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Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much)


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My other thread in the glory hunters forum is going ok so I am going to try a slight variation and see how I get on.On my other thread I am picking games from various leagues with a fair amount of research into head to head records etc.I also put what I consider a value price on a 0-0 scoreline and if I can lay at a shorter price then I will put it up as a bet.All I am going to do on this thread is bet on any game in specific leagues where I consider I am getting a value price.I will be having more bets and I expect to get a proportion of losers but hopefully , IF my pricing of the games is more accurate than betfair, then I will make a level stakes profit. All bets will be laying 0-0 with betfair and will be £50 to start with.

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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Saturday 1st March Scottish Premier League

GAME VALUE PRICE BETFAIR PRICE BET STAKE LIABILITY
HIBERNIAN VS CELTIC 23 15 YES 3.58 50.12
FALKIRK VS MOTHERWELL 19 13.5 YES 4 50
GRETNA VS DUNDEE UTD 19 21 NO 0 0
INVERNESS VS HEARTS 16 14 NO 0 0
KILMARNOCK VS ST MIRREN 15 10.5 YES 5.27 50.07
RANGERS VS ABERDEEN 24 28 NO 0 0
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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Saturday 1st March German Bundesliga Not too sure about this league but there does appear to be good value so I will give it a bash.

GAME VALUE PRICE BETFAIR PRICE BET STAKE LIABILITY
HANNOVER VS NURNBERG 19 14.5 YES 3.71 50.09
ROSTOCK VS BIELEFELD 20 12.5 YES 4.35 50.03
KARLSRUHE VS WOLFSBURG 21 15 YES 3.57 49.98
SCHALKE VS BAYERN MUNICH 17 12.5 YES 4.35 50.03
BREMEN VS DORTMUND 29 18 YES 2.94 49.98
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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Saturday 1st March Dutch Eredivisie

GAME VALUE PRICE BETFAIR PRICE BET STAKE LIABILITY
BREDA VS SPARTA 31 17.5 YES 3.03 50
RODA VS ALKMAAR 25 20 YES 2.63 49.97
GRAAFSCHAP VS WILLEM II 21 13 YES 4.17 50.04
TWENTE VS HEERENVEEN 25 12.5 YES 2.5 50
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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Not the best of starts with Falkirk vs Motherwell ending 0-0. All Leagues Bets:12 Wins:11 SR:91.67% Staked: 600.31pts Returns:588.41pts P/L:-11.91pts Yield:-1.98% Scottish Premier League Bets:3 Wins:2 SR:66.67% Staked: 150.19pts Returns:108.6pts P/L:-41.59pts Yield:-27.69% Dutch Eredivisie Bets:4 Wins:4 SR:100% Staked: 200.01pts Returns:211.72pts P/L:+11.71pts Yield:+5.85% German Bundesliga Bets:5 Wins:5 SR:100% Staked: 250.11pts Returns:268.08pts P/L:+17.97pts Yield:+7.19%

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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Sunday March 2nd Dutch Eredivisie

GAME VALUE PRICE BETFAIR PRICE BET STAKE LIABILITY
AJAX VS EXCELSIOR 80 46 YES 1.11 49.95
FEYENOORD VS NEC 26 19 YES 2.78 50.04
GRONINGEN VS HERACLES 32 19.5 YES 2.7 49.95
UTRECHT VS PSV 23 17.5 YES 3.03 50
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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much)

Good luck with this and loving the title
Cheers WFTE :ok Full house today All Leagues Bets:18 Wins:17 SR:94.44% Staked: 900.25pts Returns:904.17pts P/L:+3.92pts Yield:+0.44% Dutch Eredivisie Bets:8 Wins:8 SR:100% Staked: 399.95pts Returns:420.80pts P/L:+20.85pts Yield:+5.21% German Bundesliga Bets:7 Wins:7 SR:100% Staked: 350.11pts Returns:374.76pts P/L:+24.65pts Yield:+7.04%
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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) 7th March Dutch Eredivisie

GAME VALUE PRICE BETFAIR PRICE BET STAKE LIABILITY
HERACLES VS UTRECHT 21 19.5 ?
No decision until later on this one.As it stands at the moment I don't feel I'm getting enough of an edge with the price.If I can get 18 or 18.5 then it will probably be a bet
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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Two winners tonight All Leagues Bets:20 Wins:19 SR:95% Staked: 1000.28pts Returns:1010.66pts P/L:+10.38pts Yield:+1.04% Dutch Eredivisie Bets:9 Wins:9 SR:100% Staked: 449.93pts Returns:473.57pts P/L:+23.64pts Yield:+5.25% German Bundesliga Bets:8 Wins:8 SR:100% Staked: 400.16pts Returns:428.47pts P/L:+28.31pts Yield:+7.07% Scottish Premier League Bets:3 Wins:2 SR:66.67% Staked: 150.19pts Returns:108.6pts P/L:-41.59pts Yield:-27.69%

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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Saturday 8th March German Bundesliga

GAME VALUE PRICE BETFAIR PRICE BET STAKE LIABILITY
Bielefeld v Schalke 20 13 YES 4.17 50.04
B Munich v Karlsruhe 21 22 NO 0 0
Duisburg v H Rostock 20 12.5 YES 4.35 50.03
Frankfurt v Bochum 23 14.5 YES 3.71 50.09
Stuttgart v W Bremen 26 16.5 YES 3.23 50.07
Wolfsburg v Cottbus 21 17 YES 3.13 50.08
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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Saturday March 8th Dutch Eredivisie

GAME VALUE PRICE BETFAIR PRICE BET STAKE LIABILITY
Excelsior v Vitesse 26 16.5 YES 3.23 50.07
Heerenveen v Breda 28 20 YES 2.63 49.97
Nijmegen v De Graafschap 22 17.5 YES 3.03 50
Willem II v Groningen 23 17 YES 3.13 50.08
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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Full house yesterday . I will update the banks after todays games. Sunday March 9th German Bundesliga

GAME VALUE PRICE BETFAIR PRICE BET STAKE LIABILITY
Leverkusen v Hannover 24 17 YES 3.13 50.08
Nurnberg v Hamburg 17 12 YES 4.55 50.05
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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) A loser in Germany today :wall All Leagues Bets:27 Wins:25 SR:93% Staked: 1600.89pts Returns:1596.08pts P/L:-4.81pts Yield:-0.3% German Bundesliga Bets:15 Wins:14 SR:93.33% Staked: 750.6pts Returns:749.6pts P/L:-1pts Yield:-0.13% Dutch Eredivisie Bets:13 Wins:13 SR:100% Staked: 700.1pts Returns:737.88pts P/L:+37.78pts Yield:+5.4% Scottish Premier League Bets:3 Wins:2 SR:66.67% Staked: 150.19pts Returns:108.6pts P/L:-41.59pts Yield:-27.69%

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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Marc 11th Scottish Premier League

GAME VALUE PRICE BETFAIR PRICE BET STAKE LIABILITY
Gretna v St Mirren 15 14.5 NO 0 0
After the events of yesterday with Gretna going into administration it is hard to envisage this game finishing 0-0 but I will go with the figures and there isn't enough of an edge so no bet
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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Two winners tonight All Leagues Bets:29 Wins:27 SR:93.1% Staked: 1700.96pts Returns:1702.10pts P/L:+1.14pts Yield:+0.06% German Bundesliga Bets:16 Wins:15 SR:93.75% Staked: 800.67pts Returns:802.74pts P/L:+2.07pts Yield:+0.26% Dutch Eredivisie Bets:14 Wins:14 SR:100% Staked: 750.1pts Returns:790.76pts P/L:+40.66pts Yield:+5.42% Scottish Premier League Bets:3 Wins:2 SR:66.67% Staked: 150.19pts Returns:108.6pts P/L:-41.59pts Yield:-27.69%

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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Two winners last night and I successfully dodged the Celtic 0-0 which was pleasing. All Leagues Bets:31 Wins:29 SR:93.55% Staked: 1801.13pts Returns:1808.76pts P/L:+7.63pts Yield:+0.42% German Bundesliga Bets:16 Wins:15 SR:93.75% Staked: 800.67pts Returns:802.74pts P/L:+2.07pts Yield:+0.26% Dutch Eredivisie Bets:15 Wins:15 SR:100% Staked: 800.18pts Returns:843.81pts P/L:+43.63pts Yield:+5.45% Scottish Premier League Bets:4 Wins:3 SR:75% Staked: 200.28pts Returns:162.21pts P/L:--38.07pts Yield:-19%

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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Two winners last night There was an error in my liability for the Dutch game as it should have read 49.97.Banks are as follows. All Leagues Bets:31 Wins:29 SR:93.55% Staked: 1901.1pts Returns:1914.11pts P/L:+13.01pts Yield:+0.68% German Bundesliga Bets:17 Wins:16 SR:94.12% Staked: 850.67pts Returns:855.62pts P/L:+4.95pts Yield:+0.58% Dutch Eredivisie Bets:16 Wins:16 SR:100% Staked: 850.15pts Returns:896.28pts P/L:+46.13pts Yield:+5.43% Scottish Premier League Bets:4 Wins:3 SR:75% Staked: 200.28pts Returns:162.21pts P/L:--38.07pts Yield:-19%

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Re: Munki's Slightly More Imaginative System (But Not Much) Saturday 15th March Scottish Premier League

GAME VALUE PRICE BETFAIR PRICE BET STAKE LIABILITY
Aberdeen v Gretna 29 22 YES 2.38 49.98
Hibernian v Kilmarnock 20 15.5 YES 3.45 50.03
Inverness CT v Falkirk 16 13.5 YES 4 50
Motherwell v Celtic 22 16 YES 3.33 49.95
St Mirren v Hearts 13 12.5 NO 0 0
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