and three have a chance, Raduis Bleu has looked a little one paced so this trip may be the answer. Allerford Jack ran flat last time but previously showed fair form, he too tries this trip for the first time, both look like this is a last resort so it may pay to side with the proven Camden, he's been up against it recently but this looks like a drop in class to me. The mares race is wide open with many chances on bits and pieces of form, Sorcillera has promised to be decent and may be the answer in a tricky affair. Bet 220 Fon: Camden 2pts (3/1 Bet365)

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Re: NH Novice Hurdlers

103 Thumbs Up, 96 Thoroughly Red, 86 Shiwawa Interesting race, we have the proven form of the odds on fav Thumbs Up against two horses in Shiwawa and Coin Of The Realm who you feel will improve a lot on what they have shown so far. The outsider Thoroughly Red seems to have been ignored in the betting and could run well at a big price. The ground has gone Gd/Sft which wont inconvenience the fav so looks the solid option.
Great achievements buddy... Best of Luck for the next... Keep it up- good Effort :drums:gimme:welcome

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Re: NH Novice Hurdlers Round Up tomorrow; 220 Her: 96 Countess Susy, 94 Sizing Ireland, 65 Prime Design Preview; Odds on fav Sizing Ireland has been a disappointment and wouldnt want to be wading in at silly prices, like the second fav Countess Susy, she ran quite well last time and looks a bet to nothing here. Bet: 220 Her: Countess Susy 1pt EW (5/1 Hills)

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Re: NH Novice Hurdlers 210 Win: 97 Be Kind, 96 Miss Overdrive, 86 Little Fee 320 Lud: 96 Bottman, 94 Buck Mulligan Preview; Oh dear, a two horse race at Ludlow! For the record Bottman's run at Cheltenham was a good effort and should see off Buck Mulligan who's no mug either. At Wincanton it may as well be a two horse race as the odds on fav Miss Overdrive has only one realistic opponent in Be Kind who may have been flattered last time when finishing second in a slowly run race. No Bet

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Re: NH Novice Hurdlers 315 NA: 90 Spiritual Art, 89 Anaya 425 NA: 91 Surf And Turf, 56 Newlyn Bay 615 Kel: 89 Nelsons Chief, 88 Oh So Beautiful, 86 Battle Honour Preview; Disappointing last day of the season with two races very weak and a third which is the opposite at Kelso. Surf And Turf should defy his penalty without much fuss while Spiritual Art has Anaya to beat in the other heat at Newton Abbot. The Kelso race is headed by Fortuni, he has improved slightly but has been well beaten three times now so a short price is no value at all. Oh So Beautiful could be dangerous on her first run for Lucinda Russell, this ex Irish filly has some fair form but this is her first run for a while. Both Nelsons Chief and Battle Honour could run well back on decent ground. No Bet

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Re: NH Novice Hurdlers Final Figures Stakes: 1737pts Returns: 1814.84pts Profit : 77.84pts Yield : 4.48% Top Rated Stakes : 1393 pts Returns: 1331.18 pts Profit: -61.82 pts Yield: -4.43% Well that was nice ending with three winners and a 12/1 shot too with Nelsons Chief. Ive have rated 1393 novice races over two years and on the whole enjoyed it, it has been a work in progress and has changed quite a lot since it started, i feel its getting nowhere now and maybe time to look at something else. I will continue to do the ratings but wont be publishing them but they will be a big part of my new thread which will kick off tomorrow, this will give me scope to look at handicaps and use a different staking strategy hence it will be very different and unfair to use the profit and loss from this thread and continue in here. Thanks to anyone who followed:ok

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