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lunatism

Lunatism’s Statistical Selections (lss)

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Re: Lunatism’s Statistical Selections (lss)

Don't see how it can be done. How can anyone write a programme that takes in to account how every player in every team around the world is playing? Sorry but can't be done effectively enough to produce accurate percentages. Ginge
how indeed. must be some programme :eek

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Re: Lunatism’s Statistical Selections (lss)

Don't see how it can be done. How can anyone write a programme that takes in to account how every player in every team around the world is playing? And how a team will be effected by one player not playing (injured). Sorry but can't be done effectively enough to produce accurate percentages. Ginge
Yes it can. The program doesn't need to account for every possible variable in order to be effective. It only needs to produce probabilities more accurately than the market.

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Re: Lunatism’s Statistical Selections (lss) NE, An odds compiler would be looking at things like how good each team is in the air, how good they are at a probable 4-5-1 formation etc. Yes you have only got to be better than the market but that market is produced by a professional odds compiler who studies each match in quite some detail. Therefore, it would surely be wise to take in to account all the things an odds compiler does. I do not see how that can be done without a certain amount of opinion. Anyway, do not think Loon will appreciate a debate on a completely different subject on his thread so will leave it there. Ginge

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Re: Lunatism’s Statistical Selections (lss) For football, markets are defined more by where the money in Asia is going. I would guess odds compilers have programs which give them their prices. They may then adjust according to subjective factors (injuries, formation, heading ability, whatever), other bookie prices (they don't want to be out of line) and where the money is going in Asia. Bookies basically want a balanced book and the overround does its job.

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