PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Huntingdon 3:10 Diamond Destiny Tested at Haydock having Timmy Murphy on board 307 days ago for a different trainer. A big performance may have been expected that day. Those who finshed ahead has not done much wrong since. 1st-One Gulp: Tried in Class 1 on next two (finished 9th and 12th), won latest start (hurdle debut earlier this month). 2nd- Castlecrossings: Finished 8th next time followed by a 6-1-2-2 over hurdles. 3rd- Fiddle: won next start. 4th- Our Tees Component: only been tested once since, 10th of 15. POssible she still capable of capturing such an event today. 5 pts ew @ 9-1 bet365 Huntingdon 3:40 Pride Of Mine Jockey Charlie Poste is in decent form having finished 3-1-3 on last three starts. Had a touch time last time out when 4th of 15 at Hexham. Could not past at P F Nicholls and A King trainer runners that day. Also, another that day followed up with a 5 1/2 length defeat for 7th of 10 in a Group 2 bumper at Aintree. She is a half sister to a Group 3-placed miler on the flat. Racing right handed might produce a better result than the previous two 4th. 5 pts ew @ 8-1 bet365 Towcester 3:30 Cadoudalas Owned by Trevor Hemmings. Hemmings owned bumper performers has a good mark this year. 1 win from 12 with 4 being 2nd and third once - 50% in 3rd or better. The last 5 seasons, 17 wins from 135 with 18 2nd, 12 2rd - 35% 3rd or better. The last 5 seasons, 50% strike rate of being 4th or better. 10 pts win @ 5-2 skybet Wincanton 3:50 Freddy's Star Beaten by a whisker for 3rd place 280 days ago. He is very far from being the favorite here but has the most experience with 3 races already - 7-6-3. First time out for current trainer. Trainer has a limited number of runners and this one is the only one for today. 2 pts ew @ 20-1 bet365 (BOG) Wincanton 3:50 Finney Owned by Trevor Hemmings. Hemmings owned bumper performers has a good mark this year. 1 win from 12 with 4 being 2nd and third once - 50% in 3rd or better. The last 5 seasons, 17 wins from 135 with 18 2nd, 12 2rd - 35% 3rd or better. The last 5 seasons, 50% strike rate of being 4th or better. 3 pts ew @ 14-1 bet365 (BOG)

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Huntingdon 12:25 Rebel Melody Won: 1st of 12 led, hung left from approaching 3 out, headed 2 out, rallied gamely under pressure to regain lead close home Huntingdon 2:00 Victorias Groom Unplaced: of 12 held up in rear, hampered 9th, badly hampered and unseated rider 11th (water) Kempton 12:45 Polyfast Placed: 2nd of 11 led, not fluent 2 out, ridden and narrowly headed when hit last, not pace of winner Kempton 1:20 Barbers Shop Unplaced: 4 of 6 held up, hit 4th headway to lead 7th, headed 10th, prominent, blundered badly 14th, ridden approaching 3 out, one pace from next Kempton 1:55 Penzance Unplaced: 3 of 6 tracked leaders, ridden and every chance briefly after 3 out, not pace at leading pair from next Kempton 1:55 Punjabi Unplaced: 4 of 6 held up, hit 3 out, soon ridden went 4th 2 out, but never troubled leaders Sedgefield 12:00 Auroras Encore DNF: Carried Out tracked leaders until carried out 3rd Sedgefield 2:10 Ryminster Unplaced: of 14 in touch, blundered and unseated rider 6th Towcester 12:50 Tot O' Whiskey Placed: 2nd of 14 tracked leaders, led 3 out, ridden soon after, left in lead briefly last, no extra Towcester 1:25 Donald Will Do Unplaced: 5 of 13 led, headed 9th, weakened 3 out Towcester 2:55 Aya Placed: 3rd of 12 tracked leader, ridden to challenge 3f out, stayed on same pace final 2f Wetherby 1:00 Breaking Shadow DNF: Fell mid-division, outpaced 3 out, 9th and beaten when fell next Wetherby 2:05 In Dream's Unplaced: 13 of 14 led, headed after 6th, soon lost place and behind, tailed off 3 out Wetherby 2:05 Mith Hill Unplaced: 9 of 14 in touch, led after 6th, headed before 3 out, soon weakened Wetherby 3:35 Khachaturian Unplaced: 7 of 12 mid-division, headway 4 out, soon ridden 5th and no impression when blundered 2 out Wincanton 12:30 Miss Midnight Placed: 2nd of 15 prominent, ridden and chased winner approaching 2 out, kept on well from last, not reach winner Wincanton 2:45 Russian Trigger Won: 1st of 10 chased leader, ridden and led approaching 2 out, headed 2 out, hampered and left in lead after, hard driven flat, held on gamely Wincanton 3:20 Lidjo De Rouge Won: 1st of 9 prominent, chased leader 11th, ridden to lead approaching 3 out, in command 2 out, readily Huntingdon 3:10 Diamond Destiny Unplaced: 8 of 12 took keen hold, tracked leaders, ridden over 4f out, weakened 3f out Huntingdon 3:40 Pride Of Mine Placed: 3rd of 11 led, ridden over 1f out, edged slightly left, headed well inside final furlong, not quicken Towcester 3:30 Cadoudalas Placed: 2nd of 10 with winner, every chance final 2f, held near finish Wincanton 3:50 Freddy's Star Unplaced: 4 of 14 led, ridden and headed 3f out, one pace Wincanton 3:50 Finney Placed: 2nd of 14 in touch, headway 5f out, ridden to lead 3f out, headed over 2f out, no extra

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Chepstow 12:20 Supreme Huntress Chase debut. Won 2 and placed 2 from 7 hurdle events. Undefeated from 2 starts at the track - 2m4f and 3m events. Beaten by 11 1/2 in 4th of 20 with the 1,2,3 being the more epxerienced Eden Linty, Miko De Beauchene, and Hills of Aran. That race was for 3 miles and 1/2 furlong. I'll take the chance he can make a winning chase debut today from the experience hurdling and the connections he belong to. Owned by The Stewart Family: 6 wins from 14 at the track the last 5 seasons - 3 from 6 chasers. Trainer P F Nicholls has 5 wins from 9 chasers here this year. Jockey R Walsh has 3 wins from 5 here this year. 10pts win @ 7-2 bet365 Chepstow 3:15 What A Friend Has course and distance experience - finished 2nd of 16. He deserves the Racing Post forecast of being the 15-8 favorite. The C&D outing would be better than the 1 lengths defeat into 2nd place if the last fence was jumped without errors. He'll be well prepared for today as he comes from the P F Nicholls and R Walsh team. The trainer and jockey record with hurdlers at the track this year is tough to oppose. Nicholls: 5 wins from 21, 9 placed. Walsh: 5 wins from 10, 7 placed - all trained by Nicholls. 10 pts win @ 6-4 bet365 (BOG) Wetherby 1:25 Circassian Chase debut. Circassian will be running in a "Beginners' Chase" race. The stats I have to compare that will be the Novice Chasers' record with the Trainer and Jockey combo. J Howard Johnson and Denis O'Regan has 8 wins from 11 novice chasers since October. Circassian won once when hurdling and placed 4 times from 13 outings. This season: Jockey Denis O'Regan has a better record with chasers at 15 wins from 67 (22%) and just 14 from 97 (14%) over hurdles. Trainer J Howard Johnson also does better with chasers. 13 wins from 47 (28%) compare to 15 wins from 104 hurdlers (14%). 5 pts ew @ 11-4 bet365 (BOG)

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Kempton 12:40 Mud Monkey Has a great record with jockey on for today, Tom Siddall - 2-2-1-1-7-4. All raced over hurdles. Has a bit of value around 8,9,10's and with Callisto Moon out of the picture I think he can at least sneak into the placed money. Has weight to give around but experience I'll side with the eperience for this novice event. 5pts ew @ 8-1 bet365 (BOG)

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Kempton 1:15 Mahogany Blaze Racing Post forecast suggested it to be the 3-1 fav but is currently the clear favorite. In good forms since return from summer break. 1st and 2nd on the two starts. Won by 9 lengths over course and distance last month. Last seen finishing 2nd in a Grade 2 at Sandown 19 days ago. He had P F Nicholls' Marodima to deal with that day and came up 3 1/2 lengths short. 10 pts win @ 2-1 paddypower Kempton 1:50 Eden Linty Clearly deserves to be favorite on his form having won the last 4 starts. She gets to be top weight but with her performances I think she can defy that. Handled the Newbury rivals 27 days ago with a 2 length vitory against Miko De Beauchene and Hills Of Aran. Both males that placed in Graded events. Current condition does not show any defects and likely to perform in higher class events someday. 10 pts win @ 2.05-1 betfair Kempton 2:25 Hoo La Baloo Has one major danger by the name of Voy Por Ustedes. Ashley Brook is a non runner so it might help Hoo La Baloo to get past VPU. Baloo has a course and distance experience for a win. LTO was the Tingle Creek and he was 4th there with VPU in the same race being 7 lenghts ahead. There is a weight difference this time (last time at level weight) with HLB at 11-4 and VPU at 11-10. 5pts ew @ 3-1 bet365 (BOG) Kempton 2:55 Scribano Eile Solid efforts from the last two outings finishing 1st and 2nd. Unseated rider and pulled up on first two chase starts. He's by the Twiston-Davies and Brennan team so I believe the current price is some good value. The duo has a 22% win rate with chasers this season - 17 from 79. 2 wins from 4 at the track this season. Brennan was on for the first two chases. He was also on for the latest where the weight was at 10-2, 11-11 and 11-4 for the first two. 5 pts ew @ 9-1 totesport

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Southwell 3:25 Dado Mush Won both starts here this month. By 3 1/2 and 5 lengths. All for the same distance set for today. Jockey Kirsty Milczarek from the two is on again today. More weight to carry I'll take the chace for the other consistency. 10 pts win @ 5-4 betterbet Wolverhampton 6:50 Tiger's Rocket 2yo who has one race here for experience - finished 5th of 12. That was for 9 furlongs and his best prior to that was a 7f event at Kempton. Raced 8 furlongs 15 days ago at Kempton and another drop of trip might help. Trainer form is 1-2-5-2-5-1-5-3-2-1 this monnth. 5-2-1 at this venue. Last 5 with having Hadden Frost as jocky is at 4-1-4-5-2 The last two 2yo's finished 2nd over 6f and 1st over 9f - both raced here. 5 pts ew @ 7-2 bet365 (BOG) Wolverhampton 8:50 Altos Reales Has improved his efforts at the track throughout his career 8-8-8-7-4-3 - all this year. The last happened to be for the same distance needed to race today. He's enjoyed going this far, 1-4-3-3 with distance being 11,11,12,12 furlongs. May just continue to be in the money with that evidence. 5 pts ew @ 4-1 bet365 (BOG)

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist 12.27.07 Chepstow 12:20 Supreme Huntress Unplaced: 6 of 14 towards rear, staying on from 4 out and held when mistake 2 out 3:15 What A Friend Won: 1st of 15 held up mid-division, headway 4 out, ridden to lead before last, ran on well Kempton 12:40 Mud Monkey Unplaced: 4 of 11 led, under pressure after 3 out, headed before next, weakened, finished tired 1:15 Mahogany Blaze Won: 1st of 4 always prominent, good jump to lead 4 out, well in command when hit 2 out, came readily, clear easily 1:50 Eden Linty DNF: Pulled up in touch, blundered 7th, hit 3 out, weakened soon after, pulled up before 2 out 2:25 Hoo La Baloo Placed: 2nd of 7 mostly chased leaders to 6th, led next to 3 out, no chance with winner from next 2:55 Scribano Eile DNF: Pulled up wanted to go left throughout, soon towards rear, went badly left 10th and pulled up Wetherby 1:25 Circassian Won: 1st of 7 held up, not fluent 3rd, went 2nd approaching 4 out, led 2 out, kept on well 2:00 Pagan Starprincess Placed: 2nd of 18 tracked leaders, challenged when not fluent 3 out, ridden next, kept on and every chance last, no extra flat 2:35 Kruguyrova Placed: 2nd of 5 led, blundered 9th, headed after next, rallied and every chance 3 out, not quickened from last 3:05 Lennon Unplaced: 6 of 9 led to 1st, mistake next, chased leaders, headway 8th, effort 4 out, outpaced when hit 2 out, weakened approaching last Southwell 3:25 Dado Mush Won: 1st of 8 held up behind leaders, effort when not much room over 2f out, switched right and quickened to lead 2f out, ran on final furlong Wolverhampton 6:50 Tiger's Rocket Won: 1st of 11 led early, always prominent, bumped well over 1f out, led entering final furlong, swished tail, ran on 8:50 Altos Reales Placed: 2nd of 9 mid-division, headway 3f out, ridden over 2f out, stayed on inside final furlong

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Through 12.26 Total Bets 47 Wins 4 Placed 16 Profit -193.55 pts Stakes 427.00 pts Average Back Price 7.49 Lay Price n/a Finish 4.59 DNF 6 Strike Rate 22.22% Yield -45.33%

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Catterick 12:20 Ticket To Freedom A much closer look than just the form to take this for the winner today. Owner Lady Ann Bentinck over the last 5 season have accumulated 4 wins from 29 hurdlers - total of 9 placed, 31%. All 4 winners was trained by J J Quinn, from 19 races. J J Quinn is the trainer of Ticket To Freedom. Quinn's hurdle form this season is at 10 wins from 45, 21 finished 3rd or better and 26 4th or better. Quinn has his best jockey Dougie Costello on for Ticket To Freedom. Costello's hurdle record this season for Quinn is at 10 wins from 39 for +31.50 LSP. 3pts ew @ 16-1 BBet365 BOG

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Catterick 1:50 Gloucester Doncaster novice for only hurdle experience should be enough to be one of the best here. That race was 3 1/2 furlongs farther than the trip for today and RP Spotlight indicates he can improve with that change. Finished 3rd of 17 LTO with the 2nd place able to win his next race, raced 2 miles. This is another J J Quinn and Dougie Costello hurdler combo. 10 pts win @ 5-2 Betfred Catterick 2:20 Cedrus Libani Unbeaten from two chase starts and RP has him forecasted as the 8-13 favorite. His win at Carlisle and Aintree is more than what the rivals have done lately. Hurdle form was in winning range for 2 wins from 5 with the last being the Supreme Nov. Hurdle at Cheltenham - finished 11th. From RP analysis of his latest race: :..he is shaping as though he's going to be a better chaser than hurdler." 10pts win @ 2-5 Bet365 BOG Catterick 2:55 Northern Quest Last two starts are chases, raced this month- 4th of 11 and 3rd of 14. Last hurdle start was in March and connections should be glad to the switch. Hurdle form for best is twice 3rd from 9 races. His better showing to fences has to be conisdered. Raced the course and distance 10 days ago and only had the favorite (Divex) and 2nd favorite (Media Man) finished ahead. 10 pts win @ 2-1 Bet365 BOG Catterick 2:55 Emperor's Monarch Won by 2 lenghts last time out with 4th place another 10 lengths behind. It was only his second start over fences and could possibly the jockey that produced the result. Today will be the third time with jockey Brian Hughes and they've been together the last two starts - 5th and 1st. Hughes has a record to not ignore when working for trainer J Wade. Their combo record with chasers is 7 wins from 22 - only 2 wins from hurdlers. This is the only runner today for the trainer and jockey combo. 5pts ew @ 6-1 Bet365 BOG Catterick 3:25 Bennynthejets This will be the first try of going 3 miles. Battled hard to win his latest start at this very track - won by a head with 3rd place 16 lengths behind. The trainer has been in good form all month - 4-1-3-3-4-1-5-PU-2. All with jockey Tom Messenger. One runner raced 2m7f and finished 3rd of 15 (08Dec) and 3rd of 14 at 3m at Kempton yesterday. Trainer C C Bealby has a 38.24% (13/34) rate of being placed with hurdlers since May 2007. 3 from 3 of being placed this month - 1-3-3. 5pts ew @ 11-2 Bet365 BOG

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Leicester 1:00 One Gulp Owner R J McAlpine knows how to buy the hurdlers. 6 wins from 16 - total of 9 placed. All trained by the trainer of One Gulp, P R Webber. Novice Hurdlers has a mark of 6 wins from 12 races. 5pts ew @ 3-1 Bet365 BOG

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Leicester 1:30 Zorro De La Vega Consistent chaser, 2-3-3-2-3 lifetime in field size of 6-8-5-2-9. First three was raced in France until being trained by D E Pipe. Gained much market support as he was the 3-1 favorite last time out - raced course and distance. The last three have never had the stable jockey Tom Scudamore. Scudamore is scheduled to be jockey today but this track has shown poor results for him - 2 wins from 29 the last 5 seasons. I think D E Pipe's record of 5 wins from 10 here can help Scudamore improve his current track record. 5 pts ew @ 9-2 Bet365 BOG

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Leicester 2:30 Alphabetical Trainer C J Mann and jockey Noel Fehily combo have won 4 of the last 8 they teamed up for. Mann has 4 wins this month, all with Fehily. Fehily has 6 wins from 21 Mann chasers this season for +10.00 LSP. I think Alphabetical is ready for today for having been raced at Cheltenham 14 days ago. 5pts ew @ 13-2 Bet365 BOG Leicester 2:30 Highland Chief 12 of 13 wins and 22 of 26 placed horses of jockey Robert Thornton was for trainer A King this month. The duo is currently doing very well with and worth to go with this runner -1 of their two for today. Highland Chief is currently well in good form the form at 1-1-2 since October - last raced 30 days ago. 13lb higher than for last win but trainer and jockey record this month could help defy that. 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Leicester 2:30 Basic Fact All three 2nd placed finish chasing have come with A P McCoy on board. He's had 6 chases with the other 3 having Richard McGrath for jockey. McCoy booking gets the vote for this to go along with this. McCoy's chase record the last 5 seasons at the track is perhaps his best in that span. 11 wins from 26 - 42% for +9.65 LSP. The only track where his win rate is higher the last 5 seasons would be Hexham at 60% - 3 from 5. The three 2nd places was for defeats of 2 1/2, 1/2, hd. 3pts ew @ 16-1 Bet365 BOG Leicester 3:05 No Complaint Improved greatly as the year went on - 8-4-4-2-1-3-2-1 from January to June. Had A P McCoy for both career wins but he is not here today. Jockey will be Willi McCarthy, who has 2 wins from the last 3 chasers for T R George. He gained plenty of experience when having the champion jockey for guide and it's possible it can conitnue without him. 5pts ew @ 7-2 Bet365 BOG Leicester 3:05 Olay Olay The other A P McCoy chase mount. Price is good on this one. Record with McCoy is 2-1-PU, win and 2nd placed finish are the best for Olay Olay's career. McCoy's record at the track and with the horse could get this to the wire first. 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Leicester 3:35 Boss Imperial Won two hurdle events when in France but only a 5th of 12 for best here. His two wins from France was ran on Very Soft at 15 and 17 furlongs. The only coft ground here wa the last two they are were raced at Cheltenham and Newbury - Pulled up and 6th of 7. I think he just want a certain condition to to his best. He was able to finish 1 length behind Gwanako as a 3yo. France resume also includes finishing ahead of Laustra Bad and Pancake as a 3yo. Going right handed on soft ground might just be enough to cause and upset today. 3pts ew @ 11-1 Bet365 BOG Leicester 3:35 Zirkel 12 of 13 wins and 22 of 26 placed horses of jockey Robert Thornton was for trainer A King this month. The duo is currently doing very well with and worth to go with this runner - 1 of their two for today. Won on soft 19 days ago defeateding Mossman George by 2 lengths. Stable's current form is likely capable of improving his ablity to compete today. Racing Post forecast favorite Nike Walker being a non runner sure helps alot. 10pts win @ 2.16 Betfair

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Through | 12.27.07 Total Bets | 61 Wins | 9 | 14.75% Placed | 23 | 37.70% Profit | -172.05 pts Stakes | 567.00 pts Average Back Price | 7.26 Lay Price | n/a Finish | 4.09 DNF | 8 Strike Rate | 27.12% Yield | -30.34%

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Catterick 12:20 Ticket To Freedom 3 pts ew @ 16-1 Bet365 BOG 3rd of 16 (28-1 SP) mid-division, headway to chase winner approaching 2 out, one pace from last 1:50 Gloucester 10 pts win @ 5-2 Betfred 2nd of 13 held up, headway approaching 3 out, chased leaders approaching next, kept on from last 2:20 Cedrus Libani 10pts win @ 2-5 Bet365 BOG 1st of 7 chased leaders, went 2nd approaching 3rd, led and hit 3 out, hit last, driven out 2:55 Northern Quest 10 pts win @ 2-1 Bet365 BOG 1st of 12 held up mid-division, headway 10th, led 2 out, kept on well 2:55 Emperor's Monarch 5pts ew @ 6-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 7 of 12 in touch, blundered 5th, weakened approaching 3 out 3:25 Bennynthejets 5pts ew @ 11-2 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 7 of 13 led to 6th, weakened approaching 2 out Leicester 1:00 One Gulp 5pts ew @ 3-1 Bet365 BOG 1st of 16 held up in touch, every chance 3 out, soon ridden, led last, ran on 1:30 Zorro De La Vega 5 pts ew @ 9-2 Bet365 BOG 1st of 11 tracked leaders, always travelling well, led after last, soon edged left under pressure, ridden out 2:30 Alphabetical 5pts ew @ 13-2 Bet365 BOG DNF: Unseater rider mid-division when blundered and unseated rider 2nd 2:30 Highland Chief 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 5 of 16 mid-division, ridden 4 out, headway approaching 2 out, never on terms 2:30 Basic Fact 3pts ew @ 16-1 Bet365 BOG 1st of 16 held up mid-division, headway 11th, chased leaders 3 out, ridden to lead soon after last, all out 3:05 No Complaint 5pts ew @ 7-2 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 4 of 9 tracked leaders, not fluent 4th, under pressure approaching 3 out, soon one pace 3:05 Olay Olay 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG 2nd of 9 led, driven 2 out, jumped left last, hard ridden and headed flat, kept on 3:35 Boss Imperial 3pts ew @ 11-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 5 of 7 tracked leaders, effort 3 out, weakened next 3:35 Zirkel 10pts win @ 2.16 Betfair DNF: Pulled up tracked leader, shaken up and under pressure 4 out, weakening when not fluent next, pulled up before last

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Taunton 2:25 Royal Wedding He's come back for a 3rd and 1st this year from being out over 2 years. Best career hurdle finish prior to LTO's 16 length victory was a 3 length defeat into 2nd of 15 with R Walsh on board in '05. Both starts this year have been with Jay Pemberton. Pemberton has just two wins from 19 this year but has a total of 9 of 3rd or better - 4th or better in 11. Royal Wedding was sent of as the favorite twice as a novice and I think he's one to have what it takes to take this event. 5pts ew @ 11-2 Bet365 BOG Taunton 3:30 Follow Your Heart Won by 3 lengths 27 days ago. Some parts of the RP Analysys from that race below. -given a forceful ride by Tony McCoy having bounced him out to make all the running. -jumping was much more assured than in previous chasing efforts and he had these on the stretch from some way out. Today will be the first at the course for Folloy Your Heart but McCoys record here should make that not be a problem. McCoy chasers here since 2003 has 6 wins from 20 with 14 being placed. 5pts ew @ 4-1 Bet365 BOG

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Taunton 4:00 Tom Fontenailles The event here has allowed some big priced runners to be in the money. 2003: 20-1, 33-1, 33-1, for 1st, 2nd, 3rd. 2003: 50-1 3rd 2004: 66-1 2nd 2005: 200-1 2nd 2006: 66-1 3rd Finished 11th of 18 (beaten 43 lengths) LTO but raced against many that have done some good after. Master Wolfe (10th) 8th-6th-3rd since then. Rebel Melody (8th) went 2nd to Gone To Lunch and 1st on next two starts. Willie Pep (5th) beaten 2 1/2 lenghts into 2nd by Deep Purple next time out. Foxspur (4th) placed 3rd next time out. Dr Hart (3rd) won Maiden Hurdle by 6 lengths at Ascot next time out. Nom De Guerre (2nd) won by 24 lengths next time out as the 10-11 favorite. Mount Oscar (1st) beaten 3 lengths into 2nd for Grade 2 Novice Hurdle at Sandown. Trainer N J Hawke has 5 NH runners sired by Kaldounevees over the last 5 seasons. Two of those five is among his top rated NH performers. One is Sultan Fontenaille, whose first 7 hurdling start having been 8-8-7-1-1-2-1 2 pts ew @ 100-1 Bet365 BOG

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Taunton 2:25 Royal Wedding 5pts ew @ 11-2 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 6 of 14 tracked leaders, ridden after 3 out, soon beaten 3:30 Follow Your Heart 5pts ew @ 4-1 Bet365 BOG DNF: Pulled up mid-division, ridden and weakened 12th, pulled up before 4 out 4:00 Tom Fontenailles 2 pts ew @ 100-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 9 of 16 mid-division, some headway 6th, weakened 3 out

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Through | 12.29.07 Total Runs | 76 Wins | 16 | 21.05% Places | 31 | 40.79% Profit | -109.85 pts Stakes | 703.00 pts Average Back Price | 7.33 Lay Price | n/a Finish | 3.89 DNF | 9 | 11.84% Strike Rate | 30.14% Yield | -15.63%

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Uttoxeter 12:30 Quickbeam Very good hurdle debut 27 days ago. Beaten into 2nd place by 1 1/4 length by A King's Pennek. The 3rd place horse, Sullumo, was 8 lengths behind Quickbeam. Sullumo his next race by 6 lengths. 4th placed runner as the 2-1 favorite, April San nearly 10 lengths behind Quickbeam. The distance and jockey will be the same so I think he'll be able to do well today. 10pts win @ 11-4 Sportingbet Uttoxeter 12:30 Radmores Revenge Hurdle debut today and likely to be at higher odds for bumper form being 15-SU-9. Something to consider is the record of the jockey, A Coleman. Coleman has 2 wins from 2 hurdle try at the course. This is the track where he is most experienced, 6 races. His form all month has been profitable, +50.13 with hurdlers from 3 wins of 7 hurdlers. 5-1-8-2-2-8-4-2-1-1-6-4 are his results for this month. He has been 4th or better for 11 of 22 hurdle races - 5, 4, 1, 1 (1st,2nd,3rd,4th). 0 wins (2 placed) from 11 chases. 2pts ew @ 100-1 Bet365 BOG Uttoxeter 1:00 Papillon De Iena 5th and 1st last month and recently a 2nd place finish 5 days ago. The win was from from a similar event over course and distance. Jockey A Coleman gets the mount. He was jockey for Radmores Revenge once and only finished 5th of 8, beaten 50 lengths. Colmeman is having a better month this time around (1 win from 17 last month) so I think he can be better than that 5th. 3pts ew @ 14-1 Bet365 BOG

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Warwick 12:40 Toulouse-Lautrec Not been raced since 2006 but offers a winning record from the past. Placed Placed in 11 of 14 chase starts - 4,6,1 (1st,2nd,3rd). Has two wins from 5 tries over hurdles. He has not changed trainer for all of his career, still with T R George. He's also been with the same owner for the last 13 races. Jockey for this Conditional Jockeys' race is Willie McCarthy. Toulouse-Lautrec & McCarthy combo is at 1-5-2. 10pts win @ 11-4 Bet365 BOG Warwick 1:10 Sylvan Shack Connections had to be amazed when he finished 2nd of 9 last time out after being pulled of first 4 career starts. That was 2005 and now makes his reappearance. The last outing was also raced here for 2 furlongs shorter. Andrew Thornton will be the jockey for today. The last 5 hurdlers with Thornton have finished 5-4-2-9-3 (1-4-7-2-9-3-1 the last 7 inc. chases). 3pts ew @ 16-1 Bet365 BOG Warwick 1:40 William Bonney 2 of 3 carreer wins have come with jockey Noel Fehily on board. This should be tough to defeat with the way trainer C J Mann and Noel Fehily have been performing with their chasers. They, as a combo, combined for 7 wins from 24 chasers this season. This is the only chaser they are combined for. William Bonney finished 2nd and 3rd since returning from summer break. The only runners to finish ahead since returned are Pauillac, It's A Dream, and Kruguyrova. 10pts win @ 13-8 Ladbrokes Warwick 2:10 Maggie Mathias Has the sevices of Mick Fitzgerald today, and will be the third time for her short career - 5th and 2nd together. Been 2nd for the last two races being beaten just by a head and 3/4 lengths. Definitely can compete at this level and possibly can be in better shape that the previous two. 10pts win @ 2.14 Betfair Warwick 2:10 Poker Queen Has two hurdle starts for4th and 3rd but beaten by 10 and 31 lengths. I think he can creep closer today with the recent preformances of trainer Carll Llewellyn's hurdlers. Llewellyn has just a 6% strike rate with hurdlers this season compare to 14% with chasers and bumpers at 25%. But, the last 3 hurdlers all placed in 3rd place at prices os 8-1, 8-1, 12-1. Noel Fehily is scheduled to be on board. Fehily with Llewellyn hurdlers has 4 wins from 19 for +21.50 LSP 5pts ew @ 6-1 Sportingbet

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Warwick 2:40 Beat The Boys 1-2-3 for the last three, raced from last month and one 24 days ago. This is a N A Twiston-Davies and P J Brennan combo so alot is expected. Their 25% strike rate (+24.73 LSP) with hurdlers this season is likely to give the most problems rival Pass It On. 5pts ew @ 4-1 Bet365 BOG Warwick 2:40 Pass It On Won LTO without an easy task as he had to battle Antonius Caesar for the victory after being down 3 lengths at the last. That race was his first since March and the first try over fences. Should be the favorite with A P McCoy on board - 4-4-2-1-1-3-1 with Pass It On. 10pts win @ 2.48 Betfair Warwick 3:10 Oakfield Legend Won last time after being out since October of last year. The win was by 9 lengths. Two of his last three are now for 2nd and 1st - fell inbetween. The falling race was with jockey today, Richard Johnson. With Johnson having a bad month (3 wins from 51) I think Oakfield Legend can be backed at a generous price. 5pts ew @ 7-1 Bet365 BOG Warwick 3:40 Dragon Eye Has two bumpers for experience finishing 3rd for both starts. Trained by A King and jockey scheduled is Gerard Tumelty. Tumelty has 3 wins from 10 King bumper runners for +20.75 LSP. 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Warwick 3:40 Fanmail Owned by Malcom C Denmark. Denmark does well with bumper competitors having 3 wins and another placed 3rd from 8 runs this season. Carll Llewellyn trained and was jockey for all of them. +11.50 LSP and this is one of those few occasion. 5pts ew @ 6-1 Bet365 BOG

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Uttoxeter 1:30 Negus De Beaumont Chase debut and been out for 290 days. His chances has to be high with two of his last three being in Graded company - won non-grade race by 13 lengths. Racing Post Forecast is 2-1 and that would be generous if available there. The trainer Ferdy Murphy has a much better record with chasers this season compare to the hurdlers. 16% strike race with chasers and just 9% with hurdlers. 40% of being 3rd or better and 52% of being 4th or better with chasers this season. 10pts win @ 15-8 Sportingbet Uttoxeter 2:00 Giovanna Overall hurdle form is at 5-3-1-F-2-1-1 but not been raced since September 2006. Taking the gamble for current form of trainer R T Phillips. Trainer= 14 runners since boxing day, 6 placed (1 win and 5 placed 3rd). For this year, Phillips has a strike rate of 31% for being 3rd or better - 49% of being 4th or better. Three of the last 4 runners finished 3-3-1 at prices of 8-1, 13-2, 25-1. The winner had jockey Sean Quinlan. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Betdirect Uttoxeter 2:00 Go West Won by 6 lengths on soft ground at Limerick in November last year. Pulled up on heavy ground next outing when tried a Grade 3 event. He has to travel 2m4f110y today and I think that is suitable for his only win having been raced at 2m3f. His Graded event was for 2m6f and tailed off when pulled up 2 out. The last outing, May 07, was only for 2m1f on good ground - beaten 20 lengths for 7th of 13. I think the trainer has the distance he wants for this yard debut. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Totesport Uttoxeter 2:30 Los Suenos Best career finish on latest start 24 days ago when 2nd of 11, beaten 16 lengths. That was the first outing since November of last year. The last 4 runners for trainer Nick Williams finished 2-4-3-4. Three of those four was with jockey Daryl Jacob - 2-3-4. Jacob is scheduled to guide Los Suenos for the first time. Owned by Mrs Jane Williams. 80 hurdlers the last 5 seasons 15 wins (19%) 34 finished 3rd or better (43%) Daryl Jacob has 4 wins from 11 owned by her - 2 from 3 hurdlers. 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Uttoxeter 2:30 Snargate Handicap debut and has a Racing Post Forecast of 25-1. There has never been support for this one and likely to have that continue today. Won at 40-1 LTo, ran to 5th of 13 at 100-1 to start the year and 3rd of 12 at 33-1 on debut. Lifetime form is 3-9-11-F-5-10-1 - first 3 are bumpers and last 4 hurdles. Two of last three was raced for 3m2f and 3m1f - finished 5th and 1st. Raced for 2m6.5f inbetween the 3 milers finishing 10th of 16 so may give one out a good results on todays 3 mile event. 2pts ew @ 25-1 Bet365 BOG Uttoxeter 3:00 Magot De Grugy Has to be respected for his last two having been victories. The latest, 16 days ago, was on heavy ground at Lingfield. Only career start for the distance of 2m6f110y resulted in a victory, raced in November 2005. He won that by 3/4 length with 3rd place another 19 lengths behind. Proven on distance and going in the past and with current condition he is worth the price offered. 10pts win @ 2.84 Betfair Uttoxeter 3:30 Or D'Oudairies Winless in two starts but managed to finish 3rd then 2nd from those tries. The latest being over course and distance on heavy ground. That was 338 days ago but the winners next race was a defeat by 13 1/2 lengths from Cork All Star at Cheltenham. The 3rd place horse was the 8-11 favorite who then when hurdling on the next three finishing 4-1-3. With some of the rivals coming from the bigger stables the RP Forecast of 2-1 might be exceeded. 10pts win @ 5-2 Bet365 BOG

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Wolverhampton 1:50 Capitalise Been hurdling for the last two starts and not raced on the all weather since October 2007 at Kempton. But his all weather form is decent with placed efforts for 6 of 9 starts. Course form is at 8-2-4-2-2-3. Worth an ew with jockey on having a record of 3-3-2 on this one. 10pts win @ 4-1 Bet365 Wolverhampton 2:20 Scientific Has shown improvemt all year and likely to still continue that for being a 2yo. 7-13-5-9-5-4-2 is his lifetime form with the last two at this course. The latest being the same distance needed to travel today. The winner and 3rd placed horses from his last have gone on to win next races. Nearly the same draw from last time, 7 here, 8 last time out. 10pts win @ 3-1 Bet365 BOG Wolverhampton 2:50 Lobengula Best looking one from all of these. Won his last 4 - 3-1-1-1-1 from October to Present over course and distance. This being the course distance specialist will alot to be defeated. JOckye Daniel Tudhope is on for today. Tudhope won with Lobengula by 3 1/2, 3, and last time out by 1 1/4. The 3+ length win are his best from the 4 win streak 10pts win @ 2.42 Betfair Wolverhampton 3:20 Molly Ann Has Mark Johnston's runner to worry about but this one should get the upper hand for having all weather experience. She's finished 2nd on both aw starts - Wolverhampton and Southwell. The distance will be the usual 7 furlongs and jockey David Allan will be on like last time. Her first two starts was on turf for 1m and only finished 17 of 17 and 10 of 12. Best price available is 5-4 and as low as 10-11. 10pts win @ 5-4 Bet365 Wolverhampton 3:50 Teasing Has a course form of 1-3-2-2-1 lifetime starting 2006. The last 4 was raced for 7 furlongs. Hard to oppose what she has done. Still available at 9-4 and I that is good value for this horse. 10pts win @ Bet365 BOG

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Philadelphia Race 4 #10 Hail The Thief Has jockey Angel Rodriguez today. Rodriguez for the last 7 days has accumulated 14 runs with 4 wins, 1 2nd, and 3 3rd palces. Won at the odds of 11.50 two races ago (Oct) and finished 4th LTO. He only has one win from 10 runs this year but that came at this track. This is the first race for the new yard but trainer he has now knows how to win here. Trainer Patricia Farro has a 14% win rate and 40% of being 3rd or better. 10 pts to WIN 10 pts to PLACE

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Philadelphia Race 6 #8 Debutante's Charm I think this outsider (20-1 ML) has a shot for having a jockey that is currently in winning form Jockey David Cohen for the last 7 days have raced 10 times winning 3 - also finished 2nd once and 3rd three times. Debutante's Charm form is a horrible 6-8-7 from fields of 7-8-8. The race is a maiden claimer so having a good jockey on is what I like the most here. 10 pts to WIN 10 pts to PLACE 10 pts to SHOW

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Turfway Race 6 #10 Stake Your Claim Tried go 1m at this track LTO but could only get 6th of 12 that day. Previous (debut) was for 6f at Keeneland and she did much better there, finishing 2nd of 11. This trip back to sprints will surely help. Might also not gain any market support due to the latest effort but that only means a higher payoff. 10pts to win 10pts to place 10pts to show

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Santa Anita Race 2 #4 Champagne Eyes Should be odds on for the day. Trained by Doug O'Neill. Has raced 3 times with the prize pool at 75K, 100K and 300K. He finished 4th, 2nd, 4th against a field of 9, 5, 10. Today has a 50K proze pool and a field of 5. His best effort (2nd) came at a distance of 1m 1/16, the same distance for today. His debut was for 6f and the latest at 1 mile. 10pts to win

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist All race offered by Ladbrokes.com http://www.ladbrokes.com/lbr_portal?LANG=en&STYLE=en&VIEW=uk&LAYOUT=default

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Uttoxeter 12:30 Quickbeam 10pts win @ 11-4 Sportingbet Unplaced: 12 of 15 prominent, ridden approaching 3 out, soon weakened 12:30 Radmores Revenge 2pts ew @ 100-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 10 of 15 held up, chased leaders 8th, ridden approaching 3 out, weakened next 1:00 Papillon De Iena 3pts ew @ 14-1 Bet365 BOG 3rd of 12 chased leader, ridden approaching 3 out, led 2 out, headed towards finish 1:30 Negus De Beaumont 10pts win @ 15-8 Sportingbet 2nd of 7 in rear, headway to chase leaders 5 out, led 3 out, headed next, kept on 2:00 Giovanna 5pts ew @ 9-1 Betdirect 2nd of 8 held up in touch, went 2nd approaching 3 out, soon ridden, no chance with winner 2:00 Go West 5pts ew @ 9-1 Totesport 3rd of 8 held up, outpaced after 7th, kept on from 3 out, no impression 2:30 Los Suenos 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG 3rd of 18 chased leaders, went 2nd at 10th until weakened, hit 3 out 2:30 Snargate 2pts ew @ 25-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 5 of 18 always towards rear 3:00 Magot De Grugy 10pts win @ 2.84 Betfair 2nd of 6 chased leaders, led 5 out, headed approaching 4 out, kept on same pace 3:30 Or D'Oudairies 10pts win @ 5-2 Bet365 BOG 3rd of 11 chased leader, every chance approaching 3f out until one pace approaching 2f ou Warwick 12:40 Toulouse-Lautrec 10pts win @ 11-4 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 4th of 13 prominent, mistake 3 out, every chance approaching 2 out, weakened between last 2 1:10 Sylvan Shack 3pts ew @ 16-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 10 of 15 chased leaders to 5th 1:40 William Bonney 10pts win @ 13-8 Ladbrokes Unplaced: 4 of 6 held up, mistake 2nd, headway approaching 4 out, ridden after 2 out, weakened flat 2:10 Maggie Mathias 10pts win @ 2.14 Betfair 1st of 14 always prominent, hit 5th, led 7th, jumped left, hit last, edged left flat, driven out 2:10 Poker Queen 5pts ew @ 6-1 Sportingbet Unplaced: of 14 in touch, raced keenly, pushed along approaching 7th, weakened after 3 out 2:40 Beat The Boys 5pts ew @ 4-1 Bet365 BOG 1st of 8 always prominent, hampered 2nd, slightly hampered 7th, ridden after 3 out, challenged 2 out, left in lead last, stayed on 2:40 Pass It On 10pts win @ 2.48 Betfair Unplaced: 4 of 8 in touch, jumped right, jumped slowly 15th, weakened before next 3:10 Oakfield Legend 5pts ew @ 7-1 Bet365 BOG 2nd of 11 raced keenly, prominent, led 2nd, headed after 4 out, eased when beaten approaching last 3:40 Dragon Eye 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG 1st of 15 mid-division, headway 8f out, led over 2f out, inclined to edge right after, ran on 3:40 Fanmail 5pts ew @ 6-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 10 of 15 mid-division, headway over 7f out, ridden and weakened 5f out Wolverhampton 1:50 Capitalise 10pts win @ 4-1 Bet365 3rd of 12 in touch, ridden to chase leaders 2f out, chased winner inside final furlong, lost 2nd near finish 2:20 Scientific 10pts win @ 3-1 Bet365 BOG 2nd of 9 held up 4th, chased leader over 3f out, ridden to lead over 1f out, headed and no extra towards finish 2:50 Lobengula 10pts win @ 2.42 Betfair Unplaced: 6 of 6 led, hanging right from halfway, ridden, headed over 2f out, weakened quickly 3:20 Molly Ann 10pts win @ 9-4 Bet365 BOG 2nd of 5 soon led, ridden, headed over 2f out, no chance with winner over 1f out, kept on well for 2nd 3:50 Teasing 10pts win @ Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 7 of 8 towards rear, ridden 3f out, never near leaders, never dangerous