Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 2010 Champion Hurdle 18 points @ 6/1 Binocular 6/1 (18% 9/2) Proved he stays the trip, coming up the hill well, gaining at the finish. Feel he would've won had it not been for the weather (snow) knocking his training schedule back. Though another possiblility is the fact he sweated up beforehand, took a little off his performance. Thought better than Punjabi at home. Had easily beaten Celestial Halo earlier and even though Nicholls horse improved, I expect Binocular to prove the better when they meet again. Hurricane Fly will be a tough nut to crack if he is as good as Cheltenham form suggests. But it could be Go Native has improved since Hurricane Fly beat it easily. Has also had an injury that may well reappear at a later date. Binocular being the sounder horse of the two, so more likely to make it to next years Festival. I am fairly certain Binocular will win a trial or two in style next season, that may allow us to trade out at a later date. Ginge

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 2:10 Newbury 25 points @ 4/1 All About Trigger (25% 3/1) 3:15 Newbury 16 points @ 7/1 (PP) Picts Hill (16% 11/2)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 2:10 Newbury Got to go in again at 6.6/1, even though the drift looks ominous. The horse was "given plenty to do" last time and hope it is ridden better today. 5 points @ 6.6/1 All About Trigger 3:15 Newbury Addition 11 points @ 11/1 (B365 bog) Apollo Creed (11% 8/1) 2 point @ 26/1 Hill Forts Timmy (5.5% 18/1) Apollo Creed has some good form earlier on in the year and with his stable returning to form is worth the risk at the price. Hill Forts Timmy on the other hand is from an out of form yard but ran encouragingly last time. Pict's Hill is on a hat trick, improving (needs to). The two races he won were only poor but there are reasons to think this is not great either. Oh Braga won here at 2m2f last time. Seemed to try to run out at the last. AP is an asset but would not trust him at a short price. and is not sure to get the trip if Very Cool as expected makes a good pace. Very Cool is still reasonably handicapped on hurdle form and may get a soft lead as he prefers. Won well here last time but Pipe is not in as good form now. Might save on him later. 5:00 Newbury This race changes with the outsider Seraaphim coming out. As there does not look to be a certain front runner in the field. Polyfast ran his best race last year and is worth a chance at the price. Can pull hard but Barry G takes over from a conditional (last time). Indian Blood pulled far too hard at Wincanton and if they don't go off fast enough could ruin his chance again. Olympian has not run for some time but is preffered to Wingman by Moore. Not certain to act on the ground. Winner on heavy and this is likely to be a different test. Red Admiral has not been put up much for winning a poorish race and looks a good price but does not win many. Wingman is best in big fields with a strong pace. Secret Tune won a race similar to this last time and may be better than the result suggests, shooting clear in a slowly run race. 9 points @ 14.5/1 Polyfast (9% 10/1) 19 points @ 4/1 Secret Tune (22.5% 7/2) 3 points @ 10.5/1 Red Admiral (11.5% 15/2)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 Not a bad day, two wins from three 4/1 and 7/1 winners. Now for saturday. 2:20 Newbury 18 points @ 6/1 Alexanderthegreat (18% 9/2) 17 points @ 7/1 Cava Bein (17% 5/1) 9 points @ 16/1 Alderburn (9% 10/1) 3 points @ 17/1 Kandjar D'Allier (8% 12/1) 2:50 Newbury 16 points @ 7/1 (PP) Rule Of Knots (16% 11/2)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 4:40 Newbury 23 points @ 5/1 (betfair) Coach Lane (23% 100/30) 2:50 Newbury Savers: 6 points @ 3.8/1 Ping Pong Sivola (24% 100/30) 3 points @ 7.4/1 Lamanver Homerun (14% 6/1)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 4:05 Newbury 16 points each way @ 5/1 (B365 bog) Astrodome (22% 7/2)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09

Not a bad day, two wins from three 4/1 and 7/1 winners. Now for saturday. 2:20 Newbury 18 points @ 6/1 Alexanderthegreat (18% 9/2) 17 points @ 7/1 Cava Bein (17% 5/1) 9 points @ 16/1 Alderburn (9% 10/1) 3 points @ 17/1 Kandjar D'Allier (8% 12/1)

Cava Bein now a non runner so: Additions: 4 points @ 5.6/1 Alexanderthegreat 2 points @ 12.5/1 Alderburn 1 point @ 17.5/1 Kandjar D'Allier

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 4:40 Newbury Coach Lane now a non runner so: 10 points each way @ 8/1 © Arunmun (14% 6/1)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 Sorry, with all the non runners no time for analysis. Ginge

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 3:45 Aintree 23 points @ 4/1 Agus A Vic (23% 100/30) 11 points @ 12/1 (L) Distant Thunder (11% 8/1 4:55 Aintree 10 points @ 10.5/1 Ouzbeck (11% 8/1) 17 points @ 6/1 Tarback (16.75% 5/1) 25 points @ 7/2 Planet Of Sound (25% 3/1) More to come Ginge

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 2:00 Aintree 9 points each way @ 17/2 (SJ bog) Fair Along (12.5% 7/1) 2:35 Aintree 7 points each way @ 14/1 (Betfred bog) Ski Sunday (9% 10/1) 3:10 Aintree 19 points each way @ 7/2 (WH, Betfred) Exotic Dancer (25% 3/1)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 2:00 Big Bucks has by far the best form in the race but remains to be seen whether he is as good on good going. Mighty Man ran a blinder on his first run for some time, has a great record at Aintree, but will he “bounce”? And sometimes horses going preferences change after injury. Fair Along ran a strange race at Cheltenham. Seemingly did not like being surrounded by horses. I expect Lough Derg to lead with Fair Along and Hills Of Aran and Pettifour tracking him. Hopefully Rys Flint can allow Fair Along a view of the front. Jockey not able to claim but does get on well with the horse. Has 2 ½ miles form (speed) which will come in handy around a sharp track on a sound surface. Ginge 2:35 Walkon has the form but is not sure to be as well suited to Aintree on good (possibly needs a test at 2m). Hebridean will be suited by the speed test but I wonder whether he is 100% trustworthy. Starluck has speed to burn and going best of all on the home turn in the Triumph. But I think the bookmakers have all of them pretty well pegged, marginally favour Starluck. Ski Sunday has improved all season for his talented trainer. Second in the Fred Winter off a fair weight. This speed test should suit if he acts on the ground. Has the fourth best chance in the race but should be much closer in price to the other three than he is. 3:10 Denman is the best horse in the race but on a sharp track on good ground I doubt if he will be quite able to produce his best. Exotic Dancer was not far behind Denman at Cheltenham and has won this race before (beating My Will). Goes on good ground and has more speed than Denman. All the others are coming off below par runs. There are 7 in this field who like to be up there with the pace which might not suit Denman. Had hoped for 4/1 and ¼ odds but 7/2 a fifth is near enough. 3:45 Agus A Vic has been laid out for this. Should take the beating if he jumps well which is a doubt. Distant Thunder ran a good race at Newbury, given a bit to do, against one of the best hunters around Limerick Boy. Has run well in a big field before, touched off in the William Hill Handicap at the Cheltenham Festival. Le Duck is the dog. McEvoy is best right handed. Trust Fund is the other with a good chance but is more of a stayer and must go out and make it a severe test if he is to prevail. Take The Stand makes mistakes and needs further. 4:55 Not convinced about Calgary Bay's temperament. Does not always find much under pressure. Chapoturgeon won in good style at Cheltenham but does not have good ground form. Neither does Planet Of Sound but is a bigger price. Unusually held up at Cheltenham and did not jump as well, yet managed third in the Arkle. The extra ½ mile is probably in his favour. Should do better if ridden more prominently. Tartak was hampered more than once in the same race yet had every chance one out. Jumps really well. Ouzbeck has run some good races in handicaps on good ground. May be more exposed than most but is (imo) overpriced.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 2:00 24 points @ 4/1 © Somersby (24% 100/30) 6 points @ 25/1 (WH) El Dancer (6% 16/1) 4 points @ 8/1 Riverside Theatre (12.5% 7/1) 2:35 15 points @ 13/2 (Sporting) Shinining Gale (15% 11/2) 8 points @ 16/1 (SJ) Or Juene (8% 12/1) 10 points @ 5/2 Massini's Maguire (32% 85/40) 3:45 10 points @ 16/1 (L, WH) The Sawyer (10% 9/1) 5 points @ 29/1 Consigliere (5.5% 18/1) 13 points @ 15/2 (sporting) Ping Pong Sivola (13% 13/2) 8 points @ 11/1 Mr Pointment (10% 9/1) 8 points @ 8/1 Gwanako (12.5% 7/1) Ginge

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 2:00 American Trilogy has the best chance of winning. Won well in the County at Cheltenham and has Aintree form. But shows a few quirks and I wonder whether he may be the type to need longer between his races. Somersby improved an awful lot at Cheltenham and is a big horse, type to keep improving. Given a bit to do there and has AP on board today. Saw Riverside Theatre win a minor race with any amount in hand at Newbury, on a sound surface. “Could be anything”. El Dancer would be a lot shorter with different connections. Has travelled really well in all his races and this speed test may suit him. 2:35 Am just waiting for Herecomesthetruth to refuse to race. He's a strange one. Loves jumping but hates running, gives away a lot of ground between fences then gains with extravagant leaps but wants to let the others by on the run-in. Not one to take a short price with. Massini's Maguire would be the main bet if he had not had such a hard race in the SA Chase. Goes well on good ground. Shining Gale is another with form on a sound surface. Stable in good form. Would have beaten Herecomesthetruth at Cheltenham earlier in the year, even if that horse had not run out. Or Jaune only wins narrowly, idling. But as such may have more ability than he's shown so far. Also proven on a sound surface. 3:45 Mr Pointment now a non-runner. Gwanako won this last year, jumping well. Consistent but not handicapped out of things. Stable has Nozic in here which helps his stable companion with far more out of the handicap than would be. Bishops Bridge is interesting off a long lay off. Ping Pong Sivola is a tough mare, ran with guts at Cheltenham out in front jumping like a stag. Ideal type for this if over her hard race. Stable not in as good form now. Consigliere has been progressive in small fields this season, if he takes to the course / stays could run well at a price. The Sawyer is a similar type to Ping Pong. Just less likely to improve. Has improved on a soft surface this term but did run very well at Punchestown last season on good. Seems over priced. Irish Raptor missed break last time and unseated when almost running out time before when unseating. Seems to like this place better than any other venue. Run well in this race last year. Danger to all. Ginge

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 3:10 Aintree Voy Por Ustedes has the best chance. Has not jumped as well this season as last. Possibly does not like being crowded and may be kept wide today. Schindler's Hunt travelled very well in that race, looking the probable winner coming down the hill. There's a chance this less of a test (flat 2m4f) will suit. Though has sometimes found little. At 14/1 each way looks a decent bet. Nacarat is the improver but must find more again. Excellant front running display in the Racing Post Chase. Should be second favourite but just too short. Trainer in great form this year. May be taken on by Petit Robin who ran really well in the Queen Mum despite mistakes. Likes to front run, possibly better on softer and wonder whether he will stay. Tidal Bay is becoming a dog. Jockey seemed to give up last time before the horse relented and ran on, finishing fastest of all. Chance if putting it all in, big IF, excellant value on form, not temperament. Stable in poor form. Scotsirish probably does not jump well enough for this grade. Briarius is interesting at the price of around 25/1 if over his hard race / fall at Cheltenham. Goes well on a sound surface. 7 points each way @ 16/1 (Betfred bog) Schindler's Hunt 4 points each way @ 25/1 (WH) Briarius

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 Should have been 14/1 bog Schindler's Hunt Ginge

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 3:45 addition 4 points @ 9/1 Irish Raptor

[bowles10]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 well done today Mate, el dancer, schindlers & irish raptor all nice prices for you

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 Cheers Bowles. Now some Grand National additions. Already have My Will, Rambling Minster, Comply Or Die. Will put all the bets up later. Now: 1 point @ 69/1 Cloudy Lane (2.25% 40/1) 2 points @ 47/1 Snowy Morning (4% 25/1) 2 points @ 27/1 L'Ami (5% 20/1) 1 point @ 319/1 Zabenz (1.25% 80/1)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 2009 JOHN SMITH'S GRAND NATIONAL 4m4f AINTREE FORM GUIDE My percentage chance, price to beat, Horse, what I'd offer,trainer (trained in Ireland?), weight, age, rating running off, write up, jockey, best bookies price Friday evening, (Betfair price Friday evening). Prices in bold are value and those underlined are prices worth taking. 2.25% 40/1 Cloudy Lane (28/1)D McCain jnr 11 stones 10 lbs 9yo 158 Joint favourite last year (below form 6th) off a 17lb lower mark than on Saturday. Fell last time out though generally a good jumper. Seemed career best effort when winning Peter Marsh Chase penultimate start but form not yet working out. Needs to improve again. Possibly better on softer going. J Maguire. 50/1 (69/1). 1% 100/1 Chelsea Harbour (50/1)T Mullins (Irish) 11-8 9yo 156 Only 9th off a 10lb lower mark in last years National, weakened late on and appeared not to stay. Often makes mistakes, as last time. 4th in Leinster National, looks poorly handicapped judging on running with Southern Vic (3rd). Beaten 6 lengths yet 8lbs worse off with him. E Mullins. 80/1 (159/1). 4% 25/1 Snowy Morning (20/1) W P Mullins (Irish) 11-8 9yo 156 Good round of jumping (can hit one) when 3rd last year off 11lb lower mark than now. 4 lbs better off with Comply Or Die for 5½ lengths beating. Not in same form this term, found little for pressure last time. 2nd and beaten 17 lengths by Black Apalachi (3m1f on soft), now only 2lbs better off. Two best runs, in last years race and Guiness Gold Cup on good going (not had it this season). A McNamara. 28/1 (47/1). 0.75% 132/1 Knowhere (80/1) N A Twiston-Davies 11-7 11yo 155 Still in with a chance when unseating rider in 08 (on same mark Saturday), also unseated in 07. Not sure to stay 4m4f. Well beaten in Gold Cup making mistakes, first run for some time which suggests a problem. Only 1lb higher than when winning Old Roan Chase in October. P Brennan 66/1 (89/1). 7% 14/1 Comply Or Die (12/1) D E Pipe 11-6 10yo 154 Won last years race with something to spare off a 15lb lower mark. 7th and best race since, encouraging prep over inadequate trip (3m½f) in William Hill Handicap last time. Up with the pace until outpaced coming down hill. Not given a hard race once his chance had gone. Best blinkered and ridden prominently. Has a fair chance of being first to win back to back Nationals since Red Rum. Possibly unsuited by a firm surface. T Murphy. 20/1 (22/1). 0.5% 200/1 Ollie Magern (80/1) N A Twiston Davies 11-6 11yo 154 Best when fresh (not so on Saturday). 8Th, 1½ lengths behind Comply Or Die last time (same terms). Gives impression will stay. Often sulks if unable to lead. Mr S Waley-Cohen. 125/1 (159/1). 0.125% 800/1 Stan (200/1) V Williams 11-6 10yo 154 Winner only up to 2m5f, seems unlikely stayer. Pulled up at latest start. A Coleman. 125/1 (219/1). 4.5% 22/1 Black Apalachi (18/1) D T Hughes (Irish) 11-5 10yo 153 Easy “distance” winner of Beecher Chase. Hardly saw another horse, jumping his rivals ragged and clear most of the way. Form not worked out well and now on 15lb higher mark. Won Bobbyjo chase (see Snowy Morning) last time. Remains to be seen whether he can run / jump as well if taken on in front. Fell in last years race. Improvement this year on a soft surface. D O'Regan. 16/1 (18/1). 4.25% 22/1 Hear The Echo (18/1) M F Morris (Irish) 11-5 8yo 153 12 length winner of 08 Irish National on soft ground. Ante-post favourite before weights came out. Not well handicapped on chase form but improved over hurdles this term and may be capable of better over larger obstacles. Unseated on first chase start of the season last time. D Russel. 20/1 (27/1). 0.25% 400/1 Preists Leap (100/1) T G O'Leary (Irish) 11-5 9yo 153 Won Thyestes Chase in January on very soft going, for second year running; Beat Chelsea Harbour 4 lengths but is now 5lbs worse off. Disappointed on first start since. Softer the better. Only 7thin last years Irish National, 47 lengths behind Hear The Echo. P Enright. 100/1 (209/1). 13.25% 13/2 My Will (11/2) P F Nicholls 11-4 9yo 152 Worthy favourite; officially 8lbs “well in” on Saturday (would carry 8lbs more if handicapper could reassess his weight). 5th in Hennessey off 2lbs higher mark than Saturday. Looked likely to do even better there until lack of fitness told run-in. Several good placed efforts under big weights in handicaps in 06/07. 3rd for second successive year in Betfred Gold Cup (old Whitbread) off a mark of 161 (9lb more). 5th in Gold Cup last time, staying on. Has run well before at Aintree after running at Cheltenham, 2nd in Betfair Bowl. Proven up to 3m5f, sire and dam's sire influences for stamina. Has form on a firm and soft surface. R Walsh. 9/1 (9.5/1) 0.2% 500/1 Eurotrek (150/1)P F Nicholls 11-3 13yo 151 Winner of Beecher Chase over National fences back in 06 off a 4lb lower mark than Saturday. Not raced since 07 National, 16/1, pulled up after being hampered. Good record fresh but now a veteran and may be on the downgrade. Went well on good ground. S Thomas. 100/1(199/1). 6.5% 15/1 State Of Play (13/1) E Williams 11-2 9yo 150 Excellent record fresh and has been given a long break. Won Charlie Hall on reappearance, beat Ollie Magern a length, now 6lbs worse off but that rival has since regressed. Won 06 Hennessey off 145. Stays 3m2f well. Dam Kaprice not noted for producing stayers. Goes very well on a sound surface. Jumps well enough but is only small. P Moloney. 14/1 (15/1). 5.5% 18/1 Big Fella Thanks (15/1) P F Nicholls 11-1 7yo 149 Only a novice but already won Skybet Chase (soft going) and run well in Racing Post Chase (good) off this mark. In latter staying on 3rd and doing best of those held up. Officially “well in” by 1lb.Yet to race further than 3 miles but sire was a stayer (won Henry II) and grand dam is sister to an Eider Chase (4m) winner. Capable of improvement provided jumping is up to the task; made a few minor errors in only 6 chase starts to date, unseating once. C Williams. 25/1 (25/1). 0.5% 200/1 Mon Mome (80/1) V Williams 11-0 9yo 148 10th last year off a mark of 141(now 7lbs worse). Not been in the same form since being jumped in to in Welsh National when starting favourite; 2nd in that race in 06. Won a good handicap at Cheltenham in December, 8lbs higher mark on Saturday. Tailed off in Midlands National last time. Possibly best on soft. L Treadwell. 100/1 (189/1). 0.3% 300/1 Silver Birch (100/1) G Elliott (Irish) 11-0 12yo 148 Winner of 2007 race off 10lb lower mark, on good ground. First “races” since, won one point in February then pulled up in another before disappointing in a hurdle on 15th March. Now a veteran and probably not capable of the same form. R Power. 66/1 (89/1) 9.375% 10/1 Butler's Cabin (8/1) J J O'Neil 10-13 9yo 147 Going well when fell second Beechers off this mark in last years race. Too far out to be sure where he would have finished. Being a stayer (07 Irish National and 4m1f NH Chase winner) highly likely to have played a part in the finish. Not run to form for two years but has been trained specifically for this race. Ran well enough in Kim Muir Chase last time off a 12lb lower mark, outpaced latter stages of slowly run 3m1½f race, another 1¼ miles is bound to suit. Best two runs on a sound surface. AP McCoy. 9/1 (9/1). 1.25% 80/1 Offshore Account (50/1) C F Swan (Irish) 10-13 9yo 147 2nd off a much lower hurdle mark in first race since December 07. Looked a good prospect as a novice chaser, winning Grade 1 at Punchestown. Only two runs last season and obviously difficult to train. Half brother to The Listener but also to several who stay further. Acted on any ground (before injury) D Casey. 33/1 (43/1) 4.25% 22/1 Parsons Legacy (18/1) P J Hobbs 10-12 11yo 146 3rd in 4 mile 07 Scottish National. Won first time up this season at Cheltenham (6lbs higher on Saturday). Ran poorly on unsuitably soft going next time. Not run since but good record fresh. Best efforts on a sound surface. Reaching the veteran stage and possibly more exposed than most. R Johnson. 18/1 (18/1). 0.1%1000/1 Reveillez (400/1) J J O'Neil 10-12 10yo 146 Sire sprinter / miler First Trump. Weakened close home at 3m5f when favourite, 2nd in 07 firm ground Betfred. 3 lengths behind Hot Weld and 6 ahead of My Will. Now 5 lbs better off with former and 10lbs worse with latter. Changed stables from J Fanshawe. No form this term and seems on the downgrade. M Walsh. 150/1 (289/1). 0.1% 1000/1 Fundamentalist (500/1) N A Twiston-Davies 10-11 11yo 145 Jumps poorly, unseated at 4th fence last year and struggles to stay 3 miles. Does not seem in great form either. D England. 200/1 (339/1). 0.3% 300/1 Golden Flight (100/1) N Henderson 10-11 10yo 145 First start for almost 2 years and for Nicky Henderson. Well beaten 12th of 17 finishers in William Hill Chase after mistakes. Ex-French horse, winner of grade 2 and placed (beaten a distance) in grade 1. Unseated rider only other British chase start. Stays well and raced mainly on very soft. B Geraghty. 66/1 (109/1). 5% 20/1 L'Ami (16/1) E Bolger (Irish) 10-11 10yo 145 Ended Mick Fitzgerald's career in this race last year taking an awful fall and well beaten 10th in 07. In good form this term, jumping well in cross-country chases; 2nd at Cheltenham over 3m7f. Probably acts on any going. Races as though will be suited by another 5 furlongs. Worthy outsider if not remembering previous Aintree experience. R Thornton. 25/1 (26/1). 0.5% 200/1 Battlecry (80/1) N A Twiston-Davies 10-10 8yo 144 3rd in Sun Alliance to Alberta's Run and 2nd in Maghull Novice Chase to Big Bucks last season. Not in same form this time around, finishing weakly. Stable now in better form than when last seen in February. Stays 3 miles but gives the impression not an out and out stayer. T Scudamore. 50/1 (43/1). 1.5% 66/1 Cornish Set (40/1) P F Nicholls 10-10 10yo 144 First start after a breathing operation, 12th of 15 finishers last year off 4lb lower mark. Ran poorly last time (February). Runs well fresh, won Badger Beer at Wincanton off 137 on reappearance. Then 2nd in Welsh National off this mark in December; as usual staying on from off the pace. Seems of better temperament these days but probably exposed. N Schofield. 33/1 (45/1) 0.05% 2000/1 Fleet Street (500/1) N Henderson 10-10 10yo 144 Made all to win 3 mile handicap on fast ground at Kempton (now 9 lbs higher). Sulked when running poorly in Racing Post Chase. Possibly needs to lead and barely stays 3m. A Tinkler. 150/1 (309/1) 0.75% 132/1 Musica Bella (80/1) F Cottin (French trained mare) 10-10 9yo 144 Twice 2nd (similar form) to one of France's best chasers Remember Rose including in 3m3½f grade 1 Prix Jousselin. Probably below form last two starts. Raced mainly on heavy going. P Carberry. 150/1 (210/1) 1% 100/1 Can't Buy Time (50/1) J J O'Neil 10-9 7yo 143 Novice, appeared not to stay 4 miles in NH Chase last time out at Cheltenham. Had a hard race there and not much time to recover. Put up 13lbs for winning Sandown handicap very easily. N Fehily. 66/1 (79/1). 3% 33/1 Darkness (25/1) C R Egerton 10-9 10yo 143 Possibly fortunate winner of veterans chase last time at Newbury; Irish Raptor unseated on the flat. Though is officially 8lbs well in on Saturday. Sometimes seems to sulk when surrounded by horses. Can make mistakes. Pulled up in 06 Scottish National but races lazily and has a fair chance of staying 4½m. Goes well on a sound surface. W Hutchinson. 20/1 (19/1). 2% 50/1 Irish Invader (33/1) W P Mullins (Irish) 10-9 8yo 143 Won last three starts, looks well handicapped on form of two small field condition races. Unlikely to stay 4½ miles. Winner of 3m chase but improved since at 2¾m and shorter. Sire Bob Back not a great influence for stamina over jumps. Dam 1½m winner who produced one full brother to Irish Invader that got 2m on flat, but most do not stay as well. P Townend. 25/1 (28/1). 10.5% 17/2 Rambling Minster (15/2) K G Reveley 10-9 11yo 143 Better than ever on last two starts despite advancing years. Not all out to win Blue Square chase, 3½ miles on heavy, by 3½ lengths from previously impressive winner Coe; giving him 8lbs. Took wide course and possibly raced on the best ground there. However, still looks well handicapped, 6lbs well in on official ratings. Also won competitive Cheltenham handicap. Inexperienced jockey now unable to claim the 3lbs he had on those two occasions, though already been victorious over National fences (Endless Power in Grand Sefton). Rambling Minster won Borders National over 4 miles and Agfa Diamond chase in 07, latter on good going. Jumps well and big chance. J Reveley. 11/1 (11/1) 2.75% 33/1 Southern Vic (25/1) T M Walsh (Irish) 10-9 10yo 143 First time blinkered and jumped well in lead when 3rd in Leinster National (3m) latest start. Well handicapped with Chelsea Harbour (see above), but beaten 8 lengths fair and square by Emma Jane and Florida Express, albeit gave 17 and 15lbs. Below form behind Black Appalachi and Snowy Morning in muddling Bobbyjo Chase. Beaten before unseating at Canal Turn in Beecher Chase, off same mark Saturday. Pedigree suggests trip should suit; same sire as Comply Or Die and dam's family stay well. Raced mainly on soft ground. Remains to be seen how he will fare if unable to lead / second start in blinkers. N Madden. 28/1 (35/1) 3% 33/1 Kilbeggan Blade (25/1) T R George 10-7 10yo 141 Winner of London National for second successive year only chase start this season (now 4lbs higher). Beaten at odds-on in novice hurdle last time out. Stays well. Very best form on soft ground but that may be because it brings his stamina in to play. Trainer having an excellent season. G Lee. 22/1 (25/1). 0.75% 132/1 Brooklyn Brownie (66/1) J M Jefferson 10-6 10yo 140 Took well to National fences in Grand Sefton Chase in November, now 6lbs higher. Easily won 4 runner handicap last time off 135. Travels well at up to 3 miles. Sire Presenting not an especially strong stamina influence and dam's family not generally a staying one. P Kinsella. 33/1 (41/1). 1% 100/1 Himalayan Trail (50/1) J J Mangan (Irish) 10-6 10yo 140 Looked promising stayer for Sue Smith last year, Won Midlands National (4m1f). Now with National (Monty's Pass) winning trainer. Jumped well in Beecher Chase in November (remote 5th). Only 1lb lower now, 15 lbs better off with winner Black Apalachi. Since run poorly tried in cheek pieces and tongue tie suggesting a physical problem. P Flood. 33/1 (37/1). 0.1% 1000/1 Arteea (400/1) D E Pipe 10-5 10yo 139 Well below form in Kim Muir after a years absence, first start since leaving M Hourigan. Another who seems established as a 2½ miler. Possibly best on a soft surface. J Farrelly. 300/1 (859/1). 0.05% 2000/1 Cerium (500/1) P Murphy 8yo 10-5 139 Formerly fair sort for Paul Nicholls at up to 3m. Reportedly has had a heart problem. Outclassed in Gold Cup Unlikely to stay. K Mercer. 500/1 (859/1). 0.5% 200/1 Idle Talk (80/1)D McCain jnr 10-5 10yo 139 14th of 15 finishers in last years race off this mark. Below form 4th in Beecher Chase (November) no better since. Best runs last two seasons on reappearances. Acts on good and soft going. Seems on the downgrade, lacks his old enthusiasm these days. B Harding. 66/1 (79/1). 0.1% 1000/1 Kelami (400/1) L Williamson 10-5 11yo 139 Jumped poorly in three Grand Nationals. Ran well off this mark, close 2nd in Racing Post Chase last year on good going for F Doumen. Ran no sort of race over hurdles for current trainer. Now a veteran and on downgrade. D Laverty. 250/1 (549/1). 1.25% 80/1 Zabenz (50/1) P J Hobbs 10-5 12yo 139 Veteran staying chaser. Unraced under rules since 07 Betfred, every chance before bad mistake at last fence; stays 3m5f. Won two point to points easily at Larkhill and Badbury this year. Never fallen or unseated for Philip Hobbs, equipment failure when pulled up in Grand National. Had been in good form prior to those runs. Acts well on a sound surface. Consistent, if still capable of the same form. 125/1 (319/1).

[Stevet1859]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 25/1 and some other real crackers today Ginge :clap And some really in-depth write ups - great stuff.... Steve

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 Cheers mate. Now for Saturday. 2:15 12 points @ 15/1 Cornas (12% 15/2) 9 points @ 14/1 Made In Taipan (9% 10/1) 3 points @ 7.4/1 Song Of Songs (13% 13/2)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 2:50 22 points @ 4.7/1 Celestial Halo (22% 7/2) 15 points @ 6.8/1 Solwhit (15.5% 11/2) 8 points @ 9.5/1 Fivefourthree (11.5% 15/2)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 2:15 Kalahari King ran a really good race in the Arkle (2^nd) and should run well again. But came from off the pace, taking his time to get there. May struggle for pace at some stage on a sharper track. Jockey has only just been passed fit to ride, which is a slight worry too. Tatenan has been a good jumper in races where he's been able to dictate. Made jumping errors in Ireland and fell in the Arkle, on both occasions being taken on for the lead. Will be interesting to see what Ruby does with Made In Taipan a front-runnerand Dr David who can race prominently in the field. Has undoubted potential. Has over 8 lengths to find on Kalahari King but the chase course does seem to favour pace and Made In Taipan is the obvious pace setter. Could make his jumping pay around this flat track. Worth a bet at the price. Cornas has even more to find, but travelled very well to two out there, looking a danger to all. Then stumbled and weakened quite quickly. Less of a test might help him get closer and is improving fast. Song Of Songs by-passed Cheltenham and has won small field minor conditions races easily. Flat trainer Fanshawe has an excellent strike rate over jumps. As they say “could be anything”. 2:50 Celestial Halo had a really hard race at Cheltenham, arguably went too fast too early there. Did not run to his Cheltenham form last year when running here but that was over a sharp 2m. A stayer on the flat, there is every reason for him improving at this 2½m trip. Has the best form in the race and should take plenty of beating if over his Cheltenham exertions. At 4/1 or more it is worth the risk. Al Eile is looking to equal Morley Street in winning a fourth Aintree Hurdle. After an injury came back to win on the flat recently. However, there is no guarantee he is as good now and his price does not take that in to account. It would be a great story but not a betting proposition. Catch Me has his best distance, too slow for a Champion Hurdle, not enough stamina for a stayers Hurdle. But is probably better with softer conditions. Solwhit who won the Irish November Handicap on the flat. Has been gradually improving over hurdles. Won at Punchestown in April last season on good to yeilding. Bred to stay the trip. Fivefourthree is another with his distance, won Sun Alliance Hurdle last year. Has been injured but showed his well being (4/9 fav) when won on belated reappearance. Something to find on form but probably more improvement in him. Would love Katchit to come back to form and has a better chance at this trip. Stable in great form but just not in the same form as last year, not that that looks good enough to win here. Jered is not certain to stay the trip. Whiteoak was disappointing at Cheltenham. Blue Bajan has flat speed and runs well on good ground. Interesting outsider. Ginge

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09

Just racap my Grand National bets. 7 points @ 37/1 Notre Pere (oops) 5 points @ 33/1 Simon (oops) 8 points @ 20/1 Comply Or Die LAY to win 7 points @ 22/1 Comply Or Die 6 points @ 25/1 Rambling Minster 3 points @ 25/1 Big Fella Thanks 3 points @ 20/1 Rambling Minster 11 points @ 16/1 My Will 8 points @ 21/1 Comply Or Die 6 points @ 25/1 Garde Champetre (oops) 1 point @ 69/1 Cloudy Lane (2.25% 40/1) 2 points @ 47/1 Snowy Morning (4% 25/1) 2 points @ 27/1 L'Ami (5% 20/1) 1 point @ 319/1 Zabenz (1.25% 80/1)

Think that's all for now.:lol Ginge

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 3:10 Sandown 13 points @ 9/1 Lacdoudal (13% 13/2) 7 points @ 18/1 Oscar Park (7.5% 13/1) 7 points @ 21/1 Always Waining (7.5% 13/1) 5 points @ 8.2/1 Oodachee (14% 6/1)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 Lacdoudal has won this before and is yet to race over the trip this season. Has struggled for pace at around 3m and it's possible he could improve on this seasons form. Oscar Park was a very good novice chaser and staying hurdler. Could yet improve at this trip. Ground is a big worry but with the stable going very well worth a risk at the price. Always Waining is the opposite, goes really well on the ground but stable out of form. Ran really well over an inadequate trip at Aintree and if back to his best could run well at a big price. Have missed the big prices about Oodachee but just over 8's still looks enough value for a saver bet. Would have made it the main bet if the stable was in better form. Also ran well over an inadequate trip last time. Hoo La Balloo am not convinced about him staying the trip (even in these conditions) and should be opposed. Ginge